Gary Dretzka
Leonard
Klady
David Poland
Ray Pride
xxActor/Supporting
ActorXXActress/Supporting
Actress
xScreenplay/Adapted
Screenplay
The Aviator - Miramax
The movie to beat... rumors of delay to 2005 are spin... can only lose to its own problems Closer - Columbia Sophisticated, sexy take on where we are... could be too smart to win, smart enough to get nod Fahrenheit 9/11 - Lions Gate Bush has to lose for this to happen... but if he does, watch out! Hollywood loves to congratulate itself. Ray - Universal Great story, great music and apparently, a great performance by Jamie "Breakin' All The Rules" Foxx The Motorcycle Diaries - Focus Features Foreign language films have a hard road to a nomination, but this one could hit just right X Alexander - Warner Bros. If a historic epic is going to work in America this year, this is it Finding Neverland - Miramax A lovely movie that critics will push, but too small to keep its legs Kinsey - Fox Searchlight It's sex, but it's studious... Toronto will tell the tale The Manchurian Candidate - Paramount A very good movie... but good enough to last into January? Others have to fall by the wayside. Out To Sea - New Line
They say this new Amenabar is truly brilliant The Passion Of The Christ - Newmarket
Don't bet too big against it. Academy may be over 40% non-Jewish...and 10% to 15% is enough for a nod. The Phantom Of The Opera - WB Another bad early buzz film, but if the buzz if wrong, the film is perfect for Oscar Spanglish - Columbia Early buzz was bad, but the studio is warming to the film in a hurry A Very Long Engagement - Warner Indie From the maker of Amelie, starring Amelie herself... the last one got buried, though many of us love that film The Life Aquatic Working on its second cut now... but even if brilliant, is Oscar ready for Wes Anderson Collateral
Strong, very dark movie... not Oscar's style Shrek 2 Will probably be #1 at the box office for the year... but will have to duke it out with The Incredibles for the animated Oscar The Door In The Floor Big heart... too small to hold Eternal Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind
Almost impossible to overcome weak box office performance without a successful re-release I Heart Huckabee's David O. Russell is an artist, but art rarely makes the cut Sideways Alexander Payne & Jim Taylor might touch greatness, but the cast is not Oscar bait Millions 2 young lads have a week to spend millions Beyond The Sea Kevin Spacey in a lot of make-up... yipes. De-Lovely Witty & charming, but a tough niche to scratch Proof The Christmas release date is not encouraging... looks like an actor's movie An Unfinished Life Finished, but in the can for a year The Notebook Holding well, especially with Academy types... still, acting slots are only real chance The Upside Of Anger How good is this film? Will it take the wind out of Closer's sails? We'll soon see. Alfie Could be Jude Law's What Women Want... but Oscar? Lemony Snicket's A Series Of Unfortunate Events Big money, big money, big money... The Weatherman In Her Shoes Fox's only real contender may not even be ready this year... but if it is, Curtis Hanson and Cameron Diaz stepping up... could be really interesting Stay Marc Forster directs a David Benioff script starring Naomi Watts, Ewan McGregor and Ryan Gosling... but scheduled for 2005 and a 2004 campaign would conflict with other films involving all of these people Bad Education Almodovar is beloved... but is a pervy priest story going to embraced on Oscar night? House Of Flying Daggers Some say it is the next step from Crouching Tiger Bridget Jones: Edge Of Reason It's a comedy, but many think the first film could have done better on Oscar noms Synergy Paul Weitz gets over his brotherly seperation anxiety... might be more commercial than anything The Polar Express Hard to read... could be a real dark horse Around The Bend Family drama starring Caine and Walken, two of the busiest men in show business We Don't Live Here Anymore
Watts, Ruffalo... looks more IFP Last Week's Charts
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xScreenplay/Adapted ScreenplayAugust 4 , 2004
