THB #93: The Batman (no spoilers)
| March 6, 2022
Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
1917 |
1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | ||||
2 | 3 |
Parasite |
2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | ||||||
5 |
Joker |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
9 |
Ford v Ferrari |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
4 |
The Irishman |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
6 |
Little Women |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
7 |
Marriage Story |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
6 |
Jojo Rabbit |
2 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
2 |
Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Director | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Sam Mendes 1917 |
1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | ||
2 | 2 |
Bong Joon-ho Parasite |
2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | ||
Todd Phillips Joker |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
3 |
Quentin Tarantino Once Upon A Time ... |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
Martin Scorsese The Irishman |
0 | 0 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Actress | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Renee Zellweger Judy |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | ||||
2 | 2 |
Scarlett Johansson Marriage Story |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | ||||||||
3 | 3 |
Charlize Theron Bombshell |
2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||
Saoirse Ronan Little Women |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
4 |
Cynthia Erivo Harriet |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Actor | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Joaquin Phoenix Joker |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | ||||
2 | 2 |
Adam Driver Marriage Story |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | |||||||
3 | 3 |
Antonio Banderas Pain and Glory |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||
4 |
Leonardo DiCaprio Once Upon A Time... |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
5 |
Jonathan Pryce Two Popes |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actress | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Laura Dern Marriage Story |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | ||||
2 | 2 |
Scarlett Johansson JoJo Rabbit |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | |||||
5 |
Kathy Bates Richard Jewell |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
4 |
Margot Robbie Bombshell |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
3 | 3 |
Florence Pugh Little Women |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Supporting Actor | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Brad Pitt Once Upon a Time... |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | ||||
2 | 2 |
Joe Pesci The Irishman |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | |||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
4 |
Anthony Hopkins The Two Popes |
2 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
3-t | 5 |
Tom Hanks A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood |
2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
3-t | 3 |
Al Pacino The Irishman |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Original Screenplay | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 |
Parasite |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | ||
2 | 1 |
Once Upon A Time ... |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | ||
3 |
Marriage Story |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
4 |
1917 |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
0 |
Knives Out |
0 | 0 |
Rank | Last Chart | Adapted Screenplay | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 3 |
Jojo Rabbit |
1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 19 | ||||
2 | 1 |
Little Women |
2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | |||||
t-4 |
The Two Popes |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
t-4 |
Joker |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
3 | 2 |
The Irishman |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Animated Short | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Hair Love |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | ||||||
2 |
Kitbull |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | ||||||||
Sister |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
Dcera |
2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Memorable |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Live-Action Short | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
The Neighbors’ Window |
1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | |||||||
2 |
Brotherhood |
1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | |||||||||
Saria |
2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||||||
A Sister |
1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||||||
Nefta Football Club |
2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Rank | Last Chart | Documentary Short | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 18 | ||||||
2 |
In the Absence |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | |||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
Life Overtakes Me |
2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
St. Louis Superman |
2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
Walk Run Cha-Cha |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Documentary Feature | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
American Factory |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 20 | ||||
2 | 3 |
For Sama |
2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | |||||||||
2 |
Honeyland |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | ||||||||||||
t-4 |
The Edge Of Democracy |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
t-4 |
The Cave |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Foreign Language | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Parasite |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | ||
2 | 2 |
Pain & Glory |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | ||
4 |
Honeyland |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
Corpus Christi |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
5 |
Les Misérables |
0 | 0 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Animated | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Toy Story 4 |
2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | |||||
2 | 4 |
I Lost My Body |
1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | |||||||||
2 |
Klaus |
1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | |||||||||||
0 |
How To Train Your Dragon |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
3 |
Missing Link |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Editing | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 |
Ford v Ferrari |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | ||||
2 | 1 |
Parasite |
1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | |||||||
3 |
The Irishman |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
5 |
Joker |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
4 |
Jojo Rabbit |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Cinematography | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
1917 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | ||
