..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

August 23, 2009
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June 14 , 2009
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February 1, 2009
January 25, 2009
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October 26, 2008
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October 5 , 2008
September 28, 2008
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September 1, 2008
August 24, 2008
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July 27, 2008
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July 6, 2008
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June 15, 2008
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May 26, 2008
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April 27, 2008
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April 6, 2008
March 30, 2008
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March 16, 2008
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March 2, 2008
Feb 24, 2008
Feb 18, 2008
Feb 10, 2008
Feb 3, 2008
Jan 27, 2008
Jan 21, 2008




August 23, 2009
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share


Natzi Schmooks

The alphabetically/historically challenged Inglourious Basterds quashed the Hun with an estimated $38.4 million to lead weekend movie going. The session's other wide and limited releases were grappling with considerably more downbeat returns. The family targeted Shorts was sixth in the lineup with $6.5 million and the youthful romance Post Grad just tagged position 10 on a $2.7 million gross. And even with its 3D inducement X Games: The Movie trailed with $780,000.

Best of the limited and exclusives was the rom-com My One and Only with just shy of $50,000 at four venues and there were OK results for a spectrum of pictures from the non-fiction Art & Copy to Oscar-nominated political thriller The Baader-Meinhof Complex. The Latino audience however failed to respond to Casi Divas with its $25,700 opening at 22 haciendas.

Overall business clocked in at roughly $128 million for an 11% abatement from last weekend but a sizeable boost from end of summer 2008.

Considerable attention was focused on Basterds in light of on-going financial woes at the Weinstein Co. as well as a mixed bag of critical blowback from its Cannes premiere. Rumors of a significant re-edit swirled but the film's theatrical version turned out to be no more than tweaking. It was expected to do about $30 million opening weekend and obviously topped expectations domestically and added an estimated $28 million in its first international exposures.

Based on its opening strength and mid-week business some felt last week's chart topper District 9 might weigh in with just a 33% decline and provide Basterds with a weekend photo finish. But the film fell by a more predictable 51% along with other sophomore titles including The Time Traveler's Wife and The Goods.

Late August has historically been a favorite dumping ground for the majors and it would be hard to argue that Shorts, Post Grad and X Games's positioning didn't have a slathering of "let's get a little bit of summer playtime and defray our losses." The latter sentiment is about as upbeat as the exercise gets.

Weekend sales expanded 23% from last year when debuts of The House Bunny (a surprisingly commercially resilient movie) and Death Race opened respectively to $14.5 million and $12.6 million but Tropic Thunder's 2nd weekend generated $16.3 million.

As Labor Day looms the commercial salve may rightly be that summer appears to have held onto its audience. In these trying economic times it's a bit presumptuous to be holding out for buoyant expansion.

by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates: August 21-23, 2009

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
Inglourious Basterds
Weinstein Co.
38.4 (12,120)
-
3165
38.4
District 9
Sony
18.1 (5,940)
-51%
3050
72.7
G.I. Joe: Rise of Cobra
Par
12.0 (3,030)
-46%
3953
120
The Time Traveler's Wife
WB
9.9 (3,300)
-47%
2988
37.3
Julie & Julia
Sony
8.7 (3,710)
-28%
2354
59
Shorts
WB
6.5 (2,110)
-
3105
6.5
G-Force
BV
4.2 (1,650)
-39%
2561
107.3
Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince
WB
3.6 (1,860)
-30%
1936
290.4
The Ugly Truth
Sony
2.7 (1,350)
-40%
1971
82.7
Post Grad
Fox Searchlight
2.7 (1,390)
-
1958
2.7
The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard
Par Vantage
2.6 (1,390)
-54%
1849
11.1
Ponyo
BV
2.4 (2,620)
-32%
927
8.1
(500) Days of Summer
Fox Searchlight
2.3 (2,370)
-21%
988
22.1
The Hangover
WB
1.5 (1,750)
-26%
848
268.3
A Perfect Getaway
Uni/Alliance
1.1 (820)
-62%
1322
14.2
Funny People
Uni
.91 (980)
-70%
932
50.5
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
Par
.89 (1,200)
-45%
740
398.4
Bandslam
Summit
.83 (390)
-63%
2121
4.4
The Proposal
BV
.80 (1,250)
-39%
642
159.2
X Games 3D
BV
.78 (560)
-
1399
0.78
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
Fox
.76 (1,460)
-40%
559
192.4
Orphan
WB
.75 (1,140)
-52%
655
39.9
Aliens in the Attic
Fox
.68 (820)
-53%
830
22.2
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
-
$123.10
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
-
23%
-
-
-
% Change (Last Week)
-
-11%
-
-
-
Also debuting/expanding
The Hurt Locker
Summit
.37 (980)
-42%
379
11.1
Adam
Searchlight
.24 (2,550)
20%
95
0.88
In the Loop
IFC
.22 (2,470)
-1%
88
1.6
Paper Heart
Overture
.13 (1,850)
-27%
68
0.76
Cold Souls
IDP
.12 (2,340)
13%
53
0.33
My One and Only
FreeStyle
49,800 (12,450)
-
4
0.05
Casi Divas
Maya
25,700 (1,170)
-
22
0.03
Art & Copy
7th Art
18,100 (6,030)
-
3
0.02
Baader-Meinhof Complex
Vitagraph
16,300 (8,150)
-
2
0.02
The Headless Woman
Strand
14,300 (14,300)
-
1
0.01
Five Minutes of Heaven
IFC
4,920 (4,920)
-
1
0.01
World's Greatest Dad
Magnolia
4,200 (4,200)
-
1
0.01
The Marc Pease Experience
Par Vantage
2,810 (280)
-
10
0.01

 

Domestic Market Share: To August 13, 2009

Distributor (releases)
Gross
Mrkt Share
Warner Bros. (23)
1389.1
20.40%
Paramount (13)
1252.4
18.40%
Fox (13)
899.4
13.20%
Buena Vista (13)
846.7
12.40%
Sony (15)
728.4
10.70%
Universal (16)
665.5
9.70%
Lions Gate (7)
237.4
3.50%
Fox Searchlight (8)
209.7
3.10%
Summit (7)
157.2
2.30%
Focus (6)
105.1
1.50%
Paramount Vantage (2)
52.4
0.80%
MGM (3)
42.3
0.60%
Miramax (5)
41.3
0.60%
Weinstein Co. (6)
34.5
0.50%
Other * (194)
154.6
2.30%
* none greater than 0.4%
6816
100.00%


 




 

 


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