Friday Estimates

Friday Estimates, November 18, 2011

As anticipated, Part One of the final entry in the Twilight series, Breaking Dawn, strongly leads the pack, while kiddie entry Happy Feet Two battles for space against Puss in Boots. Meanwhile, The Immortals and Adam Sandler’s Jack and Jill arm wrestle for the third and fourth place slots.

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Friday Estimates, Novemeber 11, 2011

The Immortals opens solidly while Sandler’s two-sex romp opens in his normal non-summer range. And the J. Edgar releasing choice – opening wide, but only on 1910 screens – produces decent, but unclear results.

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Friday Estimates: November 5, 2011

Two new films this weekend. One, a comedy caper flick and the other a prematurely 3Dinating Christmas comedy. Plus, a strong hold for last weekend’s champ, Puss in Boots.

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Friday Estimates: October 28, 2011

Puss In Boots delivers a decent off-season number for an animated film, winning the weekend, but not setting off fireworks. Modest launches for In Time and The Rum Diary. Paranormal Activity, taking an outsized hit vs last Friday’s numbers, is holding surprisingly well. And DW’s Real Steel takes a punch badly for the first time, probably at the hands of DWA’s Puss.

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Friday Estimates, October 21, 2011

Paranormal Activity 3 has become a regular activity for October fright fans, not only sure to beat its own opening record as a franchise, but looking at taking the crown as best October opener ever from Paramount’s champ from just last year, Jackass 3D. The 3D Musketeers couldn’t get to 3K on opening day. And Johnny English wasn’t reborn for long before dying at the American box office.

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Friday Estimates: October 15, 2011

27 years ago, Footloose opened and went on to do almost 10x its opening weekend. This weekend, the Footloose remake will open to about twice what the original did. 29 years ago John Carpenter’s The Thing opened to about the same amount in 3 days as the new remake opened to do on Friday. And Steve Martin’s hair is still white.

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Friday Estimates, October 7, 2011

Reel Steel easily beats up Clooney & Gosling, as expected. Dolphin Tale keeps on flipping with the best Friday hold in the Top 10. And in spite of the Blu-ray/DVD going on sale, people are still coming out to see the circle of life in The Lion King 3D. In limited release, IFC has an excrement-eating grin, as the very crappy Human Centipede 2 is making the most out of its notoriety.

Friday Analysis by David Poland can be found here

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Friday Estimates, September 30, 2011

Much like last weekend, Moneyball takes Friday, but had the two family movies right on its heels, almost guaranteed to pass the adult drama on Saturday and Sunday.

There are four newcomers to the market, none of which is looking very strong. Top of the group, for now, is Courageous, the born-again title, followed by the abandoned Dream House, the highly touted 50/50, and the broad (in every way) comedy, What’s Your Number? And 3 new arthouse movies did over $5k per screen on Friday.

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Friday Estimates: September 23, 2011

Brad Pitt launches on top of the weekend box office with strong reviews for Moneyball, but Klady’s estimates suggest that The Lion King 3D could come from behind for the weekend win. Suffering for the success of the Lion relaunch is WB’s Dolphin Tale, which opened to a respectable estimate of $5.1m. In 4th and 5th, two action movies that are also pulling off the same demographic at their own peril.

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Friday Estimates, September 16, 2011

Disney felt the love last night, as The Lion King returned with a strong opening day. The question amongst number crunchers will be whether this is being driven by the film’s first generation wanting to share the film with a new one or the 3D conversion. Also opening, 80′s retro Drive vs 70s retro Straw Dogs. And TWC will wonder why Sarah Jessica Parker didn’t do it.

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Friday Estimates, September 2, 2011

Sharks and Spaceships and Debt, OH MY! None of it can get close to The Help, which is showing remarkable legs for yet another week.

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Friday Estimates, August 26, 2011

In a weekend dominated by Hurricane Irene, The Help stays on top, newcomers Columbiana and Don’t Be Afraid If The Dark are in pursuit and Our Idiot Brother makes a modest appearance. In a damp marketplace, Sony Classics and Roadside Attractions delivering nice launches for Higher Ground and Circumstance, leaving people to wonder how much nicer they could have been.

