Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for June, 2016

Friday Box Office Estimates

The world is under attack again… this time, it’s a blue fish swimming right through and past a Will Smith-less ID4-2. Finding Dory is way out in front of any animated film in domestic and will actually be the biggest 10-day grosser of the year at the end of this weekend, passing Captain America: Civil War. Dory is pretty much guaranteed to pass BvS: Apology Tour 1 to give Disney the Top 4 grossers of the year worldwide before August 1. Jaume Collet-Serra’s latest, The Shallows, opens right between his last two films, which starred Liam Neeson. Decent, but hardly a bell-ringer. Free State of Jones is another soft opener for STX, a company filled with veterans with smarts that picks hard-to-market movies that prove, repeatedly, to be hard to market. Swiss Army Man blows away all the other indie openers with a per-screen on three that looks to top $40k.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Finding Dory opens with a 34% bump over the previous best Pixar opening ever (Toy Story 3). Buy how will this be reflected in the 3-day gross, given the 2010 marketplace vs today’s? Based on last summer’s Minions, Dory is swimming towards $137m opening… but no one will know for sure until later today. A little Hart and a big Johnson pays off with an opening day slightly off of Hart’s top showing, Ride Along. Still, it should give WB its second weekend in a row with a $35m+ opening, its third such launch in a year with 5 titles opening between $9m and $20m. And Tickled has a shot at $10k per screen on two.

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Friday Estimates

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Friday Box Office Estimates

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation 16.6 4267 NEW 16.6
Skyscraper 9.2 3782 NEW 9.2
Ant-Man and the Wasp 8.4 4206 -63% 112.3
Incredibles 2 9.5 3705 -53% 524.2
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom 9.1 3695 -52% 352.2
The First Purge 3 3038 -50% 43.4
Sorry to Bother You 1.5 805 434% 2.5
Sicario: Day of the Soldado 1 2006 -55% 40.4
Uncle Drew 0.9 1702 -57% 34.4
Ocean's 8 0.85 1618 -50% 130.2
Also Debuting
Eighth Grade 91,900 4
Tamil Padam 2 53,200 61
RX 100 49,400 89
Soorma 46,700 50
Vadhayiyaan Ji Vadhayiyaan 41,600 35
Don't Worry He Won't Get Far on Foot 28,100 4
Kadaikutty Singham 21,600 73
Vijetha 9,800 68
Shock and Awe 8,900 64
Dark Money 2,600 1
The Devil's Doorway 2,200 14
What Will People Say 1,600 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4