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Friday Box-Office Estimates

Saturday, November 11th, 2017

Thor: Ragnarok | 18.7 |4080| -55% |173.7
Daddy’s Home 2 | 10.8 |3575 |New |10.8
Murder on the Orient Express | 10.7| 3341| New |10.7
A Bad Moms Christmas |4.1 |3615 |-25% |32.5
Jigsaw | 1.1 |2651 |-45% |32.1
Boo 2! | 0.65| 1900 |-47% |44.5
Geostorm | 0.45 |1685| -44% |30.5
Happy Death Day | 0.45| 1564| -42%| 54.1
Blade Runner 2049 | 0.4| 863| -32% |87
Lady Bird | 0.4 |37| 249%| 0.9

Also Debuting
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri | 0.1| 4
C/O Surya | 50,200| 62
Qarib Qarib Single | 39,700 |63
No Greater Love | 9,200 |22
Barbara | 5,400| 5
Aramm | 4,100 |15
Thelma | 3,500 |1
Nous sommes les autres | 2,800 |9
Intent to Destroy | 2,000 |3
Pottersville | 1,850| 7
Heart Blackened | 1,800| 1

The Weekend Report

Sunday, November 5th, 2017

Thor: Ragnarok arrived with a thunderous estimate of $121.3 million to command about two of every three movie tickets sold over the weekend. That left a $17 million sliver for counter-programmer A Bad Moms Christmas, the other wide release. LBJ opened on a limited wide basis to a disappointing $1.1 million.

Exclusive newcomers were dominated by a powerful $372,000 launch for Lady Bird from four bedrooms while Last Flag Flying fluttered softly to $43,300 at a quartet of venues. Let There Be Light, The Killing of a Sacred Deer and The Florida Project were among effective expansions. Top Indian imports were Hindi Ittefaq and Telugu PSV Garduda Vega, which bowed to solid respective figures of $287,000 and $249,000.

Revenues for the frame approached $180 million and experienced a significant 139% climb from last weekend. It was still a 7% erosion from 2016 when debuts of Doctor Strange, Trolls and Hacksaw Ridge led the charge with respective openings of $85.1 million, $46.6 million and $15.2 million.

The coming of Odin’s favorite son was presaged last weekend when Ragnarok opened in 36 foreign climes to $109 million. The domestic debut appeared ready to bow with a six-figure number and studio reps notched its prospects around $110 million. Exit polling identified the opening audience as 56% male with 63% 25 and older. The 17-to-34 demographic comprised 50% of overall viewers. The film’s second weekend overseas added 19 markets and $150 million to its tally, propelled by a $55.6 million launch in China. Other debuting nations included a buoyant $10.8 million in Mexico, a staggering $5.2 million in India and Germany grossing $5.5 million.

On the heels of its sleeper success, the Bad Moms crew was expected to deliver about a $15 million weekend of yuletide cheer. It wisely chose to slip into the marketplace on Wednesday and grossed $4.5 million in two days.

Weekend (estimates) November 3 – 5, 2017
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Thor: Ragnarok BV 121.3 (2,,720) NEW 4080 121.3
A Bad Moms Christmas STX/eOne 17.0 (4,700) NEW 3615 21.5
Jigsaw Lionsgate 6.5 (2,220) -61% 2941 28.7
Boo 2! A Madea Halloween Lionsgate 4.6 (2,110) -54% 2202 42.9
Geostorm WB 3.1 (1,160) -48% 2666 28.8
Happy Death Day Uni 2.8 (1,290) -45% 2184 53
Blade Runner 2046 WB 2.2 (1,530) -46% 1464 85.5
Thank You for Your Service Uni 2.2 (1,080) -41% 2083 7.3
Only the Brave Sony 1.9 (930) -45% 2073 15.3
Let There Be Light Atlas 1.7 (2,620) -3% 642 4.1
The Foreigner STX/VVS 1.5 (1,060) -55% 1456 31.9
Victoria & Abdul Focus 1.2 (1,490) -27% 796 19.8
Suburbicon Par/Elevation 1.2 (570) -58% 2046 5.1
LBJ Electric 1.1 (1,640) NEW 659 1.1
It WB .95 (880) -62% 1081 325.8
American Made Uni .80 (1,200) -53% 663 50
The Lego Ninjago Movie WB .76 (970) -41% 785 57.5
Kingsman: The Golden Circle Fox .75 (930) -54% 802 98.6
The Florida Project A24/Elevation .65 (3,450) 25% 189 3
My Little Pony Lionsgate .63 (800) -39% 785 20.9
Loving Vincent Good Deed .56 (2,720) 18% 205 3
Marshall Open Road .50 (980) -45% 514 7.8
The Mountain Between Us Fox .46 (640) -65% 716 29
Same Kind of Different as Me Pure Flix .43 (820) -65% 524 5.7
The Killing of a Sacred Deer A24 .40 (4,630) 77% 86 0.9
Lady Bird A24 .37 (93,100) NEW 4 0.37
Goodbye Christopher Robin Fox Searchlight .35 (1,330) 3% 262 1.1
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $173.90
% Change (Last Year) -7%
% Change (Last Week) 139%
Also debuting/expanding
Ittefaq Yash Raj .29 (4,280) 67 0.29
Seven Sundays ABS .26 (4,650) -28% 55 0.84
PSV Garuda Vega Wall Poster .25 (3,070) 81 0.28
Wonderstruck Roadside Attractions .24 (2,010) 83% 121 0.51
Battle of the Sexes Fox Searchlight .18 (1,160) -43% 158 12.3
Jane Abramorama .18 (3,290) 23% 55 0.47
The Square Magnolia .10 (5,370) 37% 19 0.21
Sardar Mohammed White Hill 71,600 (1,840) 39 0.7
Novitiate Sony Classics 53,400 (3,340) 135% 16 0.9
Last Flag Flying Lionsgate 43,300 (10,820) 4 0.04
Blade of the Immortal Magnolia 42,600 (1,580) 27 0.04
Next Nuvve Click 38,900 (670) 58 0.04
My Friend Dahmer FilmRise 35,800 (8,950) 4 0.04
Villain Zee Studios 26,900 (660) 41 0.03
1945 Menemsha 23,300 (7,770) 2 0.02
Wait for Your Laugh Vitagraph 16,900 (8,450) 2 0.02
Les Grands espirits Axia 11,400 (1,630) 7 0.01
Battlecreek Hannover House 8,800 (350) 25 0.01
Le Petite fille qui aimait trop les allumettes Fun Film 8,700 (1,740) 5 0.01
The Jade Pendant Crimson Forrest 8,400 (4,200) 2 0.01
Gilbert Gravitas 6,900 (6,900) 1 0.01
Most Beautiful Island Goldwyn 5,900 (590) 10 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 2 – November 2, 2017)
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
Warner Bros. (20) 1770.8 20.20%
Universal (16) 1438.4 16.40%
Buena Vista (9) 1396.9 15.90%
20th Century Fox (22) 1115.1 12.70%
Sony (20) 814.9 9.30%
Lionsgate (20) 652.9 7.40%
Paramount (15) 409.2 4.70%
Focus (14) 136.3 1.60%
Weinstein Co. (7) 118.5 1.35%
STX (8) 116.9 1.35%
Open Road (9) 98.9 1.10%
CBS (4) 69.1 0.80%
Fox Searchlight (10) 57.5 0.65%
Entertainment (3) 51.1 0.60%
Bleecker Street (6) 48.9 0.55%
A24 (11) 45 0.50%
Other * (331) 429.3 4.90%
8769.7 100%
* none greater than .04%
Top Global Grossers (January 2 – November 2, 2017)
Title Distributor Box Office
Beauty and the Beast BV 1,262,158,904
The Fate of the Furious Uni 1,236,486,021
Despicable Me 3 Uni 1,030,942,072
Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony 879,942,083
Wolf Warrior II Bona Intl 867,853,287
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV 862,581,275
Wonder Woman WB 824,507,235
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV 769,452,354
It WB 670,632,698
Logan Fox 618,191,538
Kong: Skull Island WB 564,663,975
Transformers: The Last Knight Par 558,357,889
Dunkirk WB 520,746,030
The Boss Baby Fox; DmWks 496,799,169
War for the Planet of the Apes Fox 489,529,773
The Mummy Uni 409,418,713
La La Land * Lionsgate 384,729,036
Kingsman: The Golden Circle Fox 381,270,910
Fifty Shades Darker Uni 381,082,129
Cars 3 BV 380,820,958
Sing * Uni 369,492,462
xXx: Return of Xander Cage Par 344,515,124
The Great Wall Uni; China Film 334,476,016
Never Say Die Huaxia 319,368,805
The Lego Batman Movie WB 314,542,428
* does not include 2016 box office

