..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

June 18, 2006
June 11, 2006
June 4, 2006
May 29, 2006
May 21, 2006
May 14, 2006
May 7, 2006
April 30, 2006
April 23, 2006
April 16, 2006
April 9, 2006
April 2, 2006
March 26, 2006
March 19, 2006
March 12, 2006
March 5, 2006
Feb 26, 2006
Feb 20, 2006
Feb 10, 2006
Feb 4, 2006
Jan 29, 2006
Jan 22, 2006
Jan 16, 2006
Jan 8, 2006
Jan 2, 2006




June 25, 2006
Weekend Estimates
Worldwide Grosses
Domestic Market Share

Click ... Clack ...

The Adam Sandler fantasy-comedy Click bowed to an estimated $39.7 million to top weekend movie going charts. However, the frame's big surprise was an unexpectedly potent debut for the urban thriller Waist Deep of $9.2 million that ranked fourth in the lineup. And another puzzler was Wordplay that filled in the blank spaces in 45 niche engagements.

Despite tracking reports that suggested a $40 million debut for Click, exhibition sources remained confident the Adam Sandler vehicle would surpass polling that historically rarely gets it right. It was a solid launch but in a season where the majority of high profile releases haven't quite lived up to expectations, the desire for a picture that hits it out of the ballpark has ramped up considerably.

Despite the upbeat advance word on Superman Returns, one senses a palpable anxiety about the picture's performance during the upcoming Independence holiday weekend. Even with the Pirates of the Caribbean sequel in the wings, the Man of Steel picture has been singled out as movie that could make or break the torrid summer season.

Waist Deep entered the fray with no more than a modest anticipation of genre strength that might translate into a $5 million gross. Unheralded and lacking a powerhouse ad campaign the yarn of kidnapping and revenge had all the markings of a summer programmer that would fill in the gaps between seasonal blockbusters. Though expected to have a steep sophomore frame drop, its opening salvo ensures it of a considerably enhanced theatrical vitality.

Weekend revenues should click in with roughly $140 million in ticket sales for a 12% decline from the immediate prior weekend. Box office was however 6% ahead of 2005 when the second frame of Batman Returns grossed $27.6 million and the premiere of Bewitched ranked second with $20.1 million.

Sophomore frames of both Nacho Libre and The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift experienced steep drops of around 60% while The Lake House and Garfield sequel proved more resilient with erosion of less than 40%. The session also inducted The Break-Up into the now over populated $100 million club and both A Prairie Home Companion and An Inconvenient Truth continued to hold their own as alternative multiplex fare.

New entries in niche play included respectable debuts for the docudrama The Road to Guantanamo and the indie entry The Great New Wonderful. There was also encouraging single screen bows for Wassup Rockers and the concert-profile outing Leonard Cohen: I'm Your Man.

However, the appeal of Wordplay uttered nary a cross word. Upping the ante from two to 45 locations, the favorite American pastime translated well from newspaper to big screen with an average of almost $7,000 and a weekend gross of roughly $310,000. It definitely is shaping up as a commercial successor to spelling bee outing Spellbound and a challenge for an aficionado producer to adapt into a fiction movie.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - June 23-25, 2006

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change
Theaters
Cume
Click
Sony
39.7 (10,550)
-
3749
39.7
Cars
BV
22.9 (5,790)
-32%
3949
156.2
Nacho Libre
Par
11.9 (3,860)
-58%
3083
52.4
Waist Deep
Focus
9.2 (9,140)
-
1004
9.2
Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drifr
Uni
9.1 (3,010)
-62%
3030
42.5
The Lake House
WB
8.3 (3,150)
-39%
2645
29.3
The Break-Up
Uni
6.1 (2,080)
-38%
2907
103.7
Garfield: A Tale of Two Kitties
Fox
4.8 (1,600)
-34%
2981
16.1
X-Men: The Last Stand
Fox
4.5 (1,850)
-43%
2408
224.1
The Da Vinci Code
Sony
3.9 (2,060)
-25%
1911
205.5
Over the Hedge
Par
2.8 (1,370)
-37%
2007
144.5
A Prairie Home Companion
Picturehouse
2.2 (2,870)
-24%
752
12.4
The Omen
Fox
2.1 (990)
-63%
2107
52
An Inconvenient Truth
Par Classics
1.9 (3,660)
-2%
514
9.5
Mission: Impossible III
Par
.74 (1,340)
-45%
552
131.5
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$130.00
-
-
-
% Change (Last Year)
-
6%
-
-
-
% Change (Last Week)
-
-12%
-
-
-
Also debuting/expanding
Wordplay
IFC
.31 (6,930)
845%
45
0.36
The Road to Guantanamo
IDP
60,400 (4,030)
-
15
0.06
The Great New Wonderful
First Indeendent
38,500 (4,810)
-
8
0.04
Wassaup Rockers
First Look
29,050 (29,050)
-
1
0.03
Leonard Cohen: I'm Your Man
Lions Gate
16,700 (16,700)
-
1
0.02
Two Drifters
Strand
5,600 (5,600)
-
1
0.01
The Hidden Blade
Tartan
4,200 (4,200)
-
1
0.01

Top Limited Grosses: January 1 - June 22, 2006

Match Point
DmWks
23,052,317
Deep Sea 3-D
WB
11,861,080
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Weinstein Co.
10,662,712
Transamerica
Weinstein Co.
8,771,637
Good Night, and Good Luck
WIP
8,203,593
An Inconvenient Truth
Par Classics
7,613,606
Magnificent Desolation
Imax
6,496,800
The World's Fastest Indian
Magnolia
5,120,660
Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada
Sony Classics
4,996,040
The Libertine
Weinstein Co.
4,773,768
Cache (Hidden)
Sony Class/Alliance
3,732,437
Roving Mars
BV
3,729,400
Keeping Up with the Steins
Mrmx
3,506,924
Wild Safari 3-D
nWave
3,190,581
Tsotsi
Mrmx
2,905,200
Water
Fox SearchMongrel
2,834,463
La Mujer de Mi Hermano
Lions Gate
2,808,241
The Squid and the Whale
IDP
2,324,489
Rang De Basanti
UTV
2,197,694
Brick
Focus
1,936,248
 does not include 2005 box office |  none greater than 522 theaters

Domestic Market Share: January 1 - June 15, 2006

Fox (15)
768.9
18.50%
Sony (16)
695.6
16.70%
Buena Vista (16)
525.6
12.60%
Paramount (9)
479.3
11.50%
Universal (12)
476.4
11.40%
Warner Bros. (12)
321.4
7.70%
Weinstein Co. (9)
190.9
4.60%
Lions Gate (11)
166.2
4.00%
New Line (7)
119.1
2.90%
Focus (7)
101.5
2.40%
Fox Searchlight (7)
95.7
2.30%
Sony Classics (13)
47.3
1.10%
DreamWorks (3)
24.7
0.60%
MGM (1)
22.5
0.50%
Other * (147)
132.6
3.20%
* none greater than 0.4%
4167.7
100.00%

 

 


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