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..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..R.J. Matson
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Michael Wilmington






May 11, 2008
Weekend Finals
Domestic Market Share
Top Domestic Grossers

Torpid Racer!

Iron Man rigidly held sway in the marketplace despite a 49% box office decline with an estimated $50.2 million gross. That proved to be bad news for the bow of Speed Racer that was expected to rank a close second but wound up fighting a hard race with the romantic comedy What Happens in Vegas. Estimates place Vegas marginally ahead at $20.1 million but within a statistical margin of error that could reverse the order when actuals are reported Monday.

The frame also saw a number of expansions as well as a clutch of newcomers in regional and niche exploitation. The fantasy adventure The Fall racked up very good initial response of $72,700 from nine venues while the literary adaptation of The Stone Angel on a comparable number of screens grossed $53,200 in Canada. There was also a buoyant bow for the indie drama After the Rains of $44,300 at six sites and OK returns of $24,500 for the French spy parody OSS 117 - Cairo, Nest of Spies in seven exploits. The non-fiction Surfwise crested the wave with $9,650 from a single screen and pre-Juno Ellen Page in The Tracy Fragments generated $3,500 from one Manhattan screen following a $50,000 gross in Canada.

Overall revenues bumped up 17% from 2007 on estimates of $125 million while declining 23% from last week's Iron Man launch. Twelve months back Spider-Man 3 ruled with a $58.2 million sophomore session with freshmen entries 28 Weeks Later and Georgia Rule eating the dust with respective tallies of $9.8 million and $6.8 million.

Apart from the frame's new entries, industry eyes were focused on how steep a decline Iron Man would experience. Pundits braced for a 60% hit but in light of diminished competition the comic book fugitive could boast of a slightly better than 50% rigor.

It's unclear what messages Speed Racer's studio was receiving but clearly they were not positive and one suspects both tracking studies and preview responses contributed to lowered expectations leading up to opening day. The ad campaign presumed little more than its title was necessary as a lure and that proved ill-founded as the film struggled to $20 million in its debut. Officially, Warner Bros. is "disappointed" and concerned that its audience is "very young" and those kids that adored the television anime appear to have focused their nostalgia on another pulp hero.

What Happens in Vegas conversely made all the right moves including a sneak preview to build up word of mouth. While critics were not particularly impressed, audiences found sufficient humor and chemistry in the mix to surpass target projections.

The situation internationally reflected an even sharper contrast between Speed and Vegas. Both films bowed in such countries as Spain, Germany and the U.K. and in each instance Vegas outpaced the hotrodder by three to five times. Vegas also beat Iron Man for weekend bragging rights in Germany and Spain but Speed Racer ranked second to the sturdy superhero in Mexico and Brazil.

Slow roll outs for such specialized fare as The Visitor, Young@Heart and Son of Rambow continue to weather well in these early days of summer. However, the rapid expansion of Redbelt proved to be a dud as it expanded from six to 1,379 venues and instantly discovered despite its martial arts backdrop that it had decidedly niche limitations.

Among new entries The Fall that had been much ballyhooed at Toronto in 2006 finally found distribution and initial response was encouraging for its commercial struggle. OSS 117 - Cairo, Nest of Spies also had its travails finding an outlet following enthusiastic response on the festival circuit. One imagines its mix of slapstick and parody will compare favorably when agent Max Smart hits screens next month.