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, November 4th, 2017

Thor: Ragnarok * | 46.7| 4080 |New| 46.7
A Bad Moms Christmas | 5.5| 3615 |New |10
Jigsaw | 2| 2941| -66% |24.2
Boo 2! A Madea Halloween | 1.2 |2202 |-54%| 39.5
Geostorm | 0.8| 2666 |-48% |26.5
Happy Death Day | 0.8| 2184| -49% |50.9
Thank You for Your Service | 0.65| 2083| -56% |5.7
Blade Runner 2049 | 0.6| 1464 |-46%| 83.8
Only the Brave | 0.55 |2073 |-47%| 13.9
Let There Be Light | 0.6| 641| -19%| 2.9

Also Debuting
LBJ | 0.33| 659
Lady Bird | 0.11| 4
Ittefaq Yash | 84,200 |67
PSV Garuda Vega | 70,700| 81
Next Nuvve | 19,200| 58
Sardar Mohammed | 19,100 |37
Blade of the Immortal | 15,500 |27
Last Flag Flying | 11,700 |4
My Friend Dahmer | 11,000| 4
Wait for Your Laugh | 9,300| 2
Villain | 5,500| 33
1945 | 4,900| 2
Gilbert | 4,100| 1
Battlecreek | 4,000 |25
Les Grands espirits | 3,600| 7
The Jade Pendant | 3,500 |2
Most Beautiful Island | 3,200| 10
Le Petite fille qui aimait trop les allumettes | 3,000 |5

The Weekend Report

Sunday, October 29th, 2017

There was no puzzling as the debut of Jigsaw ascended to the top of the weekend with an estimated $16.2 million. Two other films bowed nationally to dismal results in a depressed marketplace. Thank You for Your Service — a story of returning soldiers from Iraq — opened to $3.7 million while the Coens-penned comedy Suburbicon fled with $2.8 million.

Religious-slanted Let There Be Light had a very good start of $1.7 million while the = All I See is You lost focus with $130,000 tally at 283 venues. New Indian imports failed to dent last weekend’s Diwali openers with the best start from Telugu Vunnadi Okate Zindagi, with a $198,000 gross from 112 locations. Filipino family comedy Seven Sundays had one of the year’s best starts with a $308,000 opening. in Québec, local historical novel adaptation Pieds nus dans l’aube had a promising debut of $124,000.

Best of the incoming exclusives was Sweden’s Cannes-prized The Square, which grossed $67,800 from four galleries. Expansions of The Killing of a Sacred Deer and the documentary Jane maintained initial momentum.

Revenues for the frame sank to their lowest point in 2017 with slightly more than $75 million generated for the weekend. Box office sank 24% from seven days earlier and was 15% off of the 2016 comparable when the second week of the initial Boo! led with $17.2 million and newcomer Inferno fizzled with $14.9 million.

The international marketplace had upbeat news with the start of Thor: Ragnarok, whch opens domestically later this week. It bowed in 36 foreign climes to an estimated $107 million with the U.K. nosing out South Korea with $15.8 million to $15.5 million. Also getting an early start was Disney’s Latin-flavored Coco, which opened in Mexico timed to Day of the Dead celebrations with a potent $8.4 million.

The title’s new but the Saw franchise continues to cut a swath through the marketplace with grisly tales of dismemberment. The series that began in 2004 appeared to be retired in 2010 with “The Final Chapter” in 3D. But you can’t keep a bad man down, and despite the diminishing returns of the new eighth installment Jigsaw is apt to be profitable. Studio exit demos identified the crowd as 51% male with 52% aged 25 and younger. Jigsaw also opened in 46 overseas territories to an estimated $9.5 million. Top markets included the U.K. with $2.3 million, Russia with $1.7 million and Germany providing $1.4 million.

It was evident that Thank You for Your Service would have a difficult time in the marketplace with a sobering narrative of returning veterans. Playdates were concentrated in the heartland and proved effective in getting close to top end hopes of a $4 million box office.

Suburbicon proved to be a near total turnoff for audiences and fell well below tracking reports that suggested a $5-$6 million opening. Even its studio was dismissive of the effort, emphasizing that it had U.S.-only rights, scored a D- on CinemaScore (improving on mother!’s F) and had an audience that was 54% aged 50 and older.

Weekend (estimates) October 27 – 29, 2017
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Jigsaw Lionsgate 16.2 (5,510) NEW 2941 16.2
Boo 2! A Madea Halloween Lionsgate 10.1 (4,220) -52% 2388 35.6
Geostorm WB 5.6 (1,740) -59% 3246 23.5
Happy Death Day Uni 5.1 (1,440) -46% 3535 48.4
Blade Runner 2046 WB 4.0 (1,640) -46% 2421 81.4
Thank You for Your Service Uni 3.7 (1,790) NEW 2054 3.7
Only the Brave Sony 3.4 (1,330) -43% 2577 11.9
The Foreigner STX/VVS 3.3 (1,310) -43% 2505 28.9
Suburbicon Par/Elevation 2.8 (1,360) NEW 2046 2.8
It WB 2,4 (950) -29% 2560 323.7
Let There Be Light Atlas 1.7 (4,650) NEW 373 1.7
American Made Uni 1.7 (1,080) -46% 1558 48.5
Victoria & Abdul Focus 1.6 (1,540) -24% 1044 17.7
Kingsman: The Golden Circle Fox 1.6 (1,070) -47% 1489 97.3
The Mountain Between Us Fox 1.3 (640) -53% 2029 28
The Lego Ninjago Movie WB 1.2 (810) -47% 1474 56.4
The Snowman Uni 1.2 (640) -65% 1815 5.8
Same Kind of Different as Me Pure Flix 1.2 (950) -54% 1238 4.7
My Little Pony Lionsgate .95 (560) -53% 1682 20
Marshall Open Road .91 (1,060) -39% 857 6.9
The Florida Project A24 .53 (3,640) -12% 145 2.1
Golmaal Again Reliance .51 (2,190) -50% 231 1.9
Secret Superstar Zee Studios .45 (2,720) -42% 166 1.6
Loving Vincent Good Deed .44 (2,730) 2% 160 2.1
Goodbye Christopher Robin Fox Searchlight .33 (1,540) 115% 213 0.63
Seven Sundays ABS .31 (5,400) NEW 57 0.31
Battle of the Sexes Fox Searchlight .31 (1,050) -48% 291 12
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $71.00
% Change (Last Year) -15%
% Change (Last Week) -24%
Also debuting/expanding
The Killing of a Sacred Deer A24 .22 (6,610) 89% 33 0.39
Vunnadi Okate Zindagi US Telugu .20 (1,770) 112 0.2
All I See is You Open Road .13 (470) 283 0.13
Wonderstruck Roadside Attractions .12 (2,930) 87% 42 0.21
Pieds nus dans l’aube Seville .12 (3,440) 36 0.12
Jane Abramorama .12 (4,410) 104% 27 0.2
Mark Felt: Man Who Brought Down the White House Sony Classics 92,300 (500) -48% 185 0.66
The Square Magnolia 67,800 (16,950) 4 0.07
Bhalwan Singh Rhythm Boyz 61,900 (1,670) 37 0.06
Breathe Bleecker Street 52,300 (350) -68% 148 0.34
Novitiate Sony Classics 22,200 (7,400) 3 0.02
Ramaleela Zee Studios 17,100 (850) 20 0.02
God’s Own Country Goldwyn 16,700 (8,350) 2 0.02
Bill Nye: Science Guy PBS 8,600 (8,600) 1 0.01
Mr. Roosevelt Paladin 3,200 (1,600) 2 0.01
The Divine Order Zeitgeist 3,100 (3,100) 1 0.01
The Work Orchard 2,800 (1,400) 2 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 2 – October 26, 2017)
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
Warner Bros. (20) 1751.8 20.30%
Universal (15) 1422.1 16.40%
Buena Vista (8) 1382.1 16.00%
20th Century Fox (22) 1111.1 12.90%
Sony (19) 809.6 9.40%
Lionsgate (19) 616.6 7.10%
Paramount (14) 405.6 4.70%
Focus (14) 133.8 1.50%
Weinstein Co. (7) 118.4 1.40%
STX (7) 108.6 1.30%
Open Road (8) 97.3 1.10%
CBS (4) 68.9 0.80%
Fox Searchlight (10) 56.6 0.65%
Entertainment (3) 51.1 0.60%
Bleecker Street (5) 48.8 0.55%
A24 (10) 43.9 0.50%
Other * (324) 418.2 4.80%
8644.5 100%
* none greater than .04%
Top Limited Releases (January 2 – October 26, 2017)
Title Distributor Box Office
Baahubali 2: The Conclusion Great India 21,086,279
The Beguiled Focus 10,630,795
The Lost City of Z Bleecker/Elevation 8,580,409
I Am Not Your Negro Magnolia/Mongrel 7,123,919
Beatriz at Dinner Roadside/Elevation 7,115,584
Silence * Par 6,826,130
Lowriders High Top 6,268,060
Marshall Open Road 6,044,301
De Pere en flic 2 Seville 5,867,907
Maudie Mongrel/IFC 5,835,684
Bon Cop Bad Cop 2 Seville 5,816,713
Paris Can Wait Sony Classics 5,617,731
20th Century Women * A24/Elevation 5,486,188
Your Name FunImation 5,014,670
The Book of Henry Focus 4,458,877
A Beautiful Planet * Imax 4,169,658
The Hero Orchard 4,077,333
Sleight High Top 3,930,990
A United Kingdom Fox Searchlight 3,902,185
Norman: Moderate Rise and Tragic Fall of a New York Fixer Sony Classics 3,814,468
* does not include 2016 box office

