Gurus O'Gold

Gurus O’ Gold: Best Picture & Unlikely Underdogs

Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 2 Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood
1 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 11 129
2 1 The Irishman
2 2 4 4 2 1 2 4 2 3 5 11 112
3 3 Parasite
4 3 3 2 4 2 3 5 4 2 4 11 107
4 4 Marriage Story
3 5 6 6 5 4 5 6 5 6 3 11 89
5 5 1917
5 4 2 3 3 5 4 1 3 5 2 11 84
6 8 Little Women
6 7 5 8 8 6 10 7 6 8 8 11 64
7 7 Joker
7 9 8 7 7 7 7 10 8 4 6 11 63
8 6 Jojo Rabbit
6 7 5 6 9 6 3 7 7 7 10 47
9 9 Ford v Ferrari
10 9 9 10 11 8 8 9 9 11 10 36
10 Knives Out
9 11 11 12 12 12 10 10 8 17
t-10 Bombshell
11 10 9 11 11 10 6 16
t-10 The Two Popes
10 9 9 11 11 5 15
The Farewell
8 8 10 12 12 12 9 7 6
Uncut Gems
10 12 12 12 4 6
Rocketman
12 11 2 3

0 0
One Vote Wonders
Dolemite Is My Name
8 1 5
Rank Last Chart Underdogs 2019 AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
The Farewell
* * * 3 3
Adam Sandler
Uncut Gems
* * 2 2
Christian Bale
Ford v Ferrari
* * 2 2
Tracy Letts
Ford v Ferrari
* * 2 2
Hustlers
* * 2 2
Greta Gerwig
Director, Little Women
* * 2 2
Zhao Shuzhen
The Farewell
* * 2 2
Taylor Russell
Waves
* * 2 2
One Vote Wonders
Kevin Garnett
Uncut Gems
* 1 1
Uncut Gems
* 1 1
Jonathan Pryce
The Two Popes
* 1 1
Julie Hagerty
* 1 1
Bill Camp
Dark Waters
* 1 1
Avengers: Endgame
* 1 1
Hidden Life
* 1 1
Almodóvar
Director, Pain & Glory
* 1 1
John Lithgow
Bombshell
* 1 1
Terminator: Dark Fate
FX
* 1 1
Paul Walter Hauser
RIchard Jewell
* 1 1
Todd Phillips
Joker
* 1 1
Jessie Buckley
Wild Rose
* 1 1
Ad Astra
* 1 1
A Beautiful Day
* 1 1
Pain & Glory
* 1 1
Uncut Gems
Film Editing
* 1 1
Honeyboy
* 1 1
Harriet
* 1 1
The Safdies
Uncut Gems
* 1 1
I Lost My Body
Score
* 1 1
Rocketman
Production Design
* 1 1
Willem Dafoe
The Lighthouse
* 1 1
Song Kang-ho
Parasite
* 1 1
Julia Butters
Once Upon A Time ...
* 1 1
Nahéma Ricci
Antigone
* 1 1
The Peanut Butter Falcon
* 1 1
Daniel Craig
Knives Out
* 1 1
Florence Pugh
Midsommar
* 1 1
Camila Morrone
Mickey and the Bear
* 1 1
Sienna Miller
American Woman
* 1 1
Portrait of a Lady on Fire
* 1 1
Annette Bening
The Report
* 1 1
Taika Waititi
Jojo Rabbit
* 1 1
Just Mercy
* 1 1
Timothée Chalamet
Little Women
* 1 1

The Gurus, At Your Service

Thelma AdamsAuthor, Critic, Oscar Expert @thelmadams
Robyn BahrFreelance (Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian) @RobynBahr
Gregory EllwoodThe Playlist @TheGregoryE
Peter HowellToronto Star @peterhowellfilm
Mark JohnsonAwards Circuit
Dave KargerTCM, IMDb
Wilson MoralesBlackFilm.com
Michael PattersonMichael’s Telluride Film BlogTwitterFacebook
David Poland @DavidPoland
Steve PondThe Wrap
NathanielRThe Film Experience
Sasha StoneAwards Daily @AwardsDaily
Jeff SneiderCollider @TheInSneider

3 Responses to “Gurus O’ Gold: Best Picture & Unlikely Underdogs”

  1. Bradley Laing says:

    —is there a possibility that the animated short film “Le Mans 1955” will be nominated.

  2. Terry says:

    Please excuse my ignorance, but what does ‘Underdogs 2019’ represent?

  3. Ray Pride says:

    The Gurus predict what the Academy would do. The “underdogs” are personal preferences that are unlikely to make the cut on Monday.

MCN Commentary & Analysis See All

A Buncha Weeks To Oscar*

David Poland | January 14, 2021

Intention.

David Poland | January 12, 2021

The Odd Misogyny of Wonder Woman 1984 (spoilers)

David Poland | December 28, 2020

The News Curated by Ray Pride See All

The Guardian

Ben Child: “If the future of Star Wars is to match its glorious past, we need something more than this cosy, reactive creativity. We know nothing about the grand plan for the big screen – will all these new movies exist within the same timeline, so that their major players can be brought together Marvel-style for another grand space opera smackdown? Or will Star Wars remain content to play out in the margins for the time being? For those of us who witnessed the mess Lucasfilm made of the overambitious sequel trilogy, such short-term thinking might seem a safer bet than the alternative.”

The Guardian | January 15, 2021

Hollywood Reporter

“Denzel Washington is said to be getting his $20 million plus backend fee, while the sheer number of bonuses tied to the HBO Max day-and-date plan is said to be costly for the studio.”

Hollywood Reporter | January 15, 2021

Hollywood Reporter

Peter Levinsohn: “The theatrical window is the cornerstone of our business because it establishes the brand. We at Universal believe very strongly in the theatrical experience. But it's also no secret that we have felt as a company for some time that forcing consumers to wait three months following a theatrical release of a film, regardless of how well that film does, doesn't make any sense in a world where consumer behavior is shifting so dramatically because of all the other content alternatives. We've got this wonderful marketing organization that creates events around every film as part of its theatrical release. If we force the consumer to wait three months to see it in the home, we ultimately have to gear that marketing up all over again from scratch.”

Hollywood Reporter | January 15, 2021

Vanity Fair

Maureen Ryan: “So how long until Josh Hawley is on ‘Dancing With the Stars’? I wish I didn’t have to ask that question. But if past is prologue, in coming years we should expect executives in television, news, film, publishing, and other influential media industries to line up to help far too many reprehensible ghouls launder their reputations. Hawley and Ted Cruz, along with 145 other Republicans in Congress, challenged the results of the presidential election last week—hours after rioters desecrated the U.S. Capitol in a rampage that killed five people. Many politicians like them—not to mention a whole constellation of Trump cronies, racist insurrectionists, and craven agitators inside and outside the government—spent the past few months stirring up that terrifying mob. Media executives in a position to reward those folks with some convenient rebranding opportunities should not do so. They really, really shouldn’t.”

Vanity Fair | January 14, 2021

The Video Section See All

Mrs. America, Uzo Aduba

David Poland | September 8, 2020

The Podcast Section See All