Box Office Archive for December, 2006

Klady's Friday Estimates

This is one of those weird Fridays where analysis is somewhat defied. What we are really doing is analyzing the season, since the day-to-day is so different than any other time. It

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Weekend Box Office

Klady will be here shortly, but here are a few sneak peeks at the small openers…
1. As previously reported, Dreamgirls was massive on 852 screens on Monday, with $8.7 million, about $100,000 of which came from added midnight shows around he country. It is the #3 Christmas Day opening ever, the #10 Christmas Day gross overall, and the single best day for any musical ever (Moulin Rouge had the previous best day ever with $5.68m on 2279 screens – Chicago

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What Is A Good Number For Dreamgirls?

Every once in a while, it seems like time to make an offering of what would be a number that is “good” or “great” or disappointing for a highly anticipated opening. Dreamgirls

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The Box Office To Come

For any movies now open, studios can, within about 15%, figure out with about 95% certainty what the rest of 2006 is going to look like for them. Black Christmas and Dreamgirls are really the only box office stories left to present themselves.
As it went last year, the Friday before X-Mas pretty much lays out a number that a film will perform close to on every day except the two down days of X-Mas Eve and X-Mas, and the unusually up day of the day after X-Mas. 2004 was unusual because that Friday was X-Mas Eve, but the Day before that, the Thursday, pretty much offered the same rule.
The extra day is a big advantage for films this year over last, since the day after the New Year

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Box Office Hell 12/22 (4 days)

Box Office Mojo Friday Numbers
1 | Night At The Museum | $12,250,000 | 3,685 | $12,250,000 / 1
2 | The Pursuit Of Happyness | $5,300,000 | 2,863 | $43,587,000 / 8
3 | Rocky Balboa | $5,000,000 | 3,017 | $14,693,000 / 3
4 | The Good Shepherd | $3,500,000 | 2,215 | $3,500,000 / 1
5 | Charlotte’s Web (2006) | $3,150,000 | 3,728 | $21,959,000 / 8
6 | Eragon | $2,750,000 | 3,030 | $33,246,000 / 8
7 | We Are Marshall | $2,700,000 | 2,606 | $2,700,000 / 1
8 | The Holiday | $1,825,000 | 2,635 | $31,918,000 / 15
9 | Happy Feet | $1,800,000 | 2,565 | $155,756,000 / 36
10 | The Nativity Story | $1,550,000 | 1,824 | $28,235,000 / 22
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Sunday Estimates by Klady

The Theatrical Box Office Is Dead! Long Live The Dead Theatrical Box Office!!!
As Father Oyl said endlessly in Popeye, someone owes me – and more importantly, the industry – an apology.
I will explore this further in tomorrow

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Klady's Friday Estimates

Okay

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Box Office Hell 12/15

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Klady's Sunday Estimates – 12/10

So Apocalypto will apparently be #1 this weekend.
I have to say, I am shocked by how many readers of this blog care about being #1, as opposed to the amount of money that #1 represents.
In any case, Apocalypto did overcome a potentially very, very ugly situation. But still, this opening has to be called

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Friday Estimates by Klady – 12/09

My Oh Mayan.
Well, it

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Box Office Hell – 13/08

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Klady's Sunday Estimates – 12/3

Not a lot more to add.
The Nativity Story was not saved by a massive wave of Christians. But we’ll see if it picks up. I think the endless media obsession with marketing to Christians has perhaps become a serious problem for distributors who are looking to go after that audience with anything more than the smallest, most subtle campaigns.
Bond continues to run on par/a little behind Die Another Day, Casino Royale about $5 million behind on the third weekend total. Still, it is a great success for Sony, given that they were launching a new Bond. CR is already the biggest first film of a new Bond ever by more than $10 million. And the film has also been huge in the UK, where Daniel Craig was already a much bigger star. But no, Oscar talk remains nutty.
I expect the lame Turistas estimate to be a little high in the end. It is rare to see a Friday number for a film like that triple over 3

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Klady's Friday Estimates

This weekend of the year

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Box Office Hell – 12/1/06

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Box Office

Quote Unquotesee all »

“The word I have fallen in love with lately is ‘Hellenic.’ Greek in its mythology. So while everyone is skewing towards the YouTube generation, here we are making two-and-a-half-hour movies and trying to buck the system. It’s become clear to me that we are never going to be a perfect fit with Hollywood; we will always be the renegade Texans running around trying to stir the pot. Really it’s not provocation for the sake of being provocative, but trying to make something that people fall in love with and has staying power. I think people are going to remember Dragged Across Concrete and these other movies decades from now. I do not believe that they will remember some of the stuff that big Hollywood has put out in the last couple of years. You’ve got to look at the independent space to find the movies that have been really special recently. Even though I don’t share the same world-view as some of my colleagues, I certainly respect the hell out of their movies which are way more fascinating than the stuff coming out of the studio system.”
~ Dallas Sonnier

“My first objective relationship in life was with the camera. I didn’t understand anything but then I realized the camera is my friend. It doesn’t lie to me. It doesn’t manipulate me. It only reports what I’m doing. And therefore, for me to work with a camera and the camera to be directed by an artist, a craftsman, someone who knows what he or she wants, I couldn’t ask for anything more.”
~ Elliot Gould