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, October 28th, 2017

Jigsaw|Lionsgate|7.1|2941|New
Boo 2! A Madea Halloween|Lionsgate|2.6|2388|-65%
Geostorm|WB|1.5|3246|-65%
Happy Death Day|Uni|1.5|3535|-49%
Thank You for Your Service|Uni|1.5|2054|New
Blade Runner 2049|WB|1.1|2421|-50%
Suburbicon|Par|1.1|2046|New
Only the Brave|Sony|1|2577|-51%
The Foreigner|STX/VVS|0.9|2505|-45%
It|WB|0.7|2560|-32%
||||
||||
Also Debuting||||
Let There Be Light|Atlas|0.6|373|
Seven Sundays|ABS|88,300|56|
Vunnadi Okate Zindagi|US Telugu|79,000|112|
All I See is You|Open Road|49,100|283|
Pieds nus dans l’aube|Seville|43,200|36|
The Square|Magnolia|21,000|4|
Bhalwan Singh|Rhythm Boyz|17,400|37|
Novitiate|Sony Classics|5,300|3|
God’s Own Country|Goldwyn|4,200|2|
Ramaleela|Zee Studios|3,700|17|
Bill Nye: Science Guy|PBS|3,200|1|
Mr. Roosevelt|Paladin|1,950|2|
The Work|Orchard|1,350|2|
The Divine Order|Zeitgeist|1,300|1|

The Weekend Report

Sunday, October 22nd, 2017

Amid more tricks than treats the debut of Boo 2! A Madea Halloween emerged as box office leader with an estimated $21.6 million. Four other national releases struggled and sputtered for attention. Audiences were cool to Geostorm’s global warming maelstrom which grossed $13.3 million and were frigid to based-on-fact Only the Brave about doomed firefighters that opened to $5.9 million. It didn’t help that the director of The Snowman — based on the Jo Nesbø bestseller — disowned the film, which sank with $3.4 million. The faithful departed from Same Kind of Different from Me, with had a $2.6 million box office.

Exclusive openers saw good starts for the doc Jane with $53,300 from three conservatories, and  Wonderstruck at $67,600 at four venues. Also off to a good start was The Killing of a Sacred Deer with $114,000 from four screens. In the awards sweepstakes, neither Goodbye Christopher Robin nor Breathe found traction in initial expansions.

The Diwali holiday saw a clutch of potent Indian releases including Hindi Golmaal Again, which bowed with $921,000. Also strong were Telugu Mersal with $767,000 and Hindi Secret Superstar at $734,000. In Québec, local zombie thriller Les affamés  failed to bite with a $43,400 opener from 22 screens.

Revenues for the session came just shy of $100 million and ebbed 4% from the prior weekend. It was a more significant 22% decline from 2016 when the first Boo! led with $28.5 million and was followed by newcomers Jack Reacher: Never Go Back with $22.9 million and Ouija: Origin of Evil, which grossed $14.1 million.

The Boo! sequel was tracking to lead and the question was just how much Tyler Perry’s base would erode from the original. The consensus was around 15% and the actuality was closer to 25%.The filmmaker sustains a loyal fanbase. Exit polling identified viewers as 65% female and 65% 25 and older.

Geostorm opened a week ago in Asian territories to about $9.5 million and was expected to gross $10-$12 million in its domestic debut.  The current weekend also saw the addition of 42 overseas territories that generated roughly $36 million including a $5.4 million opening in Korea. Bows in Russia and Mexico added $5 million and $4 million, respectively. Exit polls domestically saw a 56% male crowd with 77% 25 and older.

The heartbreak of the week was  Only the Brave, based on the tragedy of firefighters battling a 2013 forest fire in Arizona. But audiences appear to be wrung out by current events and sated by natural catastrophes. It audience was 54% male and 75% 25 and older.

Weekend (estimates) October 20 – 22, 2017
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Boo 2! A Madea Halloween Lionsgate 21.6 (9,060) NEW 2388 21.6
Geostorm WB 13.3 (4,090) NEW 3246 13.3
Happy Death Day Uni 9.4 (2,840) -64% 3298 40.7
Blade Runner 2046 WB 7.2 (2,240) -54% 3203 74
Only the Brave Sony 5.9 (2,290) NEW 2577 5.9
The Foreigner STX/VVS 5.5 (2,180) -58% 2515 22.9
It WB 3.5 (1,360) -43% 2560 320.2
The Snowman Uni 3.4 (1,890) NEW 1812 3.4
American Made Uni 3.1 (1,230) -43% 2559 45.5
Kingsman: The Golden Circle Fox 3.0 (1,300) -44% 2318 94.6
The Mountain Between Us Fox 2.7 (870) -52% 3151 25.5
Same Kind of Different as Me Pure Flix 2.6 (1,900) NEW 1362 2.6
The Lego Ninjago Movie WB 2.2 (1,030) -50% 2102 54.7
Victoria & Abdul Focus 2.1 (2,020) -29% 1060 14.8
My Little Pony Lionsgate 1.9 (840) -52% 2301 18.5
Marshall Open Road 1.5 (1,790) -51% 821 5.4
Golmaal Again Reliance .92 (3,470) NEW 265 0.92
Mersal ATMUS .77 (4,760) NEW 161 1.5
Secret Superstar Zee Studios .73 (3,480) NEW 211 0.8
The Florida Project A24 .61 (5,470) 67% 112 1.3
Battle of the Sexes Fox Searchlight .57 (1,050) -57% 545 11.4
Loving Vincent Good Deed .39 (3,450) 19% 114 1.3
Flatliners Sony .24 (460) -84% 535 16.4
Professor Marston and the Wonder Women Annapurna .22 (230) -70% 959 1.3
Despicable Me 3 Uni .19 (580) -20% 337 263.3
Mark Felt: Man Who Brought Down the White House Sony Classics .19 (570) 60% 332 0.49
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $92.60
% Change (Last Year) -22%
% Change (Last Week) -4%
Also debuting/expanding
Breathe Bleecker Street .16 (500) 614% 315 0.18
Goodbye Christopher Robin Fox Searchlight .15 (2,520) 166% 61 0.23
Raja the Great Blue Sky .14 (1,280) 108 0.35
Tokyo Ghoul Fun Film .12 (1,180) 104 0.37
A Silent Voice 11Arts .12 (4,920) 24 0.12
The Killing of a Sacred Deer A24 .11 (28,300) 4 0.11
Lucky Magnolia .11 (1,200) -3% 93 0.53
Never Say Die Media Asia 86,700 (3,610) -47% 24 1.1
Wonderstruck Roadside Attractions 67,600 (16,900) 4 0.07
Jane Abramorama 53,300 (17,770) 3 0.05
Les Affames Seville 43,400 (1,970) 22 0.04
Leatherface Lionsgate 15,900 (690) 23 0.02
Tragedy Girls Gunpowder & Sky 11,600 (5,800) 2 0.01
RV: Resurrected Victims Well Go 9,400 (860) 11 0.01
The Paris Opera Film Movement 7,500 (1,870) 4 0.01
Dealt IFC 5,100 (5,100) 1 0.01
The Sacrifice (reissue) Kino 4,500 (4,500) 1 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 2 – October 19, 2017)
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
Warner Bros. (20) 1715.9 20.20%
Universal (14) 1400.7 16.40%
Buena Vista (8) 1382.1 16.20%
20th Century Fox (22) 1102.9 13.00%
Sony (18) 800.2 9.40%
Lionsgate (17) 587.5 6.90%
Paramount (14) 405.6 4.80%
Focus (14) 130.4 1.50%
Weinstein Co. (7) 118.3 1.40%
STX (7) 101.3 1.20%
Open Road (8) 95.2 1.10%
CBS (4) 68.7 0.80%
Fox Searchlight (10) 55.5 0.65%
Entertainment (3) 51.1 0.60%
Bleecker Street (5) 48.4 0.55%
A24 (10) 42.9 0.50%
Other * (314) 406.3 4.80%
8513 100%
* none greater than .04%
Top Domestic Grossers (January 2 – October 19, 2017)
Title Distributor Box Office
Beauty and the Beast BV 504,014,165
Wonder Woman WB 412,501,742
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV 389,813,101
Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony 333,616,415
It WB 316,734,616
Despicable Me 3 Uni 263,074,020
Logan Fox 226,277,068
The Fate of the Furious Uni 225,966,192
Dunkirk WB 187,630,833
The Lego Batman Movie WB 175,969,510
Get Out Uni 175,589,248
The Boss Baby Fox 174,999,965
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV 172,610,484
Kong: Skull Island WB 168,583,087
Hidden Figures * Fox 167,061,097
Cars 3 BV 152,770,233
War for the Planet of the Apes Fox 146,699,016
Split Uni 138,280,171
Transformers: The Last Knight Par 130,656,140
La La Land * Lionsgate 116,956,426
* does not include 2016 box office

