..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

The Summer Chart
September 17, 2006
September 4, 2006
August 27, 2006
August 20, 2006
August 13, 2006
August 6, 2006
July 30, 2006
July 23, 2006
July 16, 2006
July 9, 2006
July 2, 2006
June 25, 2006
June 18, 2006
June 11, 2006
June 4, 2006
May 29, 2006
May 21, 2006
May 14, 2006
May 7, 2006
April 30, 2006
April 23, 2006
April 16, 2006
April 9, 2006
April 2, 2006
March 26, 2006
March 19, 2006
March 12, 2006
March 5, 2006
Feb 26, 2006
Feb 20, 2006
Feb 10, 2006
Feb 4, 2006
Jan 29, 2006
Jan 22, 2006
Jan 16, 2006
Jan 8, 2006
Jan 2, 2006




September 24, 2006
Weekend Estimates
Top Domestic Grosses
Domestic Market Share

Jackass or No Jackass!

The American public has voted and in this cinematic deal or no deal the winner was clearly Jackass: Number Two with an estimated opening frame of $27.9 million. Debuting a distant second was the upscale Jet Li actioner Fearless at $9.8 million. The passed over included the First World War heroics of Flyboys with $5.2 million and the awards ballyhooed All the King’s Men at $3.7 million.

The session also featured a very good opening for The Science of Sleep of $350,000 from 14 venues.

Considering the performance of the previous cinematic Jackass and its relatively inexpensive cost to produce one can only ask why it took four years to produce a sequel. Expectations were that the new outing of outré, presumably real dumb antics would bow at about the same $23 million level as the 2002 edition. The unexpected franchise from the MTV corral is apt to be back for more but not necessarily better.

Fearless premiered in China late last year to great success and has amassed about $35 million from Asian and European exposure to date. Based on the real-life story of a famed and influential late 19 th century martial artist, the film has largely targeted an action crowd with no great effort to tap into potential art house crossover. It performed slightly better than expected.

Also surpassing expectations was Flyboys, though many presumed a Great War yarn of flying aces was destined to crash and burn. While by no means close to a hit, it nonetheless registered a noticeable if faint commercial pulse.

On the heals of the previous weekend’s soft revenues, ticket sales accelerated about 26% to $95 million. However, that was still 5% behind the 2005 box office when the $24.6 million debut of Flightplan was the top attraction.

Valiant efforts to turn All the King’s Men from a film maudit to a cause celebre clearly failed. The taint of a missed 2005 Oscar berth and gossip of considerable tinkering and additional filming translated into predominantly thumbs down verdicts from major critics. The public clearly accepted the summary judgment.

On the holdover front, Gridiron Gang and the animated Everyone’s Hero had impressive second weekends though the latter film’s poor opening would have required a box office boost to provide commercial solace. The news was dire for The Black Dahlia that followed a middling entry with a steep decline.

Alternative fair continues to be a strong option for movie goers with both The Illusionist and Little Miss Sunshine maintaining box office potency and performing well beyond industry predictions. Both films will shortly confront apples to apples options as the flow of award contender movies begins to enter the marketplace.

Though unfavorably compared to Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind, The Science of Sleep from the same director certainly received initial benefit of doubt. Its $25,000 plus theater average is a very good starting point.

The rest of the freshman class rendered mixed results including the animated Renaissance with a tepid $10,100 gross at two locations. Recent strong Bollywood box office could not be maintained by Khosla Ka Ghosla and the $19,000 single screen bow of the music doc American Hardcore while solid provides no hint for expansion prospects.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - September 22-24, 2006

