..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

August 24, 2008
August 17, 2008
August 10, 2008
August 3, 2008
July 27, 2008
July 20, 2008
July 13, 2008
July 6, 2008
June 29, 2008
June 22, 2008
June 15, 2008
June 8, 2008
June 1, 2008
May 26, 2008
May 18, 2008
May 11, 2008
May 4, 2008
April 27, 2008
April 20, 2008
April 13, 2008
April 6, 2008
March 30, 2008
March 23, 2008
March 16, 2008
March 9, 2008
March 2, 2008
Feb 24, 2008
Feb 18, 2008
Feb 10, 2008
Feb 3, 2008
Jan 27, 2008
Jan 21, 2008




September 1, 2008
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share
Top Domestic Releases

Slow and Sure

Tropic Thunder executed the hat trick as its estimated $14.5 million holiday weekend tally emerged as the top viewing choice. As the season came to a close a quartet of new national releases sought some late breaking coin. The sci-fi opus Babylon A.D. was ranked second with $12.1 million while the spy thriller Traitor slipped into fifth position on a $9.6 million gross. The spoof Disaster Movie had a $7.2 million bow but there was scant hijinx for College that sputtered to a $2.6 million debut.

Niche and regional openers were also rife but largely commercially tepid. There was limited soccer fever for Goal! 2 of $191,000 from 102 scrums and just OK response for Bollywood entry Rock On of $152,000 from 47 mosh pits. Limited and exclusives fared better with Czech import I Served the King of England generating $58,300 from seven tables and Quebec drama Le Banquet serving up $42,800 in 13 exposures. Another Gay Sequel did $26,200 at three venues and the Japanese Sukiyaki Western Django scored $12,400 in a single Manhattan draw down.

Overall business experienced downturns with the three-day portion of the long weekend ebbing back 8% from seven days earlier. Box office was 17% behind Labor Day 2007 when the reincarnated Halloween led with a $30.6 million opening salvo.

Initial figures indicate a summer season finish of $4.15 billion that translates into a 3% decline from the 2007 session. There was an even sharper admissions decline of 9%.

However, closer examination reveals it was definitely a time of the haves and the have nots. The former was dominated by the six Hollywood majors whose pictures collectively accounted for a 6% improvement from the prior year. Still, their admissions were basically flat with the immediate prior summer session.

Four of the majors recorded double digit expansion including market share leader Warner Bros. with overall revenues in excess of $1 billion domestically. Warners received an assist from the shuttered New Line; incorporating that company's Sex and the City and Journey to the Center of the Earth into its release schedule.

Disney largely stayed out of the fray with just three releases over the four month span but Fox experienced a catastrophic case of the commercial yips that translated into a 43% plunge from its 2007 record. (full summer charts will be posted following actual reporting Tuesday).

The flip side of the season was experienced by studio specialized divisions and the legions of independent distributors. Their box office declined by approximately 56% and not all of the slippage to be credited to quality or commerciality. The relative potency of such films as The Visitor, Mongol and Brideshead Revisited wasn't up to earlier summer standards in large part to a decrease in the number of accessible screens and the continuing dilemma of getting attention in a marketplace dominated by seasonal blockbusters.

Another significant factor was the competition from mainstream releases; particularly Sex and the City and Mamma Mia! that siphoned off viewers in search of alternative fare. The latter film received a boost this past weekend with the introduction of a sing-a-long edition that accounted for about 30% of its weekend box office from 16% of its current playdates.