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, October 21st, 2017

Boo 2! A Madea Halloween|7.4|2388|New|7.4
Geostorm|4.3|3246|New|4.3
Happy Death Day|3|3298|-72%|34.3
Only the Brave|2.1|2577|New|2.1
Blade Runner 2049|2|3203|-53%|68.9
The Foreigner|1.6|2515|-66%|19
Same Kind of Different as Me|1.3|1362|New|1.3
The Snowman|1.3|2559|New|1.3
It|1|2560|-49%|317.7
American Made|0.95|2559|-42%|43.3
||||
||||
Also Debuting||||
Golmaal Again|0.25|265||
Mersal|0.22|136||
Secret Superstar|0.19|207||
Raja the Great|44,000|108||
The Killing of a Sacred Deer|42,800|4||
A Silent Voice|32,700|13||
Wonderstruck|24,600|4||
Jane|19,000|4||
Les Affames|13,900|22||
Tragedy Girls|6,000|2||
Leatherface|5,700|22||
RV: Resurrected Victims|2,600|11||
Tokyo Ghoul|2,400|6||
Dealt|1,700|1||
The Paris Opera|1,700|4||
The Sacrifice (reissue)|1,600|1||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, October 15th, 2017

The confluence of a Friday the 13th debut and the upcoming All Hallows Eve celebrations propelled Happy Death Day to the top of weekend viewing with an estimated $26.5 million. The session’s other wide release, actioner The Foreigner, slotted third with $12.8 million.

The early career of future Supreme Thurgood Marshall garnered an OK $3 million while the man behind the comic-book Amazon, Professor Marston and the Wonder Women, lassoed only $730,000. Best of the Indian imports was Telugu Raju Gari Gadhi 2 with a $216,000 tally.

Strongest among exclusive newcomers was biopic Tom of Finland with $11,300 from a solo flight. A.A. Milne-inspired Goodbye Christopher Robin opened with a soft $55,300 from nine engagements.

Revenues for the frame hovered around $100 million and took a 5% dip from last weekend. It was a slim 3% improvement from 2016 when the launch of The Accountant led with $24.7 million and Girl on the Train took second with $12.2 million.

The reign of Blumhouse continues with Happy Death Day, a seasonally-appropriate horror. Industry tracking suggested a top-end opening of $20 million that it readily surpassed. Studio exit polls identified the crowd as 54% female with a surprisingly youthful crowd that was 63% 25 and younger.

The duo of Jackie Chan and Pierce Brosnan propelled The Foreigner to more than $70 million from seven overseas markets in the past two weeks. Pre low-balled the effort with max figures of $10 million. Studio exit polling wasn’t available at deadline.

As for the other major openers, Marshall performed at the top end of expectations while Professor Marston flunked out of an anticipated $2 million plus debut.

Weekend (estimates) October 13 – 15, 2017
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chnge Thtrs Cume
Happy Death Day Uni 26.5 (8,400) NEW 3149 26.5
Blade Runner 2046 WB 15.1 (3,710) -54% 4058 60.6
The Foreigner STX/VVS 12.8 (5,100) NEW 2515 12.8
It WB 6.0 (1,900) -39% 3176 314.9
The Mountain Between Us Fox 5.6 (1,730) -47% 3258 20.5
American Made Uni 5.4 (1,740) -36% 3098 40.1
Kingsman: The Golden Circle Fox 5.3 (1,780) -38% 2982 89.7
The Lego Ninjago Movie WB 4.4 (1,430) -38% 3053 51.6
My Little Pony Lionsgate 4.0 (1,600) -55% 2528 15.5
Victoria & Abdul Focus 3.1 (3,430) -26% 900 11.3
Marshall Open Road 3.0 (3,640) NEW 821 3
Flatliners Sony 1.5 (750) -63% 1983 15.6
Battle of the Sexes Fox Searchlight 1.4 (1,000) -46% 1394 9.6
Professor Marston and the Wonder Women Annapurna .73 (600) NEW 1229 0.73
American Assassin CBS .52 (640) -63% 820 35.6
The Florida Project A24 .40 (12,030) 153% 33 0.62
Loving Vincent Good Deed .31 (5,650) 85% 55 0.73
Til Death Do Us Part Novus .29 (950) -62% 306 3.2
The Stray Pure Flix .27 (630) -55% 430 1.2
Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony .26 (940) -4% 277 333.5
Despicable Me 3 Uni .24 (910) -16% 266 263
Raju Gari Gadhi 2 Param .22 (2,220) NEW 97 0.22
Home Again Open Road/eOne .17 (470) -70% 361 26.8
Never Say Die Media Asia .16 (4,970) -45% 33 0.96
American Satan Sumerian .13 (2,420) NEW 55 0.13
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $95.35
% Change (Last Year) 3%
% Change (Last Week) -5%
Also debuting/expanding
Mark Felt: Man Who Brought Down the WH Sony Classics .12 (1,340) 99% 89 0.25
Lucky Magnolia .11 (1,880) 16% 59 0.26
Goodbye Christopher Robin Fox Searchlight 55,300 (6,140) 9 0.06
Human Flow Magnolia 46,100 (15,370) 3 0.05
The Outlaws Novus 37,300 (3,390) 11 0.04
Como Cortar a tu Patan MUBI 34,600 (6,920) 50 0.03
Breathe Bleecker Street 27,100 (6,770) 4 0.03
Innocent Orange Medias 24,100 (710) 34 0.02
Udhahararnam Sujatha B Cinemas 22,700 (1,510) 15 0.02
120 Battements par minute MK2 17,900 (1,490) 12 0.02
Wasted! The Story of Food Waste Super 17,100 (1,550) 11 0.02
The Young Karl Marx K-Film 11,800 (2,950) 4 0.01
Tom of Finland Kino 11,300 (11,300) 1 0.01
For Ahkeem Fork 5,600 (2,800) 2 0.01
The Departure MUBI 5,200 (5,200) 1 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 2 – October 5, 2017)
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
Warner Bros. (20) 1611.1 19.60%
Buena Vista (8) 1381.8 16.80%
Universal (13) 1348.6 16.40%
20th Century Fox (21) 1059.7 12.90%
Sony (18) 790.9 9.60%
Lionsgate (17) 571.5 6.90%
Paramount (14) 404.7 4.90%
Focus (14) 119.5 1.50%
Weinstein Co. (7) 117.4 1.40%
Open Road (7) 90.2 1.10%
STX (6) 85.7 1.00%
CBS (4) 65.9 0.80%
Entertainment (3) 51.1 0.60%
Fox Searchlight (9) 49.8 0.60%
Bleecker Street (5) 48.4 0.60%
A24 (9) 42.1 0.50%
Other * (291) 390.6 4.80%
8229 100%
* none greater than .04%

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, October 14th, 2017

Happy Death Day|11.6|3149|New|11.6
The Foreigner|4.8|2515|New|4.8
Blade Runner 2049|4.3|4058|-50%|49.8
It|1.9|3176|-28%|310.8
The Mountain Between Us|1.7|3259|-52%|16.5
American Made|1.6|3098|-33%|36.3
Kingsman: The Golden Circle|1.5|2982|-36%|85.8
Marshall|1|821|New|1
The Lego Ninjago Movie|1|3053|-38%|48.3
My Little Pony|0.9|2528|-68%|12.4
||||
||||
Also Debuting||||
Professor Marston and the Wonder Women|0.24|1229||
American Satan|86,300|55||
Raju Gari Gadhi 2|74,900|97||
Goodbye Christopher Robin|17,600|9||
Human Flow|16,300|3||
Breathe|11,800|4||
Como Cortar a tu Patan|10,700|50||
The Outlaws|9,200|11||
Wasted! The Story of Food Waste|7,200|9||
Innocent|5,300|34||
Udhahararnam Sujatha|5,200|13||
120 Battements par minute|4,700|12||
Tom of Finland|3,500|1||
For Ahkeem|2,950|2||
The Young Karl Marx|2,900|4||
The Departure|2,800|1||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, October 8th, 2017

Blade Runner 2049 dominated weekend moviegoing, hovering at $31.4 million. Two other national releases opened as counterprogramming, with mountain survival drama The Mountain Between Us providing an effective $10.2 million. Less assured was a My Little Pony movie that whinnied up $8.7 million. In limited wide, inspirational canine The Stray impounded limited bow-wow with a $630,000 launch.

Exclusive newcomers included an excellent start for The Florida Project , with $149,000 from four motels. And the expansion of Victoria & Abdul maintained stamina with a $4.1 million tally.

Among international day-and-dates, imports from China were on a tear with Never Say Die (a potent $737,000) and City of Rock posting good returns of $108,000. Filipino rom-com Last Night had an okay start of $137,000 but new titles from India failed to click.

