Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for July, 2013

Friday Box Office Estimates

The Wolverine slices off a big opening, though after a lot of hype, the number is going to be between The Great Gatsby and World War Z, in the “successful but not mega-opening” category. Two limited releases had strong launches. The To Do List will gross about $1.5m on 591 screens. And the new Woody, Blue Jasmine, is looking in the $80k+ range on just 6 screens. But perhaps the most impressive number, on the edge of wide release, is Fruitvale Station, which is over $3.5 million and will end the weekend over $5 million, expanding to 1064 screens.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

There will be only one happy new movie on a weekend of 4 new wide releases. The Conjuring got some nice notices and now it’s doing some nice box office, though given the genre, the weekend total may juts be in the mid-30s. Less happy is Turbo, which will probably go in the opposite direction as the horror film for the weekend, but still is not getting out of the 20s. Red 2isn’t going to equal the original’s opening weekend, but it could be just as leggy and the real hope will be for a sequel bump internationally. And almost as though they were partying away their sorrows, Universal gave a raunchy bash for Kick-Ass 2 at ComicCon last night, putting RIPD behind them even before it had been open for a full day.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

Adam Sandler tells the critics to grow up to the tune of a 13% opening day-increase over the first Grown Ups. Pacific Rim opens to $14.4m, which suggests an opening in the high 30s, though no one actually will know enough to estimate properly until Saturday night. And Despicable Me 2 will clearly leapfrog Monsters vs Robots but could also end up of top of the weekend again, depending on how well Grown Ups 2 holds today. The Lone Ranger‘s unhappy start has been compounded with a big Friday-to-Friday drop. And Kevin Hart should pass $25m with his concert film this weekend, edging closer to the Big Three of comedy concert grossers, but already the biggest one in the last dozen years.

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Friday Box Office Estimates

A dominant opening by Despicable Me 2 threatens the record July 4 weekend grosser, Transformers: Dark Of The Moon‘s $97.9 million… but will probably come up just short. Meanwhile, The Lone Ranger will open to about a $47m 5-day, which leaves Disney praying for international, just like many of the films that have been touted as summer hits based on somewhat better openings. The Way, Way Back, on just 19 screens, is looking at around $25k per, which is solid, but not overwhelming.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 6.1 3849 -43% 262.2
The Post 5.9 2819 1083% 10.4
The Commuter 4.5 2892 NEW 4.5
Insidious: The Last Key 3.4 3150 -73% 39.6
Proud Mary 3.1 2125 NEW 3.1
The Greatest Showman 3.1 2938 -26% 85.8
Star Wars: The Last Jedi 2.7 3090 -59% 582.9
Paddington 2 2.4 3702 NEW 2.4
Pitch Perfect 3 1.4 2505 -57% 90.4
Darkest Hour 1.2 1693 -32% 32.4
Also Debuting
Thaanaa Serndha Kootam 91,650 89
Agnyaathavaasi - Prince in Exile 89,100 353
Condorito 52,600 153
Jai Simha 34,900 78
Ang Panday 27,600 43
Mukabaaz 13,300 17
Sketch 9,900 55
Ang Larawan 8,700 14
Parchi 6,350 35
The Insult 5,700 3
Acts of Violence 3,400 12
Lover for a Day 2,900 1
Saturday Church 2,300 2
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4