WE ASKED THE GURUS to step beyond the boundaries of the forecasting field, just this once, for their Three Little Wishes for upsets that would cap their personal Oscar night; the Gurus’ dearest wishes are right below the Best Picture chart.
Nomadland stays its journey, while The Chicago 7 militate their fracas to the number two spot; Minari is still holds savor and sentiment toward Mank topples.
Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 |
Nomadland |
2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 103 |
2 | 2 |
The Trial of the Chicago 7 |
1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 85 |
3 | 3 |
Minari |
3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 72 |
4 | 4 |
Promising Young Woman |
5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 62 |
5 | 5 |
Judas and the Black Messiah |
7 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 51 |
6 | 8 |
The Father |
6 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 |
7 | 7 |
Mank |
4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31 |
7 | 6 |
Sound of Metal |
8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 31 |
Three Little Wishes
Thelma Adams: Director, Thomas Vinterberg; Best Adapted Screenplay: The Father; Andra Day
Robyn Bahr: Anthony Hopkins; Best Adapted Screenplay, The White Tiger; Best Animated, Wolfwalkers
Gregory Ellwood: Riz Ahmed; Vanessa Kirby; “Fight For You,” Original Song
Peter Howell: Paul Raci; Quo Vadis, Aida?; Wolfwalkers
Mark Johnson: Minari; Original Score, Minari; Vanessa Kirby
Dave Karger: Paul Raci; Olivia Colman; Original Song, “Husavik: My Home Town”
Michael Patterson: Anthony Hopkins; Olivia Colman; Best Song, “Hear My Voice,” The Trial of the Chicago 7
David Poland: Carey Mulligan; Riz Ahmed; Collectiv
Steve Pond: Leslie Odom Jr.; Best Film Editing, The Father; Best Animated Short, Opera
Nathaniel Rogers: Best Film Editing, The Father; Wolfwalkers; Paul Raci
Jeff Sneider: “I hope Sound of Metal comes out of nowhere to win Best Picture. I hope Paul Raci upsets Daniel Kaluuya for Best Supporting Actor. I hope Frances McDormand upsets Viola Davis and Carey Mulligan for Best Actress, simply because I thought she gave the best performance.”
Sasha Stone: Cinematography, Mank; Director, Mank; Andra Day
Your Friendly Neighborhood Gurus
Thelma Adams: Author, Top Critic on Rotten Tomatoes, Oscar Expert Twitter
Robyn Bahr: Freelance (Washington Post, GQ, Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian) Twitter
Gregory Ellwood: The Playlist Twitter
Peter Howell: Toronto Star Twitter
Mark Johnson: Awards Daily Twitter
Dave Karger: TCM, IMDb Twitter
Wilson Morales: BlackFilmAndTV.com Twitter
Michael Patterson: Michael’s Telluride Film Blog; Twitter
David Poland: Movie City News Twitter
Steve Pond: The Wrap, Twitter
NathanielR: The Film Experience Twitter
Jeff Sneider: Collider Twitter
Sasha Stone: Awards Daily Twitter
“We’re so sorry for the frustration that our silence has caused. It’s not because we don’t care. It’s not because we aren’t listening or that we’ve been caught off guard by the complexities of the show. Every day since the nominations came out, we’ve had an internal debate whether to release information about what we’re doing even though that information is often etched in Jell-O.”
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