Revenues for the session approached $105 million and took a slight 2% drop from last weekend. It was an 18% decline from 2016 when the debut of Girl on the Train led with $24.5 million and Miss Peregrine’s followed with $15.1 million.

All eyes were on Blade Runner 2049, the follow up to Ridley Scott’s much-debated 1982 sci-fi noir. Critical response was two thumbs way up, tracking was fierce and previews were strong. Industryites were confident of a domestic debut in the neighborhood of $50 million. As Friday matinees trickled in it was clear it wasn’t going to get close to that number and expectations pared back as the weekend progressed.

A studio spokesman felt its overwhelming appeal to older males was the prime reason it fell short of expectations. Exit polling identified the audience as 71% male with 86% 25 and older. That slice of the population was also occupied with baseball playoffs involving teams in the nation’s top two markets as well as college football finals. Nonetheless other factors may well have come into play such as the fact that the original was a success d’estime rather than a popular hit, despite re-issues. The new film als played heavily on its lineage in a reverential fashion … and the material is decidedly downbeat. The film bowed internationally to about $50 million, in line with distribution projections.

Conversely The Mountain Between Us, despite its central situation, seemed the upbeat alternative. It exceeded expectations of $8-$9 million, with unexpected plus ratings via social media. It tilted 58% female with a hefty 81% of viewers aged 25 and older. It also had a limited international start in 11 territories that rescued $3.6 million including $1.1 million returns in the UK and Mexico.

While The Little Pony bowed in line with expectations it nonetheless feels like a brand with fading appeal in the multiplex despite its bromance with an aging male crowd. Viewers swung 59% female with 51% aged 25 and older.

Weekend (estimates) October 6 – 8, 2017
Title Distributor Gross (average) % change * Theaters Cume
Blade Runner 2046 WB 31.4 (7,730) NEW 4058 31.4
The Mountain Between Us Fox 10.2 (3,290) NEW 3088 10.2
It WB 9.6 (2,670) -43% 3605 304.9
My Little Pony Lionsgate 8.7 (3,460) NEW 2528 8.7
Kingsman: The Golden Circle Fox 8.2 (2,350) -52% 3488 80.1
American Made Uni 8.1 (2,660) -52% 3031 30.4
The Lego Ninjago Movie WB 6.7 (1,860) -42% 3611 43.8
Victoria & Abdul Focus 4.1 (5,630) 277% 732 5.9
Flatliners Sony 3.8 (1,480) -43% 2552 12.3
Battle of the Sexes Fox Searchlight 2.4 (1,330) -29% 1822 7.7
American Assassin CBS 1.4 (820) -59% 1656 34.4
Til Death Do Us Part Novus .74 (1,530) -50% 481 2.6
The Stray Pure Flix .63 (980) NEW 640 0.63
Home Again Open Road/eOne .53 (530) -69% 1003 26.3
A Question of Faith Pure Flix .43 (710) -58% 608 1.8
mother! Par .36 (750) -75% 481 17.3
Judwaa 2 Fox Intl .29 (1,500) -55% 192 1.2
Despicable Me 3 Uni .28 (910) -25% 304 262.7
Never Say Die Media Asia .27 (8,010) NEW 34 0.27
Stronger Roadside Attractions .25 (740) -73% 335 3.7
Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony .24 (740) -59% 326 333.1
The Emoji Movie Sony .23 (950) -11% 244 85.1
Leap! Weinstein Co. .19 (480) -60% 401 21.2
Wind River Weinstein/VVS .19 (530) -68% 356 33.2
The Hitman’s Bodyguard Lionsgate/VVS .18 (560) -74% 314 75
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $96.40
% Change (Last Year) -18%
% Change (Last Week) -2%
Also debuting/expanding
The Florida Project A24 .15 (37,320) 4 0.15
lovong vincent Good Deed .15 (5,420) 172% 28 0.27
Last Night ABS .14 (2,360) 58 0.14
City of Rock Well Go .11 (4,610) 43 0.11
Brad’s Status Annapurna .10 (400) -75% 247 2
Lucky Magnolia 84,600 (2,730) 95% 31 0.14
Ballarus White Hill 68,800 (1,910) 36 0.07
Chef B4U 54,700 (840) 65 0.05
Mark Felt: Man Who Brought Down the White House Sony Classics 52,500 (3,090) 53% 17 0.1
Architects of Denial Dada 48,600 (4,420) 11 0.05
Earth: One Amazing Day BBC 38,300 (560) 68 0.04
Faces Places Cohen Media 27,200 (5,440) 5 0.03
Vico C: La Vida del Filosofo Pinolywood 23,300 (3,880) 6 0.02
Spy Hunter Media Asia 23,100 (960) 24 0.02
The Fortress CJ 22,600 (11,300) 2 0.02
Chavela Music Box 20,100 (4,020) 5 0.02
Solo Amaan 11,200 (930) 12 0.01
So B. It Good Deed 9,300 (4,650) 2 0.01
Better Watch Out Well Go 8,100 (480) 17 0.01
Dina Orchard 7,400 (7,400) 1 0.01
Una Eammon 7,200 (7,200) 1 0.01
Take My Nose … Please! Parvenu 3,600 (3,600) 1 0.01
Top Domestic Grossers (January 2 – October 5, 2017)
Title Distributor Box Office
Beauty and the Beast BV 504,014,165
Wonder Woman WB 412,313,943
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV 389,804,217
Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony 332,853,104
It WB 295,278,478
Despicable Me 3 Uni 262,348,370
Logan Fox 226,277,068
The Fate of the Furious Uni 225,966,192
Dunkirk WB 187,037,289
The Lego Batman Movie WB 175,969,510
Get Out Uni 175,589,248
The Boss Baby Fox 174,999,590
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV 172,537,139
Kong: Skull Island WB 168,583,087
Hidden Figures * Fox 167,052,209
Cars 3 BV 152,491,499
War for the Planet of the Apes Fox 146,500,084
Split Uni 138,280,171
Transformers: The Last Knight Par 130,599,534
La La Land * Lionsgate 116,956,426
Girls Trip Uni 115,044,985
* does not include 2016 box office

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, October 7th, 2017

Blade Runner 2049 | 12.6 |4058 |New |12.6
The Mountain Between Us | 3.5| 3088| New| 3.5
My Little Pony | 2.9 |2528| New |2.9
It | 2.7| 3605 |-46% |298
American Made | 2.3| 3031| -45% |24.7
Kingsman: The Golden Circle | 2.3| 3488| -53% |74.2
The Lego Ninjago Movie | 1.6| 3611| -40% |38.7
Victoria & Abdul | 1.2| 732 |305% |3
Flatliners | 1.1 |2552 |-49%| 9.6
Battle of the Sexes | 0.7 |1822 |-37% |6

Also Debuting
The Stray | 0.19| 640
The Florida Project | 53,200| 4
Last Night | 42,300| 58
City of Rock | 35,600 |43
Ballarus | 19,100| 36
Chef | 17,200 |65
Architects of Denial | 16,700| 11
Earth: One Amazing Day | 10,700| 68
Faces Places |9,600 |5
Chavela | 7,200| 5
Spy Hunter | 7,000| 24
The Fortress | 6,500| 2
Vico C: La Vida del Filosofo | 5,800| 6
So B. It | 3,600 |2
Better Watch Out | 3,550 |17
Solo | 3,200 |11
Dina | 2,700 |1
Una | 2,400 |1
Take My Nose … Please! | 2,100 |1

The Weekend Report

Sunday, October 1st, 2017

In the year’s biggest nail-biter, three films vied for top position in the weekend sweepstakes. Photo-finish results favor It with an estimated $17.2 million. In close proximity Kingsman: The Golden Circle and the debut of American Made follow with $17.1 million and $17 million.

The session’s other wide national release the remake of Flatliners bowed in fifth position with $6.7 million. Two other films debuted in limited wide release. The urban thriller Til Death Do Us Part grossed $1.5 million while the faith targeted A Question of Faith opened to $1.1 million.

Indian films were aplenty including the Hindi Judwaa 2 and Mahanubhavudu with solid respective debuts of $607,000 and $497,000. Telugu SPYder opened Tuesday and amassed $1.2 million pre-weekend and added an additional $303,000. Chinese newcomers included Never Say Die with $139,000 and Chasing the Dragon, which grossed $132,000.

Exclusive freshmen were soft, with Harry Dean Stanton swan song Lucky posting $41,200 from five saloons and Mark Felt: The Man Who Brought Down the White House struggling to $33,600 from five locations. The Battle of the Sexes expanded to good results of $3.4 million and Victoria & Abdul rolled out to an effective $1 million. In a  single Chicago engagement at the Music Box, local production Signature Move pinned just over $18,000.

Revenues for the frame hit about $93 million and slid back 23% from the prior weekend. It was also an 18% downturn from 2017 when debuts of Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children and Deep Horizon led with $28.8 million and $20.2 million.

Crystal ball gazing suggested the weekend race would be a dead heat between newcomer American Made and last weekend’s champion Kingsman. The former, a larkish view of real-life 1980s dark politics, opened internationally in late August. Despite positive response from previews tracking was tepid with predictions at $15-$17 million.

