..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

September 7, 2008
September 1, 2008
August 24, 2008
August 17, 2008
August 10, 2008
August 3, 2008
July 27, 2008
July 20, 2008
July 13, 2008
July 6, 2008
June 29, 2008
June 22, 2008
June 15, 2008
June 8, 2008
June 1, 2008
May 26, 2008
May 18, 2008
May 11, 2008
May 4, 2008
April 27, 2008
April 20, 2008
April 13, 2008
April 6, 2008
March 30, 2008
March 23, 2008
March 16, 2008
March 9, 2008
March 2, 2008
Feb 24, 2008
Feb 18, 2008
Feb 10, 2008
Feb 3, 2008
Jan 27, 2008
Jan 21, 2008




September 14, 2008
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share
Top Domestic Releases

Pyromaniac's Revenge

In a hotly contested weekend race, the political comedy Burn After Reading emerged as the box office leader with an estimated $19.2 million. Two other debuting titles were right behind with Tyler Perry's relative drama The Family That Preys grossing $18 million and the DeNiro-Pacino cop meller Righteous Kill posting a $16.4 million box office. The session's fourth freshman - an update of 1939's The Women - had to settle with leftovers of $10.8 million.

The weekend was also crowded with regional and exclusive bows including near moribund results for the non-fiction Proud Americans of $103,000 in 750 theaters. Best of the limited openers was the darkly comic Towelhead that grossed $54,100 at four sites with an OK return of $17,700 for the doc Flow for start up distributor Oscilloscope. Other debuts including Greetings from the Shore and Tired of Kissing Frogs appeared on the fast track to DVD and VOD.

Following last weekend's movie going burn out attendance rallied, bolstered by the flow of seasonal product. Still, one could see sharp declines for the summer holdovers with the most profound drop of 70% experienced by last weekend's leader Bangkok Dangerous.

The Coen Brothers Oscar follow up Burn After Reading wasn't expected to top the charts and with critical response generally tilting to the negative its supremacy was all the more surprising. It wound up being the siblings best ever opener and edged ahead of the crowd as a result of wider general appeal than the competition.

The latest Afrocentric mix of comedy and angst from Perry - The Family That Preys - that was expected to lead the frame opened with comparable strength but not quite the $20 million that was being tracked. Similarly the older aud appeal of Righteous Kill played to anticipated business. But The Women came up short and pundits were at a loss to explain why the cast and subject matter didn't translate to the fall equivalent of Sex and the City or Mamma Mia! And there's not any talk of the possibility of a second act for this second act.

Weekend revenues bounced back to roughly $100 million for a sizeable 54% improvement from last weekend. It was also 33% better than the 2007 session when the bow of The Brave One led with $13.4 million; 3:10 to Yuma held well with $8.9 million and the freshman Mr. Woodcock followed with $8.8 million.

Holdover movies largely took it on the chin with erosion rates ranging from 40% to 60%. The only niche that bucked the trend was family fare and especially the 3D engagements of Fly Me to the Moon and Journey to the Center of the Earth.

While there's little question that the industry wants to push on from the prevailing doldrums of late summer, it's atypical that audiences should be in lock step. Neither mainstream nor niche movies that caught the last part of the seasonal wave seem likely to have much of a presence by month's end.

It's not surprising that anxiety levels have ramped up as the release schedule through Thanksgiving offers little with definitive commercial appeal. Summer box office just scraped by and the prospect of significant drops in attendance through the end of the year would inject a significant psychological shakeup; particularly among theater owners.

