xx

 
1
1
 Reese Witherspoon
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
-3
1
1
1
14
147
2
2
 Judi Dench
3
2
2
2
3
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
4
14
110
3
3
 Felicity Huffman
4
3
3
3
2
1
2
5
-
3
1
3
4
5
13
104
4
5
 Keira Knightley
5
4
5
-
5
5
5
4
5
-
4
5
3
-
11
71
5
4
 Charlize Theron
-
-
-
5
-
-
4
2
-
4
5
4
5
-
7
48
6
11
 Q'Orianka Kilcher
2
-
-
-
4
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
2
16
t7
6
 Joan Allen
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
5
-
-
-
2
2
15
t7
7
 Ziyi Zhang
-
-
-
4
-
-
-
-
3
-
-
-
-
-
2
15
One Vote Wonders
-
10
 Toni Collette
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
3
1
8
-
-
 Naomi Watts
-
-
-
-
-
3
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1
8
-
-
 Natasha Richardson
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
4
-
-
-
-
-
1
7
-
-
 Maria Bello
-
-
4
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1
7
-
9
 Gwyneth Paltrow
-
5
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1
6
Falling Off The Chart
-
8
 Claire Danes
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0
0
-
12
 Sarah Jessica Parker
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0
0
 
1
2
 Heath Ledger
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
3
2
2
14
133
2
1
 Phillip Seymour Hoffman
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
2
1
1
1
14
131
3
3
 Joaquin Phoenix
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
2
3
13
105
4
4
 David Strathairn
4
4
3
4
-
4
4
-
4
-
4
4
4
4
11
78
5
7
 Terrence Howard
-
5
-
5
5
-
-
4
-
-
-
-
5
3
6
39
6
10
 Russell Crowe
-
-
5
-
-
5
5
-
-
-
-
5
-
-
4
24
7
6
 Ralph Fiennes
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-5
-
5
-
-
-
5
3
18
t8
5
 Eric Bana
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
4
5
-
-
-
2
13
t8
-
 Jeff Daniels
5
-
-
-
4
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
2
13
10
9
 Tommy Lee Jones
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
5
-
-
-
-
-
1
6
Falling Off The Chart
-
8
 Viggo Mortensen
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0
0
-
11
 Anthony Hopkins
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0
0
-
12
 Cillian Murphy
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0
0
 

Note: This is the same Best Picture chart from 12/19... The Gurus took the holiday off... New BP chart next week...

1
1
Brokeback Mountain
1
1
1
1
1
1
-1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
14
139
2
2
Walk the Line
2
6
4
3
2
5
4
2
5
3
4
3
3
4
14
104
3
4
Good Night/Good Luck
6
2
3
4
4
10
3
5
2
7
2
2
2
9
14
93
4
3
Munich
-
4
2
10
7
4
2
3
3
1
3
4
6
-
12
83
5
8
A History of Violence
3
-
8
8
3
2
10
6
7
8
6
-
10
8
12
53
-
6
5
King Kong
9
5
-
-
9
3
5
7
4
6
5
9
-
-
10
48
7
6
Capote
8
7
5
6
8
7
9
-
8
5
10
--
9
2
12
48
8
10
Match Point
-
-
-
2
6
6
-
9
-
10
7
7
8
3
9
41
9
11
The Constant Gardener
4
-
-
5
-
8
-
-
-
4
8
8
5
5
8
40
10
7
Memoirs of a Geisha
-
10
6
7
-
-
6
8
6
-
-
--
4
-
7
30
11
9
Pride & Prejudice
7
3
-
9
10
9
-
4-
-
-
-
10
7
-
8
29
12
12
Crash
-
9
10
-
-
-
7
10
10
--
-
6
-
6
7
19
13
13
The New World
-
-
9
-
5
-
-
-
9
-
9
-
-
7
5
16
14
14
Cinderella Man
-
8
-
-
-
-
8
-
-
--
-
5
-
-
3
12
15
15
Syriana
5
-
7
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
2
10
One Vote Wonders
16
16
Mrs. Henderson Presents
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
9
-
-
-
-
1
2
17
17
Chronicles Of Narnia
10
----------------
1
1
18
-
3 Burials Of Mel Estrada
-
----------------10
1
1
 

Notes: These are prognostications by top awards watchers, not personal preferences.
xxxxxxPassing On Guruship - The LA Times & Variety... The NY Times has a non-participation policy.
xxxxxxThe last awards films to be seen by The Gurus King Kong and Munich.
xxxxxxTotals are based on reverse point values, i.e. a #1 vote is worth 10 points, a #5 vote is worth 6 points, #10 worth 1.

