..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

June 18, 2006
June 11, 2006
June 4, 2006
May 29, 2006
May 21, 2006
May 14, 2006
May 7, 2006
April 30, 2006
April 23, 2006
April 16, 2006
April 9, 2006
April 2, 2006
March 26, 2006
March 19, 2006
March 12, 2006
March 5, 2006
Feb 26, 2006
Feb 20, 2006
Feb 10, 2006
Feb 4, 2006
Jan 29, 2006
Jan 22, 2006
Jan 16, 2006
Jan 8, 2006
Jan 2, 2006




June 18, 2006
Weekend Estimates
Worldwide Grosses
Domestic Market Share

High Gear .. with Salsa

Cars maintained the lead in weekend movie going with an estimated $31.5 million but it definitely had competition. Freshman entries Nacho Libre with Jack Black and The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift rang up impressive numbers of $27.5 million and $23.9 million respectively. Other new entries ranked high in the pecking order with good results for the eerily romantic The Lake House in fourth spot with $13.8 million and Garfield: A Tale of Two Kitties disappointing with $7.2 million.

Overall box office approached $150 million for a nice bump of 8% from 2005 when Batman Begins bowed to $48.7 million. However, revenues declined by 5% from the prior weekend.

Cars saw its gross decline by 48% in its second weekend but still raced past $100 million after nine days in theaters. Disney announced that it was the company's 50th film to reach that milestone in its 50th anniversary. However, the boast isn't quite true as it only covers box office since 1982 and doesn't include such films as Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs or 101 Dalmatians.

Nacho Libre lived up to expectations it would be the top grossing new film in the marketplace but fell slightly short of an anticipated $30 million weekend. The oddball Jack Black comedy drew heavily on a young male crowd as did the third entry in The Fast and the Furious that exceeded tracking expectations. Both films also had strong appeal among minority audiences and both experienced box office declines on Saturday from opening day.

Industry spit balling is rationalizing the drops to an audience motivated to see films on opening day. However, it's also possible we're seeing a slight effect from World Cup fever. Though Football mania in America is tame alongside the frenzy in Europe and Latin territories, both Nacho and Drift had more than 30% of their audiences composed of Hispanics according to opening day exit polling.

The Lake House, adapted from a Japanese hit movie, effectively tapped a distaff crowd. The combination of marquee value and content could translate into the sort of summer performance level experience two years ago by The Notebook.

The frame's head scratcher was the Garfield sequel. The appeal of the original indicated a considerably better commercial performance than occurred. It nonetheless had considerable competition from Cars and it's a curious decision that it was released just one week after the Pixar entry.

Among continuing releases, The Break-Up continues to surprise expectations of considerably steeper weekend box office declines. It's poised to exceed $100 million next weekend. The session also featured a good hold for A Prairie Home Companion and steady business for An Inconvenient Truth though industry pundits wonder how much more the latter film can be expanded beyond its current compliment of 404 theaters.

Incoming niche entries were once again few and largely undistinguished. The exception was Wordplay, the non-fiction paean to crossword addicts that grossed about $35,000 from three venues.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - June 16-18, 2006

Title
Distributor
Gross (average) % change Theaters Cume
Cars
BV
31.5 (7,900)
-48% 3988 114.8
Nacho Libre
Par
27.5 (8,950)
- 3070 27.5
Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drifr
Uni
23.9 (7,890)
- 3027 23.9
The Lake House
WB
13.8 (5,230)
- 2645 13.8
The Break-Up
Uni
9.6 (3,060)
-53% 3146 92
Garfield: A Tale of Two Kitties
Fox
7.2 (2,440)
- 2946 7.2
X-Men: The Last Stand
Fox
7.0 (2,500)
-56% 2812 215.4
The Omen
Fox
5.2 (1,910)
-67% 2723 46.8
The Da Vinci Code
Sony
5.0 (2,090)
-52% 2413 198.5
Over the Hedge
Par
4.0 (1,550)
-61% 2606 138.7
A Prairie Home Companion
Picturehouse
2.5 (3,250)
-45% 767 8.7
An Inconvenient Truth
Par Classics
1.7 (4,310)
16% 404 6.4
Mission: Impossible III
Par
1.2 (1,180)
-61% 1002 130
Poseidon
WB
.58 (790)
-68% 730 56.5
RV
Sony
.52 (780)
-73% 668 66.4
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$147.87
- -- -
% Change (Last Year)
-
8%
- - -
% Change (Last Week)
-
-5%
- - -
Also debuting/expanding
Wordplay
IFC
35,300 (11,760)
- 3 0.04
Loverboy
Thinkfilm
13,100 (3,270)
- 4 0.01
Only Human
Magnolia
8,050 (4,025)
- 2 0.01
Lower City
Palm
7,820 (7,820)
- 1 0.01
A/K/A Tommy Chong
Blue Chief
1,120 (1,120)
- 1 0.01

Worldwide Grosses: January 1 - June 15, 2006

X-Men: The Last Stand
Fox
208,398,600
Ice Age: The Meltdown
Fox
192,470,228
The Da Vinci Code
Sony
193,501,251
Over the Hedge
Par
134,708,468
Mission: Impossible III
Par
128,819,850
Scary Movie 4
Weinstein Co.
89,129,412
Failure to Launch
Par
88,579,458
Inside Man
Uni
88,231,285
Cars
BV
83,323,649
The Pink Panther
Sony
83,137,123
The Break-Up
Uni
82,429,015
The Chronicles of Narnia *
BV
82,270,870
Eight Below
BV
81,612,565
Brokeback Mountain *
Focus
70,615,735
V for Vendetta
WB
70,417,840
Big Momma's House 2
Fox
70,165,972
RV
Sony
65,908,796
Medea's Family Reunion
Lions Gate
63,445,832
Underworld: Evolution
Sony
62,615,442
King Kong *
Uni
59,422,439

* does not include 2005 box office

 

Domestic Market Share: January 1 - June 15, 2006

Fox (14) 737.1 18.70%
Sony (16) 686.1 17.40%
Buena Vista (16) 474.1 12.00%
Paramount (8) 429.5 10.90%
Universal (11) 427.6 10.90%
Warner Bros. (11) 298.8 7.60%
Weinstein Co. (9) 190.7 4.80%
Lions Gate (10) 165.8 4.20%
New Line (7) 118.9 3.00%
Focus (7) 101.4 2.60%
Fox Searchlight (7) 95.3 2.40%
Sony Classics (13) 47.1 1.20%
DreamWorks (3) 24.7 0.60%
MGM (1) 22.4 0.60%
Other * (144) 123.3 3.10%
* none greater than 0.5% 3942.8 100.00%

 

 


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