..Gary Dretzka
..Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

October 11, 2009
October 4, 2009
September 27, 2009
September 20, 2009
September 13, 2009
September 6, 2009
August 30, 2009
August 23, 2009
August 16, 2009
August 9, 2009
August 2, 2009
July 26, 2009
July 19, 2009
July 12, 2009
July 5, 2009
June 28, 2009
June 21, 2009
June 14 , 2009
June 7, 2009
May 31, 2009
May 24, 2009
May 17, 2009
May 10, 2009
May 3, 2009
April 26, 2009
April 19, 2009
April 12 , 2009
April 5 , 2009
March 29, 2009
March 22, 2009
March 15, 2009
March 8, 2009
March 1, 2009
February 22, 2009
February 15, 2009
February 8, 2009
February 1, 2009
January 25, 2009
January 18, 2009
January 11, 2009
January 4, 2009
December 29, 2008
December 21, 2008
December 14, 2008
December 7, 2008
November 30, 2008
November 23, 2008
November 16, 2008
November 9, 2008
November 2, 2008
October 26, 2008
October 19, 2008
October 12, 2008
October 5 , 2008
September 28, 2008
September 20, 2008
September 11, 2008
September 7, 2008
September 1, 2008
August 24, 2008
August 17, 2008
August 10, 2008
August 3, 2008
July 27, 2008
July 20, 2008
July 13, 2008
July 6, 2008
June 29, 2008
June 22, 2008
June 15, 2008
June 8, 2008
June 1, 2008
May 26, 2008
May 18, 2008
May 11, 2008
May 4, 2008
April 27, 2008
April 20, 2008
April 13, 2008
April 6, 2008
March 30, 2008
March 23, 2008
March 16, 2008
March 9, 2008
March 2, 2008
Feb 24, 2008
Feb 18, 2008
Feb 10, 2008
Feb 3, 2008
Jan 27, 2008
Jan 21, 2008




November 15, 2009
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share


Not with a Whimper ... but a Bang!

Critics were derisive of 2012 but the new age apocalyptic disaster saga was warmly embraced by the public to an estimated debut of $63.7 million. The competition largely steered clear of the cinematic tsunami though the oft-delayed rock valentine Pirate Radio went limited wide to OK returns of $2.9 million.

The frame also saw a near capacity response to the stop-motion romp The Fantastic Mr. Fox of $253,000 from four venues and continuing potency for Precious as it expanded from 18 to 174 theaters. A couple of American independents dramas bowed to encouraging box office in exclusive release. The critically lauded war-related The Messenger posted an $11,350 average in four situations while Uncertainty grossed $14,100 from a Manhattan solo. Also good in a single exposure was the non-fiction An End to Poverty? With $10,600 while a pair of new Bollywood entries turned in dull response.

Overall the session experienced a nice bump from last weekend but saw another decline from the 2008 playbook.

Reviewers likened the combination of special effects and melodrama in 2012 to the work of bygone genre specialist Irwin Allen. Pundits were cautiously optimistic about the picture’s commercial prospects with a few expecting the worst … commercially. But the slightly retro tilt proved to be an audience magnet with opening day sweeping in with roughly $23.5 million.

However, if domestic was boffo, international was multi bene with initial estimates of $160 million from 105 countries (Japan was the only major territory not in the first vanguard). The film ranked among the biggest international debuts of all time with such heady grosses as $17.5 million in France, $15.3 in Russia and $12.3 million in Mainland China.

Pirate Radio (aka The Boat That Rocked) -- inspired by the likes of illegal off-shore floating broadcaster Radio Caroline from the 1960s --  has been treated like a hot potato since its debut in Europe in May. It’s Brit-centricness saw it bounce from Universal to Focus and its opening was incrementally delayed from an initial August launch. Some expected a more potent opener but insider expectations were pretty much on target.

The frame generated revenues just shy of $140 million for an upturn of 14% from seven days earlier. However, it was 6% off the 2008 pace when Quantum of Solace debuted to $67.5 million and the second weekend of Madagascar 2 added $35 million.

The second weekend of A Christmas Carol held up well with a 25% erosion while the rest of the national holdovers saw slippage generally ranging from one-third to one-half.

