Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for October, 2014

Friday Box Office Estimates

Ouija will probably be the sole $20m-grosser for the weekend, though it is possible—as is often the case with horror films—that it drops so quickly that it comes up short. Good holds for Gone Girl And Disney’s Alexander, etc. Nice expansion for St. Vincent. And strong exclusive launches for Laggies and Citizenfour.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Fury rolls out to $8.8m on Friday, including over $1m on Thursday night. The two other openers are soft, though Book of Life could get a boost to a near-$19m weekend as family audiences land on Saturday. And Birdman soars on 4 screens, looking at $100k+ per-screen for the weekend. Also pulling more than $10k per screen for the weekend in exclusive release are The Tale of Princess Kaguya and Listen Up Philip.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Drac takes a bite out of Amazing Amy with an Untold $8.9 million to Gone Girl‘s $8.1. Sundance fave Whiplash brings the tempo with over $6,000 per at six jazz rooms. Feel-good pop-doc Meet The Mormons makes a surprising entry at number 10 with a $1.2 million gross.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Annabelle breaks out of the box with a $2.3 million Friday lead on Gone Girl, but history tells us that a horror movie will stall as the weekend progresses while a drama will stay strong, if not get stronger… so look for Gone Girl to win the weekend. Even with 2 strong newcomers, the holdover business is good, with The Equalizer down only 55% Friday-to-Friday, suggesting a hold in the high 40s for the weekend. There are also 2 weak mainstream newcomers; Freestyle’s Left Behind and a 17-screen launch of Men, Women & Children from Jason Reitman and Paramount.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 6.1 3849 -43% 262.2
The Post 5.9 2819 1083% 10.4
The Commuter 4.5 2892 NEW 4.5
Insidious: The Last Key 3.4 3150 -73% 39.6
Proud Mary 3.1 2125 NEW 3.1
The Greatest Showman 3.1 2938 -26% 85.8
Star Wars: The Last Jedi 2.7 3090 -59% 582.9
Paddington 2 2.4 3702 NEW 2.4
Pitch Perfect 3 1.4 2505 -57% 90.4
Darkest Hour 1.2 1693 -32% 32.4
Also Debuting
Thaanaa Serndha Kootam 91,650 89
Agnyaathavaasi - Prince in Exile 89,100 353
Condorito 52,600 153
Jai Simha 34,900 78
Ang Panday 27,600 43
Mukabaaz 13,300 17
Sketch 9,900 55
Ang Larawan 8,700 14
Parchi 6,350 35
The Insult 5,700 3
Acts of Violence 3,400 12
Lover for a Day 2,900 1
Saturday Church 2,300 2
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4