2 | 2 |
Once Upon a Time ... |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | ||||||
3 |
Joker |
2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||||
5 |
The Irishman |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
4 |
The Lighthouse |
0 | 0 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Production Design | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
t-1 | 2 |
1917 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | ||||
t-1 | 1 |
Once Upon a Time … |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | |||||||
4 |
Jojo Rabbit |
1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |||||||||||
3 |
Parasite |
2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||
5 |
The Irishman |
0 | 0 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Costume | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Little Women |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 20 | ||
2 | 3 |
Jojo Rabbit |
1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | |||||||
2 |
Once Upon a Time ... |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||||||||
t-4 |
The Irishman |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
t-4 |
Joker |
0 | 0 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Hair | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Bombshell |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | ||
2 | 3 |
Judy |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | ||||||||
2 |
Joker |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | ||||||||||
4 |
1917 |
1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||||
Maleficent |
0 | 0 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Visual FX | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 |
1917 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | ||||
2 | 1 |
Avengers: Endgame |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | ||||||||
3 |
The Lion King |
2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||||||
Star Wars |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
4 |
The Irishman |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Score | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Joker |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | ||||
2 | 2 |
1917 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | |||||
Marriage Story |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
Star Wars |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
3 |
Little Women |
2 | 1 | 1 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Song | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Rocketman |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | ||||
2 | 3 |
Harriet |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | |||||||||
2 |
Frozen 2 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | |||||||||||
t-4 |
Breakthrough |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
t-4 |
Toy Story 4 |
1 | 1 | 2 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Sound Editing | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | t-1 |
1917 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 18 | ||||
2 | t-1 |
Ford v Ferrari |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | ||||
5 |
Joker |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
3 |
Once Upon a Time … |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
4 |
Star Wars |
0 | 0 |
Rank | Last Chart | Best Sound Mixing | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | t-1 |
1917 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 19 | ||
2 | t-1 |
Ford v Ferrari |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | ||
Ad Astra |
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
4 |
Joker |
0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
3 |
Once Upon a Time … |
0 | 0 |
The Gurus, At Your Service
Thelma Adams: Author, Critic, Oscar Expert Twitter
Robyn Bahr: Freelance (Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian) Twitter
Gregory Ellwood: The Playlist Twitter
Peter Howell: Toronto Star Twitter
Mark Johnson: Awards Circuit
Dave Karger: TCM, IMDb
Wilson Morales: BlackFilm.com
Michael Patterson: Michael’s Telluride Film Blog; Twitter
David Poland Twitter
Steve Pond: The Wrap
NathanielR: The Film Experience Twitter
Sasha Stone: Awards Daily Twitter
Jeff Sneider: Collider Twitter
-30-
May 1, 2022
"Netflix, the great disrupter whose algorithms and direct-to-consumer platform have forced powerful media incumbents to rethink their economic models, now seems to need a big strategy change itself. It got me thinking about the simple idea that my film and TV production company Blumhouse is built on: If you give artists a lot of creative freedom and a little money upfront but a big stake in the movie’s or TV show’s commercial success, more often than not the result will be both commercial (the filmmakers are incentivized to make films that will resonate with audiences) and artistically interesting (creative freedom!). This approach has yielded movies as varied as Get Out (made for $4.5 million, with worldwide box office receipts of more than $250 million), Whiplash (made for $3.3 million, winner of three Academy Awards), The Invisible Man (made for $7 million, earned more than $140 million) and Paranormal Activity (made for $15,000, grossed more than $190 million).From the beginning, the most important strategy I used to persuade artists to work with me was to make radically transparent deals: We usually paid the artists (“participants” in Hollywood lingo) the absolute minimum allowable by union contracts upfront, with the promise of healthy bonuses based on actual box office results—instead of the opaque 'percentage points' that artists are usually offered. Anyone can see box office results immediately, so creators don’t quarrel with the payouts. In fact, when it comes time for an artist to collect a bonus based on box office receipts, I email a video clip of myself dropping the check off at FedEx to the recipient."
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"As a critic Gavin was entertaining, wry, questioning, sensitive, perceptive"
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April 29, 2022
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DP/30 Audio: Bombshell, Jay Roach
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Early props to Gregory Ellwood, the only person who gets that Parasite is actually the Best Picture favorite if you look at all the relevant data and history.
A korean film just won the Oscar!
—Note: i am on Eastern time, where is it 11:31 pm.
Elsewhere online, I labelled Parasite the favorite even before it won the SAG. After it won, I upped its odds to 2-3. And I had 1917 at 9-1 the whole time; I would have had Parasite at 1-9 if it weren’t for Once Upon a Time as a potential contender, and Birdman beating Boyhood, i.e., Oscar’s notorious love for movies about actors.
Trivia question: what’s the only known film that was named the best film of the year by a higher percentage of critics, and also has a higher user rating at IMDB? Easier trivia question with the same answer: what was the first fantasy or science fiction film to win the Oscar for Best Picture?
Trivia question I expect never to know the answer to: how many movies have increased either their domestic box office rank or gross for nine consecutive weeks, beginning in their 8th week of release (or later)? Parasite did that, and in that time period its rank in the IMDB top 250 actually went up from 27 to 26.