The Fantastic Mr. Fox put its paw in the water and found the temperate quite soothing. Its $63,350 average from four screens bodes well for its expansion in 10-days cued to the Thanksgiving holiday. Though it’s hardly been an uninterrupted strong of hits for recent platform releases, the success of everything from Paranormal Activity to Precious is likely to see more such strategies; especially during what have become non-traditional periods in the release calendar. Everything old is definitely new again.

by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates: November 13-15, 2009

Title
Distributor
Gross (avg)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
2012
Sony
63.7 (18,720)
New
3404
63.7
A Christmas Carol
BV
22.2 (6,040)
-26%
3683
63.2
Precious
Lionsgate
6.1 (35,170)
222%
174
8.9
The Men Who Stare at Goats
Overture
6.0 (2,460)
-52%
2453
23.2
This is It
Sony
5.0 (1,640)
-62%
3037
67.1
The Fouth Kind
Uni
4.7 (1,850)
-62%
2530
20.5
Couples Retreat
Uni
4.2 (1,680)
-31%
2509
102.1
Paranormal Activity
Par
4.1 (1,520)
-50%
2712
103.8
Law Abiding Citizen
Overture
3.9 (1,870)
-36%
2071
67.2
The Box
WB
3.2 (1,200)
-58%
2635
13.2
Pirate Radio
Focus
2.9 (3,250)
882
2.9
Where the Wild Things Are
WB
2.3 (1,110)
-44%
2090
73.3
Astro Boy
Summit
1.6 (1,200)
-38%
1354
17.9
The Boondock Saints II
Apparition
1.1 (4,520)
152%
239
2.5
Amelia
Fox Searchlight
.91 (1,100)
-50%
830
13.1
The Stepfather
Sony
.89 (1,040)
-51%
858
28.8
An Education
Sony Classics
.68 (5,190)
15%
131
3.2
A Serious Man
Focus
.62 (2,580)
-28%
240
6.8
Zombieland
Sony
.47 (980)
-64%
482
74.5
Saw VI
Lionsgate
.45 (580)
-78%
777

27.4

Coco Before Chanel
Alliance/Sony Class
.37 (1,530)
-32%
242
4.8
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
-
$134.10
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
-
-6%
-
-
-
% Change (Last Week)
-
14%
-
-
-

Also debuting/expanding

The Fantastic Mr. Fox
Fox
.25 (63,350)
New
4
0.25
Heer Ranjha
Eros
72,300 (3,620)
New
20
0.07
AntiChrist
IFC
49,200 (2,340)
29%
21
0.31
The Messenger
Oscilloscope
45,400 (11,350)
4
0.05
(Untitled)
IDP
36,300 (1,730)
-38%
21
0.17
Love & Savagery
Mongrel
18,500 (4,620)
New
4
0.02
Tum Mile
Viva
14,300 (890)
New
16
0.01
Uncertainty
IFC
14,100 (14,100)
New
1
0.01
Women in Trouble
Screen Media
13,400 (4,470)
3
0.01
Dare
Image Ent.
12,600 (6,300)
2
0.01
The End of Poverty?
Cinema Libre
10,600 (10,600)
1
0.01
Four Seasons Lodge
First Run
8,700 (8,700)
1
0.01
Disturbing the Universe
Arthouse
6,800 (3,400)
2
0.01
Love Hurts
Lantern Lane
4,600 (2,300)
2
0.01

 

Domestic Market Share: To November 12, 2009

Distributor (releases)
Gross
Mrkt Share
Warner Bros. (30)
1723.1
19.50%
Paramount (14)
1435.7
16.20%
Sony (20)
1209.7
13.70%
Buena Vista (20)
1013.3
11.50%
Fox (15)
964.7
10.90%
Universal (20)
830.3
9.40%
Lionsgate (13)
340.7
3.90%
Fox Searchlight (12)
260.7
3.00%
Summit (10)
194.3
2.20%
Weinstein Co. (8)
187.8
2.10%
Focus (9)
150.6
1.70%
Overture (8)
133.4
1.50%
Paramount Vantage (4)
67.6
0.80%
MGM (4)
64.7
0.70%
Miramax (7)
53.1
0.60%
Other * (290)
205.3
2.30%
* none greater than 0.4%
8835
100.00%


Top Domestic Grossers - January 1 - November 12, 2009

Title
Distributor (releases)
Gross (millions)
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
Par
402,195,608
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
WB
301,747,148
Up
BV
293,107,040
The Hangover
WB
276,989,482
Star Trek
Par
257,807,784
Monsters vs. Aliens
Par
198,377,900
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
Fox
196,472,300
X-Men Origins: Wolverine
Fox
179,883,157
Night at the Museum 2
Fox
177,245,443
The Proposal
BV
163,958,031
Fast & Furious
Uni
155,239,768
G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra
Par
150,290,230
Paul Blart: Mall Cop
Sony
146,777,505
Taken
Fox
145,000,989
Gran Torino *
WB
142,251,852
Angels & Demons
Sony
133,859,408
Terminator Salvation
WB
125,322,459
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs
Sony
121,729,787
Inglourious Basterds
Weinstein Co.
120,002,132
Slumdog Millionaire *
Fox Searchlight
119,092,566
* does not include 2008 box office



 




 

 


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