Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for June, 2017

Friday Box Office Estimates

It’s not pretty, but the projections on Transformers 5 are pretty much on target at this point… slightly low. Even people in Iowa know that the movie is waiting for international to take it from relative zero to an uncomfortable hero. Drops for Cars 2, Wonder Woman, and Pirates 5 are looking pretty good for the weekend. The Beguiled will do boffo per-screen on four… high 50k, low 60k. But the king of indie this weekend is The Big Sick, which could end up doing $70k per screen on five.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Cars 3 opens to almost exactly the same Friday number as Cars, while the whole enterprise looks to international and merchandising to make the effort worth Pixar and Disney’s while. Meanwhile, All Eyez on Me reminds us that a 24 on Rotten Tomatoes doesn’t matter if there are people predisposed to see the movie. Byron Allen’s new distribution venture opens 47 Meters Down to about two-thirds of what The Shallows opened to… which will likely be seen as a win in some quarters. And Rough Night lived up to its title at the box office.

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Friday Estimates

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Friday Box Office Estimates

She’s a wonder, Wonder Woman. There are a lot of ways to dissect the opening of Wonder Woman, the first non-Batman/Superman standalone character film in the DC Cinematic Universe. The broadest one is that this will be the smallest opening of the four films under Zach Snyder, but may well be the biggest domestic grosser when all is said and done… because “average moviegoers” actually like it. The film may also skew the gender balance of ticket buyers, which would add to audience count, not detract.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 6.1 3849 -43% 262.2
The Post 5.9 2819 1083% 10.4
The Commuter 4.5 2892 NEW 4.5
Insidious: The Last Key 3.4 3150 -73% 39.6
Proud Mary 3.1 2125 NEW 3.1
The Greatest Showman 3.1 2938 -26% 85.8
Star Wars: The Last Jedi 2.7 3090 -59% 582.9
Paddington 2 2.4 3702 NEW 2.4
Pitch Perfect 3 1.4 2505 -57% 90.4
Darkest Hour 1.2 1693 -32% 32.4
Also Debuting
Thaanaa Serndha Kootam 91,650 89
Agnyaathavaasi - Prince in Exile 89,100 353
Condorito 52,600 153
Jai Simha 34,900 78
Ang Panday 27,600 43
Mukabaaz 13,300 17
Sketch 9,900 55
Ang Larawan 8,700 14
Parchi 6,350 35
The Insult 5,700 3
Acts of Violence 3,400 12
Lover for a Day 2,900 1
Saturday Church 2,300 2
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4