Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for November, 2013

Friday Box Office Estimates

Fire bests Frozen.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Pretty simple analysis… The Hunger Games: Catching Fire grossed more than 4x the rest of the Top 10 combined on Friday. Enuf said. Disney/Dreamworks’ The Delivery Man offers some alternative programming to the over-30s (in body or spirit) and is looking at about $7m for its trouble. The hope, no doubt, is that once the fire stops catching quite as many people, there will be a nice Thanksgiving haul… but still, this is the worst gross for a wide-release opening of Vince Vaughn’s entire career.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Fourteen years after the original The Best Man, the sequel is looking at nearly the same gross on opening weekend that the original took in its entire successful run. Meanwhile, Thor: The Dark World is doing fine, no matter what “place” it is in on the box office list, actually further ahead of the first in its series after 8 days than it was at the end of opening weekend.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Thor is back and his opening is about $5m better than the last time he showed up, 2 years ago. Disney is being conservative in projecting the 3-day, but the improvement, opening weekend to opening weekend, looks like it will be 10% – 15%. If that holds through the run, the film would land around the $500m worldwide level… which is strong, but not overwhelming considering the expense of these films.

The expansion of 12 Years A Slave continues, and on 1144 screens, it will be a $5m+ weekend as the film passes the $15m domestic mark.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Lionsgate’s latest shot at A Franchise, Ender’s Game, gets off to a solid start. We’ll see how it plays on Saturday. 52% off for Bad Grandpa is actually pretty good for that kind of film. CBS launches Horny Grandpas (aka Lost Vegas) to an okay-ish number. And Relativity’s animated knock-off of Angry Birds doesn’t fly. Focus sends Dallas Buyers Club out on 9 screens for a reasonably good $20k per screen for the weekend. About Time and Diana get roughed up, allowing themselves to look more like VOD releases than major theatricals.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Rampage * 11.5 4101 NEW 11.5
A Quiet Place 10.5 3589 -29% 77.5
Truth or Dare 8.2 3029 NEW 8.2
Blockers 3.2 3418 -52% 29.6
Ready Player One 2.9 3661 -57% 106.3
Isle of Dogs 1.5 1939 7% 15
Black Panther 1.4 2180 -40% 669.9
I Can Only Imagine 1.1 2563 -50% 72.2
Acrimony 1.1 1332 -57% 35.2
Chappaquiddick 0.85 1645 -56% 8.8
* includes previews
Also Debuting
Beirut 0.48 755
Sgt. Stubby 0.27 1633
Indian Horse 0.12 97
October 74,800 132
Golak Bugni Bank te Batua 44,400 33
Mercury 31,200 87
Grace Jones: Bloodlight and Bami 15,500 3
Veneno 15,400 17
Cake 14,400 33
Borg vs. McEnroe 13,500 45
The Rider 11,600 3
La Terre vue du coeur 11,300 4
Le Promesse de l'aube 7,100 9
Gonjiam: Haunted Asylum 6,400 2
Krystal 6,300 79
Aardvark 4,300 27
Zama 2,500 2
Hitler's Hollywood 2,100 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4