Title
Distributor
Gross (avg)ge)
% chnge
Theaters
Cume
Jackass: Number Two
Par
27.9 (9,130)
x
3059
27.9
Fearless
Focus
9.8 (5,420)
x
1806
9.8
The Gridiron Gang 
Sony
9.6 (2,750)
-33%
3501
27.1
Flyboys
MGM
5.2 (2,580)
x
2033
5.2
Everyone's Hero
Fox
4.7 (1,610)
-23%
2898
11.5
The Black Dahlia
Uni
4.4 (1,960)
-56%
2236
17.2
All the King's Men
Sony
3.7 (2,460)
1514
3.7
The Illusionist
YF/FS/Odeon
3.3 (2,320)
-8%
1432
27.7
The Covenant
Sony
3.3 (1,220)
-31%
2678
20.3
Little Miss Sunshine
Fox Searchlight
2.8 (2,030)
-15%
1384
50.3
Invincible
BV
2.6 (1,120)
-37%
2331
54.8
The Last Kiss
Par
2.5 (1,850)
-46%
1359
8.5
Hollywoodland
Focus
1.4 (1,100)
-49%
1263
12.9
Barnyard
Par
1.3 (1,060)
-23%
1205
70.7
Talladega Nights
Sony
1.2 (1,000)
-36%
1167
146.7
Crank
Lions Gate
1.1 (930)
-57%
1228
26.6
The Wicker Man
WB
1.1 (740)
-50%
1451
22.5
Accepted
Uni
1.0 (1,110)
-32%
886
35.5
The Protector
Weinstein Co.
.93 (760)
-62%
1217
10.9
Pirates of Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
BV
.84 (1,190)
-35%
706
419.6
Step Up
BV
.63 (900)
-53%
700
64.5
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$89.30
x
x
x
% Change (Last Year)
x
-5%
x
x
x
% Change (Last Week)
x
26%
x
x
x
Also debuting/expanding
The Science of Sleep
WIP
.35 (25,070)
x
14
0.35
American Hardcore
Sony Classics
19,700 (19,700)
x
1
0.02
Khosla Ka Ghosla
UTV
17,200 (1,720)
x
10
0.02
Renaissance
Miramax
10,100 (5,050)
x
2
0.01
Solo con tu Pareja
IFC
3,600 (3,600)
x
1
0.01

Top Grossing Domestic Releases: To September 21, 2006

Title 
Distributor
Gross
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
BVI
418,786,083
Cars
BVI
243,150,464
X-Men: The Last Stand
Fox
234,351,765
The Da Vinci Code
Sony
217,964,158
Superman Returns
WB
198,145,682
Ice Age: The Meltdown
Fox
195,330,621
Over the Hedge
Par
155,285,311
Talladega Nights: Legend of Ricky Bobby
Sony
145,510,777
Click
Sony
137,172,494
Mission: Impossible III
Par
133,930,344
The Devil Wears Prada
Fox
123,322,396
The Break-Up
Uni
118,778,358
Scary Movie 4
Weinstein Co.
90,710,620
Failure to Launch
Par
88,915,704
Inside Man
Uni
88,593,474
The Pink Panther
Sony
83,137,123
The Chronicles of Narnia *
BV
82,270,870
Eight Below
BV
81,612,565
Nacho Libre
Par
80,341,196
You, Me and Dupree
Uni
75,338,030

Domestic Market Share: To September 21, 2006

Distributor (releases)
Gross
Percentage
Sony (24)
1183.8
17.60%
Buena Vista (19)
1175.1
17.50%
Fox (20)
1002.1
14.90%
Universal (17)
725.4
10.80%
Paramount (12)
680.7
10.10%
Warner Bros. (17)
671.5
10.00%
Weinstein Co. (11)
222.3
3.30%
Lions Gate (15)
220.4
3.30%
New Line (9)
165.2
2.40%
Fox Searchlight (9)
146.2
2.20%
Focus (10)
145.1
2.20%
MGM (3)
57.9
0.90%
Sony Classics (18)
51.8
0.80%
FreeStyle (7)
39.6
0.60%
Other * (205)
233.4
3.50%
* none greater than 0.05%
6720.5
100.00%

 

 


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