Awards Update

Gurus o’ Gold: The Last Gasp

The Gurus make their final calls this week in two ways. First, there is a chart of categories that are the most likely to end up in Oscar night upsets.

And then, specific changes in specific races by specific Gurus. Some made as many as four changes, some made none. Many of the changes brought outlying picks into conformity with the rest of the group. A few went against the grain. But all of the categories in which changes have been made are listed.

Here is the full list of the Final Gurus Predictions

Here are last week’s final charts for your perusal as well.

Have a great Oscar night. The Gurus know you will.

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6 Days To Oscar: You Might Be An Asshole If…

YOU MIGHT BE AN OSCAR ASSHOLE IF… you write about how this filmmaker or that filmmaker was too busy chasing Oscar to make the movie they should have made.

As someone who actually has fairly lengthy conversations with almost every filmmaker who has made an Oscar nominated picture in the last five years or more, I am particularly conscious how stupid and self-serving this notion is.

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9 Days to Oscar: In Memoriam

Voting closes Tuesday… but the die is pretty much cast at this point.

In the 9 days to come, there will be plenty of conversation about the nominees and who should or should not win. But at this moment in the season, I find myself thinking about the ones that got left behind.

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Gurus o’ Gold: Picking The Winners (Pt 1 of 2)

And now, The Gurus offer their (nearly) final word on the season. One Guru, One Vote.

And for the most part, there is strong consensus or unanimity in almost every category. If you’re looking for the swing vote in your Oscar poll, it’s probably in the 4 seriously contended categories: Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Costume, and Doc Short.

Part One
Part Two

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Gurus o’ Gold: Top 2in’ It (Pt 2 of 2)

The Gurus are now locked into their Top 2 in all Oscar award except for the 3 Shorts categories.

In these 10 categories today, the Gurus have Hugo taking 5 statues home. That would make Hugo the film with the most Oscar wins this season… though with 4 projected wins (Picture, Actor, Director, Score), some would say that The Artist was winning the war.

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17 Days To Oscar: A Thin Line Between Win & Lose

When an Academy member, just like any other kid in high school, tells their friends whom they voted for, they want to feel good about defending their choice. Fair or not, Melissa McCarthy is “the one who shit in the sink” this year. They may have laughed their colostomy bags off when they saw the film and most voters feel good about Ms McCarthy getting nominated. But when it comes down to bestowing the gold, shit in the pie in the name of dignity will win out over shit in the sink caused by bad Mexican food every time.

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Gurus o’ Gold: Top 2in’ It (Pt 1 of 2)

Who/What are the Top Two in each category of the Oscars, now just 18 short days away?

The Gurus are in lockstep on 5 of the winners-to-be right now and in 1 of those categories, there is 100% agreement on the #1 and the #2 candidate. The blurriest categories, based on these votes, are Best Actor and Best Adapted Screenplay.

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DP/30: New Acting Nominee Interviews

New on DP/30 this week:

Best Actress Nominee
Michelle Williams

Best Actor Nominees
Gary Oldman
Demian Bichir

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The Gronvall Files: Asghar Farhadi, writer/director of A Separation

Asghar Farhadi: When I have an image in mind, this image makes me keep returning to my past. I go into my memories, and I start selecting here and there, putting them together. Simultaneously with this process of assembling memories, the characters are being born. And at the same time, the story also starts developing. It’s very difficult for me to describe my process. I’m not really aware of what’s going on, really, as I’m thinking. Many things happen in an unconscious way.

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Gurus o’ Gold: 1st Ranking Of Oscar Nominees In All Categories (Pt 2 of 2)

As they offer 13 more Oscar categories (everything but shorts), The Gurus are predicting that The Artist will win three big prizes on Oscar night… but Hugo will dominate the evening with 5 Oscar wins. Is it likely that Best Picture, Director, and Score will stand alone?

Can The Help score Best Actress and Supporting Actress and nothing else?

These and more questions… as The Gurus turn.

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Gurus o’ Gold: 1st Ranking Of Oscar Nominees In All Categories (Pt 1 of 2)

The Gurus have their first group of post-nomination projections. (The other categories will be published tomorrow.) There is a tie at the top of one category, and two categories out of these 8 that are unanimous.

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The Oscar Nominations

“And to the Academy: “You don’t like me. You really don’t like me.” - tweeted Albert Brooks on his non-nomination

The full list of nominations:

Full List of Nominations
Nominations by Picture
Sidebar
Nominee Reactions

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Gurus o’ Gold: Post-Globes/Pre-Oscar Nominations

It’s all over but the nominations announcement. And then we start again.