- Leonard Klady




Weekend Estimates - September 12-14, 2008

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
Burn After Reading
Focus
19.2 (7,250)
-
2651
19.2
The Family That Preys
Lions Gate
18.0 (8,720)
-
2070
18
Righteous Kill
Overture
16.4 (5,210)
-
3152
16.4
The Women
Picturehouse
10.8 (3,400)
-
2962
10.8
Tropic Thunder
Par
4.2 (1,430)
-42%
2927
103
The House Bunny
Sony
4.1 (1,490)
-25%
2763
42
The Dark Knight
WB
4.0 (1,840)
-27%
2191
517.7
Bangkok Dangerous
Lions Gate
2.4 (890)
-70%
2654
12.5
Traitor
Overture
2.1 (1,030)
-52%
2014
20.7
Death Race
Uni
1.9 (940)
-49%
2007
33.1
Mamma Mia!
Uni
1.8 (1,170)
-38%
1517
139.3
Babylon A.D.
Fox
1.7 (810)
-60%
2062
20.2
Disaster Movie
Lions Gate
1.5 (850)
-50%
1802
12.6
Fly Me to the Moon
Summit
1.3 (1,930)
0%
698
9.8
Vicky Christina Barcelona
MGM
1.2 (1,690)
-42%
726
18
Pinapple Express
Sony
1.1 (1,040)
-53%
1030
86
Journey to the Center of the Earth
WB
1.1 (1,410)
-14%
751
98
Mirrors
Fox
.87 (860)
-51%
1008
29.1
Star Wars: The Clone Wars
WB
.81 (800)
-52%
1005
33.8
The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Empire
Uni
.61 (890)
-59%
750
101.5
The Longshots
MGM
.58 (680)
-58%
858
10.7
Wall-E
BV
.53 (1,050)
-32%
504
220.1
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$96.10
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
33%
-
-
-
% Change (Last Week)
54%
-
-
-
Also debuting/expanding
Elegy
IDP
.24 (1,770)
-50%
136
2.8
Bottle Shock
FreeStyle
.22 (890)
-57%
250
3.6
Proud American
Slow Hand
.10 (140)
-
750
0.1
Towelhead
WB
54,100 (13,520)
-
4
0.05
Greetings from the Shore
FreeStyle
44,300 (1,430)
-
31
0.04
Il y a longtemps que je t'aime
Mongrel
28,800 (4,800)
-
6
0.03
Flow
Oscilloscope
17,700 (8,850)
-
2
0.02
Tired of Kissing Frogs
First Look
9,300 (660)
-
14
0.01
Moving Midway
First Run
6,700 (3,350)
-
2
0.01


Domestic Market Share - To September 11, 2008

Domestic Market Share (Jan. 1 - Sept. 11, 2008)
Distributor (releases)
Gross
Mrkt Share
Warner Bros. (20)
1435.9
20.50%
Paramount (13)
1221.3
17.50%
Universal (16)
946.1
13.50%
Sony (19)
936.4
13.40%
Fox (19)
773.2
11.10%
Buena Vista (11)
652.9
9.30%
Lions Gate (11)
225.5
3.20%
Fox Searchlight (5)
150.9
2.20%
MGM (12)
77.8
1.10%
Paramount Vantage (10)
72.9
1.00%
Focus (5)
64.6
0.90%
New Line (4)
61.8
0.90%
Miramax (6)
54.5
0.80%
Overture (5)
50.6
0.70%
Summit (3)
43.4
0.60%
Picturehouse (6)
36.3
0.50%
Other * (236)
191
2.70%
* none greater than 0.4%
6995.1
100.00%

Top Domestic Releases - To September 11, 2008

Title
Distributor
Gross
The Dark Knight
WB
513,664,611
Iron Man
Par
318,039,924
Indiana Jones & Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
Par
316,286,130
Hancock
Sony
228,056,698
Wall-E
BV
219,549,391
Kung Fu Panda
Par
214,301,367
Horton Hears a Who
Fox
154,529,439
Sex and the City
WB
152,619,616
The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian
BV
141,659,011
Mamma Mia!
Uni
137,573,335
The Incredible Hulk
Uni
134,592,596
Wanted
Uni
134,211,795
Get Smart
WB
128,635,792
Juno *
Fox Searchlight
115,568,583
The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor
Uni
100,917,725
You Don't Mess with the Zohan
Sony
100,042,437
Step Brothers
Sony
99,709,149
Tropic Thunder
Par
98,790,664
Journey to the Center of the Earth
WB
96,949,173
10,000 B.C. 
WB
94,819,450
* does not include 2007 box office

 

 

 

 

 


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