Gurus O'Gold

The Gurus O’ Gold Debut With Picture, Director, Actress, Actor, Animated 210127

Even as Sundance is a snowball’s throw from setting alight the fireplace of 2021’s release calendar, the Gurus o’ Gold take their first crack at sensing the shape of the extended, elongated, ever-lovin’ 2020 Oscars procession leading to the 93rd awards on April 25, produced by Jesse Collins, Stacey Sher and Steven Soderbergh.

For their first burst, The Gurus bow to Best Picture and then take the long view toward Best Director, Best Actress, Best Actor and Best Animated Feature. There’s unexpectedly strong sentiment toward The Trial of the Chicago 7 and Promising Young Woman overall, and some interesting instincts offered in Best Picture and in the acting slots

Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 Nomadland
1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 12 141
2 The Trial of the Chicago 7
8 6 8 1 10 1 2 8 2 6 5 2 12 97
3 Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
6 3 4 5 3 6 3 5 2 3 7 11 96
4 Minari
3 2 7 3 6 4 5 6 9 4 7 5 12 95
5 One Night in Miami
5 5 3 10 4 6 4 4 3 2 9 11 88
6 Mank
2 11 4 5 2 3 4 7 5 12 3 11 85
7 The Father
4 4 5 7 11 10 7 6 6 8 6 11 69
8 News of the World
12 6 9 3 7 8 7 3 12 9 4 11 63
9 Promising Young Woman
9 8 9 6 12 10 1 10 11 4 8 11 55
10 Da 5 Bloods
7 10 12 8 9 11 11 9 10 9 30
Judas And The Black Messiah
9 8 9 5 9 10 6 28
Soul
7 11 7 8 8 10 6 27
Never Rarely Sometimes Always
11 2 2 13
Sound Of Metal
11 12 12 6 12 5 12
First Cow
10 12 10 8 4 12
Tenet
10 5 2 11
Malcolm & Marie
11 12 2 3
One Vote Wonders
The United States vs. Billie Holiday
9 1 4
The Outpost
11 1 2
On The Rocks
11 1 2
Palm Springs
11 1 2
I'm Thinking Of Ending Things
12 1 1
Let Them All Talk
12 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Director AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 Chloe Zhao
Nomadland
1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 12 81
2 David Fincher
Mank
2 5 2 3 1 3 2 1 2 3 2 2 12 68
3 Lee Isaac Chung
Minari
3 2 4 5 6 5 5 7 7 4 4 5 12 39
4 Regina King
One Night in Miami
7 3 3 7 4 4 4 4 2 5 6 11 39
5 Aaron Sorkin
The Trial of the Chicago 7
6 6 5 2 3 3 6 3 8 30
George C. Wolfe
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
5 7 1 6 6 3 6 20
Spike Lee
Da 5 Bloods
4 7 6 5 6 6 7 7 15
Paul Greengrass
News of the World
3 7 7 5 4 5 14
Florian Zeller
The Father
4 6 5 7 4 10
Emerald Fennell
Promising Young Woman
4 3 2 9
One Vote Wonders
Lee Daniels
The United States vs. Billie Holiday
4 1 4
Christopher Nolan
Tenet
5 1 3
Kelly Reichardt
First Cow
6 1 2
Shaka King
Judas and the Black Messiah
7 1 1
Darius Marder
Sound of Metal
7 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Actress AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 Frances McDormand
Nomadland
1 2 2 4 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 3 12 75
2 Viola Davis
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
3 1 1 2 2 1 3 3 2 2 3 1 12 72
3 Carey Mulligan
Promising Young Woman
4 3 3 1 4 3 4 1 3 3 2 2 12 63
4 Vanessa Kirby
Pieces Of A Woman
6 4 4 3 3 5 2 6 4 4 4 6 12 45
Andra Day
The United States Vs. Billie Holiday
6 6 4 5 4 7 5 5 8 22
5 Zendaya
Malcolm & Marie
5 5 5 6 6 6 5 4 8 22
Michelle Pfeiffer
French Exit
5 6 7 6 4 8
Meryl Streep
Let Them All Talk
7 6 5 7 4 7
Sidney Flanagan
Never Rarely Sometimes Always)
2 7 2 7
Sophia Loren
The Life Ahead
7 7 7 5 4 6
Kate Winslet
Ammonite
5 6 2 5
One Vote Wonders
Elisabeth Moss
Shirley
7 1 1
Anya Taylor-Joy
Emma.
7 1 1
Yeri Han
Minari
7 1 1
Robin Wright
Land
7 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Actor AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 Chadwick Boseman
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 12 81
2 Anthony Hopkins
The Father
5 2 3 4 2 1 2 4 2 2 4 2 12 63
3 Riz Ahmed
Sound of Metal
1 4 5 1 5 2 3 2 4 6 1 6 12 56
4 Delroy Lindo
Da 5 Bloods
3 3 7 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 5 12 50
5 Gary Oldman
Mank
4 7 6 5 3 5 6 5 5 5 7 4 12 34
Tom Hanks
News of the World
4 6 7 6 5 3 6 17
Kingsley Ben-Adir
One Night in Miami
5 2 7 6 3 5 17
Steven Yeun
Minari
6 7 7 5 6 6 7 7 12
One Vote Wonders
Lakeith Stanfield
Judas and the Black Messiah
6 1 2
Ben Affleck
The Way Back
6 1 2
Andy Samberg
Palm Springs
7 1 1
Tom Holland
Cherry
7 1 1
John David Washington
Malcolm & Marie
7 1 1
Mads Mikkelsen
Another Round
7 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Animated Feature AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 Soul
2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 80
2 Wolfwalkers
1 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 12 76
3 Over the Moon
6 4 6 4 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 11 46
4 Onward
3 3 7 3 4 4 4 5 5 4 10 38
5 Earwig and the Witch
7 7 5 5 4 6 5 3 8 22
A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon
5 5 6 6 5 5 7 4 8 21
The Croods: A New Age
7 7 7 3 6 7 6 11
The Willoughbys
4 6 7 6 4 9
Trolls: World Tour
6 5 7 7 4 7
Bombay Rose
5 6 2 5
One Vote Wonders
Feels Good Man
3 1 5
The Wolf House
4 1 4
Demon Slayer
6 1 2

