Dec 30, 2007
Dec 23, 2007
Dec 16, 2007
Dec 9, 2007
Dec 2, 2007
Nov 25, 2007
Nov 18, 2007
Nov 11, 2007
Nov 4, 2007
Oct 28, 2007
Oct 21, 2007
Oct 14, 2007
Oct 7, 2007
Sep 30, 2007
Sep 23, 2007
Sep 9, 2007
Sep 3, 2007
Aug 26, 2007
Aug 19, 2007
Aug 12, 2007
Aug 4, 2007
July 29, 2007
July 22, 2007
July 15, 2007
July 8, 2007
July 1, 2007
June 24, 2007
June 17, 2007
June 10, 2007
June 3, 2007
May 28, 2007
May 20, 2007
May 13, 2007
May 6, 2007
Apr 29, 2007
Apr 22, 2007
Apr 15, 2007
Apr 8, 2007
Apr 1, 2007
Mar 25, 2007
Mar 18, 2007
Mar 11, 2007
Mar 4, 2007
Feb 25, 2007
Feb 19, 2007
Feb 11, 2007
Feb 4, 2007
January 28, 2007
January 22, 2007
January 15, 2007
January 7, 2007
January 1, 2007


..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..R.J. Matson
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Michael Wilmington






January 6, 2008
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share

Ring in the New ...

The connection was strong for the debut of the cellular thriller One Missed Call but the strongest signal at the weekend box office remained National Treasure: Book of Secrets that generated an estimated $20.5 million in its third weekend in theaters. There was another close call as Juno and I Am Legend battled for the place position with their respective distributors both claiming victory.

Though the frame sported but a single new national premiere, holdovers and expansions proved unusually vigorous. Overall business set a new box office record for a January non-holiday weekend as revenues rose 7% from the opening weekend of 2007 with business eyeing about $141 million in ticket sales. .

In addition to Juno, both Atonement and There Will Be Blood experienced sizeable boosts on cautious expansions. The trio of films has been mounting strategic release plans all aimed at Oscar announcements and have yet to falter in the area of marketing acumen. Also fairing well toward that end are The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, The Savages and The Kite Runner while it appears that Sweeney Todd has lost traction and even No Country for Old Men may find itself absent in some key categories without a considerable reminder surge.


A Few Last Notes on 2007

The year at the box office crossed the finish line with a calendar tally of $9.68 billion that translated into a revenue increase of 4.9%. It wasn't the double digit growth that had been predicted early in the year prior to the summer onslaught of sequels, remakes and adaptations of popular fare.

Ticket sales are only by the most liberal interpretation ahead of 2007. The spectacle of being able to see such films as I Am Legend, Spider-Man 3 and 300 in large format and/or 3-D versions at a higher admission price has made the special engagements disproportionately potent. A recent press release noted that Beowulf's special presentations accounted for less than 20% of the playdates but more than one-third of its box office and the rule of thumb has evolved an expectation that those key screens will perform twice as well as conventional projections.

The reliance on retreads has proved repeatedly to be a bankrupt policy and the current box office surge is occurring in an environment that tilts toward originals.

And just for the record, all six majors recorded annually domestic grosses of more than $1 billion for the first time. However, collectively they're claiming (and there's no reason to doubt their veracity) that profit margins are shrinking in the current round of negotiations with the talent unions and guilds.

- Leonard Klady



Weekend Estimates - January 4-6, 2008

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% chng
Theas
Cume
National Treasure: Book of Secrets
BV
20.5 (5,450)
-43%
3762
171.1
I Am Legend
WB
16.2 (4,440)
-41%
3648
228.5
Juno
Fox Searchlight
16.1 (8,360)
51%
1925
51.9
Alvin and the Chipmunks
Fox
15.4 (4,450)
-47%
3462
176.1
One Missed Call 
WB
13.6 (6,060)
-
2240
13.6
Charlie Wilson's War
Uni
8.1 (3,170)
-33%
2555
52.5
P.S. I Love You
WB
7.7 (3,110)
-17%
2471
39.1
The Water Horse
Sony
6.2 (3,300)
-33%
1874
30.8
Sweeney Todd
Par
5.4 (4,310)
-34%
1249
38.5
Atonement
Focus
5.0 (8,540)
59%
583
20.5
Alien vs. Predator: Requiem
Fox
4.3 (1,640)
-58%
2617
36.9
The Great Debators
MGM
4.2 (3,240)
-30%
1299
22
Enchanted
BV
3.7 (1,920)
-42%
1932
119.7
The Golden Compass
New Line
2.6 (1,600)
-44%
1611
65.4
Walk Hard
Sony
1.8 (860)
-54%
2041
17.2
No Country for Old Men
Miramax
1.7 (2,110)
-22%
819
44.7
The Kite Runner
Par Vantage
1.6 (4,220)
-12%
384
8.6
There Will Be Blood
Par Vantage
1.4 (26,860)
617%
51
1.9
The Orphanage
Picture/Christal
.52 (7,540)
123%
69
0.9
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$136.00
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
7%
-
-
-
% Change (Last Week)
-25%
-
-
-
Also debuting/expanding
The Savages
Fox Searchlight
.45 (4,130)
-13%
110
2.5
Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Miramax
.34 (6,020)
26%
57
1.5
The Bucket List
WB
.32 (20,010)
-5%
16
1.3
Persepolis
Sony Classics
88,400 (12,630)
-1%
7
0.32
The Killing of John Lennon
IFC
2,620 (2,620)
-
1
0.01

 

Domestic Market Share - 2007 Calendar Year

Rank Distributor (releases)
Gross (millions)
Mkt Share
% Change
Rank '06
1
Paramount (21) 1500.9 15.50% 58%
5
2
Warner Bros. (32) 1417.9 14.60% 33%
4
3
Buena Vista (20) 1350.8 14.00% -8%
2
4
Sony (30) 1261 13.00% -27%
1
5
Universal (20) 1098.7 11.40% 35%
6
6
Fox (23) 1007.9 10.40% -28%
3
7
New Line (14) 490.1 5.10% 94%
8
8
Lions Gate (20) 369.5 3.80% 11%
7
9
MGM (26) 365.9 3.80% 119%
11
10
Fox Searchlight (14) 132.7 1.40% -20%
12
11
Miramax (10) 126.1 1.30% 175%
16
12
Focus (9) 120.3 1.20% -15%
10
13
Par Vantage (9) 60.5 0.60% 30%
15
14
Picturehouse (8) 57.2 0.60% 139%
23
15
Other (309) 323.2 3.30%
N/A
-
-
- 9682.7 100% 4.90%
-
Other Distributors
16
Sony Classics (19) 39.2 0.40% -34%
13
17
Weinstein Co. (11) 37.1 0.40% -84%
9
18
FreeStyle (15) 32.4 0.30% -42%
14
22
Warner Independent (7) 15.7 0.20% -43%
18

 

 

 

 


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