A lot has changed in the last few months. But the battles at the tops of the charts will look pretty familiar. Perhaps the biggest change in this week’s charts – all 8 of the “top” categories – is Scorsese, who was not named by a single Guru in their Top 6 a couple of months ago and is now… well, you’ll see.

The Gurus also offer an opinion about who might have benefited from their Golden Globes appearance.

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Gurus o’ Gold: Welcome To 2012

The Gurus are back for 2012… and in this special edition, the latest Best Picture chart (the Gurus welcome some more women into the Top Ten)… and a guess at the DGA nominations that are coming tomorrow morning. Better late foresight than hindsight!

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The Best of 2011: Critics, Awards and Box Office

The Best of 2011 from two points of view – the critics who bestow awards and rank the best of the year. And Movie Goers – while box office doesn’t determine quality, it’s a measure of what the audience is willing to lay down (big) bucks to see.

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The Top Tens of 2011: 210 Lists And Counting

The top 20 stay the top 20, but Drive has moved around The Artist into the third position. The Tree of Life is too far out in front to chase, but overtaking The Descendants may still be possible.

See the individual Top Ten lists here.

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The Top Tens: Updated January 2

There’s little movement among the top ten, but further down the list, We Need to Talk About Kevin moves into the Top 20. 50/50 climbs nine spots, Warrior fights into the top 50 and The Muppets continue their steady rise up the chart.

See the individual Top Ten lists here.

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Quote Unquotesee all »

“I’m in Locarno, my movie is premiering for 1,000 people, which is nuts. A huge-ass screening, second day of the festival, 7:30pm in the sidebar competition. It’s comparable to Un Certain Regard or Director’s Fortnight. Every movie I saw in that section was fun, brilliant movies from around the world. The main competition was like Aza Jacobs and Mia Hansen-Løve, people who have been around. And I was like, “This is crazy. What am I doing inside the bloodstream of this establishment? I’m 27. I don’t belong here.” Every person I talked to there couldn’t believe what the movie cost, and then couldn’t believe when I told them what other American movies cost. We were the cheapest movie there by 65%. The next cheapest movie cost I think three times as much as we did. And they were just like, “You can’t make movies for what you’re telling us your movie cost.” And I told them, “Well, I can, I’m here, I’m in the same section as you are, so you are wrong. People think I’m lying when I tell them my budget. And also everyone likes it. I’m having a great time and people are being very responsive. Maurice Pialat’s widow was like, “I heard your movie’s good, I want a copy of it.” I’m like, “Well this is f**kin’ crazy.” Pedro Costa saw it there and really liked it and I’m like, What am I doing? I had gone in two months from screening at BAM for a lot of friends to Pedro Costa? This is the exact sentence: “Pedro Costa saw your movie. He’s a huge Jerry Lewis fan. He wants to talk to you about your movie and also Jerry Lewis.” And I thought, “I’m out of my element. I cannot have that conversation because that’s ridiculous.” Because his retrospective was happening at Anthology when I worked at Kim’s, and his Criterion box set came out when I was working at Kim’s. He can’t want to talk to me. That’s not possible. That’s not allowed. There is no world where that makes any sense!”  Or like when you wrote me to say that David Gordon Green wrote you to say, “I’m watching The Color Wheel and then I’m going to see Tree of Life.” There is no world where this is allowed! Again, somebody whose DVDs I was putting on the shelf, as, like, a hero. And it’s just like, “Oh, I’ll watch this movie.” There’s just a very fuzzy area in the middle there and it happened very quickly and I don’t understand why.  I still have a voice-mail from Sean [Price Williams, cinematographer]. I wish he was here to talk about it, but the voice-mail is a long pause and he’s just like, “I don’t want to tell you this, because it’s gonna make you so insufferable. I hate having to tell you this, but Leos Carax watched your movie and he really loves it, and he wants to meet you when he comes to New York.” I can’t live in a world where Leos Carax knows who I am, watches my movie, likes it, and thinks, “I wanna meet that guy.”
~ It’s Alex Ross Perry’s World

“I don’t know. It’s been a lot harder than I thought it was going to be to make the films I really dream of making. I was in Italy a few years ago scouting for this very beautiful film I wanted to make with Richard Linklater. We worked really hard on the script for a couple of years and couldn’t get the money together. It was an expensive idea. It’s heartbreaking when that happens over and over again and then the movies that do get made are ones that have lots of women being beaten up or zombies being killed. It’s all fine, it’s all okay, but it’s hard. I remember when River Phoenix died, he was ahead of me on this curve. He kind of realized how hard it was to make serious movies. People like Sidney Lumet figured out how to walk that line, but it’s hard. And it requires patience. It’s a life’s work and I wonder if I’m up to the task.”
~ Weary, Wary Ethan Hawke

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