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..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..R.J. Matson
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Michael Wilmington






July 15, 2007
Weekend Finals
Domestic Market Share

Ashes to Ashes, Gold to Gold ...

Hari Potter, Harry Potter
Potter, Potter, Hari, Harry

To no great surprise Harry Potter & the Order of the Phoenix, its fifth screen installment, went to the head of the class with an estimated $76.8 million. The only other film to venture out nationally was the oft-delayed Captivity that registered a weak fettering of $1.4 million.

The session also included excellent debuts for limited releases including the historical drama Talk to Me and Interview, based on the controversial Dutch film by Theo Van Gogh.

For no obvious reason, HP5 bowed last Wednesday and entered the weekend with $62.6 million in the bank. However, the spur for the jump start was clearly the international marketplace where many territories debut new films on Wednesday or Thursday. Warner Bros. is projecting the first seven days domestically will exceed $160 million and that would be the fastest pace for any film in the series (though admissions would trail those of chapter #4).

The latest screen edition has also served up a tremendous amount of free publicity and awareness for author J.K. Rowling's seventh and final (?) Harry Potter novel that hits book stands imminently.

Despite the significant chunk of change Harry transposed to the mid-week, weekend revenues climbed for the first time in more than a month. Close to $180 million was spent on movie tickets during the current session to register a modest 2% bump from seven days earlier and a more impressive 12% boost from 2006 when the second Pirates of the Caribbean entered its second frame with $62.3 million and freshmen arrivals Little Man and You, Me and Dupree followed with grosses of $21.6 million and $21.5 million.

Transformers experienced close to a 50% decline but with a domestic tally of more than $220 million the picture is well ahead of expectations and the key question to confront is when to date the sequel. In a season that's largely been characterized by sequels and retreads not quite living up to inflated expectations, the surprises so far are the much writ about Knocked Up and 1408. The latter, adapted from the Stephen King canon, has taken the industry off guard and not simply because it was released by MGM. Scary movies are supposed to experience 50% declines and disappear from the marketplace after four weeks. Now in its seventh weekend, 1408 had as good a hold as any wide release (-31%) and at its current pace should gross about $80 million.

The true life antics and inspiration of 60s era D.C. radio personality "Petey" Greene proved unexpectedly potent for Talk to Me, generating about $398,000 from 33 venues. Still, there's little question that the material is a difficult sell and significant care will be required as it expands nationally. One can see the strains already for Rescue Dawn that debuted on July 4 and added 32 theaters in its second weekend. While its per engagement average remained potent, a big question looms as to whether the expansion has been too cautious considering the attention its received.

The sessions other limited newcomers played well in the niches with the French import My Best Friend (Patrice Leconte venturing into Veber territory) racking up roughly $45,000 from three screens and Interview ringing up better then $40,000 in six head to heads.

- Leonard Klady


Weekend Finals - July 13-15, 2007

-
-
Title
Distrib
Weekend
% Change*
Theaters
Cume
Wks
1
New
Harry Potter & the Order of Phoenix
WB
77,108,414
-
4285
139,715,157
1
2
1
Transformers
Par
37,027,901
-47%
4050
224,009,583
2
3
2
Ratatouille
BV
18,012,196
-38%
3625
142,997,082
3
4
3
Live Free or Die Hard
Fox
11,279,135
-36%
3201
103,322,580
3
5
4
License to Wed
WB
7,311,297
-30%
2715
30,379,749
2
6
6
1408
MGM
4,934,516
-30%
2206
62,127,222
4
7
5
Evan Almighty
Uni
4,895,055
-44%
2697
87,790,505
4
8
7
Knocked Up
Uni
3,676,500
-30%
1710
138,217,270
7
9
9
Sicko
LGF/Alliance
2,604,139
-28%
756
15,830,046
4
10
10
Ocean's Thirteen
WB
1,984,323
-44%
1244
112,506,702
6
11
8
Fantastic Four: Rise of Silver Surfer
Fox
1,633,612
-61%
1312
127,192,730
5
12
New
Captivity
FreeStyle
1,429,100
-
1061
1,429,100
1
13
11
Pirates of Caribbean: At World's End
BVI
1,396,749
-54%
928
304,454,423
8
14
12
Evening
Focus
1,156,407
-51%
760
10,842,501
3
15
13
Shrek the Third
Par
662,041
-57%
644
318,079,835
9
16
24
You Kill Me
IFC
589,368
139%
247
1,514,156
4
17
17
La Vie en Rose
TVA/Picturehouse
537,399
-11%
172
6,720,304
17
18
21
Spider-Man 3
Sony
512,393
69%
447
335,002,361
11
19
New
Talk to Me
Focus
402,000
-
33
402,000
1
20
15
Nancy Drew
WB
390,766
-57%
425
24,183,030
5
21
29
Rescue Dawn
MGM
363,093
229%
38
591,998
2
22
18
Once
Fox Searchlight
326,664
-26%
116
5,082,298
9
23
14
Surf's Up
Sony
308,042
-69%
403
56,869,271
6
24
20
Waitress
Fox Searchlight
271,236
-30%
190
17,896,730
11
25
19
Nitro
Alliance
223,769
-47%
98
2,404,649
3
26
39
Joshua
Fox Searchlight
214,153
318%
151
288,743
2
27
22
Disturbia
Par
200,099
-34%
232
79,654,902
14
28
16
A Mighty Heart
Par Vantage
198,755
-69%
176
8,837,910
4
29
23
Wild Hogs
BV
192,580
-23%
253
167,729,718
20
30
25
Paris je t'aime
First Look
145,543
-29%
91
4,429,608
11
31
27
Deep Sea 3-D
WB
141,243
-16%
30
29,756,966
72
32
28
Blades of Glory
Par
98,998
-30%
175
118,344,900
16
33
56
Introducing the Dwights
WIP
94,423
240%
35
148,293
2
34
33
Broken English
Magnolia
84,807
12%
28
356,705
4
35
35
Golden Door
Miramax
78,115
10%
30
708,562
8
36
59
Lady Chatterley
Kino
72,660
267%
16
192,097
4
37
30
Are We Done Yet?
Sony
72,575
-26%
141
49,956,902
15
38
26
Mr. Brooks
MGM
62,066
-57%
114
28,141,974
7
39
New
Naqaab
Tips
58,025
-
25
58,025
1
40
40
Dinosaurs: Giants of Patagonia
Sky High
52,771
14%
9
649,857
16
41
51
Magnificent Desolation
Imax
46,099
45%
5
20,132,282
94
42
32
The Invisible
BV
45,834
-43%
99
20,524,319
12
43
New
My Best Friend
IFC
45,246
-
3
45,246
1
44
34
Delta Farce
Lions Gate
43,203
-41%
81
8,429,343
10
45
42
Wild Safari 3-D
nWave
43,350
3%
10
13,988,904
119