..Gary Dretzka
..
Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

March 19, 2006
March 12, 2006
March 5, 2006
Feb 26, 2006
Feb 20, 2006
Feb 10, 2006
Feb 4, 2006
Jan 29, 2006
Jan 22, 2006
Jan 16, 2006
Jan 8, 2006
Jan 2, 2006
Dec 26, 2005
Dec 18, 2005
Dec 11, 2005
Dec 4, 2005




April 9, 2006
Weekend Estimates
Domestic Market Share

Hot & Cold .. and Hot...

Despite a sharp 50% decline, Ice Age: The Meltdown remained the top draw in the marketplace with an estimated $34.2 million. Still there was unexpected heat from debuting fare including a potent second place finish for The Benchwarmers and a strong limited launch for Friends with Money. Overall it translated into a significant viewing increase from 2005.

New entries were prominent among viewing choices while last week's entries experienced precipitous drops. The Benchwarmers more than quenched the audience's taste for Lowbrow comedy with sales that had to make cable guy Larry envious. It debuted to approximately $20.1 million and a theater average of more than $6,000.

The heat was less intense for the dance marathon Take the Lead That ranked third with $12.4 million. The twisty ensemble thriller Lucky Number Slevin marked the umpteenth reincarnation of MGM and rendered just fair returns of $6.8 million. It appears that all the new offerings will experience rapid burns with even Ice Age 2 and The Inside Man taking sizeable weekly erosion that might be mistaken for stamina marked on the curve.

Weekend sales approached $115 million and couldn't compete with last weekend's animated Ice Age arrival. Grosses fell 19% but also had a considerable 34% boost from 2005 when the debut of Sahara let the frame with $18.1 million.

Ice Age: The Meltdown has provided an early taste for what's anticipated as a May box office bonanza. The film propelled Fox to the top of the market share chart and became the first $100 million grosser in its ninth day in theaters. However, it also underscores a fickle movie going climate in which the likes of ATL, Slither and Basic Instinct 2 barely register during their opening frame and then barely register.

A similar fate appears to be imminent for Phat Girlz that bowed to $2.9 million from 1,056 playdates.

Niche activity was enlivened by a socko bow for Friends with Money. It's hard to identify why the ensemble tale of Californians with rich people problems generated better than a $20,000 average from its initial exposure at 28 locations. But it nonetheless tapped into the zeitgeist. Easier to comprehend is how well Thank You for Smoking has sustained its slow roll out with box office up 41% with an average of about $7,500 from 300 clinics. Smoking is a clear alternative and an outrageous delight for upscale crowds.

There was also an upbeat expansion for the teen comic thriller Brick but it's still much too soon to gauge its ultimate appeal. Debuting limited releases were otherwise unimpressive with the Passover comedy When Do We Eat? generating about $130,000 from 48 seders and the tender adult romance On a Clear Day posting $18,600 at five venues. Festival favorite I Am a Sex Addict finally got some theatrical exposure as a result of a new initiative from IFC but immediately fell foul of Landmark's decision to pull a San Francisco engagement because its day-and-date strategy with pay-cable and DVD windows hit too close to home. Its two reporting theaters should finish the frame with slightly better than $11,000.

- by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates - April 7-9, 2006

Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change
Theaters
Cume
Ice Age: The Meltdown
Fox
34.2 (8,610)
-50%
3969
116.1
The Benchwarmers
Sony
20.1 (6,130)
-
3274
20.1
Take the Lead
New Line
12.4 (4,120) - 3009 12.4
Inside Man
Uni
9.3 (3,240) -40% 2867 66.2
Lucky Number Slevin
MGM
6.8 (3,410) - 1984 6.8
Failure to Launch
Par
4.0 (1,540) -38% 2616 79
ATL
WB
3.7 (2,330) -68% 1602 17.3
V for Vendetta
WB
3.3 (1,660) -47% 2003 62.2
Phat Girlz
Searchlight
2.9 (2,720) - 1056 2.9
Thank You for Smoking
Searchlight
2.3 (7,570) 41% 300 6.2
Stay Alive
BV
2.2 (1,180) -52% 1845 20.5
She's the Man
Par
2.1 (1,050) -52% 2026 29.8
Slither
Uni/TVA
1.5 (760) -55% 1946 6.4
Larry the Cable Guy: Health Inspector
Lions Gate
1.4 (950) -56% 1452 13.6
The Shaggy Dog
BV
1.1 (660) -65% 1701 55.6
Basic Instinct 2
Sony
1.0 (690) -68% 1453 5.2
The Hills Have Eyes
Searchlight
.63 (910) -67% 693 40.3
Friends with Money
Sony Classics
.57 (20,460) - 28 0.57
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)- $109.50 - - -
% Change (Last Year)
-
34% - - -
% Change (Last Week)
-
-19% - - -
Also debuting/expanding
Brick
Focus
.19 (9,140) 128% 21 0.31
When Do We Eat?
Thinkfilm
.13 (2,730) - 48 0.13
Kalamazoo
Reel
28,700 (5,730) - 5 0.03
On a Clear Day
Focus
18,600 (3,720) - 5 0.02
I Am a Sex Addict
IFC
11,100 (5,550) - 2 0.01

Top Limited Releases: January 1 - April 6, 2006

Match Point
DmWks
22,950,527
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Weinstein Co.
10,304,821
Transamerica
Weinstein Co.
8,504,425
Good Night, and Good Luck
WIP
8,203,593
Deep Sea 3-D
WB
4,786,059
The Libertine
Weinstein Co.
4,725,992
Three Burials of Melquiades Estrada
Sony Classics
4,598,069
The World's Fastest Indian
Magnolia
4,196,529
Thank You for Smoking
Fox Searchlight
3,883,977
Magnificent Desolation
Imax
3,621,301
Cache (Hidden)
Sony Class/Alliance
3,525,586
Roving Mars
BV
2,569,612
The Squid and the Whale
IDP
2,324,489
Rang De Basanti
UTV
2,197,694
Wild Safari 3-D
nWave
2,001,938
Tsotsi
Miramax
1,749,899
Night Watch
Fox Searchlight
1,458,707
The White Countess
Sony Classics
1,455,056
Neil Young: Heart of Gold
Par Classics
1,447,792
Why We Fight
Sony Classics
1,248,700
* none greater than 522 theaters

Domestic Market Share: January 1 - April 6, 2006

Distributor (releases)
Gross
Percentage
Fox (10)
321.8
14.90%
Sony (12)
321.6
14.90%
Buena Vista (12)
311.4
14.40%
Universal (8)
270.7
12.50%
Warner Bros. (10)
215.4
9.90%
Paramount (6)
146.2
6.80%
Lions Gate (6)
124.8
5.80%
Weinstein Co. (8)
100.6
4.60%
Focus (6)
99.3
4.60%
New Line (5)
75.1
3.50%
Fox Searchlight (5)
63.8
2.90%
Sony Classics (9)
28.4
1.30%
DreamWorks (3)
24.6
1.10%
Rocky Mountain (1)
11.9
0.60%
Other * (88)
48.4
2.20%
* none greater than 0.5%
2164
100.00%

 

 


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