Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for November, 2013

Friday Box Office Estimates

Fire bests Frozen.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Pretty simple analysis… The Hunger Games: Catching Fire grossed more than 4x the rest of the Top 10 combined on Friday. Enuf said. Disney/Dreamworks’ The Delivery Man offers some alternative programming to the over-30s (in body or spirit) and is looking at about $7m for its trouble. The hope, no doubt, is that once the fire stops catching quite as many people, there will be a nice Thanksgiving haul… but still, this is the worst gross for a wide-release opening of Vince Vaughn’s entire career.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Fourteen years after the original The Best Man, the sequel is looking at nearly the same gross on opening weekend that the original took in its entire successful run. Meanwhile, Thor: The Dark World is doing fine, no matter what “place” it is in on the box office list, actually further ahead of the first in its series after 8 days than it was at the end of opening weekend.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Thor is back and his opening is about $5m better than the last time he showed up, 2 years ago. Disney is being conservative in projecting the 3-day, but the improvement, opening weekend to opening weekend, looks like it will be 10% – 15%. If that holds through the run, the film would land around the $500m worldwide level… which is strong, but not overwhelming considering the expense of these films.

The expansion of 12 Years A Slave continues, and on 1144 screens, it will be a $5m+ weekend as the film passes the $15m domestic mark.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Lionsgate’s latest shot at A Franchise, Ender’s Game, gets off to a solid start. We’ll see how it plays on Saturday. 52% off for Bad Grandpa is actually pretty good for that kind of film. CBS launches Horny Grandpas (aka Lost Vegas) to an okay-ish number. And Relativity’s animated knock-off of Angry Birds doesn’t fly. Focus sends Dallas Buyers Club out on 9 screens for a reasonably good $20k per screen for the weekend. About Time and Diana get roughed up, allowing themselves to look more like VOD releases than major theatricals.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
12 Strong WB 5.6 3002 NEW
Den of Thieves STX/VVS 5.6 2432 NEW
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 4.8 3704 -21%
The Post Fox 3.5 2851 -41%
The Greatest Showman Fox 3 2823 -2%
The Commuter Lionsgate 2 2892 -57%
Insidious: The Last Key Uni 1.8 2546 -48%
Paddington 2 WB 1.8 3702 -27%
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV 1.6 2456 -41%
Forever My Girl Roadside Attractions 1.5 1115 NEW
Also Debuting
Mary and the Witch's Flower Gkids 0.31 149
Hochelaga, Terre des ames Seville 40,900 32
Colao Caribbean 36,100 7
A Better Tomorrow 2018 Media Asia 19,900 31
The Final Year Magnolia 18,900 28
The Road Movie Oscilloscope 5,800 14
Mom and Dad Momentum 5,500 50
Beuys Kino 3,400 1
Small Town Crime Saban 2,100 9
A Ciambra IFC 1,700 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4