Friday Estimates
Friday Estimates — May 18, 2012
The Avengers continues to lead the pack as expected, leaving the board game adaptation, the pregnancy book adaptation, and Sacha Baron Cohen’s The Dictator to duke it out for the other top slots. Tim Burton-Johnny Depp franchise Dark Shadows slips 61% in the wake of mixed reviews, and The Hunger Games edges closer to $400 million. A full slate of indies also debuts, including Hysteria, Lovely Molly and Polisse.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: May 11, 2012
“The Avengers” continues to break domestic records and will hit $300m in 9 days, still pacing ahead of “The Dark Knight.” Meanwhile Team Burton/Depp/Bonham-Carter opens just about where they do when they aren’t digging into a mega-franchise from another medium. The number will be almost the same as “Sleepy Hollow” and significantly better than “Sweeney Todd” (or “Mars Attacks,” for that matter).
And “The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel”‘s expansion yielded a very similar Friday number to last year’s expansion of “Midnight in Paris.” It’s the next expansion—near 1000 screens—that will tell the bigger tale, but for now, Searchlight has to be very happy with last night’s results.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: May 4, 2012
“The Avengers” is out of the gate with with a Hulk-sized opening. Estimates put “The Avengers” at number two on the list of all-time opening days at the box office – behind “Harry Potter and The Deathly Hallows: Part II” and the first “Twilight” movie.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: April 20, 2012
Screen Gems reminds the industry why they are still the strongest niche distributor in the game. And WB has a strong launch of their entry into Screen Gems’ (formerly New Line’s) “Aren’t The Pretty… Who Will Die & Who Will Cry?” romance genre. And monkeys do the trick for Disney’s strongest DisneyNature launch.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: April 13, 2012
The Hunger Games leads again, this time with 3 stooges nipping at their heels. Joss Whedon’s long delayed Cabin In The Woods release arrives in a soft third place for a horror film Friday. And Guy Pearce is locked out of the money with a thriller that didn’t have the marketing budget to compete.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: April 6, 2012
The Hunger Games is slowing down in its third weekend… to only 25% better than anything else in the market. An odd way to spend Good Friday or Erev Passover would be raunching it up with American Reunion, what we suspect will be the first reunion, though perhaps the last with frontal nudity involving the original cast. And Titanic 3D is cruising, though the real box office story there will be written internationally.
Read the full article »Friday Box Office Estimates: March 30, 2013
“The Hunger Games” is still eating everything in sight, tracking slightly ahead of the best of the “Twilight” numbers, meaning that $300m domestic is still in view. “The Titans” were willing to go up against Katniss’ wrath, but paid a price with less than half the first remake’s opening day numbers. And “Mirror Mirror” fits nicely on Relativity’s wall of mediocre launches.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: March 23, 2012
No one’s going hungry at Lionsgate this month, as Katniss & Co take “go big or go home” to the extreme. The $66.3m is the biggest opening day of a non-sequel in history and #5 all-time without qualifiers, almost doubling the opening day of the first Twilight.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: March 16, 2012
21 Jump Street |13 |3121 |NEW |13 Dr. Seuss’ The Lorax |6.7 |3769 |-30% |143.3 John Carter |3.8 |3749 |-61% |43.5 Project X |1.5 |2922 |-63% |45.6 Act of Valor |1.1 |2765 |-44% |59.8 A Thousand Words |1.1 |1895 |-43% |9.4 Safe House |0.8 |1920 |-41% |118.3 Casa de mi Padre |0.75 |382 |NEW |0.75…
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: March 10, 2012
It’s a decent opening for John Carter, but Disney needed more than decent for this one. Silent House’s open isn’t very exciting… but should be profitable for this very inexpensive pick-up from Sundance 2011. And the long waiting to be dumped Eddie Murphy bomb, A Thousand Words, fulfills its destiny.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: March 2, 2012
Universal’s The Lorax lands, threatening to open bigger than U’s previous top-animated opener, Despicable Me. Project X targets $20m+ for the weekend. And The Artist adds 800 screens for am 87% increase and almost a million dollar Friday.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: February 18, 2012
The Vow continues to hold the lead, keeping the return of Ghost Rider in the 2 spot. And Safe House, in #3, holds off This Is War.
In holdovers, The Woman in Black has become CBS Films’ highest domestic grosser. And Star Wars: Episode 1′s 3D re-release has to be seen as a bit of a bust.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: February 10, 2012
It looks like a trio of $20m+ openings, two of which are looking at $30m+. The newcomers balance between four demographics, though the Star Wars 3D re-release is likely siphoning ticket sales from two of the other new films. This will be the second time in movie history with five $20m+ openings in February with Ghost Rider 2 due next weekend to, perhaps, set a new Feb record with six $20m+ openings.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: February 4, 2012
Two studios had strong starts with genre product, The Grey has a solid Friday-to-Friday hold, and saving sea creatures is no big miracle on this day.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates, January 27, 2012
Open Road’s first big opening comes with The Grey, which should be in the top 5 of all indie openings for the last year. Meanwhile, Lionsgate returns to HeiglLand, not breaking any records, but continuing to make an argument that Ms. Heigl can consistently open movies to 8 figures. And SummitGate’s Man On A Ledge fell off.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: January 13, 2012
Three newcomers on top of the chart this weekend… kind of. Contraband, a remake, is on top. The 3D re-release of Beauty & The Beast is #2. And Joyful Noise, which brings back Dolly Parton’s breasts and what’s left of her old face, is #3. The Devil Inside drops almost as hard as Paramount hitting its knees in thanks for last Friday’s number.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: January 6, 2012
The only new wide release was The Devil Inside, which turned out to be another remarkable opening for another faux-und footage movie by Paramount. The Top 4 Holdovers fell in the 40s. And the expansion of Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy is looking at around $6k per screen on 809… pretty good.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: Dec 30, 2011
Cruise’s newest mission continues to lead the pack, probably passing the earlier-released Sherlock Holmes: Let’s Not Call It “2″ today or tomorrow. Steven Spielberg’s two films are running side by side on the chart, as are the Zoo and the Tattoo.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: December 23, 2011
The last time there was a Christmas on a Sunday was 2005 and yesterday’s numbers are an improvement on the Friday numbers from that year. However, there is a lot of high-profile new product in the market this weekend than there was that year. Comparisons to last year’s Friday before Christmas – Christmas Eve – are futile as well.
Read the full article »Friday Estimates: December 16, 2011
Sherlock & The Chipmunks lead the way, though neither is quite living up to its previous outing so far. And the all-IMAX Mission: Impossible is doing very strong numbers on 425 IMAX screens.
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