Your Friendly Neighborhood Gurus

Thelma AdamsAuthor, Top Critic on Rotten Tomatoes, Oscar Expert Twitter
Robyn BahrFreelance (Washington Post, GQ, Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian) Twitter
Gregory EllwoodThe Playlist Twitter
Peter HowellToronto Star Twitter
Mark JohnsonAwards Daily Twitter
Dave KargerTCM, IMDb Twitter
Wilson Morales: BlackFilmAndTV.com Twitter
Michael PattersonMichael’s Telluride Film BlogTwitter
David Poland: Movie City News Twitter
Steve PondThe Wrap, Twitter
NathanielRThe Film Experience Twitter
Jeff SneiderCollider Twitter
Sasha StoneAwards Daily Twitter

6 Responses to “The Gurus O’ Gold Debut With Picture, Director, Actress, Actor, Animated 210127”

  1. Bob Burns says:

    Stands out that one could fill out a fine list of directoral nominees with women and minorities, set these aside, and have another excellent list of minority and female nominees, and still have several other excellent choices left.

  2. Jake says:

    Covid has made everything bizarre, of course. I have to say, in baseball, NFL, NBA, these feel like authentic seasons to me, authentic champions. No asterisk, despite the weirdness of the lack of fans, playing in the bubble, lack of travel, guys getting sick etc. etc. Still felt like real seasons and earned championships. These Oscars…asterisk city, man. Feels so weird, like Pretend Oscars. All the big movies got postponed! Not saying it’s good or bad, just saying it’s weird getting worked up about this motley assortment of low-budget stuff we watched on television. Whoever wins, it’s basically kind of a fluke, for the most part. It’ll be “Francis McDormand has 2 Oscars and that weird 3rd one that doesn’t really count from the year no movies came out.”

  3. Bob Burns says:

    I don’t believe News of the World would be in anyone’s predictions without the Universal publicity team. I have long (for nearly 20 years) believed this team of publicists uses access and ad money to promote their films to the Oscar prognosticators who, in part, depend upon them. The appearance of conflict of interest is glaring. The Academy should consider addressing it. The prognosticators are powerful players in the awards season.

    Thinking of the radio payola scandal and investigations of the late 50s. I don’t think we are talking about direct cash payments, Ad buys accomplish as much, but there is so little transparency about the inner workings of awards campaigns, how would we know what is going on?

  4. cadavra says:

    Jeez, why don’t they just give everything to Nomadland and call it a day?

  5. rb says:

    I and everyone i know who has watched “Trial of the Chicago 7” believes it to be an unrelenting, hacky piece of crap. Shocked at its presence in award consideration. Should I watch again?

  6. Ray Pride says:

    Signs point to “No.”

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Variety

"With Toronto, Telluride, Ven­ice, New York and other key fests opening amid an overcrowded field that includes films postponed from 2020, the acclaim, buzz and dis­tinction festivals bestow on award contenders is more important than ever — especially for spec­tacles such as Dune, which lose impact on the small screen in hybrid streaming/theatrical releases. Yet the surging Delta variant now threatens to derail premieres, star appearances, in-person screenings and the press, the public’s and Oscar vot­ers’ willingness to attend them.

"On August 27, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sci­ences postponed all screenings and in-person events for 2021. And on August 30, despite the U.S. having around 60 times as many COVID-19 cases as Canada and a much lower vaccination rate over the previous four weeks, per Johns Hopkins University data, the U.S. State Dept. advised Americans to “reconsider travel to Canada due to [a high level of] COVID-19” there.

“There’s nothing conclu­sive right now, and everyone is not quite sure how to proceed because of the nature of the COVID pandemic,” says Sony Pic­tures Classics co-president Tom Bernard. “Telluride and Toronto have changed what they are going to do dramatically in the last few weeks, putting in a lot more proto­cols. The New York Film Festival is to be determined—what are they and AFI Fest going to do? Running a festival is like trying to [control] an oil tanker. You can’t just stop it, [and most events] don’t have festival insurance where you can say, ‘COVID shut us down, we gotta get paid.’ It brings up a lot of questions that are really difficult to answer.”

"It wasn’t supposed to be this way..."

Variety | September 9, 2021

Twitter

“A coalition of some of the nation’s most powerful labor unions is pressuring the Federal Trade Commission to put the brakes on Amazon’s $8.45 billion gambit to buy MGM as the agency decides whether to approve the would-be takeover.”

Twitter | August 11, 2021

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Ethan Coen Quits?

Twitter | August 3, 2021

LA Times

Crisis Consultant Tells HFPA: “Consider what will happen if you do not pass the bylaws… Some of you may wish for an alternate future but the reality is totally different. As journalists, you understand what the headline will be if you do not pass these bylaws.”

LA Times | July 26, 2021

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