The Tom Cruise vehicle brought a 55% male crowd with 55% of viewers aged 25 and older. Its overseas box office is now roughly $65 million.

The prospects for Flatliners – based on a 1990 thriller that featured Julia Roberts and Kiefer Sutherland – were more dire with a top end forecast of $7 million. It didn’t help that the film wasn’t screened in advance. Once word of its quality began to seep out, estimates sank. Its audience tilted 51% female with an even split among under/over 25-year olds.

Weekend (estimates) September 29 – October 1, 2017)
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
It WB 17.2 (4,390) -42% 3917 291.1
Kingsman: The Golden Circle Fox 17.1 (4,230) -56% 4038 66.8
American Made Uni 17.0 (5,620) NEW 3024 17
The Lego Ninjago Movie WB 11.8 (2,930) -42% 4047 35.4
Flatliners Sony 6.7 (2,620) NEW 2552 6.7
Battle of the Sexes Fox Searchlight 3.4 (2,830) 566% 1213 4.1
American Assassin CBS 3.3 (1,100) -58% 3020 31.9
Home Again Open Road/eOne 1.7 (730) -46% 2370 25.1
Til Death Do Us Part Novus 1.5 (2,670) NEW 550 1.5
mother! Par 1.4 (780) -56% 1840 16.3
A Question of Faith Pure Flix 1.1 (1,630) NEW 661 1.1
Victoria & Abdul Focus 1.0 (13,250) 541% 77 1.2
Stronger Roadside Attractions .93 (1,440) -42% 645 3.2
Friend Request Entertainment .78 (380) -61% 2081 3.5
The Hitman’s Bodyguard Lionsgate/VVS .73 (650) -55% 1119 74.7
Judwaa 2 Fox Intl .61 (3,170) NEW 192 0.61
Wind River Weinstein/VVS .59 (660) -52% 892 32.8
Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony .56 (820) -47% 679 332.7
Mahanubhavudu US Telugu .50 (4,030) NEW 123 0.5
Leap! Weinstein Co. .50 (680) -48% 730 20.9
Brad’s Status Annapurna .39 (860) -59% 453 1.8
Despicable Me 3 Uni .35 (840) -30% 419 262.3
SPYder ATMUS .30 (1,120) NEW 271 1.5
Dunkirk WB .32 (800) -45% 401 186.8
Annabelle: Creation WB .30 (770) -59% 385 101.6
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $88.40
% Change (Last Year) -18%
% Change (Last Week) -23%
Also debuting/expanding
Nikka Zalidar 2 Grand Showbiz .19 (4,640) -51% 42 0.79
Never Say Die Media Asia .14 (3,310) 42 0.14
Chasing the Dragon Well Go .13 (2,540) 52 0.13
Pearl Jam: Let’s Play Two Abramorama 56,500 (8,070) 7 0.06
Lucky Magnolia 41,200 (8,240) 5 0.04
Mark Felt: Man Who Brought Down the White House Sony Classics 33,600 (6,710) 5 0.03
Ce Qui nous lie MK2 25,900 (1,730) 15 0.03
Signature Move Full Spectrum 22,800 (22,800) 1 0.02
Super Dark Times Orchard 19,700 (1,040) 19 0.02
Take Every Wave: Life of Laird Hamilton IFC 13,300 (13,300) 1 0.01
Te Ata Paladin 11,300 (940) 12 0.01
Tam Cam: The Untold Story MUBI 10,100 (5,050) 2 0.01
La Ferme et son etat K-Films 9,500 (1,900) 5 0.01
Different Flowers Different Flowers 7,800 (710) 11 0.01
The Pathological Optimist Film Arcade 5,100 (5,100) 1 0.01

Friday Estimates

Saturday, September 30th, 2017

American Made|6.1|3024|New|6.1
It|4.9|3917|-46%|278.8
Kingsman: The Golden Circle|4.9|4038|-58%|54.6
The Lego Ninjago Movie|2.7|4047|-54%|26.2
Flatliners|2.1|2552|New|2.1
Battle of the Sexes|1.1|1213|571%|1.7
American Assassin|0.9|3030|-51%|29.5
Home Again|0.5|2370|-49%|23.9
Til Death Do Us Part|0.45|550|New|0.45
mother!|0.45|1840|-58%|15.3
Also Debuting||||
A Question of Faith|0.37|661||
Judwaa 2|0.19|192||
Mahanubhavudu|0.13|123||
SPYder|0.1|271||
Chasing the Dragon|41,500|52||
Never Say Die|31,300|41||
Pearl Jam: Let’s Play Two|22,000|7||
Signature Move|15,400|1||
Lucky|12,900|1||
Mark Felt: Man Who Brought Down the White House|9,400|5||
Ce Qui nous lie|6,500|15||
Super Dark Times|5,900|19||
Te Ata|4,200|12||
Take Every Wave: Life of Laird Hamilton|4,000|1||
Different Flowers|3,900|11||
Tam Cam: The Untold Story|3,600|2||
La Ferme et son etat|3,300|3||
The Pathological Optimist|2,800|1||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, September 24th, 2017

On Her Majesty’s Movie Service

The debut of the intrepid Kingsman: The Golden Circle led weekend movie going with an estimated $38.7 million. The session featured two other national newcomers. The Lego Ninjago Movie ranked third with an animated $20.9 million while the horror potboiler Friend Request had a slow burn of $2.2 million

In limited national exposure the inspirational Stronger muscled $1.7 million. Indian imports perked up following a recent downturn with solid bows for the Telugu Jai Lava Kusa of $763,000 and a $353,000 start for the Hindi Nikka Zalidar 2. The initial expansion of Brad’s Status generated a soft $1 million tally.

Exclusive bows with an eye to awards glory saw both Battle of the Sexes and Victoria & Abdul steeping out on a strong footing. The tennis tale grossed $523,000 at 21 serves and the covert history of another court launched with $151,000 from four screens.

Revenues for the frame butted up to about $120 million and improved on the prior weekend by 8%. It was a 17% boost from 2016 when debuts of The Magnificent Seven and Storks topped the charts with respective openings of $34.7 million and $21.3 million.

Pundits gave the second installment of Kingsman a clear edge in the marketplace with predictions in the area of $40 million. While it narrowly missed the benchmark it scored strong critical response with many citing it as an improvement on the original. The domestic crowd skewed 58% male with 65% of viewers aged 25-years older and maturer.

The film also opened day-and-date in 64 international markets and had a formidable estimated gross just north of $60 million. The UK led the charge with $11.1 million while its Russian adversary countered with $6 million. Other top markets included Taiwan with $4.8 million and Australia down over with $4.3 million.

The verdict for The Lego Ninjago Movie was diminishing returns. However a week out they were seen in the area of minimally $30 million and the studio’s Sunday response was noticeably quiet. The pieces didn’t appear to click and for the uninitiated Ninjago translated into “nonsense.” Viewers skewed modestly male at 52% with a carbon copy 52% aged 25-years and older.

Despite recent rollbacks at Lego HQ in Denmark the Ninjago movie was launched in 37 foreign climes to an estimated $10.5 million. Russia was in the forefront with $1.7 million with Germany grossing $1.1 million. The UK opens next month.

The German production Friend Request was shot in English with an eye to global marketing. It opened on home turf almost two years ago and circled most of the orb prior to its belated North American landing. It was expected to open around $5 million or $6 million and fell conspicuously short of that target.

Weekend (estimates) September 22 – 24, 2017
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Kingsman: The Golden Circle Fox 38.7 (9,670) NEW 4003 38.7
It WB 29.8 (7,440) -50% 4007 266.2
The Lego Ninjago Movie WB 20.9 (5,170) NEW 4047 20.9
American Assassin CBS 6.3 (1,990) -58% 3154 26.2
Home Again Open Road/eOne 3.3 (1,220) -37% 2685 22.3
mother! Par 3.2 (1,370) -57% 2368 13.4
Friend Request Entertainment 2.2 (840) NEW 2569 2.2
The Hitman’s Bodyguard Lionsgate/VVS 1.8 (900) -49% 2037 73.6
Stronger Lionsgate 1.7 (2,990) NEW 574 1.7
Wind River Weinstein/VVS 1.3 (880) 51% 1431 31.7
Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony 1.1 (1,070) -42% 1006 331.9
Brad’s Status Annapurna 1.0 (2,220) 1009% 450 1.1
Leap! Weinstein Co. .96 (740) -56% 1301 20.3
Jai Lava Kusa US Telugu .76 (4,260) NEW 179 2
Annabelle: Creation WB .71 (1,040) -70% 682 101.1
Dunkirk WB .59 (870) -54% 678 186.3
Battle of the Sexes Fox Searchlight .52 (24,910) NEW 21 0.52
Despicable Me 3 Uni .51 (950) -40% 539 261.8
The Emoji Movie Sony .43 (750) -57% 573 84.6
Wonder Woman WB .36 (1,010) -46% 355 412
Nikka Zalidar 2 Grand Showbiz .35 (7,840) NEW 45 0.35
Logan Lucky Bleecker/eOne .26 (660) -74% 397 27.5
War for the Planet of the Apes Fox .26 (850) -25% 306 146.3
Girls Trip Uni .23 (730) -60% 313 114.8
The Dark Tower Sony .22 (620) -71% 358 50.4
Baby Driver Sony .22 (870) -27% 252 107.4
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $106.42
% Change (Last Year) 17%
% Change (Last Week) 8%
Also debuting/expanding
Victoria & Abdul Focus .15 (38,170) 4 0.15
Rebel in the Rye IFC 76,300 (890) -24% 81 0.26
Les Rois mongols Telefiction 59,400 (1,750) 34 0.06
Bhoomi B4U 49,700 (1,340) 37 0.05
The Tiger Hunter KVH 37,100 (860) 43 0.04
Woodshock A24 13,500 (4,500) 3 0.01
Unrest Shella 10,900 (10,900) 1 0.01
The Tag-Along 2 Crimson Forest 10,300 (1,470) 7 0.01
Bobbi Jene Oscilloscope 7,700 (7,700) 1 0.01
I Can Speak Little Big 7,400 (3,700) 2 0.01
The King’s Choice Goldwyn 7,100 (3,550) 2 0.01
Axis Hot Machine 5,200 (5,200) 1 0.01