- Leonard Klady



Weekend Estimates - August 29 - September 1, 2008

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
Tropic Thunder
Par
14.5 (4,170)
-28%
3473
86.8
Babylon A.D.
Fox
12.1 (3,580)
-
3390
12.1
The Dark Knight
WB
10.9 (3,960)
-18%
2750
504.6
The House Bunny
Sony
10.4 (3,840)
-43%
2714
30
Traitor
Overture
9.6 (4,660)
-
2054
11.1
Death Race
Uni
8.1 (3,180)
-50%
2537
16.85
Disaster Movie
Lions Gate
7.2 (2,720)
-
2642
7.2
Mamma Mia!
Uni
5.7 (2,890)
1%
1968
132.8
Pinapple Express
Sony
4.4 (2,140)
-38%
2047
80.8
Star Wars: The Clone Wars
WB
3.5 (1,450)
-53%
2444
26.91
Vicky Christina Barcelona
MGM
3.5 (5,010)
9%
692
13.3
Mirrors
Fox
3.4 (1,860)
-47%
1820
25.5
The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Empire
Uni
3.4 (1,970)
-38%
1713
98.6
The Longshots
MGM
2.9 (1,380)
-44%
2089
8
College
MGM
2.6 (1,230)
-
2123
2.6
Journey to the Center of the Earth
WB
2.3 (2,820)
-20%
801
95.1
Hamlet 2
Focus
2.1 (1,340)
284%
1597
3.2
Fly Me to the Moon
Summit
2.0 (3,160)
3%
630
6.7
Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants 2
WB
1.9 (1,540)
-48%
1252
41.6
Step Brothers
Sony
1.5 (1,490)
-47%
1036
98.1
Wall-E
BV
1.5 (1,310)
12%
1155
218.3
The Rocker
Fox
1.2 (440)
-65%
2784
5.9
Hancock
Sony
.83 (1,750)
6%
475
226.55
Elegy
IDP
.78 (5,610)
31%
139
0.93
Kung Fu Panda
Par
.71 (1,540)
1%
460
212.96
Bottle Shock
FreeStyle
.68 (2,310)
-16%
295
1.91
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$117.70
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
-
-17%
-
-
-
% Change (Last Week)
-
-8%
-
-
-
Also debuting/expanding
Goal! 2
Peace Arch
.19 (1,870)
-
102
0.19
Rock On
Adlabs
.15 (3,220)
-
47
0.15
I Served the King of England
Sony Classics
58,300 (8,370)
-
7
0.06
Le Banquet
Alliance
42,800 (3,290)
-
13
0.04
Ce qu'il fait pour vivre
Seville
36,100 (2,580)
-
14
0.04
Another Gay Sequel
TLA
26,200 (8,730)
-
3
0.03
Sukiyaki Western Django
First Look
12,400 (12,400)
-
1
0.01
* % changes are 3-day to 3-day

Domestic Market Share - To August 28, 2008

Distributor (releases) Gross Market Share
Warner Bros. (20) 1401.6 20.70%
Paramount (13) 1191.9 17.60%
Universal (16) 914.6 13.50%
Sony (19) 904.6 13.40%
Fox (18) 745.9 11.00%
Buena Vista (11) 649.6 9.60%
Lions Gate (9) 204.3 3.00%
Fox Searchlight (5) 150.9 2.20%
Paramount Vantage (10) 72.8 1.10%
New Line (4) 61.8 0.90%
MGM (11) 61.4 0.90%
Focus (5) 61.1 0.90%
Miramax (6) 53.8 0.80%
Summit (3) 39.6 0.60%
Picturehouse (6) 36.1 0.50%
Other * (228) 213 3.10%
- 6763 100.00%

Top Domestic Releases - To August 28, 2008

Title Distributor Gross
The Dark Knight WB 493,671,047
Iron Man Par 317,570,520
Indiana Jones & Kingdom of the Crystal Skull Par 315,337,154
Hancock Sony 226,547,044
Wall-E BV 216,798,080
Kung Fu Panda Par 212,958,340
Horton Hears a Who Fox 154,524,370
Sex and the City WB 152,440,062
The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian BV 141,550,527
The Incredible Hulk Uni 134,425,930
Wanted Uni 133,822,865
Get Smart WB 128,293,818
Mamma Mia! Uni 127,090,680
Juno * Fox Searchlight 115,568,583
You Don't Mess with the Zohan Sony 99,728,879
Step Brothers Sony 96,568,737
10,000 B.C.  WB 94,819,450
The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor Uni 95,228,870
The Bucket List * WB 92,781,554
Journey to the Center of the Earth WB 92,779,260
* does not include 2007 box office

 

 

 

 

 


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