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Friday Estimates, August 20, 2011

Yesterday, The Help pushed the rising Apes out of the top slot, with a pack of newcoming remakes/sequels fighting for $3m – $4m each on the day and Anne Hathaway in One Day doing One Eight. And who’s on top of the indie debuts? John Sayles. Everything old is new again.

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Friday Estimates, August 13, 2011

The Apes stay on top, as The Help come in second. But with $400k splitting them, that could change before the weekend ends. In third, the 5th Final Destination. And 30 Minutes does less.

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Friday Estimates, August 6, 2011

Rise of the Planet of the Apes|19.5|3648|NEW|19.5 The Smurfs|5.9|3395|-55%|61.1 Cowboys & Aliens|4.7|3754|-64%|56.3 The Change-Up|4.7|2913|NEW|4.7 Captain America; The First Avenger|3.7|3620|-52%|133.9 Crazy, Stupid Love|3.7|3020|-44%|33.8 Harry Potter & the Deadly Hollows, Part 2|3.4|3175|-49%|334 Friends with Benefits|1.4|2398|-55%|45.3 Horrible Bosses|1.3|2025|-40%|101.9 Transformers: Dark of the Moon|0.85|1854|-53%|342 Also Debuting|||| The Whistleblower|15,600|7|| Gun Hill Road|14,400|3|| Bellflower|9,300|2|| Magic Trip|4,600|4|| The Mysteries of Lisbon|3,000|2|| The…

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Friday Estimates, July 30, 2011

James Bond & Indiana Jones get Smurfed. And Not So Crazy. Decent. Gross.for the latest summer comedy.

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Friday Estimates, July 23, 2011

Captain America shows Marvelous muscle on Opening Day while Harry Potter drops like a sorcerer’s stone after its record-breaking run last weekend. Friends With Benefits opens reasonably well, but looks to Saturday Night to see whether it was a wise idea to be the fifth R-rated comedy of the summer.

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Friday Estimates, July 15, 2011

Harry Potter breaks the opening day record by about 25% while Transformers continues to hold pretty well against the onslaught. And Winnie The Pooh opens like its name.

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Our Players Coming Soon Box Office Prophets Box Office Guru EW Box Office . com
Marvel's The Avengers53.264.460.058.0n/a
Battleship34.041.642.037.0n/a
What to Expect When You're Expecting23.714.316.019.0n/a
The Dictator17.418.216.015.0n/a
Dark Shadows14.518.913.014.0n/a
Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
The Avengers 15.9 4249 -48% 417.3
Battleship 9.0 3690 NEW 9.0
The Dictator 5.7 3008 NEW 12.7
What to Expect When You're Expecting 3.8 3021 NEW 3.8
Dark Shadows 3.7 3755 -61% 41.9
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel 0.85 357 29% 5.8
The Hunger Games 0.8 2064 -32% 389.4
Think Like a Man 0.8 1722 -50% 84
The Lucky One 0.6 2005 -55% 55.7
Pirates! Band of Misfits 0.35 1840 -54% 24.3
Also Debuting
Crooked Arrows 0.11 55
Laurence Anyways 23,300 26
Department 19,300 57
Hysteria 10,400 5
Lovely Molly 9,200 5
Bill W. 7,900 9
Mansome 5,800 20
Polisse 4,900 3
American Animal 3,000 1
The Samaritan 2,600 8
Elena 2,550 1
Virginia 2,250 5
Indie Game: The Movie 2,000 1
Over My Dead Body 1,850 1
Toucher le ciel 1,400 5
Beyond the Black Rainbow 1,400 1
*in millions
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
The Hunger Games 153.6 (37,130) NEW 153.6
21 Jump Street 20.4 (6,550) -44% 70.2
Dr. Seuss' The Lorax 13.0 (3,540) -43% 177.3
John Carter 5.0 (1,570) -63% 62.4
Act of Valor 2.0 (910) -46% 65.9
A Thousand Words 1.9 (1,050) -40% 14.9
Project X 1.9 (920) -53% 51.7
Safe House 1.4 (1,020) -50% 122.5
Journey 2: The Mysterious Island 1.3 (1,000) -44% 97.1
Casa de mi Padre 1.0 (2,170) -55% 3.9
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