Gurus O'Gold

Gurus o’ Gold 121620 (Best Picture, Director, Acting, Screenwriting)

Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 The Irishman
1 2 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 3 2 11 125
2 2 Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood
2 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 11 121
3 5 Parasite
4 4 3 4 4 4 6 4 3 4 4 11 99
4 4 Marriage Story
3 3 4 5 3 5 5 6 4 1 7 11 97
5 3 1917
6 6 6 2 7 3 1 3 7 8 3 11 91
6 6 Jojo Rabbit
5 5 6 5 6 3 7 6 5 6 10 76
7 8 Joker
8 7 7 7 9 8 11 10 5 7 5 11 59
8 7 Little Women
5 7 11 8 8 10 8 8 11 6 10 11 51
9 9 Ford v Ferrari
9 9 9 6 7 9 5 9 10 11 10 46
t-10 Bombshell
11 8 10 12 10 11 8 9 8 25
t-10 10 The Two Popes
10 10 9 7 9 8 6 25
The Farewell
7 12 12 11 10 5 13
Knives Out
10 10 11 12 11 5 11
Dolemite Is My Name
12 12 12 8 4 8
Uncut Gems
9 12 2 5
Just Mercy
11 12 2 3
One Vote Wonders
Rocketman
12 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Actress AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Renee Zellweger
Judy
1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 11 76
t-2 3 Scarlett Johansson
Marriage Story
3 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 4 2 5 11 56
t-2 2 Charlize Theron
Bombshell
4 6 3 2 3 2 1 2 3 3 3 11 56
4 4 Saoirse Ronan
Little Women
2 4 6 4 6 5 4 4 6 4 6 11 37
5 Lupita Nyong'o
US
7 3 5 7 5 4 5 6 5 6 2 11 33
5 Cynthia Erivo
Harriet
7 4 5 4 4 6 5 2 7 4 10 32
Awkwafina
The Farewell
5 5 7 6 7 7 7 5 7 9 16
Alfre Woodard
Clemency
7 7 2 2
One Vote Wonders
Florence Pugh
Midsommar
6 1 2
Jodie Turner-Smith
Queen and Slim
7 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actress AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Laura Dern
Marriage Story
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 77
2 2 Jennifer Lopez
Hustlers
2 2 3 2 2 2 3 4 2 2 3 11 61
3 4 Margot Robbie
Bombshell
5 2 3 4 3 2 2 3 3 2 10 51
4 Scarlett Johansson
JoJo Rabbit
4 4 5 7 5 3 4 4 4 9 32
5 5 Zhao Shuzhen
The Farewell
3 4 3 5 6 5 7 5 8 26
3 Florence Pugh
Little Women
4 3 5 7 4 7 5 7 6 9 24
Kathy Bates
Richard Jewell
5 6 7 5 6 4 6 6 7 9 20
Nicole Kidman
Bombshell
6 7 6 7 5 5 9
Annette Bening
The Report
6 6 2 4
Julia Butters
Once Upon A Time...
7 7 2 2
One Vote Wonders
Julia Fox
Uncut Gems
6 1 2
Da’vine Joy Randolph
Dolemite is My Name
7 1 1
Thomasin McKenzie
JoJo Rabbit
7 1 1


