BEST PICTURE
Rk	LW	Picture - Studio	Comments
1	2	Brokeback Mountain - Focus Features	Even in front alphabetically
2	1	Crash - Lions Gate	Could still pull the upset... but the mountain is large
3	5	Capote - Sony Pictures Classics
4	3	Munich - Universal
5	4	Good Night, & Good Luck - WIP

BEST DIRECTOR
Rk	LW	Director - Film	Comment
1	1	Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain	Not winning would be a shock
2	2	Paul Haggis - Crash
3	3	Steven Spielberg - Munich
4	4	George Clooney - Good Night, And Good Luck
5	5	Bennett Miller - Capote

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Rk	LW	Writer(s) - Film	Comment
1	1	Crash - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco	No one else needs to show
2	2	Good Night. And, Good Luck - George Clooney, Grant Heslov
3	3	The Squid & The Whale - Noah Baumbach
4	4	Match Point - Woody Allen
5	5	Syriana - Stephen Gaghan

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Rk	LW	Writer(s) - Film	Comment
1	1	Brokeback Mountain - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana	Will Larry talk?
2	2	Capote - Dan Futterman
3	3	Munich - Tony Kushner, Eric Roth
4	4	The Constant Gardener - Jeffrey Caine
5	5	A History Of Violence - Josh Olson

BEST ACTRESS
Rk	LW	Actress - Film	Comment
1	1	Reese Witherspoon - Walk The Line	No real reason to vote against her... except her unavailability
2	2	Felicity Huffman - Transamerica	The kind of role that Harvey would have powered to a win... a few years ago
3	3	Judi Dench - Mrs. Henderson Presents
4	4	Charlize Theron - North Country
5	5	Keira Knightly - Pride & Prejudice

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Rk	LW	Actress - Film	Comment
1	1	Rachel Weisz - The Constant Gardener	Likely, but not a lock
2	2	Michelle Williams - Brokeback Mountain	Would be swept in if BBM swept, but sweeping this year looks like 4 or 5 wins
3	3	Catherine Keener - Capote	Not likely, but could shock if the other two split
4	4	Amy Adams - Junebug
5	5	Frances McDormand - North Country

BEST ACTOR
Rk	LW	Actor - Film	Comment
1	1	Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote	Would be the biggest shock of the night if he didn't win
2	4	Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain
3	2	Joaquin Phoenix - Walk The Line
4	3	Terrence Howard - Hustle & Flow
5	5	David Strathairn - Good Night. And, Good Luck

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Rk	LW	Actor - Film	Comment
1	1	Matt Dillon - Crash	Just a feeling... without a big passion choice, the movie stirring passions
2	2	George Clooney - Syriana	A lead role in a great year for George
3	3	Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man	More nods to come... stars could align... but probably not
4	4	Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain
5	5	William Hurt - A History of Violence

 

,, Charts - Last Week Picture .. | ..Director.. | ..Actor.. | ..Actress.. | ..Screenplay ,,

February 23 , 2006

- David Poland