Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for March, 2016

Friday Box Office Estimates

Klady has the Thursday-Friday estimate coming in behind Jurassic World. WB would prefer it to be reported as above. Either way, a strong opening day for Batman v Superman. Either way, the minimum target based on this opening day would be $175 million domestic. We are reminded once again that Batman opens.

Meanwhile, opening day for My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 does what the original MBFGW did in its first 6 weeks.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

The return of the Divergent series takes the top spot for the day, but will lose the weekend to the third weekend of fast and slow talking animals. Also opening, Miracle From Heaven, surprisingly not a remake of Overboard in which Batman gets knocked in the head hard and comes back to life on a boat with the hero of “Alias” in a white dress pretending to still be married to him. Top indie is Midnight Special, which should be over $30k per screen on five.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Zootopia looks to return March animation openings to serious business, chasing the March record ’06 open of Ice Age 2 (after that, Fox moved that franchise, ironically, to the summer). London Has Fallen has fallen about 25% off of the first of the franchise’s opening day as Focus releases the former FilmDistrict franchise soon after having schlesseled the top exec it came with. And the only good box office news for Whiskey Tango Foxtrot is that it will outgross Admission and not be Tina Fey’s worst starring launch.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
12 Strong WB 5.6 3002 NEW
Den of Thieves STX/VVS 5.6 2432 NEW
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 4.8 3704 -21%
The Post Fox 3.5 2851 -41%
The Greatest Showman Fox 3 2823 -2%
The Commuter Lionsgate 2 2892 -57%
Insidious: The Last Key Uni 1.8 2546 -48%
Paddington 2 WB 1.8 3702 -27%
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV 1.6 2456 -41%
Forever My Girl Roadside Attractions 1.5 1115 NEW
Also Debuting
Mary and the Witch's Flower Gkids 0.31 149
Hochelaga, Terre des ames Seville 40,900 32
Colao Caribbean 36,100 7
A Better Tomorrow 2018 Media Asia 19,900 31
The Final Year Magnolia 18,900 28
The Road Movie Oscilloscope 5,800 14
Mom and Dad Momentum 5,500 50
Beuys Kino 3,400 1
Small Town Crime Saban 2,100 9
A Ciambra IFC 1,700 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4