Rank Last Chart Best Actor AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Adam Driver
Marriage Story
1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 11 71
2 2 Joaquin Phoenix
Joker
4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 11 70
3 5 Leonardo DiCaprio
Once Upon A Time...
5 3 3 3 3 4 7 3 3 9 38
4 3 Robert De Niro
The Irishman
3 4 6 5 3 7 6 5 4 4 10 33
5 4 Antonio Banderas
Pain and Glory
7 3 7 4 7 6 3 5 5 6 10 27
Christian Bale
Ford v Ferrari
4 7 5 5 3 4 6 20
Jonathan Pryce
The Two Popes
6 6 4 4 7 6 6 7 17
Eddie Murphy
Dolemite is My Name
5 4 7 6 5 5 13
Adam Sandler
Uncut Gems
2 7 5 7 4 11
Taron Egerton
Rocketman
6 5 6 7 4 8
One Vote Wonders
Roman Griffin Davis
Jojo Rabbit
7 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actor AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Brad Pitt
Once Upon a Time...
3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 75
2 3 Joe Pesci
The Irishman
2 2 3 2 4 3 2 2 2 3 2 11 61
3 2 Al Pacino
The Irishman
1 3 2 4 2 2 3 4 3 2 3 11 59
4 4 Tom Hanks
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
6 4 6 3 3 4 7 3 6 4 4 11 38
5 5 Anthony Hopkins
The Two Popes
5 4 5 7 5 4 5 4 6 5 10 30
Willem Dafoe
The Lighthouse
7 7 5 6 6 6 6 7 13
Jamie Foxx
Just Mercy
6 6 5 7 7 5 6 12
Alan Alda
Marriage Story
7 5 5 3 7
Shia LaBeouf
Honey Boy
5 7 7 3 5
One Vote Wonders
Timothée Chalamet
Little Women
4 1 4
Sam Rockwell
Richard Jewell
6 1 2
Song Kang-ho
Parasite
7 1 1


Rank Last Chart Best Director AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Martin Scorsese
The Irishman
1 2 1 1 1 2 3 1 2 2 2 11 70
2 2 Quentin Tarantino
Once Upon A Time ...
2 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 1 1 11 67
3 3 Bong Joon-ho
Parasite
4 3 3 4 5 4 4 3 1 3 3 11 51
4 4 Sam Mendes
1917
6 5 4 3 3 1 1 4 4 4 4 11 49
5 5 Noah Baumbach
Marriage Story
3 4 6 5 4 5 6 5 6 9 28
Greta Gerwig
Little Women
5 6 7 7 6 6 5 7 14
Taika Waititi
Jojo Rabbit
7 5 6 5 7 5 10
Todd Phillips
Joker
6 7 7 7 7 5 6 9
One Vote Wonders
Lulu Wang
The Farewell
5 1 3
Pedro Almodóvar
Pain & Glory
6 1 2
James Mangold
Ford v Ferrari
6 1 2
Fernando Meirelles
The Two Popes
7 1 1
The Safdies
Uncut Gems
7 1 1
Bombshell
Jay Roach
7 1 1

Rank Last Chart Original Screenplay AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
t-1 1 Marriage Story
1 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 4 11 69
t-1 2 Once Upon A Time ...
2 1 1 3 3 2 1 1 2 2 1 11 69
3 3 Parasite
3 2 4 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 11 58
4 4 The Farewell
4 4 6 5 5 4 7 4 4 4 7 11 34
5 5 Knives Out
5 3 6 4 5 5 5 5 6 9 28
1917
7 5 5 7 3 5 13
Pain & Glory
6 7 4 6 6 5 11
Bombshell
7 6 7 7 5 5 8
Uncut Gems
5 7 7 5 4 8
Dolemite is My Name
6 4 2 6
Queen & Slim
7 5 2 4
One Vote Wonders
Booksmart
6 1 2
Ford v Ferrari
7 1 1
Waves
7 1 1


Rank Last Chart Adapted Screenplay AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 The Irishman
1 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 1 1 1 11 73
2 4 The Two Popes
6 4 2 4 2 2 1 3 2 2 3 11 57
3 2 Jojo Rabbit
3 2 3 3 6 3 2 1 3 4 2 11 56
4 3 Little Women
2 6 4 3 3 5 3 4 4 3 5 11 46
5 5 Joker
7 5 5 5 5 4 7 5 6 4 10 27
A Beautiful Day...
5 5 6 6 4 6 6 5 6 5 10 26
Hustlers
4 7 7 5 7 5 10
Just Mercy
7 7 6 6 4 6
Toy Story 4
7 7 2 2
One Vote Wonders
Richard Jewell
6 1 2

