Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for October, 2014

Friday Box Office Estimates

Ouija will probably be the sole $20m-grosser for the weekend, though it is possible—as is often the case with horror films—that it drops so quickly that it comes up short. Good holds for Gone Girl And Disney’s Alexander, etc. Nice expansion for St. Vincent. And strong exclusive launches for Laggies and Citizenfour.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Fury rolls out to $8.8m on Friday, including over $1m on Thursday night. The two other openers are soft, though Book of Life could get a boost to a near-$19m weekend as family audiences land on Saturday. And Birdman soars on 4 screens, looking at $100k+ per-screen for the weekend. Also pulling more than $10k per screen for the weekend in exclusive release are The Tale of Princess Kaguya and Listen Up Philip.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Drac takes a bite out of Amazing Amy with an Untold $8.9 million to Gone Girl‘s $8.1. Sundance fave Whiplash brings the tempo with over $6,000 per at six jazz rooms. Feel-good pop-doc Meet The Mormons makes a surprising entry at number 10 with a $1.2 million gross.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Annabelle breaks out of the box with a $2.3 million Friday lead on Gone Girl, but history tells us that a horror movie will stall as the weekend progresses while a drama will stay strong, if not get stronger… so look for Gone Girl to win the weekend. Even with 2 strong newcomers, the holdover business is good, with The Equalizer down only 55% Friday-to-Friday, suggesting a hold in the high 40s for the weekend. There are also 2 weak mainstream newcomers; Freestyle’s Left Behind and a 17-screen launch of Men, Women & Children from Jason Reitman and Paramount.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Incredibles 2* 71.4 4410 NEW 71.4
Ocean's 8 5.9 4145 -62% 65.5
Tag 5.4 3382 NEW 5.4
Solo: A Star Wars Story 2.3 3182 -44% 186.1
Deadpool 2 2.3 3212 -40% 288.2
Hereditary 2.2 2998 -57% 22.3
Superfly 1.8 2220 NEW 4
Avengers: Infinity War 1.4 2164 -24% 660.3
Adrift 0.65 1929 -57% 25.4
Gotti 0.6 503 NEW 0.6
* includes Thursday opening
Also Debuting
Race 3 0.59 313
Sammohanam 0.1 121
Naa Nuvve 15,100 118
Eating Animals 12,200 2
7 Din Mohabbat In 8,900 31
Outez-moi d'un doute 2,900 11
Five Seasons: Gardens of Piet Oudolf 2,200 4
The Yellow Birds 2,000 14
The Year of Spectacular Men 1,800 11
Straight Into a Storm 1,800 1
Gabriel and the Mountain 1,500 2
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4