Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for September, 2014

Friday Box Office Estimates

The Equalizer opened right in the middle between Denzel Washington’s two biggest solo-star openers, The Book of Eli and Safe House, suggesting that this could be his third $100 million movie… and if not, just short of it. Also opening, The Boxtrolls, edgy stop-motion from Laika, featuring an amazing vocal performance by Sir Ben Kingsley. The opening day is slightly better than the last Laika, Paranorman, which suggests that the trick to pushing these films over $100m domestic still has not been solved.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Fox is back for another dip in the YA pond with The Maze Runner and the results are a touch better than the first Percy Jackson entry. Liam Neeson is five years into his role as the man from whom people should not be taken… and this looks to be his weakest wide opening (with one 2010 exception) since then. And ensemble comedy This Is Where I Leave You(formerly “The J Word”) is another soft opening in a year of soft openings for WB, their weakest since Transcendence. Yellow Day and Hector & The Search For Happiness will have the best per-screen among runs under 130 screens.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

When Sony made the decision not to screen No Good Deed for critics, it pissed off critics and didn’t bother ticket buyers one little bit. Idris Elba, staked by Thor, PacRim, and a series of Screen Gems doozies that have opened well, gets out of the box strong (like it or not). Meanwhile, Dolphin Tale 2, which is a WB output deal movie, opens about 18% behind the original, which projects to a $15.5m weekend. Meanwhile, The Guardians have hit $300 million domestic (#1 US) and is closing in on $600m worldwide (#8).

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Friday Estimates

Consider the Universe guarded for at least one… more… week.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
12 Strong WB 5.6 3002 NEW
Den of Thieves STX/VVS 5.6 2432 NEW
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 4.8 3704 -21%
The Post Fox 3.5 2851 -41%
The Greatest Showman Fox 3 2823 -2%
The Commuter Lionsgate 2 2892 -57%
Insidious: The Last Key Uni 1.8 2546 -48%
Paddington 2 WB 1.8 3702 -27%
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV 1.6 2456 -41%
Forever My Girl Roadside Attractions 1.5 1115 NEW
Also Debuting
Mary and the Witch's Flower Gkids 0.31 149
Hochelaga, Terre des ames Seville 40,900 32
Colao Caribbean 36,100 7
A Better Tomorrow 2018 Media Asia 19,900 31
The Final Year Magnolia 18,900 28
The Road Movie Oscilloscope 5,800 14
Mom and Dad Momentum 5,500 50
Beuys Kino 3,400 1
Small Town Crime Saban 2,100 9
A Ciambra IFC 1,700 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4