..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

May 17, 2009
May 10, 2009
May 3, 2009
April 26, 2009
April 19, 2009
April 12 , 2009
April 5 , 2009
March 29, 2009
March 22, 2009
March 15, 2009
March 8, 2009
March 1, 2009
February 22, 2009
February 15, 2009
February 8, 2009
February 1, 2009
January 25, 2009
January 18, 2009
January 11, 2009
January 4, 2009
December 29, 2008
December 21, 2008
December 14, 2008
December 7, 2008
November 30, 2008
November 23, 2008
November 16, 2008
November 9, 2008
November 2, 2008
October 26, 2008
October 19, 2008
October 12, 2008
October 5 , 2008
September 28, 2008
September 20, 2008
September 11, 2008
September 7, 2008
September 1, 2008
August 24, 2008
August 17, 2008
August 10, 2008
August 3, 2008
July 27, 2008
July 20, 2008
July 13, 2008
July 6, 2008
June 29, 2008
June 22, 2008
June 15, 2008
June 8, 2008
June 1, 2008
May 26, 2008
May 18, 2008
May 11, 2008
May 4, 2008
April 27, 2008
April 20, 2008
April 13, 2008
April 6, 2008
March 30, 2008
March 23, 2008
March 16, 2008
March 9, 2008
March 2, 2008
Feb 24, 2008
Feb 18, 2008
Feb 10, 2008
Feb 3, 2008
Jan 27, 2008
Jan 21, 2008




June 7, 2009
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share

Land of the Loss

Belmont be damned … it was a photo-finish at the weekend box office with initial estimates giving the animated adventure Up a slight edge on the debut of the gonzo comedy The Hangover. First blush pegs Up with $44.5 million for a $200k lead on the new "boys' night out" misadventure.

The weekend’s other major release, the reinvention of TV’s Land of the Lost, sputtered to a disappointing $19.3 million to rank third overall. And the wide release of My Life in Ruins was just fair with a $3.2 million gross.

Limited openers saw a fast start for Away We Go of $141,000 from four venues and an OK $30,200 from five sites for France’s Cesar-winning period drama Seraphine. Most exclusives had promising initial starts though the 14-screen launch of the American indie Tennessee was an immediate commercial casualty.

Ticket sales were flat from seven days earlier but took a backslide from the 2008 frame with some in the industry fearing that the current season might be precariously front loaded.

The zeitgeist was ideal for The Hangover, a raucous yarn about a bachelor stag in Vegas that goes seriously off track. Studio expectations for the niche R-rated comedy were buoyant based upon its high concept and the potency of past seasonal fare including The Wedding Crashers. High-end projections of $25 million seemed reasonable but interest began to spike early last week. The question remains whether it can sustain or turns out to be a fast burner like the majority of summer 2009’s slate to date.

The flip-flop can be ascribed to Land of the Lost, a comedic spin on the cult Saturday morning series from two decades back. Laced with spectacular special effects and the marquee power of Will Ferrell, it was perceived as the weekend leader but lost steam as opening day approached. Still there was enough hope in tracking for projections of $25 million to $30 million that failed to coalesce.

Clearly envisioned as a seasonal alternative, My Life in Ruins has a long way to go to replicate star Nia Vardalos’s Greek Wedding. The latter film certainly earned its box office through tenacity; building and expanding on word-of-mouth and stealth marketing. The new film appears to have stepped out too fast and wide and requires some immediate readjustment to tilt toward the positive side of sleeper status.

Weekend ticket sales translated into revenues of roughly $167 million, a virtual carbon copy result from seven days prior. It was however 6% less than the 2009 tally when debuts of Kung Fu Panda and You Don’t Mess with the Zohan led with respective bows of $60.2 million and $38.5 million.

On the holdover front, Up displayed uncharacteristic stamina among this year’s high profile movies in their sophomore outings. Star Trek remains the sturdiest of the summer releases on the domestic front but the international juggernaut for Angels & Demons cannot be matched, with that film way in front as a global grosser as it exceeded a $400 million cume this past weekend.

American films are dominating overseas as local product is largely steering clear of head-to-head competition. One exception is Sweden’s Millenium (aka Girl with the Dragon Tattoo), which has become a major hit with forays into France, Italy and Spain in the past month. It opened in Quebec last weekend but has yet to secure a U.S. distributor.

Though Away We Go displayed exactly the sort of first-gear energy one needs for expansion, alternative audiences have largely favored imports this summer. Among those maintaining their niche toe-hold are Easy Virtue and Is Anybody There? (UK), Summer Hours (France) and Departures (Japan).

