Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for January, 2018

Friday Box Office Estimates

Hollywood leaves the weekend to holdovers, with just the final Maze Runner opening wide. Hostiles expands and finds some buyers, but didn’t have the Oscar rocket fuel it had hoped for. The Shape of Water expands into the Top 10, joining The Post as the only Best Picture nominees in the 10.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

This is the weekend where Split opened to $40 million last year and xXx3 to $20 million. Nothing like that this year. Although a horror film, Split had a strong appeal to women. 12 Strong and Den of Thieves, no. The one female reach-out, Forever My Girl, looking like warmed-over Nicholas Sparks, is on only 1,115 screens and may be adversely affected by The Women’s March. These three new titles will not gross as much this weekend as the opening of Split last year. Oscar expansions should turn up in the Top 10 next week, following nominations. But there’s no big opener until February 9.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Jumanji continues as king of the jungle. The Post expands pretty much as expected. Liam Neeson and Jaume Collet-Serra team up again and do a little better than Run All Night, but not as well as Non-Stop. Proud Mary comes up short of tracking, but not as badly as it probably deserves. And Paddington 2 starts slow, but should pop up to #4 for the weekend as kids flood the room today and tomorrow.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

The first weekend of 2018 is already stronger than the first weekend of 2017, led by a single newcomer, Insidious 4, whose Friday gross is about 2.5x last year’s first release, Underworld 5. Likewise, top holdover Jumanji 2 is about 25% stronger than last year’s Hidden Figures. And Star Wars: The Last Jedi is about 10% ahead of Rogue One, both on their 22nd day, as TLJ heads to something around $625 million domestic, aka #5 all-time domestic. Molly’s Game and Darkest Hour expand significantly while a few still-limited awards hopefuls expand incrementally.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Rampage * 11.5 4101 NEW 11.5
A Quiet Place 10.5 3589 -29% 77.5
Truth or Dare 8.2 3029 NEW 8.2
Blockers 3.2 3418 -52% 29.6
Ready Player One 2.9 3661 -57% 106.3
Isle of Dogs 1.5 1939 7% 15
Black Panther 1.4 2180 -40% 669.9
I Can Only Imagine 1.1 2563 -50% 72.2
Acrimony 1.1 1332 -57% 35.2
Chappaquiddick 0.85 1645 -56% 8.8
* includes previews
Also Debuting
Beirut 0.48 755
Sgt. Stubby 0.27 1633
Indian Horse 0.12 97
October 74,800 132
Golak Bugni Bank te Batua 44,400 33
Mercury 31,200 87
Grace Jones: Bloodlight and Bami 15,500 3
Veneno 15,400 17
Cake 14,400 33
Borg vs. McEnroe 13,500 45
The Rider 11,600 3
La Terre vue du coeur 11,300 4
Le Promesse de l'aube 7,100 9
Gonjiam: Haunted Asylum 6,400 2
Krystal 6,300 79
Aardvark 4,300 27
Zama 2,500 2
Hitler's Hollywood 2,100 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4