..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

The Summer Chart
October 15, 2006
October 8, 2006
October 1, 2006
September 17, 2006
September 4, 2006
August 27, 2006
August 20, 2006
August 13, 2006
August 6, 2006
July 30, 2006
July 23, 2006
July 16, 2006
July 9, 2006
July 2, 2006
June 25, 2006
June 18, 2006
June 11, 2006
June 4, 2006
May 29, 2006
May 21, 2006
May 14, 2006
May 7, 2006
April 30, 2006
April 23, 2006
April 16, 2006
April 9, 2006
April 2, 2006
March 26, 2006
March 19, 2006
March 12, 2006
March 5, 2006
Feb 26, 2006
Feb 20, 2006
Feb 10, 2006
Feb 4, 2006
Jan 29, 2006
Jan 22, 2006
Jan 16, 2006
Jan 8, 2006
Jan 2, 2006




October 22, 2006
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share

Presto … Chango

The Prestige apparently had the magic to ascend to the top of the box office chart with an estimated $14.8 million. In a session that had anticipated Flags of Our Fathers would take the weekend, the saga of the "greatest generation" struggled to $10.2 and ranked third overall.

A glut of new product contributed to a significant box office boast. Freshman entries included the updated equine fave Flicka galloping to $7.6 million; Sofia Coppola's hot button Marie Antoinette serving up $5.3 million; and a 3-D enhanced version of The Nightmare Before Christmas generating an eye-popping $3.2 million in limited release. Additionally, there were two potent entries on the Bollywood circuit, several hot docs, a local entry in Quebec and a very good bow for Running with Scissors to cut the muster.

Leading up to the weekend, industry pundits had prognosticated essentially what transpired if one flip flopped the results for The Prestige and Flags. Prestige, an often lethal yarn of rival fin de siecle magicians, appeared a bit arcane and indistinct. However, critical response was generally very favorable and resulted in strong opening day business and a modest 14% boost on Saturday.

Flags of Our Fathers also experienced a 14% boost on Saturday but its first day indicated the highly anticipated production would struggle to reach $10 million rather than early estimates of $15 million plus. Exit polls revealed that 80% of its audience was older than 25 and the challenge ahead will be to bring in a younger crowd while maintaining its position as an award's contendor.

Marie Antoinette had better success drawing in the under 25s and both its weekend tally and critical response was better than anticipated. Since debuting at Cannes, the stylized portrait of the tragic Queen has divided critics as well as audiences in a handful of European countries.

The venerable Flicka returned to the screen and critics were generally surprised at the quality on the endeavor. However, business was no better than fair and its commercial pace will now be dictated by strides in ancillary arenas.

Weekend revenues should exceed $105 million for a 6% drop from the prior frame. It nonetheless accounts for a 21% increase placed alongside the comparable 2005 session when new entries Doom and Dreamer led the field with respective grosses of $15.5 million and $9.2 million.

Once again both The Departed and Open Season held their ground in a highly competitive marketplace with grosses at a 70% level. The rest of the wide release field was pumping at about 50%.

Both The Queen and King (of Scotland) continued slow expansions but despite glowing reviews for both, only Elizabeth II is maintaining regal returns while the deposed despot Idi Amin cannot staunch commercial erosion. Little Children boosted its theater count from 5 to 32 and maintained a solid standing but Infamous's second weekend experienced a sharp 59% decline.

Digitally enhanced and reconstituted for 3-D, Tim Burton's 1993 vintage The Nightmare Before Christmas returned with a vengeance. Released in 168 locations, it generated a roughly $19,000 average with a staggering record-breaking $290,000 gross from the El Capitain in Hollywood.

Also record-breaking at least in exposure was the Hindi Don that bowed in 113 theaters. The circuit has generally supported wide releases in the area of 65 to 70 playdates and the assertive push to expand Bollywood's reach paid off well with a $630,000 weekend. Jaan-E-Mann on 65 screens was a disappointment with a $122,000 box office.

While response was mixed for Running with Scissors its $233,000 gross in eight venues belied antipathy. A notch down were returns for the documentaries 51 Birch Street and Jonestown that amassed, respectively, $10,300 in two situations and a solo gross of $7,900. Congorama, a hit with Toronto Fest audiences, generated an OK $86,300 in 27 situations in Quebec.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - October 22, 2006

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change
Theaters
Cume
The Prestige
BV
14.8 (6,480)
--
2281
14.8
The Departed
WB
13.7 (4,570)
-30%
3005
77.2
Flags of Our Fathers
Par
10.2 (5,420)
--
1876
10.2
Open Season
Sony
8.0 (2,380)
-29%
3379
67.2
The Grudge 2
Sony
7.7 (2,400)
-64%
3214
31.4
Flicka
Fox
7.6 (2,650)
--
2877
7.6
Man of the Year
Uni
6.9 (2,750)
-44%
2522
22.4
Marie Antoinette
Sony
5.3 (6,150)
--
859
5.3
Texas Chainsaw: The Beginning
New Line
3.8 (1,470)
-51%
2569
36
The Marine
Fox
3.7 (1,440)
-49%
2545
12.5
The Guardian
BV
3.6 (1,410)
-39%
2558
46.5
The Nightmare Before Christmas 3-D
BV
3.2 (18,990)
--
168
3.2
Employee of the Month
Lions Gate
3.1 (1,430)
-41%
2141
24.1
One Night with the King
Gener8Xion
2.2 (2,400)
-47%
908
7.5
Jackass: Number Two
Par
1.5 (1,080)
-54%
1401
71
The Queen
Miramax
1.5 (15,250)
49%
99
3.8
The Illusionist
YF/FS/Odeon
.78 (1,320)
-43%
592
37.5
Facing the Giants
IDP
.73 (2,060)
-11%
355
5.2
Don
UTV
.63 (5,580)
113
0.63
Little Miss Sunshine
Fox Searchlight
.56 (1,530)
-34%
367
57.2
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$99.50
--
--
--
% Change (Last Year)
--
21%
--
--
--
% Change (Last Week)
--
-6%
--
--
--
Also debuting/expanding
The Last King of Scotland
Fox Searchlight
.42 (3,740)
-29%
113
1.9
Running with Scissors
Sony  
.23 (28,500)
--
8
0.23
Little Children
New Line
.23 (7,125)
171%
32
0.5
Infamous
WIP
.18 (1,020)
-59%
179
0.8
Jaan-E-Mann
Adlab
.12 (1,890)
--
65
0.12
Congorama
Christal
86,300 (3,200)
--
27
0.09
Sleeping Dogs Lie
IDP
10,500 (1,750)
--
6
0.01
51 Birch Street
Truly Indie
10,300 (5,150)
--
2
0.01
Jonestown
7th Art
7,920 (7,920)
--
1
0.01

Domestic Market Share: To October 22, 2006

Distributor
Gross
Mktshr
Sony (27) 1309.3 18.00%
Buena Vista (20) 1228.2 16.90%
Fox (21) 1019.8 14.00%
Paramount (13) 759.9 10.50%
Universal (18) 753.2 10.40%
Warner Bros. (18) 740.6 10.20%
Lions Gate (16) 244.7 3.40%
Weinstein Co. (13) 224.9 3.10%
New Line (11) 198.7 2.70%
Focus (11) 171.9 2.40%
Fox Searchlight (11) 157.1 2.20%
MGM (5) 87.5 1.20%
Sony Classics (19) 52.4 0.70%
FreeStyle (8) 50.7 0.70%
Other * (235) 264.2 3.60%
7263.1 100.00%

 

 


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