..Gary Dretzka
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Noah Forrest
..Leonard Klady
..David Poland
..Douglas Pratt
..Ray Pride
..Kim Voynar
..Michael Wilmington

August 10, 2003
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January 5, 2003





Horror High: The Other American Wedding

You can't keep two bad men down. New Line's resurrected Freddy vs. Jason enlivened weekend movie going as it scared up a pleasingly potent estimated $36.3 million. Its performance was all the more surprising as competition from new releases was fierce and resulted in generally disappointing bows for three other freshman movies. NLC's specialty arm Fine Line also got a shot of good news with a dynamic opening round for its Sundance prized American Splendor in limited exclusives.

Overall weekend business was buoyant despite fears that the aftermath of power outages in such centers as New York, Toronto, Detroit and Cleveland would have significant impact on weekend viewing. The frame should generate about $145 million in ticket sales for a 4% boost from last weekend and a 37% rise from one year ago. In 2002, the second weekend of xXx continued in top spot with the launch of Blue Crush ranking third with $14.2 million.

The anecdotal data pertaining to attendance in black out areas indicates noticeable drops on Friday but upturns as the weekend progressed - akin to the cabin fever syndrome. Toronto and Detroit experienced the worst of it and, based on flash analysis, national business appears to have taken a modest 5% hit due to the juice out.

The pairing of venerable horror heavies from Nightmare on Elm Street and Friday the 13th began as a gag but its opening clout left its creators laughing … all the way to the bank. Though roundly trounced as a cynical, sub-standard fright fest by critics, it is a gimmick that worked commercially even with likely steep box office drops in the coming weeks. Monday studio meetings will be rife with ideas for future pairings that are likely to range from Jaws vs. Cujo to Spy Kids vs. Cody Banks and other very scary stuff.

The launch of Open Range received considerable scrutiny entering the weekend with pundits wondering chiefly if a western could bolster actor-director Kevin Costner's career profile. Its near $14 million third place slotting provides a mixed message. The figure is low considering the media blitz accorded the picture but one senses the film could linger in the marketplace long enough to earn a respectable gross. And the sheer volume of attention has to be an affirmation of interest in Costner.

The tub-thumping for the cute comedy Uptown Girls resulted in no better than fair results of $11.3 million while the teencentric Grind was on the fast track to its second window video life with $2.6 million.

The $25,000 screen average from six venues for the critically lauded American Splendor, a true film eccentric that mixes fact and fiction on Crumb crony Harvey Pekar, bodes well for the niche pic. However, with the announcement of Warner Independent Pictures and a paucity of activity at Fine Line (it has Cannes winner Elephant set for the fall but passed on its first position option on Dogville) one wonders whether the label will be allowed to gear up its activities to a competitive level with other major specialized players.

The frame's other limited bow, IDP's Passionada, failed to translate thumbs up response to B.O. appeal. The quirky romantic comedy grossed about $110,000 from 76 locations. Specialized expansions of Le Divorce, Dirty Pretty Things, The Secret Lives of Dentists and the non-fiction Step Into Liquid maintained commercial stamina but the offbeat teen musical Camp was experiencing signs of slowing.

Holdover titles were generally keeping their ground with Disney's Pirates of the Caribbean advancing to third place among the year's top box office performers. It will have a considerable challenge to close the $30 million edge second place Matrix Reloaded presently enjoys.

When $100 Million is Not Enough!

Creating an amazing degree of buzz among distributors and exhibitors are current and upcoming efforts to push Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle and The Italian Job to domestic tallies of more than $100 million. Even reps of the studios involved have admitted (off the record) that the effort to generate $5 million or less at this late stage of theatrical exploitation is cost inefficient.

However, the psychological drive to attain that figure is Pavlovian and irresistible even if it's also bad business. And putting aside questionable accounting and suspicions of phantom engagements, many efforts - including the current Daddy Day Care - in reality fall short of hitting 9-figures despite official studio reporting.

In truth, films today have to gross between $105 million and $107 million to reach a vaunted $100 million box office. No, it's not binary mathematics. Somewhere between 7% and 11% of most domestic releases gross comes from Canadian engagements but that part of the revenue is reported at par with U.S. currency rather than converted to its actual value. Of course, when it comes to profit participation, Canuck bucks get their true due.


- by Leonard Klady

 

 


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