Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for October, 2013

Friday Box Office Estimates

Bad Grandpa killed the Gravity star… Bad Grandpa killed the Gravity star…” Sing it! No real surprise here. The Jackass brand is golden in late September and October, the last Jackass film opening to $50 million in 2010. This “Jackass presents” film will not be that big, but it will probably be the second highest opener amongst all of their releases. Fox couldn’t get the Mexican drug cartel pirates to excite people like Somali pirates and saw this relatively weak opening coming a mile away.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Gravity continues to (bad pun) above the pack, as the remake of Carrie will likely end the weekend about $10m behind the Clooney’s unlikely sequel to Up In The Air, Up In The Lack of Air. (Or is it Ms. Bullock’s unlikely sequel to Speed? Too bad Dennis Hopper wasn’t around to voice flight command.) The Fifth Estate goes down in flames. Escape Plan needs to go back to the drawing board.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Gravity continues to hold down the lead, as Tom Hanks and Paul Greengrass’ Captain Phillips line up for what could arguably be the best October opening for a drama since The Departed and Training Day.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Gravity opens so well that we will avoid any pun describing its numbers (for now). Word of mouth is mighty and it could well be the rare film not driven by children that gets a big Saturday bump. The record for October openings is $52.6 million. Getting crushed under the weight of the big October opening is the horribly titled Runner Runner (a term known to poker players, but not the mainstream audiences that need to show up to drive business for a mainstream movie). The film could well have a nearly identical opening weekend to the first Koppelman/Levien-written feature, Rounders (circa 1998).

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Title Gross Thtr % Chgn Cume
The Predator 10.4 4037 NEW 10.4
A Simple Favor 5.9 3102 NEW 5.9
The Nun 5.9 3876 -68% 72.8
White Boy Rick 3.4 2504 NEW 3.4
Crazy Rich Asians 2.5 3385 -35% 143.3
Peppermint 1.7 2980 -64% 19.9
The Meg 1 2851 -26% 134.3
Searching 1 2009 -31% 17.4
Unbroken: Path to Redemption 0.8 1620 NEW 0.8
Mission: Impossible - Fallout 0.6 1761 -38% 214.4
Also Debuting
Mandy 0.1 89
Manmarziyaan 86,100 97
Shailaja Reddy Alludu 78,200 169
U-Turn 61,500 104
Seema Raja 24,200 107
A Boy. A Girl. A Dream 22,100 59
Where Hands Touch 17,200 98
The Children Act 17,100 23
Lizzie 17,100 1
Museo 8,300 1
The Dawn Wall 6,300 2
Science Fair 5,900 1
The Public Image is Rotten 4,500 1
I Think We're Alone Now 4,000 2
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4