Friday Box Office Estimates Archive for May, 2012

Friday Estimates, May 25, 2012

The “Men in Black” start the Memorial Day Weekend with a 41% lead on “The Avengers.” It should hold up, but one never knows, do one?

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Friday Estimates — May 18, 2012

The Avengers continues to lead the pack as expected, leaving the board game adaptation, the pregnancy book adaptation, and Sacha Baron Cohen’s The Dictator to duke it out for the other top slots. Tim Burton-Johnny Depp franchise Dark Shadows slips 61% in the wake of mixed reviews, and The Hunger Games edges closer to $400 million. A full slate of indies also debuts, including Hysteria, Lovely Molly and Polisse.

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Friday Estimates: May 11, 2012

“The Avengers” continues to break domestic records and will hit $300m in 9 days, still pacing ahead of “The Dark Knight.” Meanwhile Team Burton/Depp/Bonham-Carter opens just about where they do when they aren’t digging into a mega-franchise from another medium. The number will be almost the same as “Sleepy Hollow” and significantly better than “Sweeney Todd” (or “Mars Attacks,” for that matter).

And “The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel”‘s expansion yielded a very similar Friday number to last year’s expansion of “Midnight in Paris.” It’s the next expansion—near 1000 screens—that will tell the bigger tale, but for now, Searchlight has to be very happy with last night’s results.

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Friday Estimates: May 4, 2012

“The Avengers” is out of the gate with with a Hulk-sized opening. Estimates put “The Avengers” at number two on the list of all-time opening days at the box office – behind “Harry Potter and The Deathly Hallows: Part II” and the first “Twilight” movie.

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Quote Unquotesee all »

“Ten years ago at Telluride, I said on a panel that theatrical distribution was dying. It seemed obvious to me. I was surprised how many in the audience violently objected: ‘People will always want to go to the movies!’ That’s true, but it’s also true that theatrical cinema as we once knew it has died. Theatrical cinema is now Event Cinema, just as theatrical plays and musical performances are Events. No one just goes to a movie. It’s a planned occasion. Four types of Event Cinema remain.
1. Spectacle (IMAX-style blockbusters)
2. Family (cartoon like features)
3. Horror (teen-driven), and
4. Film Club (formerly arthouse but now anything serious).

There are isolated pockets like black cinema, romcom, girl’s-night-out, seniors, teen gross-outs, but it’s primarily those four. Everything else is TV. Now I have to go back to episode five of ‘Looming Tower.'”
~ Paul Schrader

“Because of my relative candor on Twitter regarding why I quit my day job, my DMs have overflowed with similar stories from colleagues around the globe. These peeks behind the curtains of film festivals, venues, distributors and funding bodies weren’t pretty. Certain dismal patterns recurred (and resonated): Boards who don’t engage with or even understand their organization’s artistic mission and are insensitive to the diverse neighborhood in which their organization’s venue is located; incompetent founders and/or presidents who create only obstacles, never solutions; unduly empowered, Trumpian bean counters who chip away at the taste and experiences that make organizations’ cultural offerings special; expensive PR teams that don’t bring to the table a bare-minimum familiarity with the rich subcultural art form they’re half-heartedly peddling as “product”; nonprofit arts organizations for whom art now ranks as a distant-second goal behind profit.”
~ Eric Allen Hatch