Friday Estimates

Saturday, September 23rd, 2017

Kingsman: The Golden Circle|15.1|4003|New|15.1
It|9|4007|-53%|245.4
The Lego Ninjago Movie|5.7|4047|New|5.7
American Assassin|1.9|3154|-68%|21.8
mother!|1|2368|-67%|11.2
Home Again|1|2685|-41%|20
Friend Request|0.7|2569|New|0.7
Stronger|0.5|574|New|0.5
The Hitman’s Bodyguard|0.5|2037|-52%|72.2
Wind River|0.4|1431|-52%|30.8
||||
||||
Also Debuting||||
Jai Lava Kusa|0.27|179||
Battle of the Sexes|0.16|21||
Nikka Zalidar 2|95,600|45||
Victoria & Abdul|55,800|4||
Bhoomi|15,100|37||
Les Rois mongols|14,200|34||
The Tiger Hunter|9,600|42||
Woodshock|5,550|3||
The Tag-Along 2|3,800|7||
Bobbi Jene|3,000|1||
Unrest|2,950|1||
Axis|2,700|1||
I Can Speak|2,200|2||
The King’s Choice|2,100|2||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, September 17th, 2017

The nation definitely has It as horror held sway in its second weekend with an estimated $59.4 million. That left a pair of newcomers scrambling for scraps. The high octane thriller American Assassin was a distance second with OK response of $14.6 million while parable paradise mother! had a chilling response of $7.5 million.

Exclusive openers were bleak with exception of the doc Ex Libris booking $10,800 on a Manhattan solo and middle-aged comedy Brad’s Status with a $98,300 debut from four venues. In international day-and-dates, a handful of Indian imports fizzled, with the best of the bunch Simran grossing $238,000.

Revenues for the session generated close to $110 million and dipped 33% from last weekend. It was however a 24% improvement from 2016 when the second weekend of Sully led with $21.6 million and newcomers Blair Witch, Bridget Jones’s Baby and Snowden failed to click with respective starts of $9.6 million, $8.6 million and $8 million.

Industry trackers suggested American Assassin would likely bow in a $12-$14 million range. It pushed above its weight as an unlikely counter-programmer. It unsurprisingly swung 55% male, with 71% of the audience aged 35 and older.

Pundits projected a low teen result for mother! but Friday matinees clearly indicated only a miracle would result in an eight-figure return. The film’s previous October date would have at least provided some distance from the It juggernaut. Audience and some critical response was withering. The admittedly questionable Cinemascore rating polled audience response at an “F” — rating that only about a dozen films have ever gotten. Studio exit polling identified scare-mongers as 56% female with 72% at 25 and older.

The curious case of a single-picture marketplace will likely be shaken upnext weekend with the arrival of The Lego Ninjago Movie and the Kingsman sequel.

Weekend (estimates) September 15 – 17, 2017
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
It WB 59.4 (14,310) -52% 4148 218.1
American Assassin CBS 14.6 (4,640) NEW 3154 14.6
mother! Par 7.5 (3,160) NEW 2368 7.5
Home Again Open Road/eOne 5.3 (1,750) -38% 3036 17.1
The Hitman’s Bodyguard Lionsgate/VVS 3.5 (1,080) -26% 3272 70.4
Wind River Weinstein/VVS 2.5 (970) -19% 2619 29.1
Annabelle: Creation WB 2.4 (1,150) -39% 2117 99.7
Leap! Weinstein Co. 2.1 (870) -14% 2416 18.6
Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony 1.9 (1,310) -6% 1436 330.3
Dunkirk WB 1.3 (870) -30% 1478 185.1
Logan Lucky Bleecker/eOne 1.0 (740) -38% 1401 26.9
The Emoji Movie Sony 1.0 (850) -14% 1151 83.9
Despicable Me 3 Uni .82 (840) -11% 983 261.1
The Dark Tower Sony .76 (620) 1% 1235 49.9
Wonder Woman WB .63 (960) -4% 659 411.4
Girls Trip Uni .55 (760) -31% 733 114.3
The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature Open Road/eOne .44 (520) -24% 846 28.1
All Saints Sony .37 (490) -21% 750 5.2
War for the Planet of the Apes Fox .34 (720) 13% 470 145.8
The Glass Castle Lionsgate .34 (490) -36% 698 16.7
The Big Sick Lionsgate/Elevation .33 (990) -24% 338 42.5
Baby Driver Sony .28 (750) -34% 371 107.1
Simran Grand Showbiz .23 (2,360) NEW 101 0.23
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $105.25
% Change (Last Year) 24%
% Change (Last Week) -33%
Also debuting/expanding
Tulip Fever Weinstein Co. .11 (460) -60% 247 2.3
Brad’s Status Annapurna .1 (24,580) 4 0.1
Rebel in the Rye IFC 93,500 (1,910) 146% 49 0.15
Lucknow Central Grand Showbiz 86,400 (1,390) 62 0.09
Thupparivaalan CineGalaxy 72,200 (1,1800) 61 0.07
Magalir Mattum ATMUS 71,700 (1,670) 43 0.07
Because of Gracia ArtAffects 51,800 (1,620) 32 0.05
Et au pire, On se mariera K-Films 30,600 (1,280) 24 0.03
Long Time Running Elevation 26,100 (1,,630) 16 0.03
The Force Kino 17,100 (5,700) 3 0.02
The Wilde Wedding Vertical 13,300 (480) 28 0.01
Ex Libris: New York Public Library Zipporah 10,800 (10,800) 1 0.02
In Search of Fellini Ambi 10,600 (3,530) 3 0.01
Red Trees Cohen Media 9,200 (1,020) 9 0.01
Manolo: The Boy Who Made Shoes Music Box 7,800 (2,600) 3 0.01

Confessions of a Film Festival Junkie: Shape of Water, The Florida Project

Saturday, September 16th, 2017

The Shape of Water, Guillermo del Toro’s enchanting fairytale that won the top prize in Venice, could well garner the audience award that concludes the Toronto International Film Festival each year. It’s another work of extraordinary imagination, and despite a few graphic and shocking sequences, a disarming, emotional tale suitable for all ages.

Mute Eliza (Sally Hawkins) works as a cleaner at a high security government lab during the Cold War. The installation gets a new “asset” and Eliza winds up seeing something she shouldn’t. The research subject is hybrid man-amphibian resembling the 1950s Creature from the Black Lagoon. While the G-Man jailer (Michael Shannon) uses brute force to suppress the being, the woman treats him compassionately in a variation on Beauty and the Beast. The Shape of Water is dreamlike, referencing not only the Technicolor palette of the 1940s and 1950s but also the kind of programmer musical studios could have cranked out in the 1940s. Only a very cold heart would not respond to this material.

As the festival winds down, the weather is sunny and warm. Despite Toronto becoming a city for the very well off, it was shocking to see homeless sleeping in the middle of downtown streets atop a warm grate.

TIFF is evolving, too, but no one knows what changes are in the wind. It’s difficult to pinpoint how scaling back the program translates into the overall experience. Nonetheless, Toronto’s program feels less exhaustive than in the past, while crowds seem larger. The traditional Tuesday exodus of industry and press seemed to pass a day later this year, but it’s clear the event has a long way to go if it wants pros to stay beyond opening weekend.

One of the delights of any film festival is stumbling into a screening and finding a gem. This year, that was The Florida Project. I was in line for a French film when it was cancelled and this was its replacement. A fellow queuer said, it’s the new Sean Baker, and people love it. I’d seen Baker’s earlier MTV series “Greg the Bunny” and his L.A.-by-iPhone Tangerine but they didn’t prepare me for this: a documentary-like view of poor people who inhabit a residential motel in Orlando, only a few miles from Disney World. The leading character is a 6-year-old girl named Moonee with a wicked streak of mischief that infects her two friends. The adults are consistently down on their luck, including Moonee’s mother, who sometimes sells perfume at hotel entrances to pay the weekly rent.

