Gurus O'Gold

Gurus O’ Gold: Best Picture & Unlikely Underdogs

Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 2 Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood
1 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 11 129
2 1 The Irishman
2 2 4 4 2 1 2 4 2 3 5 11 112
3 3 Parasite
4 3 3 2 4 2 3 5 4 2 4 11 107
4 4 Marriage Story
3 5 6 6 5 4 5 6 5 6 3 11 89
5 5 1917
5 4 2 3 3 5 4 1 3 5 2 11 84
6 8 Little Women
6 7 5 8 8 6 10 7 6 8 8 11 64
7 7 Joker
7 9 8 7 7 7 7 10 8 4 6 11 63
8 6 Jojo Rabbit
6 7 5 6 9 6 3 7 7 7 10 47
9 9 Ford v Ferrari
10 9 9 10 11 8 8 9 9 11 10 36
10 Knives Out
9 11 11 12 12 12 10 10 8 17
t-10 Bombshell
11 10 9 11 11 10 6 16
t-10 The Two Popes
10 9 9 11 11 5 15
The Farewell
8 8 10 12 12 12 9 7 6
Uncut Gems
10 12 12 12 4 6
Rocketman
12 11 2 3

0 0
One Vote Wonders
Dolemite Is My Name
8 1 5
Rank Last Chart Underdogs 2019 AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerMoralesPattersonPolandPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
The Farewell
* * * 3 3
Adam Sandler
Uncut Gems
* * 2 2
Christian Bale
Ford v Ferrari
* * 2 2
Tracy Letts
Ford v Ferrari
* * 2 2
Hustlers
* * 2 2
Greta Gerwig
Director, Little Women
* * 2 2
Zhao Shuzhen
The Farewell
* * 2 2
Taylor Russell
Waves
* * 2 2
One Vote Wonders
Kevin Garnett
Uncut Gems
* 1 1
Uncut Gems
* 1 1
Jonathan Pryce
The Two Popes
* 1 1
Julie Hagerty
* 1 1
Bill Camp
Dark Waters
* 1 1
Avengers: Endgame
* 1 1
Hidden Life
* 1 1
Almodóvar
Director, Pain & Glory
* 1 1
John Lithgow
Bombshell
* 1 1
Terminator: Dark Fate
FX
* 1 1
Paul Walter Hauser
RIchard Jewell
* 1 1
Todd Phillips
Joker
* 1 1
Jessie Buckley
Wild Rose
* 1 1
Ad Astra
* 1 1
A Beautiful Day
* 1 1
Pain & Glory
* 1 1
Uncut Gems
Film Editing
* 1 1
Honeyboy
* 1 1
Harriet
* 1 1
The Safdies
Uncut Gems
* 1 1
I Lost My Body
Score
* 1 1
Rocketman
Production Design
* 1 1
Willem Dafoe
The Lighthouse
* 1 1
Song Kang-ho
Parasite
* 1 1
Julia Butters
Once Upon A Time ...
* 1 1
Nahéma Ricci
Antigone
* 1 1
The Peanut Butter Falcon
* 1 1
Daniel Craig
Knives Out
* 1 1
Florence Pugh
Midsommar
* 1 1
Camila Morrone
Mickey and the Bear
* 1 1
Sienna Miller
American Woman
* 1 1
Portrait of a Lady on Fire
* 1 1
Annette Bening
The Report
* 1 1
Taika Waititi
Jojo Rabbit
* 1 1
Just Mercy
* 1 1
Timothée Chalamet
Little Women
* 1 1

The Gurus, At Your Service

Thelma AdamsAuthor, Critic, Oscar Expert @thelmadams
Robyn BahrFreelance (Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian) @RobynBahr
Gregory EllwoodThe Playlist @TheGregoryE
Peter HowellToronto Star @peterhowellfilm
Mark JohnsonAwards Circuit
Dave KargerTCM, IMDb
Wilson MoralesBlackFilm.com
Michael PattersonMichael’s Telluride Film BlogTwitterFacebook
David Poland @DavidPoland
Steve PondThe Wrap
NathanielRThe Film Experience
Sasha StoneAwards Daily @AwardsDaily
Jeff SneiderCollider @TheInSneider

3 Responses to “Gurus O’ Gold: Best Picture & Unlikely Underdogs”

  1. Bradley Laing says:

    —is there a possibility that the animated short film “Le Mans 1955” will be nominated.

  2. Terry says:

    Please excuse my ignorance, but what does ‘Underdogs 2019’ represent?

  3. Ray Pride says:

    The Gurus predict what the Academy would do. The “underdogs” are personal preferences that are unlikely to make the cut on Monday.

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The Guardian

"Will it matter in No Time to Die that the state-of-the-art Bond gadgetry is last year’s model? Have In the Heights and West Side Story missed the post-"Hamilton" wave they might have been hoping to catch? Will it be weird seeing a 16-year-old Finn Wolfhard in Ghostbusters: Afterlife when he’s pushing 19 in real life? In the broader sense, will any of these delayed movies feel truly fresh?"

The Guardian | April 12, 2021

"Even former assistants who survived their tenure with Rudin and became executives themselves described the tough skin they developed as an asset. Emotional and mental anguish—reportedly at minimum wage—were a given. “You’d always forgive him because he’s so smart, cares so much, and he gets movies made that no one else can,” explained Amy Pascal, one of Rudin’s former assistants who became a major studio executive herself, in 2008. “I attribute an enormous amount of whatever success I’ve been able to attain directly because of how I saw him operate,” the producer Craig Perry, another Rudin acolyte, said in 2005. “Does he yell? Sure. Do I yell? Sure.” Rudin’s workplace behavior may have been an open secret, but open secrets eventually build cultures—in this case, one where tolerating mistreatment is a fundamental ingredient for success. And that culture was reflected in the press: Many stories about Rudin casually downplayed or reframed his nastiness. Tempestuousness was excused as 'behind-the-scenes excesses of passion.'"

April 12, 2021

What A Brit Misses
—Discovering that you and your viewing partner had wildly different views about the merits of a film and knowing that a treat of discussing is about to unfold over several drinks.
—Discovering during the film that you and your viewing partner have equally eye-rolling disdain for something and anticipating picking over the cadaver afterwards.
—Discovering you and your viewing partner both loved what you watched and sitting in awe and ‘aw shucks’ at some of the best moments.
—Holding a new beloved’s hand to the point of discomfort.
—The drowning feeling of being sucked under into sleep in NFT1.
—Being absolutely slathered in a film, emerging alone into the night, carrying its mood with you.
—Blinking back into the light during a daytime show, realising how little time you’ve been away in actual hours.
—The magnetic connection between audiences that can cry and laugh together.

April 11, 2021

BAFTAs: Nomadland, Zhao, McDormand, Hopkins; Soul; Screenplays, Promising Young Woman, The Father; Editing, Sound of Metal; Cinematography, Nomadland; Another Round, Not In English; Youn Yuh-jung, Daniel Kaluuya; My Octopus Teacher; Score, Soul

April 11, 2021

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