 
  
Thelma Adams, US Magazine

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Walk the Line
....3. History of Violence
....4. Constant Gardener
....5. Syriana
....6 Good Night/Good Luck
....7. Pride and Prejudice
....8. Capote
....9. King Kong
 ....10. Chronicles of Narnia

Actor
....1. Heath Ledger
....2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....3. Joaquin Phoenix
....4. David Strathairn
....5. Jeff Daniels

Actress
....1. Reese Witherspoon
....2. Q'Orianka Kilcher
....3. Judi Dench
....4. Felicity Huffman
....5. Keira Knightley

David Ansen, Newsweek

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Good Night/Good Luck
....3. Pride & Prejudice
....4. Munich
....5. King Kong
....6. Walk The Line
....7. Capote
....8. Cinderella Man
....9. Crash
....10. Memoirs of a Geisha

Actor
....1. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....2. Heath Ledger
....3. Joaquin Phoenix
....4. David Strathairn
....5. Terrence Howard

Actress
....1. Reese Witherspoon ..
....2. Judi Dench
....3. Felicity Huffman
....4. Keira Knightley
....5. Gwyneth Paltrow

Scott Bowles , USA Today

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Munich
....3. Good Night/Good Luck
....4. Walk the Line
....5. Capote
....6. Memoirs of a Geisha
....7. Syriana
....8. History of Violence
....9. The New World
....10. Crash

Actor
....1. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....2. Heath Ledger
....3. David Strathairn
....4. Joaquin Phoenix
....5. Russell Crowe

Actress
....1. Reese Witherspoon ..
....2. Judi Dench
....3. Felicity Huffman
....4. Maria Bello
....5. Keira Knightley

Pete Hammond, Maxim

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Match Point
....3. Walk The Line
....4. Good Night/Good Luck
....5. Constant Gardener
....6. Capote
....7. Memoirs Of A Geisha
....8. A History Of Violence
....9. Pride & Prejudice
.. .10. Munich

Actor
....1. Heath Ledger
....2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....3. Joaquin Phoenix
....4. David Strathairn
....5. Terrence Howard

Actress
....1. Reese Witherspoon ..
....2. Judi Dench
....3. Felicity Huffman
....4. Zhang Ziyi
....5. Charlize Theron

Eugene Hernandez, indieWIRE

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Walk The Line
....3. A History of Violence
....4. Good Night/Good Luck
....5. The New World
....6. Match Point
....7. Munich
....8. Capote
....9. King Kong
....10. Pride & Prejudice

Actor
....1. Heath Ledger
....2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....3. Joaquin Phoenix
....4. Jeff Daniels
....5. Terrence Howard

Actress
....1. Reese Witherspoon ..
....2. Felicity Huffman
....3. Judi Dench
....4. Q'Orianka Kilcher
....5. Keira Knightley

Peter Howell, Toronto Star

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
 ... 2. A History of Violence.
....3. King Kong
....4. Munich
....5. Walk the Line
....6. Match Point
....7. Capote
....8. Constant Gardener.
....9. Pride & Prejudice
...10. Good Night/Good Luck

Actor
....1. Heath Ledger
....2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....3. Joaquin Phoenix
....4. David Strathairn
....5. Russelll Crowe

Actress
....1. Felicity Huffman.
....2. Reese Witherspoon
....3. Naomi Watts
....4. Judi Dench
....5. Keira Knightley

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Munich
....3. Good Night/Good Luck
....4. Walk The Line
....5. King Kong
....6. Memoirs Of A Geisha
....7. Crash
....8. Cinderella Man
....9. Capote
....10. A History Of Violence

Actor
....1. Heath Ledger
....2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....3. Joaquin Phoenix
....4. David Strathairn
....5. Russelll Crowe

