Gurus O'Gold

The Gurus A Week Before Voting Closes 012720

Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 1917
1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 29
2 2 Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood
2 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 10 17
3 3 Parasite
3 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 10 14
5 Joker
0 0
9 Ford v Ferrari
0 0
4 The Irishman
0 0
6 Jojo Rabbit
0 0
8 Little Women
0 0
7 Marriage Story
0 0

Rank Last Chart Best Director AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Sam Mendes
1917
1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 29
2 2 Bong Joon-ho
Parasite
2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 10 21
3 3 Quentin Tarantino
Once Upon A Time ...
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 10 10
5 Todd Phillips
Joker
0 0
4 Martin Scorsese
The Irishman
0 0

Rank Last Chart Best Actress AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Renee Zellweger
Judy
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 30
2 2 Scarlett Johansson
Marriage Story
2 3 2 2 3 2 2 3 8 13
3 4 Charlize Theron
Bombshell
3 2 3 3 2 2 2 7 11
4 3 Saoirse Ronan
Little Women
3 2 3 3 4 5
One Vote Wonders
5 5 Cynthia Erivo
Harriet
3 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Actor AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Joaquin Phoenix
Joker
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 30
2 2 Adam Driver
Marriage Story
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 9 18
3 3 Antonio Banderas
Pain and Glory
3 3 3 3 3 3 6 6
4 4 Leonardo DiCaprio
Once Upon A Time...
3 3 3 3 4 4
One Vote Wonders
5 5 Jonathan Pryce
Two Popes
2 1 2

Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actress AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Laura Dern
Marriage Story
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 30
2 2 Scarlett Johansson
JoJo Rabbit
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 8 15
3 3 Florence Pugh
Little Women
3 3 2 3 3 3 6 7
4 4 Margot Robbie
Bombshell
3 3 2 2 4 6
5 5 Kathy Bates
Richard Jewell
3 3 2 2

Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actor AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Brad Pitt
Once Upon a Time...
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 30
2 2 Joe Pesci
The Irishman
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 10 19
3 3 Al Pacino
The Irishman
3 3 3 3 3 3 6 6
4 5 Anthony Hopkins
The Two Popes
3 2 3 3 4
One Vote Wonders
5 4 Tom Hanks
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
3 1 1

Rank Last Chart Original Screenplay AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Once Upon A Time ...
2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 10 28
2 2 Parasite
1 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 10 21
3 3 Marriage Story
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 8 8
4 4 1917
3 2 2 3
5 Knives Out
0 0

Rank Last Chart Adapted Screenplay AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Little Women
1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 10 29
2 2 The Irishman
3 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 8 15
3 3 Jojo Rabbit
2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 10 12
One Vote Wonders
t-4 4 The Two Popes
2 1 2
t-4 5 Joker
2 1 2

Rank Last Chart Documentary Feature AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 American Factory
1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 10 28
3 t-2 For Sama
2 3 3 3 1 2 3 2 2 3 10 16
2 t-2 Honeyland
3 1 2 2 3 2 3 2 8 14
One Vote Wonders
t-4 4 The Cave
3 1 1
t-4 5 The Edge Of Democracy
3 1 1

Rank Last Chart Foreign Language AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Parasite
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 30
2 2 Pain & Glory
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 10 20
3 t-3 Les Misérables
3 3 3 3 3 5 5
4 t-3 Honeyland
3 3 5 3 3 5 3
5 Corpus Christi
0 0

Rank Last Chart Best Animated AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Toy Story 4
2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 10 26
2 5 Klaus
1 1 2 1 2 3 6 14
3 2 Missing Link
3 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 2 9 12
4 3 I Lost My Body
3 2 3 1 3 5 8
4 How To Train Your Dragon
0 0

Rank Last Chart Best Editing AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 3 Parasite
2 2 1 1 3 1 2 2 3 1 10 22
2 2 Ford v Ferrari
1 3 3 1 3 1 2 2 8 16
3 1 The Irishman
1 2 3 2 2 3 1 3 8 15
4 5 Jojo Rabbit
3 2 3 3 4
One Vote Wonders
5 5 Joker
1 1 3

Rank Last Chart Best Production Design AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Once Upon a Time …
1 3 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 10 26
2 2 1917
3 1 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 2 10 21
3 3 Parasite
2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 8 10
One Vote Wonders
4 5 Jojo Rabbit
2 1 2
5 4 The Irishman
3 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Cinematography AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 1917
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 30
2 2 Once Upon a Time ...
2 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 10 16
3 3 Joker
2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 9 13
One Vote Wonders
4 5 The Lighthouse
1 1 3
5 4 The Irishman
3 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Costume AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 t-1 Little Women
1 3 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 10 26
2 t-1 Once Upon a Time ...
2 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 10 20
3 d Jojo Rabbit
3 1 3 3 3 3 1 3 8 12
One Vote Wonders
t-4 4 The Irishman
3 1 1
t-4 5 Joker
3 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Hair AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Bombshell
1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 28
2 2 Joker
3 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 9 15
3 3 Judy
2 3 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 9 12
One Vote Wonders
4 t-4 1917
1 1 3
5 t-4 Maleficent
2 1 2

