Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for September, 2014

Friday Box Office Estimates

The Equalizer opened right in the middle between Denzel Washington’s two biggest solo-star openers, The Book of Eli and Safe House, suggesting that this could be his third $100 million movie… and if not, just short of it. Also opening, The Boxtrolls, edgy stop-motion from Laika, featuring an amazing vocal performance by Sir Ben Kingsley. The opening day is slightly better than the last Laika, Paranorman, which suggests that the trick to pushing these films over $100m domestic still has not been solved.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Fox is back for another dip in the YA pond with The Maze Runner and the results are a touch better than the first Percy Jackson entry. Liam Neeson is five years into his role as the man from whom people should not be taken… and this looks to be his weakest wide opening (with one 2010 exception) since then. And ensemble comedy This Is Where I Leave You(formerly “The J Word”) is another soft opening in a year of soft openings for WB, their weakest since Transcendence. Yellow Day and Hector & The Search For Happiness will have the best per-screen among runs under 130 screens.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

When Sony made the decision not to screen No Good Deed for critics, it pissed off critics and didn’t bother ticket buyers one little bit. Idris Elba, staked by Thor, PacRim, and a series of Screen Gems doozies that have opened well, gets out of the box strong (like it or not). Meanwhile, Dolphin Tale 2, which is a WB output deal movie, opens about 18% behind the original, which projects to a $15.5m weekend. Meanwhile, The Guardians have hit $300 million domestic (#1 US) and is closing in on $600m worldwide (#8).

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Friday Estimates

Consider the Universe guarded for at least one… more… week.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Crazy Rich Asians 7.2 3384 NEW 16
The Meg 5.8 4118 -64% 68.4
Mile 22 5.2 3520 NEW 5.2
Alpha 3.3 2719 NEW 3.3
Mission: Impossible - Fallout 3 3482 -44% 173.2
Christopher Robin 2.6 3602 -29% 60.6
BlacKKKlansman 2 1788 -45% 18
Slender Man 1.4 2358 -71% 17.2
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again 1 2270 -41% 108.8
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation 1 2187 -32% 151.2
Also Debuting
Geetha Govindam 0.27 181
Gold 0.13 194
Kolamavu Kokila 49,000 54
The Wife 32,900 4
Mr. & Mrs. 420 Returns 27,900 31
Satyameva Jayate 27,000 43
Les As de la jungle 21,800 37
We the Animals 20,300 3
Europe Raiders 19,800 37
Juliet, Naked 19,400 4
Blaze 8,900 2
Down a Dark Hall 3,450 14
Memoir of War 3,200 2
Puppet Master: The Littlest Reich 2,700 16
Minding the Gap 2,600 4
A Whale of a Tale 1,900 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4