Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for October, 2016

Friday Box Office Estimates

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Tyler Perry puts on the Madea face again, this time with numbers slightly behind the last two big hits but well above the most recent Madea, which was Santa soft. Look for a weekend number in the low 20s. The return of Jack Reacher was met by action yawns, though it was a 74% better start than the first in the series, which makes its profits internationally. Did we need a second Ouija? Apparently not. But it will still make money. And Keeping Up With The Joneses tanked. Not a great movie, but much better than that. Four terrific performers who can’t open a movie.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Accounting for taste, Ben Affleck’s latest (and unlikely to be last) super-genius fantasy, The Accountant tallies $9 million. Kevin Hart shouts his way to $4.7 million with What Now, while Girl on the Train tracks to a 58% dropoff, for $3.9 million and a $38.5 million cume.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

The train! The train!

Solid opening, but not overwhelming. About 30% off of Gone Girl… which still (projected out) makes GOTT a $100m domestic grosser. Birth of a Nation opens to a tepid number. Could get to a domestic gross total that matches the Sundance purchase price, which could cover marketing. Slightly better opening than Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life, the worst performing wide opening of the week.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Tim Burton’s latest tops Peter Berg’s latest, neither world beaters, but not flops either. And the resurrected Relativity rolls out Masterminds a year later than pallned… and gets a classic Relativity weak reception, even with the promotion of Kate McKinnon and Leslie Jones to star status (which they don’t have).

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Crazy Rich Asians 7.2 3384 NEW 16
The Meg 5.8 4118 -64% 68.4
Mile 22 5.2 3520 NEW 5.2
Alpha 3.3 2719 NEW 3.3
Mission: Impossible - Fallout 3 3482 -44% 173.2
Christopher Robin 2.6 3602 -29% 60.6
BlacKKKlansman 2 1788 -45% 18
Slender Man 1.4 2358 -71% 17.2
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again 1 2270 -41% 108.8
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation 1 2187 -32% 151.2
Also Debuting
Geetha Govindam 0.27 181
Gold 0.13 194
Kolamavu Kokila 49,000 54
The Wife 32,900 4
Mr. & Mrs. 420 Returns 27,900 31
Satyameva Jayate 27,000 43
Les As de la jungle 21,800 37
We the Animals 20,300 3
Europe Raiders 19,800 37
Juliet, Naked 19,400 4
Blaze 8,900 2
Down a Dark Hall 3,450 14
Memoir of War 3,200 2
Puppet Master: The Littlest Reich 2,700 16
Minding the Gap 2,600 4
A Whale of a Tale 1,900 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4