Rank Last Chart Best Visual FX AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Avengers: Endgame
2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 10 23
2 3 1917
1 1 2 1 1 3 3 2 3 1 10 22
3 2 The Lion King
3 3 3 2 2 1 2 7 12
4 5 The Irishman
3 3 2 2
One Vote Wonders
5 5 Star Wars
3 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Song AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Rocketman
1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 29
2 t-2 Frozen 2
3 1 3 2 3 3 2 2 3 2 10 16
t3 t-2 Harriet
2 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 8 13
One Vote Wonders
t-4 5 Breakthrough
3 1 1
t-4 4 Toy Story 4
3 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Score AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Joker
1 3 1 2 1 1 1 3 2 1 10 24
2 2 1917
2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 9 22
3 3 Little Women
3 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 8 11
4 4 Marriage Story
3 3 2 2
One Vote Wonders
5 5 Star Wars
3 1 1

Rank Last Chart Best Sound Editing AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
t-1 2 Ford v Ferrari
2 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 10 25
t-1 1 1917
1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 10 25
3 3 Once Upon a Time …
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 7 7
4 5 Star Wars
3 3 3 3 3
4 Joker
0 0

Rank Last Chart Best Sound Mixing AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
t-1 2 Ford v Ferrari
2 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 10 25
t-1 1 1917
1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 10 25
3 3 Once Upon a Time …
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 8 8
4 4 Joker
3 3 2 2
5 Ad Astra
0 0

The Gurus, At Your Service
Thelma AdamsAuthor, Critic, Oscar Expert Twitter
Robyn BahrFreelance (Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian) Twitter
Gregory EllwoodThe Playlist Twitter
Peter HowellToronto Star Twitter
Mark JohnsonAwards Circuit
Dave KargerTCM, IMDb
Wilson MoralesBlackFilm.com
Michael PattersonMichael’s Telluride Film BlogTwitter
David Poland Twitter
Steve PondThe Wrap
NathanielRThe Film Experience Twitter
Sasha StoneAwards Daily Twitter
Jeff SneiderCollider Twitter

4 Responses to “The Gurus A Week Before Voting Closes 012720”

  1. Sideshow Bill says:

    The fact there is an Oscar for best hair but still nothing for stunts speaks volumes

  2. Vince says:

    Agree with Bill. Would love to see the academy introduce a best stunts category, doubt it will ever happen though.

  3. Confused says:

    What?!? Are you joking? You are telling me that a stunts category is more important than the category for “Make up and hairstyling” (that is the actual name of the category)? Make up and hairstyling are required for every single movie. Stunts are required only for a select few movies.

  4. JERMS says:

    Can someone explain why American Factory is the favorite? Is it just because the Obamas attached their name to it? It’s pretty slow in parts. Honeyland was much more compelling.

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Variety

"With Toronto, Telluride, Ven­ice, New York and other key fests opening amid an overcrowded field that includes films postponed from 2020, the acclaim, buzz and dis­tinction festivals bestow on award contenders is more important than ever — especially for spec­tacles such as Dune, which lose impact on the small screen in hybrid streaming/theatrical releases. Yet the surging Delta variant now threatens to derail premieres, star appearances, in-person screenings and the press, the public’s and Oscar vot­ers’ willingness to attend them.

"On August 27, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sci­ences postponed all screenings and in-person events for 2021. And on August 30, despite the U.S. having around 60 times as many COVID-19 cases as Canada and a much lower vaccination rate over the previous four weeks, per Johns Hopkins University data, the U.S. State Dept. advised Americans to “reconsider travel to Canada due to [a high level of] COVID-19” there.

“There’s nothing conclu­sive right now, and everyone is not quite sure how to proceed because of the nature of the COVID pandemic,” says Sony Pic­tures Classics co-president Tom Bernard. “Telluride and Toronto have changed what they are going to do dramatically in the last few weeks, putting in a lot more proto­cols. The New York Film Festival is to be determined—what are they and AFI Fest going to do? Running a festival is like trying to [control] an oil tanker. You can’t just stop it, [and most events] don’t have festival insurance where you can say, ‘COVID shut us down, we gotta get paid.’ It brings up a lot of questions that are really difficult to answer.”

"It wasn’t supposed to be this way..."

Variety | September 9, 2021

Twitter

“A coalition of some of the nation’s most powerful labor unions is pressuring the Federal Trade Commission to put the brakes on Amazon’s $8.45 billion gambit to buy MGM as the agency decides whether to approve the would-be takeover.”

Twitter | August 11, 2021

Twitter

Ethan Coen Quits?

Twitter | August 3, 2021

LA Times

Crisis Consultant Tells HFPA: “Consider what will happen if you do not pass the bylaws… Some of you may wish for an alternate future but the reality is totally different. As journalists, you understand what the headline will be if you do not pass these bylaws.”

LA Times | July 26, 2021

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