..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

February 1, 2009
January 25, 2009
January 18, 2009
January 11, 2009
January 4, 2009
December 29, 2008
December 21, 2008
December 14, 2008
December 7, 2008
November 30, 2008
November 23, 2008
November 16, 2008
November 9, 2008
November 2, 2008
October 26, 2008
October 19, 2008
October 12, 2008
October 5 , 2008
September 28, 2008
September 20, 2008
September 11, 2008
September 7, 2008
September 1, 2008
August 24, 2008
August 17, 2008
August 10, 2008
August 3, 2008
July 27, 2008
July 20, 2008
July 13, 2008
July 6, 2008
June 29, 2008
June 22, 2008
June 15, 2008
June 8, 2008
June 1, 2008
May 26, 2008
May 18, 2008
May 11, 2008
May 4, 2008
April 27, 2008
April 20, 2008
April 13, 2008
April 6, 2008
March 30, 2008
March 23, 2008
March 16, 2008
March 9, 2008
March 2, 2008
Feb 24, 2008
Feb 18, 2008
Feb 10, 2008
Feb 3, 2008
Jan 27, 2008
Jan 21, 2008




February 16, 2009
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share

Valentine Day Movieholic

The declining appeal of horror movies didn’t last long. The resurrected Friday the 13th slew the competition, debuting to an estimated $42.3 million in the first three days of the President’s holiday weekend. The session also included national bows for the romantic comedy Confessions of a Shopaholic of $15.7 million that ranked fourth and the financial thriller The International slotted seventh on a gross of $9.6 million.

There was strong response for Two Lovers of $87,200 from a limited seven screen launch and new niche fare also contributed to record-breaking revenues for the holiday frame. The 3-D Imax Under the Sea launched on 49 sites generated $610,000 and the Bollywood entry Billu Barber clipped a stylish $508,000 from 70 engagements.

All told the marketplace received a hefty stimulus package that benefited a broad range of pictures new and old as well as the critically embraced and rejected.

The terror of Crystal Lake -- Friday the 13th -- had a heady run in the 1980s that sputtered out in a television series. It also had a brief revival earlier in the current decade and its latest incarnation was on track based on polling studies to clobber everything in its path. Thursday sneaks got the ball rolling with more than a $1 million tally followed by an $18 million opening day and the cheap thrills are already mapping out future mayhem.

Expectations were high for Confessions of a Shopaholic but its opening was somewhat curbed by both the horror yarn and the continuing potency of He’s Just Not That Into You, which finished third with $19.1 million. Competition from Taken cut into The International’s appeal but the latter film wasn’t expected to show much commercial potency and chilly critical response iced the deal.

President’s Day revenues are expected to ring up about $190 million for the three-day portion that bests last weekend’s box office by 25%. It should swell to close to $235 million for the full holiday period; that’s 43% improved from 2008 when the trio of Jumper, The Spiderwick Chronicles and Step Up 2 topped the charts with respective 4-day grosses of $32.1 million, $24.7 million and $22.1 million respectively.

Movie going since the start of 2009 has the industry happily surprised in the face of the current economic downturn that’s been injurious to virtually every other sector of the marketplace. Recent major staff cuts at the studios and mini-majors may prove to be overly cautious in light of the strong returns for such low risk entries as Paul Blart, Gran Torino and Slumdog Millionaire.

Slumdog if nothing else has won the audience award in the Oscar post-nomination window. Other best picture nominees as well as Doubt and The Wrestler, which secured berths in acting categories, are struggling to hold onto screens as the award telecast looms and the also-rans can expect almost instant extinction following next Sunday’s announcements.

- Leonard Klady


Estimates - February 13 - 16, 2009

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
Friday the 13th
WB
53.1 (17,110)
-
3105
53.13
He's Just Not That Into You
WB
22.9 (7,220)
-31%
3175
58.4
Taken
Fox
22.5 (7,230)
-6%
3109
81.2
Coraline
Focus
19.3 (8,310)
-9%
2320
39.5
Confessions of a Shopaholic
BV
17.4 (6,950)
-
2507
17.4
Paul Bart: Mall Cop
Sony
14.0 (4,720)
6%
2965
112.8
The Pink Panther 2
Sony
10.9 (3,350)
-25%
3245
24.2
The International
Sony
10.8 (4,560)
-
2364
10.8
Slumdog Millionaires
Fox Searchlight
8.6 (5,280)
0%
1634
88
Push
Summit
8.4 (3,640)
-30%
2313
20.8
Gran Torino
WB
7.6 (3,290)
-7%
2303
129.7
Hotel for Dogs
Par
5.8 (2,610
-24%
2207
61.7
The Uninvited
Par
4.9 (2,730)
-26%
1803
24.3
Underworld 3
Sony
2.8 (2,260)
-42%
1224
43.9
The Reader
Weinstein Co.
2.6 (3,460)
-11%
742
19.5
The Wrestler
Fox Searchlight
2.2 (3,250)
-23%
667
19.1
Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Par
1.9 (2,080)
-29%
909
122.6
My Blood Valentine 2D
Lions Gate
1.8 (3,400)
-2%
532
50.8
New in Town
Lions Gate
1.7 (1,680)
-51%
1022
14.5
Revolutionary Road
Par Vantage
1.2 (2,310)
-42%
511
20.5
Milk
Focus
1.0 (2,530)
-30%
387
26.7
Defiance
Par Vantage
.84 (1,900)
-51%
442
26.5
Twilight
Summit
.77 (1,650)
37%
466
188.7
Under the Sea
WB
.74 (15,100)
-
49
0.74
Doubt
Miramax
.71 (2,180)
-24%
326
30.1
Billu Barber
Eros
.58 (8,342)
70
0.58
Bride Wars
Fox
.56 (1,250)
-67%
449
57.2
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$225.60
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
-
41%
-
-
-
% Change (Last Week)
-
25%
-
-
-
Also debuting/expanding
Frost/Nixon
Uni
.46 (1,700)
-40%
270
16.4
The Class
Sony Class/E1
.18 (5,550)
2%
33
0.83
Waltz with Bashir
Sony Class/E1
.10 (1,980)
-28%
50
1.4
Two Lovers
Magnolia
.09 (12,460)
-
7
0.09
Polanski Unauthorized
Amadeus
2,950 (2,950)
-
1
0.01
Amarcord (reissue)
Janus
2,710 (2,710)
-
1
0.01

Domestic Market Share - January 1 - February 12, 2009

Distributor (releases)
Gross
Mrkt Share
Warner Bros. (12)
212.8
16.70%
Fox (5)
199.3
15.70%
Sony (7)
192.2
15.10%
Paramount (5)
147.7
11.60%
Fox Searchlight (4)
109.6
8.60%
Universal (5)
71.2
5.60%
Lionsgate (4)
69.1
5.40%
Buena Vista (5)
62.1
4.90%
Paramount Vantage (2)
44.7
3.50%
MGM (3)
41.4
3.30%
Focus (2)
31.3
2.50%
Summit (3)
30.1
2.40%
Miramax (3)
18.4
1.40%
Weinstein Co. (5)
16.2
1.30%
Overture (2)
13.3
1.00%
Other * (36)
12.6
0.90%
* none greater than 0.35%
1272
100.00%


 

 

 

 


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