|

No Joy In Mudville
The refrain
of "Take Me Out to the Ball Game" echoes but it wasn't
simply America's pastime that kept movie goers away from theaters.
It was also barbeques and a sluggish economy that's rather consistently
seen the season flagging behind the 2002 bounty.
The arrival
of big gun sequels to The Terminator and Legally Blonde
and a swashbuckling animated adventure were not enough to bolster
attendance, and weekend figures sank 14% from last year's July
4th holiday frame. A year ago it was also sequel season with Men
in Black II leading off with a $52 million and $87 million
5-day cume, or roughly 19% stronger than Terminator 3: Rise
of the Machines.
However, T3,
unlike MIB II, had incoming competition. So, charitably
one could argue that it performed comparably. Warner Bros. is
noting that the estimated $44 million plus 3-day gross is second
only to The Matrix Reloaded for an R-rated debut.
Over at MGM,
Legally Blonde 2: Red, White & Blonde bowed to $21.2 million
(the studio has a decidedly more aggressive $22.9 million estimate)
with a $38.1 million cume. Its spin is that the film has a 44%
better opening that the first outing.
Despite considerable
spinning, neither film bowed with quite the anticipated firepower
tracking suggested. And when one tosses in last weekend's low
ball debut of Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle (and a 63%
drop in its second weekend) and the rapid descent of The Hulk,
a shudder goes out through the industry that expectations for
summer's remaining high profile movies may have to be lowered
one or two notches.
What should
be of utmost concern is that the season to date has yet to generate
a truly unexpected success. While several films including Daddy
Day Care and The Italian Job have fared better than
expected and maintained theaters, neither is performing to a radically
more potent degree like, say, the first Legally Blonde.
The holiday's
third freshman - DreamWork's animated Sinbad: Legend of the
Seven Seas - emerged as another instant casualty with a $6.6
million weekend and a cume just shy of $10 million. It will hardly
shiver the timbers of Wednesday's launch of Pirates of the
Caribbean. Meanwhile, Disney/Pixar's Finding Nemo continues
to push toward a $300 million domestic gross and this weekend
passed The Matrix Reloaded as summer's top grosser but
will be well shy of the $400 plus generated in 2002 by Spider-Man.
In the specialized
arena, Focus generated truly dynamic numbers for its Cannes-preemed
mystery Swimming Pool. The company was very effective in
building a profile amid the hoopla accorded the high-powered competition
and rang up roughly $300,000 from a mere 13 theaters.
Unlike the
mainstream scenario, the summer has been rife with surprise for
alternative fare, particularly non-fiction films including Spellbound,
Winged Migration and Capturing the Friedmans. Foreign-language
hits have included Man on the Train and L'Auberge Espagnole
and, in Canada, they've had two homegrown successes with Mambo
Italiano and The Invasion of the Barbarians.
Add to that
group Whale Rider from New Zealand that's been doing a
slow roll out, adding about 50 screens for the holiday and grossing
$1.2 million. Unlike the still in release Bend It Like Beckham,
Newmarket has a hard decision to make as to whether it should
push for a radical expansion and risk being clobbered by the mainstream
competition.
The one sector
not being repped on the alternative side is American independents.
While many have opened since May, most have quickly sputtered
and fizzled and that has to be causing a great deal of concern
for producers on the parallel track.
- by Leonard
Klady
|