Actress
....1. Reese Witherspoon
....2. Felicity Huffman.
....3. Judi Dench
....4. Charlize Theron
....5. Keira Knightley
Emanuel Levy, EmanuelLevy.com
Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Walk the Line
....3. Munich
....4. Pride and Prejudice
....5. Good Night/Good Luck
....6. History of Violence
....7. King Kong
....8. Memoirs of a Geisha
....9. Match Point
....10. Crash

Actor
....1. Reese Witherspoon ..
....2. Charlize Theron
....3. Judi Dench
....4. Keira Knightley
....5. Felicity Huffman

Actress
....1. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....2. Heath Ledger
....3. Joaquin Phoenix
....4. Terrence Howard
....5. Ralph Fiennes

Jack Mathews , New York Daily News

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Good Night/Good Luck
....3. Munich
....4. King Kong
....5. Walk the Line
....6. Memoirs of a Geisha
....7. A History of Violence
....8. Capote
....9. The New World
....10. Crash

Actor
....1. Heath Ledger
....2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....3. Joaquin Phoenix
....4. David Strathairn
....5. Tommy Lee Jones

Actress
....1. Reese Witherspoon
....2. Judi Dench
....3. Zhang Ziyi
....4. Natasha Richardson
....5. Charlize Theron

David Poland, Movie City News

Picture
....1. Munich
....2. Brokeback Mountain
....3. Walk The Line
....4. King Kong
....5. Mrs. Henderson
....6. Capote
... 7. The Constant Gardener
....8. The New World
....9. A History Of Violence
...10. Crash

Actor
....1. Heath Ledger
....2. Joaquin Phoenix
....3. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....4. Eric Bana
....5. Ralph Fiennes

Actress
....1. Reese Witherspoon ..
....2. Judi Dench
....3. Felicity Huffman
....4. Charlize Theron
....5. Joan Allen

Sasha Stone, Oscarwatch.com

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Good Night/Good Luck
....3. Munich
....4. Walk The Line
....5. King Kong
....6. A History of Violence
....7. Match Point
....8. The Constant Gardener
....9. The New World
....10. Capote

Actor
....1. Heath Ledger
....2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....3. Joaquin Phoenix
....4. David Strathairn
....5. Eric Bana

Actress
....1.
....2.
....3.
....4.
....5.

Kris Tapley, In Contention/MCN

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Good Night/Good Luck.
....3. Walk the Line
....4. Munich
....5. Cinderella Man
....6. Crash
....7. Match Point
....8. Constant Gardener
....9. King Kong
....10. Pride & Prejudice

Actor
....1. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....2. Joaquin Phoenix
....3. Heath Ledger
....4. David Strathairn
....5. Russell Crowe

Actress
....1. Reese Witherspoon ..
....2. Judi Dench
....3. Felicity Huffman
....4. Charlize Theron
....5. Keira Knightley

Anne Thompson, Hollywood Reporter

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Good Night/Good Luck
....3. Walk the Line
....4. Memoirs of a Geisha
....5. The Constant Gardener
....6. Munich
....7. Pride and Prejudice
....8. Match Point
....9. Capote
....10. A History of Violence

Actor
....1. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....2. Heath Ledger
....3. Joaquin Phoenix
....4. David Strathairn
....5. Terrence Howard

Actress
....1. Reese Witherspoon ..
....2. Judi Dench
....3. Keira Knightley
....4. Felicity Huffman
....5. Charlize Theron

Jeffrey Wells, Hollywood Elsewhere

Picture
....1. Brokeback Mountain
....2. Capote
....3. Match Point
....4. Walk the Line
....5. Constant Gardener
....6. Crash
....7. The New World
....8. A History of Violence
....9. Good Night/Good Luck
....10. The Three Burials of ....Melquiades Estrada.

Actor
....1. Phillip Seymour Hoffman
....2. Heath Ledger
....3. Terrence Howard
....4. David Strathairn
....5. Ralph Fiennes

Actress
....1. Reese Witherspoon ..
....2. Joan Allen
....3. Toni Collette
....4. Judi Dench
....5. Felicity Huffman

 

 

 


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