MCN Weekend











..Gary Dretzka
..Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

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February 28, 2010
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share



Still Crazies (After All These Years)

The tremor continued in the marketplace as Shutter Island prevailed over two incoming missiles with an estimated $22.3 million weekend. Still the freshmen entries were close behind with buddy flics in Cop Out entering (but not breaking) the scene with $18.4 million and the redo of the 1972 apocalyptic thriller The Crazies wigging out with $16.1 million.

Limited and exclusive openers were highlighted by strong openings for France’s Oscar-nominated The Prophet with a gross of $121,000 at seven cells and the documentary The Art of the Steal generating $40,300 from three galleries. Teen Patti on the Bollywood circuit had a disappointing $47,500 at 50 venues and American indies Formosa Betrayed and The Yellow Handkerchief dabbed no better than passable initial box office.

Overall business experienced an upturn from last year while dipping behind last weekend’s revenues.

Tracking was pretty much on target for both freshmen entrees entering the weekend. No one expected Cop Out to exceed $20 million while The Crazies performed right into the anticipated $15 million to $17 million range that’s virtually pro forma for the genre and sensibility it inhabits. The two films definitely gave off the whiff of the fungible for any young male looking for an Olympic diversion. The marketplace could definitely do with a little bit more on the distaff side.

Ticket sales pushed to roughly $117 million that translated into a 12% decline from seven days past. It was however 9% improved from 12 months back when the second weekend of Medea Goes to Jail trumped The Jonas Brothers 3D Concert Experience with respective weekends of $16.2 million and $12.5 million. Show spot with $12 million went to Slumdog Millionaire in the seconds leading up to its Oscar glory.

This year’s contenders aren’t expected to receive any sort of domestic theatrical boosts regardless of their statuette outcome. Avatar has been holding beyond belief from day one and its future now has less to do with awards than the loss of stereoscopic screens as Alice in Wonderland usurps those playdates next weekend. The Hurt Locker continues to do token business on 100 plus screens and the likes of The Blind SideUp in the Air and An Education continue to experience modest weekly declines as the big day counts down from seven.

By dint of the process of elimination the ironic Oscar beneficiary remains Crazy Heart, a likely winner for actor and song. Still one suspects its larder could have been fattened with more attention accorded the film’s myriad qualities rather than its almost exclusive attention to music and performance. It ought to have been in the discussion for direction, screenplay and picture.

-by Leonard Klady

Weekend Estimates: February 26-28, 2010

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
Shutter Island
Par
22.3 (7,440)
-46%
3003
75.2
Cop Out
WB
18.4 (5,850)
New
3150
18.4
The Crazies
Overture
16.1 (6,490)
New
2476
16.1
Avatar
Fox
13.8 (5,630)
-15%
2456
706.7
Percy Jackson & the Olympians
Fox
9.8 (2,980)
-36%
3302
71.2
Valentine's Day
WB
9.3 (2,600)
-44%
3578
100.2
Dear John
Sony
4.7 (1,570)
-34%
3006
72.3
The Wolfman
Uni
4.1 (1,340)
-59%
3043
57.2
The Tooth Fairy
Fox
3.5 (1,540)
-20%
2249
53.9
Crazy Heart
Fox Searchlight
2.5 (2,160)
-16%
1148
25
The Blind Side
WB
1.3 (1,330)
-13%
945
248.8
Book of Eli
WB
1.1 (1,140)
-41%
975
92.5
From Paris with Love
Lionsgate
1.0 (800)
-61%
1278
23.3
When in Rome
BV
1.0 (1,100)
-41%
930
30.9
Edge of Darkness
WB
1.0 (820)
-54%
1225
42.2
The Last Station
Sony Classics
.92 (2,620)
65%
351
3.3
Up in the Air
Par
.84 (1,430)
-20%
586
82.1
The Ghost Writer
Summit
.83 (19,300)
353%
43
1.1
Alvin & the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel
Fox
.78 (1,100)
-17%
707
216.6
Sherlock Holmes
WB
.61 (1,320)
-28%
462
206.4
It's Complicated
Uni
.52 (1,120)
-26%
462
111.5
The Princess and the Frog
BV
.43 (1,120)
-20%
385
103.2
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
-
$114.40
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
-
9%
-
-
-
% Change (Last Week)
-
-12%

-
-
-
Also debuting/expanding
An Education
Sony Classics
.31 (1,540)
-12%
203
11.5
A Single Man
Weinstein Co.
.29 (1,200)
-14%
242
8
The Hurt Locker
Summit
.17 (1,580)
-3%
107
14.1
The White Ribbon
Sony Classics
.13 (1,730)
-25%
77
1.5
A Prophet
Sony Classics
.12 (17,310)
New
7
0.12
Ajami
Kino
68,400 (4,280)
-7%
16
0.25
Formosa Betrayed
Screen Media
67,200 (4,480)
New
15
0.07
Teen Patti
Viva
47,500 (950)
New
50
0.05
The Art of the Steal
IFC
40,300 (13,430)
New
3
0.04
The Yellow Handkerchief
IDP
39,600 (5,660)
New
7
0.04
La Derniere fugue
Seville
24,100 (2,190)
New
11
0.02
Prodigal Sons
First Look
6,250 (6,250)
New
1
0.01

 

Domestic Market Share: January 1 - February 25, 2010

Distributor (releases)
Gross
Market Share
Fox (5)
618
36.20%
Warner Bros. (9)
391.3
22.90%
Universal (5)
150.9
8.80%
Paramount (4)
143.7
8.40%
Sony (10)
120.4
7.10%
Lionsgate (5)
83.6
4.90%
Buena Vista (4)
59.6
3.50%
Weinstein Co. (4)
32.9
1.90%
Fox Searchlight (2)
25.4
1.50%
Sony Classics (6)
16.1
0.90%
Summit (4)
12.7
0.70%
CBS Films (1)
12.3
0.70%
Apparition (2)
9.5
0.60%
Other * (65)
32.8
1.90%
-
1709.2
100.00%




 

 


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