- Leonard Klady



Weekend Finals - May 9-11, 2008

Title
Distrib
Weekend
% Change*
Theaters
Cume
Wks
1
1
Iron Man
Par
51,190,629 -48% 4111 177,825,024
2
2
New
What Happens in Vegas
Fox
20,172,474 - 3215 20,172,474
1
3
New
Speed Racers
WB
18,561,337 - 3606 18,561,337
1
4
2
Made of Honor
Sony
8,116,323 -45% 2734 26,791,494
2
5
3
Baby Mama
Uni
6,225,790 -38% 2627 40,836,370
3
6
5
Forgetting Sarah Marshall
Uni
3,837,240 -37% 2376 50,781,745
4
7
4
Harold & Kumar Escape Guantanamo
WB
3,106,424 -49% 2264 30,667,308
3
8
6
Forbidden Kingdom
Lions Gate
2,169,323 -48% 1724 48,530,104
4
9
7
Nim's Island
Fox
1,463,622 -45% 1601 44,395,857
6
10
8
Prom Night
Sony/Alliance
1,012,986 -58% 1465 42,785,107
5
11
45
Redbelt
Sony Classics
1,012,435 - 1379 1,109,674
2
12
9
21
Sony
851,385 -57% 978 80,434,035
7
13
16
The Visitor
Overture
729,212 20% 217 2,475,492
5
14
11
Horton Hears a Who
Fox
605,347 -55% 770 150,699,120
9
15
10
88 Minutes
Sony 
534,104 -65% 625 16,460,014
4
16
13
Drillbit Taylor
Par
508,095 -30% 267 31,760,807
8
17
22
Then She Found Me
Thinkfilm/TVA
467,577 103% 153 890,591
3
18
19
Young@Heart
Fox Searchlight
388,928 23% 145 1,444,646
5
19
30
10,000 B.C.
WB
347,407 128% 409 94,042,448
10
20
New
Bhoothnath
Eros
330,246 - 64 330,246
1
21
15
Expelled: No Intelligence Allowed
Rocky Mountain
328,836 -51% 402 7,235,324
4
22
14
Street Kings
Fox Searchlight
240,553 -66% 297 25,649,703
5
23
17
Leatherheads
Uni
239,445 -58% 424 30,730,820
6
24
51
Son of Rambow
Par Vantage
154,151 187% 36 227,154
2
25
24
The Counterfeiters
Sony Classics
148,775 -27% 122 4,661,883
12
26
23
The Spiderwick Chronicles
Par
139,068 -35% 218 71,334,121
13
27
18
Smart People
Miramax
137,843 -58% 163 9,204,863
5
28
27
Fool's Gold
WB
137,264 -18% 216 70,057,055
14
29
39
Jumper
Fox
127,459 56% 124 79,617,110
13
30
28
Sea Monsters: A Prehistoric Adventure
nWave
125,148 -22% 47 12,475,078
32
31
34
The Bucket List
WB
105,380 -21% 169 93,223,440
20
32
26
Under the Same Moon
Weinstein Co.
98,682 -49% 138 12,273,323
8
33
21
Dans une galaxie pres de chez vous 2
TVA
91,143 -65% 79 1,448,144
4
34
37
Fugitive Pieces
Maximum/IDP
86,402 -15% 38 219,576
2
35
41
U2 3D
nWave
85,013 7% 10 7,867,852
16
36
New
The Fall
Roadside Attract.
79,611 - 9 79,611
1
37
38
Priceless
IDP
76,895 -20% 38 1,085,673
7
38
35
Vantage Point
Sony
74,090 -42% 152 72,914,605
12
39
25
Superhero Movie
MGM
73,170 -64% 131 25,380,619
7
40
31
Meet the Browns
Lions Gate
71,761 -52% 103 42,047,149
8
41
40
Dolphins and Whales 3-D
3D Entertainment
71,472 -11% 14 1,489,666
12
42
20
Shine a Light
Par Vantage
70,456 -75% 61 5,031,562
5
43
32
Never Back Down
Summit
69,460 -52% 120 24,685,255
8
44
42
National Treasure: Book of Secrets
BV
66,543 -10% 115 219,548,127
20
45
73
Roman de Gare
IDP
64,516 186% 15 134,098
2
46
12
Deception
Fox
63,219 -93% 126 4,427,267
3
47
36
College Road Trip
BV
62,778 -46% 147 43,572,241
10
48
33
The Ruins
Par
62,651 -56% 100 17,037,079
6
49
29
Mama est chez les coiffeurs
Equinoxe
61,848 -60% 42 277,835
2
50
54
My Blueberry Nights
Weinstein Co.
56,806 21% 57 551,857
6
51
New
The Stone Angel
Alliance
55,182 - 8 55,182
1
52
44
Miss Pettigrew Lives for a Day
Focus
49,873 -29% 98 12,229,144
10
53
48
Flawless
Magnolia
49,256 -14% 48