Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for January, 2018

Friday Box Office Estimates

Hollywood leaves the weekend to holdovers, with just the final Maze Runner opening wide. Hostiles expands and finds some buyers, but didn’t have the Oscar rocket fuel it had hoped for. The Shape of Water expands into the Top 10, joining The Post as the only Best Picture nominees in the 10.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

This is the weekend where Split opened to $40 million last year and xXx3 to $20 million. Nothing like that this year. Although a horror film, Split had a strong appeal to women. 12 Strong and Den of Thieves, no. The one female reach-out, Forever My Girl, looking like warmed-over Nicholas Sparks, is on only 1,115 screens and may be adversely affected by The Women’s March. These three new titles will not gross as much this weekend as the opening of Split last year. Oscar expansions should turn up in the Top 10 next week, following nominations. But there’s no big opener until February 9.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Jumanji continues as king of the jungle. The Post expands pretty much as expected. Liam Neeson and Jaume Collet-Serra team up again and do a little better than Run All Night, but not as well as Non-Stop. Proud Mary comes up short of tracking, but not as badly as it probably deserves. And Paddington 2 starts slow, but should pop up to #4 for the weekend as kids flood the room today and tomorrow.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

The first weekend of 2018 is already stronger than the first weekend of 2017, led by a single newcomer, Insidious 4, whose Friday gross is about 2.5x last year’s first release, Underworld 5. Likewise, top holdover Jumanji 2 is about 25% stronger than last year’s Hidden Figures. And Star Wars: The Last Jedi is about 10% ahead of Rogue One, both on their 22nd day, as TLJ heads to something around $625 million domestic, aka #5 all-time domestic. Molly’s Game and Darkest Hour expand significantly while a few still-limited awards hopefuls expand incrementally.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom * 58.6 4475 NEW 58.6
Incredibles 2 24.4 4410 -54% 293.9
Ocean's 8 3.4 3656 -42% 92.1
Tag 2.4 3382 -56% 24.6
Deadpool 2 1.5 2420 -37% 300.4
Solo: A Star Wars Story 1.2 2338 -52% 199.3
Hereditary 1.1 2002 -51% 32.3
Superfly 0.95 2220 -49% 12.9
Avengers: Infinity War 0.7 1456 -52% 667.7
Won't You Be My Neighbo? 0.55 348 73% 2.8
* includes previews
Also Debuting
The Catch Was a Spy 25,900 48
My 2 Mommies 18,300 20
Tik Tik Tik 15,200 33
Lobster Cop 12,600 12
The Accidental Detective 2: In Action 11,100 10
Asees 10,100 15
The King 8,500 2
Boundaries 7,800 5
Damsel 6,100 3
Izzy Gets the F*ck Across Town 4,300 16
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4