When Will Theatrical Find Its New Normal? (as of Sept. 2021)
| September 22, 2021
| Rank | Last Chart | Best Picture | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 129 | ||||
| 2 | 1 |
The Irishman |
2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 112 | ||||
| 3 | 3 |
Parasite |
4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 107 | ||||
| 4 | 4 |
Marriage Story |
3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 89 | ||||
| 5 | 5 |
1917 |
5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 84 | ||||
| 6 | 8 |
Little Women |
6 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 64 | ||||
| 7 | 7 |
Joker |
7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 63 | ||||
| 8 | 6 |
Jojo Rabbit |
6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 47 | |||||
| 9 | 9 |
Ford v Ferrari |
10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 36 | |||||
| 10 |
Knives Out |
9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 17 | ||||||||
| t-10 |
Bombshell |
11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 16 | ||||||||||
| t-10 |
The Two Popes |
10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 15 | |||||||||||
|
The Farewell |
8 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 6 | ||||||||||
|
Uncut Gems |
10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 6 | |||||||||||||
|
Rocketman |
12 | 11 | 2 | 3 | |||||||||||||||
|
|
0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Dolemite Is My Name |
8 | 1 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||
| Rank | Last Chart | Underdogs 2019 | Adams | Bahr | Ellwood | Howell | Johnson | Karger | Morales | Patterson | Poland | Pond | Rogers | Sneider | Stone | Votes | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
The Farewell |
* | * | * | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
|
Adam Sandler Uncut Gems |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
|
Christian Bale Ford v Ferrari |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
|
Tracy Letts Ford v Ferrari |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
|
Hustlers |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
|
Greta Gerwig Director, Little Women |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
|
Zhao Shuzhen The Farewell |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
|
Taylor Russell Waves |
* | * | 2 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| One Vote Wonders | |||||||||||||||||||
|
Kevin Garnett Uncut Gems |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Uncut Gems |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Jonathan Pryce The Two Popes |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Julie Hagerty |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Bill Camp Dark Waters |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Avengers: Endgame |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Hidden Life |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Almodóvar Director, Pain & Glory |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
John Lithgow Bombshell |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Terminator: Dark Fate FX |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Paul Walter Hauser RIchard Jewell |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Todd Phillips Joker |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Jessie Buckley Wild Rose |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Ad Astra |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
A Beautiful Day |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Pain & Glory |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Uncut Gems Film Editing |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Honeyboy |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Harriet |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
The Safdies Uncut Gems |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
I Lost My Body Score |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Rocketman Production Design |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Willem Dafoe The Lighthouse |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Song Kang-ho Parasite |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Julia Butters Once Upon A Time ... |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Nahéma Ricci Antigone |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
The Peanut Butter Falcon |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Daniel Craig Knives Out |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Florence Pugh Midsommar |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Camila Morrone Mickey and the Bear |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Sienna Miller American Woman |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Portrait of a Lady on Fire |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Annette Bening The Report |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Taika Waititi Jojo Rabbit |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Just Mercy |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
|
Timothée Chalamet Little Women |
* | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
The Gurus, At Your Service
Thelma Adams: Author, Critic, Oscar Expert @thelmadams
Robyn Bahr: Freelance (Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian) @RobynBahr
Gregory Ellwood: The Playlist @TheGregoryE
Peter Howell: Toronto Star @peterhowellfilm
Mark Johnson: Awards Circuit
Dave Karger: TCM, IMDb
Wilson Morales: BlackFilm.com
Michael Patterson: Michael’s Telluride Film Blog; Twitter; Facebook
David Poland @DavidPoland
Steve Pond: The Wrap
NathanielR: The Film Experience
Sasha Stone: Awards Daily @AwardsDaily
Jeff Sneider: Collider @TheInSneider
When Will Theatrical Find Its New Normal? (as of Sept. 2021)
| September 22, 2021
27 Weeks To Oscar: The Trouble With Award Shows (Emmy Edition)
| September 20, 2021
29 Weeks To Oscar: The Oscar Season Starts… Or Does It?
| September 5, 2021
DP/30: Sacha Baron Cohen, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, The Trial of the Chicago 7
| February 15, 2021
DP/30 Audio: Bombshell, Jay Roach
| December 13, 2019
DP/30 Audio: The Last Black Man in San Francisco, Jonathan Majors
| December 4, 2019
DP/30 Audio: The Mustang, Laure de Clermont-Tonnerre
| December 4, 2019
—is there a possibility that the animated short film “Le Mans 1955” will be nominated.
Please excuse my ignorance, but what does ‘Underdogs 2019’ represent?
The Gurus predict what the Academy would do. The “underdogs” are personal preferences that are unlikely to make the cut on Monday.