 

- Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - June 5-7, 2009

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
Up
BV
44.5 (11,660)
-35%
3818
137.6
The Hangover
WB
44.3 (13,260)
-
3269
44.3
Land of the Lost
Uni
19.3 (5,490)
-
3521
19.3
Night at the Museum 2
Fox
14.5 (3,800)
-41%
3807
127.2
Star Trek
Par
8.3 (2,590)
-34%
3202
222.7
Terminator Salvation
WB
8.2 (2,470)
-50%
3304
105.5
Drag Me to Hell
Uni
7.2 (2,880)
-54%
2510
28.4
Angels and Demons
Sony
6.5 (2,240)
-42%
2925
116.2
My Life in Ruins
Fox Searchlight
3.2 (2,720)
-
1164
3.2
Dance Flick
Par
1.9 (1,130)
-59%
1707
22.6
X-Men Origins: Wolverine
Fox
1.9 (1,350)
-52%
1391
174.3
Ghosts of Girlfriends Past
WB
.92 (1,050)
-52%
879
51.9
The Brothers Bloom
Summit
.41 (2,390)
-34%
173
2
Obsessed
Sony
.31 (910)
-53%
342
68.1
Fast & Furious
Uni
.29 (1,020)
20%
284
154.4
The Soloist
Par
.28 (910)
-42%
306
30.7
Monsters vs. Aliens
Par
.26 (830)
-18%
313
194.9
Race to Witch Mountain
BV
.23 (920)
-29%
250
66.2
Easy Virtue
Sony Classics
.22 (4,400)
33%
50
0.63
Under the Sea 3D
WB
.21 (5,010)
-9%
42
9.3
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$160.72
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
--
-6%
--
--
--
% Change (Last Week)
--
0%
--
--
--
Also debuting/expanding
Millenium
Alliance
.18 (4,070)
-41%
45
0.63
Summer Hours
IFC
.15 (3,450)
-17%
44
0.78
Away We Go
Focus
.14 (35,250)
-
4
0.14
Departures
Regent
77,400 (5,530)
3%
14
0.18
Seraphine
Music Box
30,200 (5,030)
-
6
0.03
Downloading Nancy
Strand
10,300 (2,060)
--
5
0.01
Tennessee
Vivendi
9,200 (660)
--
14
0.01
Herb & Dorothy
Arthouse
9,100 (4,550)
-
2
0.01
Unmistaken Child
Oscilloscope
6,400 (6,400)
-
1
0.01
24 City
Cinema Guild
5,900 (5,900)
-
1
0.01
The Art of Being Straight
Regent
4,200 (4,200)
-
1
0.01

 

Domestic Market Share - January 1 - June 3, 2009

Distributor (releases)
Gross (millions)
Mrkt Share
Warner Bros. (19)
716.7
16.90%
Paramount (10)
713.1
16.80%
Fox (10)
606.2
14.30%
Sony (11)
490.2
11.60%
Buena Vista (11)
399.4
9.40%
Universal (11)
384.3
9.10%
Lionsgate (7)
236.7
5.60%
Fox Searchlight (5)
185.9
4.40%
Summit (6)
144.6
3.40%
Focus (4)
95.2
2.30%
Paramount Vantage (2)
52.4
1.20%
MGM (3)
42.3
1.00%
Miramax (4)
38.7
0.90%
Weinstein Co. (6)
34.5
0.80%
Overture (3)

26.7

0.60%
Other * (130)
67.3
1.60%
* none greater than 0.4%
4234.2
100.00%



Top Domestic Grossers - January 1 - June 4, 2009

Title
Distributor (releases)
Gross (millions)
Star Trek
Par
214,401,695
Monsters vs. Aliens
Par
194,583,608
X-Men Origins: Wolverine
Fox
172,420,290
Fast & Furious
Uni
154,069,870
Paul Blart: Mall Cop
Sony
146,508,539
Taken
Fox
144,890,891
Gran Torino *
WB
142,147,097
Slumdog Millionaire *
Fox Searchlight
119,092,566
Night at the Museum 2
Fox
112,691,200
Angels & Demons
Sony
109,624,649
Watchmen
WB
107,509,799
Terminator Salvation
WB
97,319,621
He's Just Not That Into You
WB
93,937,453
Up
BV
93,072,435
Madea Goes to Jail
Lionsgate
90,943,290
Knowing
Summit
79,452,092
Hannah Montana: The Movie
BV
77,683,699
Coraline
Focus
75,204,399
Curious Case of Benjamin Button *
Par
74,888,490
Hotel for Dogs
Par
73,067,320
* does not include 2008 box office

 

 


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