Gurus O'Gold

Gurus On A Tighter Race: Picture, Director, Acting, Writing

As Oscar nomination voting begins, the Gurus pick a cool couple from acting and directing categories, and seem to sense the possibility of a couple of neck-and-neck competitions in the final five nominations for screenplays. What will be the surprises and who will be the knockouts come nomination morning?


Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Nomadland
1 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 11 105
2 2 The Trial of the Chicago 7
2 3 2 1 1 1 1 5 1 2 2 11 100
3 3 Minari
5 2 3 4 4 5 3 7 5 3 4 11 76
4 4 Mank
3 7 6 3 3 3 4 4 8 4 7 11 69
5 6 Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
6 4 4 6 7 4 7 2 4 6 5 11 66
6 5 One Night in Miami...
4 5 5 7 5 9 6 9 3 5 3 11 60
7 7 Promising Young Woman
7 9 8 5 9 8 5 3 7 8 6 11 46
8 9 News of the World
8 10 7 9 8 6 9 8 8 23
9 8 The Father
9 6 7 10 7 10 6 17
10 Sound Of Metal
9 10 8 6 9 5 13
Judas And The Black Messiah
10 8 10 6 10 10 6 12
10 Da 5 Bloods
8 9 6 10 4 11
Soul
10 8 2 4
One Vote Wonders
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
10 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Director AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Chloe Zhao
Nomadland
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 22
2 3 Aaron Sorkin
The Trial of the Chicago 7
2 2 2 2 2 5 5
3 2 David Fincher
Mank
2 2 2 3 3
4 4 Lee Isaac Chung
Minari
2 2 2 2
5 Regina King
One Night in Miami
0 0
One Vote Wonders
5 Emerald Fennell
Promising Young Woman
2 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Actress AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 3 Carey Mulligan
Promising Young Woman
1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 9 14
2 1 Frances McDormand
Nomadland
2 1 2 2 1 1 1 7 11
3 2 Viola Davis
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
1 2 2 1 2 5 7
4 Vanessa Kirby
Pieces Of A Woman
0 0
4 Zendaya
Malcolm & Marie
0 0
One Vote Wonders
4 Andra Day
The United States Vs. Billie Holiday
2 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Actor AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Chadwick Boseman
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 22
2 3 Riz Ahmed
Sound of Metal
2 2 2 2 2 2 6 6
3 2 Anthony Hopkins
The Father
2 2 2 2 2 5 5
5 5 Gary Oldman
Mank
0 0
4 Delroy Lindo
Da 5 Bloods
0 0

Rank Last Chart Supporting Actress AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Olivia Colman
The Father
2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 8 11
2 3 Youn Yuh-jung
Minari
1 1 2 2 1 5 8
3 5 Glenn Close
Hillbilly Elegy
1 1 1 3 6
4 Jodie Foster
The Mauritanian
2 2 2 2
5 2 Amanda Seyfried
Mank
2 2 2 2
One Vote Wonders
4 Maria Bakalova
Borat Subsequent Moviefield
1 1 2

Rank Last Chart Supporting Actor AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 3 Daniel Kaluuya
Judas & The Black Messiah
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 10 19
2 1 Sacha Baron Cohen
The Trial of the Chicago 7
2 2 2 2 2 1 2 7 8
3 1 Leslie Odom Jr.
One Night in Miami
2 1 2 3 4
5 Paul Raci
Sound Of Metal
0 0
One Vote Wonders
4 4 Chadwick Boseman
Da 5 Bloods
2 1 1
5 David Straitharn
Nomadland
2 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Original Screenplay AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 The Trial of the Chicago 7
1 3 1 1 1 1 1 5 1 1 1 11 49
2 2 Promising Young Woman
2 1 3 2 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 11 44
3 3 Minari
4 2 2 4 2 5 3 2 3 3 3 11 33
4 4 Mank
3 5 3 4 4 4 5 4 8 16
5 5 Sound of Metal
5 4 5 5 3 5 8
Soul
4 5 4 4 4 7
Judas & The Black Messiah
5 3 5 5 4 6
One Vote Wonders
Palm Springs
4 1 2

Rank Last Chart Best Adapted Screenplay AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Nomadland
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 11 53
2 2 One Night in Miami...
2 3 2 2 2 4 2 2 1 2 10 38
3 4 The Father
4 1 4 4 3 2 4 3 2 4 10 29
4 3 Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
3 4 3 3 4 3 3 4 4 4 3 11 28
5 5 News of the World
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
5 5 3 3 5
First Cow
5 5 2 2
One Vote Wonders
I'm Thinking of Ending Things
2 1 4

Your Friendly Neighborhood Gurus

Your Friendly Neighborhood Gurus
Thelma AdamsAuthor, Top Critic on Rotten Tomatoes, Oscar Expert Twitter
Robyn BahrFreelance (Washington Post, GQ, Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian) Twitter
Gregory EllwoodThe Playlist Twitter
Peter HowellToronto Star Twitter
Mark JohnsonAwards Daily Twitter
Dave KargerTCM, IMDb Twitter
Wilson Morales: BlackFilmAndTV.com Twitter
Michael PattersonMichael’s Telluride Film BlogTwitter
David Poland: Movie City News Twitter
Steve PondThe Wrap, Twitter
NathanielRThe Film Experience Twitter
Jeff SneiderCollider Twitter
Sasha StoneAwards Daily Twitter

One Response to “Gurus On A Tighter Race: Picture, Director, Acting, Writing”

  1. Bradley Laing says:

    As I remember it, years ago, some of the right wing editorials I read pointed to the small box office of the Oscar Nominees, with a comparison and contrast with “The Lion, The Witch, and the Wardrobe” box office. All of the ten “best picture” (possible) nominees above have suffered through an epidemic of low ticket sales. If someone used box office totals to measure the public interest in a movie, I think all of the above would look bad.

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