Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for August, 2016

Friday Box Office Estimates

Don’t Breathe scares up almost $10 million since Thursday night showings, while Suicide Squad snags $3.33 million. Jason Statham kicks out $3.3 million with Mechanic: Resurrection.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

A mediocre set of openings that fits perfectly with the time on the movie calendar. Suicide Squad continues to defy critics on its way to being the #3 all-time August release. And the arthouses aren’t looking very good, with only A Tale of Love and Darkness managing to crack the $10k per-screen bar for the weekend.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

The heroic fight by a hot dog to get deep into a bun before being stuck in someone’s mouth, Sausage Party, starts well, slightly better than Superbad opened in 2007. This includes strong Thursday night numbers, which brings into question what the multiple over the weekend will look like. The Friday number is identical to Friday 2 of Suicide Squad. So which one will have the worse multiple? It’s a race. Disney, which has so many amazing openings, can’t seem to get liftoff on non-Big 4 titles, even their best one in years, Pete’s Dragon. And Florence Foster Jenkins arrives with a $1,300 per-screen on a very specific but semi-wide 1528 screens. Not a flat note… but no high C.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

The critical gas wasn’t lethal, as Suicide Squad arrives to this summer’s second highest opening day. Even if the film is hamstrung by buzz, even X-Men:Apocalypse did 2.5x opening, which for Squad would mean a $162 million domestic start. Or use the Captain America: Civil War 2.37x Friday weekend as the measure and get to $154 million. Meanwhile, Nine Lives won’t open to nine million.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
12 Strong WB 5.6 3002 NEW
Den of Thieves STX/VVS 5.6 2432 NEW
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 4.8 3704 -21%
The Post Fox 3.5 2851 -41%
The Greatest Showman Fox 3 2823 -2%
The Commuter Lionsgate 2 2892 -57%
Insidious: The Last Key Uni 1.8 2546 -48%
Paddington 2 WB 1.8 3702 -27%
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV 1.6 2456 -41%
Forever My Girl Roadside Attractions 1.5 1115 NEW
Also Debuting
Mary and the Witch's Flower Gkids 0.31 149
Hochelaga, Terre des ames Seville 40,900 32
Colao Caribbean 36,100 7
A Better Tomorrow 2018 Media Asia 19,900 31
The Final Year Magnolia 18,900 28
The Road Movie Oscilloscope 5,800 14
Mom and Dad Momentum 5,500 50
Beuys Kino 3,400 1
Small Town Crime Saban 2,100 9
A Ciambra IFC 1,700 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4