The Gurus, At Your Service

Thelma AdamsAuthor, Critic, Oscar Expert @thelmadams
Robyn BahrFreelance (Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian) @RobynBahr
Gregory EllwoodThe Playlist @TheGregoryE
Peter HowellToronto Star @peterhowellfilm
Mark JohnsonAwards Circuit
Dave KargerTCM, IMDb
Wilson MoralesBlackFilm.com
Michael PattersonMichael’s Telluride Film BlogTwitterFacebook
David Poland @DavidPoland
Steve PondThe Wrap
NathanielRThe Film Experience
Sasha StoneAwards Daily @AwardsDaily
Jeff SneiderCollider @TheInSneider

7 Responses to “Gurus o’ Gold 121620 (Best Picture, Director, Acting, Screenwriting)”

  1. Bradley Laing says:

    —this article does not list the short film about the 1955 Le Mans racing disaster. Does that mean it cannot get a nomination?

    Best Animated Short cheat sheet: All 10 competitors with full details to help you predict 2020 Oscars

    Charles Bright
    Film December 21, 2019 12:00PM

  2. Ray Pride says:

    More categories ranked in the New Year…

  3. Doug Pratt says:

    In the old days, it would have been The Two Popes vs. Little Women, but we may yet see that happen this year

  4. Eric M. Van says:

    You guys need to know that critics’ top 10 list mentions are an extremely strong predictor for Best Picture nominations (no surprise, right?). As of now Uncut Gems has 95 mentions (5th best) and 15 best-film-of-year nods (4th best), Knives Out has 75 and 6, and Jojo Rabbit has just 35 and 1.

  5. Glamourboy says:

    For Best Director, 2 #5’s for Karger but no #4

  6. Ray Pride says:

    fixed thx

  7. Bradley Laing says:

    —no “Le Mans 1955.”

    Best animated short film nominees:
    DCERA (DAUGHTER)

    Daria Kashcheeva

    HAIR LOVE

    Matthew A. Cherry and Karen Rupert Toliver

    KITBULL

    Rosana Sullivan and Kathryn Hendrickson

    MEMORABLE

    Bruno Collet and Jean-François Le Corre

    SISTER

    Siqi Song

MCN Commentary & Analysis See All

THB #93: The Batman (no spoilers)

David Poland | March 6, 2022

THB #76: 9 Weeks To Oscar

David Poland | January 26, 2022

THB #73: Netflix Is Chilled

David Poland | January 24, 2022

The News Curated by Ray Pride See All

-30-

May 1, 2022

The New York Times

"Netflix, the great disrupter whose algorithms and direct-to-consumer platform have forced powerful media incumbents to rethink their economic models, now seems to need a big strategy change itself. It got me thinking about the simple idea that my film and TV production company Blumhouse is built on: If you give artists a lot of creative freedom and a little money upfront but a big stake in the movie’s or TV show’s commercial success, more often than not the result will be both commercial (the filmmakers are incentivized to make films that will resonate with audiences) and artistically interesting (creative freedom!). This approach has yielded movies as varied as Get Out (made for $4.5 million, with worldwide box office receipts of more than $250 million), Whiplash (made for $3.3 million, winner of three Academy Awards), The Invisible Man (made for $7 million, earned more than $140 million) and Paranormal Activity (made for $15,000, grossed more than $190 million).From the beginning, the most important strategy I used to persuade artists to work with me was to make radically transparent deals: We usually paid the artists (“participants” in Hollywood lingo) the absolute minimum allowable by union contracts upfront, with the promise of healthy bonuses based on actual box office results—instead of the opaque 'percentage points' that artists are usually offered. Anyone can see box office results immediately, so creators don’t quarrel with the payouts. In fact, when it comes time for an artist to collect a bonus based on box office receipts, I email a video clip of myself dropping the check off at FedEx to the recipient."
Jason Blum Sees Room For "Scrappier" Netflix

The New York Times | April 30, 2022

"As a critic Gavin was entertaining, wry, questioning, sensitive, perceptive"
Critic-Filmmaker Gavin Millar Was 84; Films Include Cream In My Coffee, Dreamchild

April 29, 2022

The New York Times

Disney Executive Geoff Morrell Out After Less Than Four Months

The New York Times | April 29, 2022

The Video Section See All

Mike Mills, C’mon C’mon

David Poland | January 24, 2022

The Podcast Section See All