Willem Dafoe’s low-key performance as the motel’s kindly manager grounds the film in fiction. Rich on incident and observation rather than plot, The Florida Project keeps you engaged and connected to the characters.

Another surprise was the French film Les Gardiennes, another of my wild stabs in the dark when without a scheduled film. A young woman secures a job on a farm during the First World War; it’s harvest time and apart from the very old and the very young, the able-bodied men are at the front. It’s another low-key experience, but precisely observed. The creation of bygone times is exquisitely rendered. Later I realized that the director Xavier Beauvois had previously made another exceptional film, Of Gods and Men, about French monks in a remote area of Algeria that find themselves caught up in civil war and forces that would challenge their faith.

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, September 16th, 2017

It|18.9|4148|-54%|177.6
American Assassin|5.8|3154|New|5.8
mother!|3|2368|New|3
Home Again|1.7|3036|-46%|13.5
The Hitman’s Bodyguard|1|3272|-28%|67.8
Wind River|0.75|2619|-22%|27.3
Annabelle: Creation|0.7|2117|-48%|98
Spider-Man: Homecoming|0.5|1436|-3%|328.9
Leap!|0.45|2416|-17%|17
Dunkirk|0.4|1478|-30%|184.2
||||
Also Debuting||||
Simran|75,300|101||
Lucknow Central|28,100|62||
Brad’s Status|27,600|4||
Thupparivaalan|21,600|57||
Magalir Mattum|20,700|41||
Because of Gracia|20,600|32||
Et au pire, On se mariera|10,300|24||
Long Time Running|8,900|16||
The Force|8,800|3||
In Search of Fellini|3,850|3||
The Wilde Wedding|3,700|28||
Red Trees|3,000|9||
Manolo: The Boy Who Made Shoes|2,500|3||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, September 10th, 2017
Weekend (estimates) September 8 – 10, 2017
Title Distributor Gross (average) % change * Theaters Cume
It WB 118.2 (28,810) NEW 4103 118.2
Home Again Open Road 8.8 (3,010) NEW 2940 8.8
The Hitman’s Bodyguard Lionsgate 4.8 (1,450) -54% 3322 64.9
Annabelle: Creation WB 4.0 (1,330) -47% 3003 96.3
Wind River Weinstein 3.2 (1,100) -50% 2890 25
Leap! Weinstein 2.5 (920) -49% 2691 15.8
Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony 2.0 (1,220) -45% 1657 327.7
Dunkirk WB 1.9 (910) -56% 2110 183.1
Logan Lucky Bleecker/eOne 1.8 (810) -60% 2167 25.2
The Emoji Movie Sony 1.1 (750) -55% 1450 82.6
Despicable Me 3 Uni .91 (710) -64% 1274 260
Girls Trip Uni .79 (700) -65% 1123 113.4
The Dark Tower Sony .74 (780) -54% 948 48.9
Wonder Woman WB .67 (700) -67% 961 410.5
The Nut Job 2 Open Road .57 (460) -73% 1235 27.5
The Glass Castle Lionsgate .53 (510) -62% 1037 16.1
True to the Game Imani .48 (1,120) NEW 431 0.48
The Big Sick Lionsgate .47 (880) -47% 535 42
All Saints Sony .47 (570) -61% 834 4.6
War for Planet of Apes Fox .45 (700) -59% 653 145.3
Kidnap Aviron/eOne .44 (480) -73% 918 30.4
Baby Driver Sony .41 (670) -72% 618 106.6
Hazlo Como Hombre Lionsgate .38 ((980) -68% 382 2
Birth of the Dragon High Top .36 (510) -79% 702 6.6
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $153.00
% Change (Last Year) 59%
% Change (Last Week) 109%
Also debuting/expanding
Tulip Fever Weinstein .29 (380) -75% 772 1.9
9/11 Atlas .16 (410) 400 0.16
Love You to the Stars and Back ABS 67,200 (1,720) 39 0.07
Yuddham Sharanam Vaaraahi 59,800 (530) 113 0.06
Poster Boys Sony 48,300 (960) 50 0.05
Operation Alamelamma Hombale 40,400 (1,610) 25 0.04
Rebel in the Rye IFC 39,800 (9,950) 4 0.04
Rupinder Gandhi 2 Grand Showbiz 28,900 (4,130) 7 0.03
The 60 Yard Line Churchie 27,700 (550) 50 0.03
Memoir of a Murderer Well Go 26,100 (2,900) 9 0.03
Twenty-two China Lion 22,800 (2,280) 10 0.02
Daddy Eros 21,200 (410) 52 0.02
Lipstick Under My Burkha M-Appeal 20,900 (1,040) 20 0.02

Confessions of A Film Festival Junkie: Opening Toronto

Sunday, September 10th, 2017

Not that anyone can suitably prepare for ten days of the Toronto International Film Festival, but circumstances kept me from doing much pre-planning.

So far, so good with my on-the-fly approach. My flight was painless, credentials went smoothly and I got to the pre-fest reception for the first time ever held by the Toronto Film Critics Association. I have a solid guest on Monday for the radio show I do for the BBC.

It feels like every shop, every local regardless of age, ethnicity or political bent, knows the film festival is in town. I saw a shop on Queen Street named “Fest-tool,” and thought it was a gag but it was very real if not related in any way to TIFF.

Still all that bonhomie threatened to come undone as I entered the Scotiabank Theatre multiplex for my first screening. Last year, its up escalator broke down opening day and was out of commission for four days after. It broke again and a volunteer chirped, “It was working fine yesterday.” And by the time I’d finished watching a double header, it seemed to be working just fine. I barreled through a handful of movies to stay out of trouble. It turned out to be an auteur day with Aki Kaurismäki, Fatih Akin and Ruben Östlund’s Cannes Palme d’or winner, The Square. There’s no denying that Thursday’s films were worthy, serious cinema. The Square, revolving around the head curator of an avant-garde Swedish art museum, felt long and disjointed and esoteric in an often-hilarious examination of how art and commerce don’t coalesce.

The most personally satisfying was In the Fade, Akin’s harrowing story of a marriage disrupted when members of a hate group set off a bomb that kills the husband and the couple’s young child. Akin grapple with issues of justice and revenge, not unlike the recent Danish film, The Hunt. Diane Kruger won the acting prize at Cannes for her performance and anchors complex and subtle issues in an elegant production.

The festival itself took a haircut this year. The decision was made to trim the number of features by 60, and in the end the organizers whittled it by 55. There also won’t be a closing night party. Few attending international press and industry folk will notice as many leave after opening weekend. Closing night costs are the responsibility of the distributor and production company of the film that gets that slot apparently no one took the bait for a costly finale its target audience wasn’t going to see.

Day Two

Downsizing is a work of extraordinary imagination.

The difficult plot spins out of a scientific discovery that allows people to be physically reduced to eight percent of their size. The benefit, according to the inventors, is that it confronts the planet’s overpopulation challenge.

But it’s actually about a midwestern couple, in Alexander Payne’s Omaha, naturally, who can’t make ends meet and are spurred on by a high school pal who took the plunge to “start a new life.” The result is revelatory, unexpected, emotional, jarring and wholly consuming.

It’s also a meticulously crafted movie. The special effects demand scenes that contrast normal-sized folk with the “downsizers.” These sequences are executed without calling undue attention to themselves. It may be the most un-science-fiction science-fiction movie ever made. The brunt of the tale unfolds in one world or another where size is not a factor, but a way of life.

There are colonies of downsizers and they operate—at least initially—like any affluent community: think Orange County or Tempe or Fort Lauderdale. It’s easy to imagine why it took Payne and his screenwriter Jim Taylor a decade to get this project greenlit. Downsizing was supposed to be his followup to Sideways. Studios and production companies came and went; some uneasy that the price of a “social satire sci-fi” was not commensurate with its potential commercial appeal The wait proved beneficial. The science seems more plausible and accurate. And the material seems on target with the zeitgeist.

Toronto weather has run the gamut from warm and sunny to torrential downpours , shifting from one extreme to another several times a day. But it’s mostly been on the plus side during daylight hours, with locals and visitors enjoying the kiosks, exhibits and food trucks lined up along King Street, again been turned into a pedestrian mall.

Last year I quoted a City Hall insider who claimed King Street would not be closed in 2017 and the festival would be offered other spaces for outdoor events. He said the calamity for downtown traffic was too great to offset the Friday-Sunday shutdown. Today, I asked him what changed the city’s mind and he turned red and became upset. He essentially said that the mayor caved and would face the political consequences.

Historical biopics are common in this year’s TIFF selection. I saw Armando Iannucci’s The Death of Stalin as well as Mark Felt, portryaing the senior FBI official better known as Deep Throat. Even though the former is more satiric and antic and the latter formal and conventional, they reminded me of my general uneasiness with efforts to grapple with the past via iconic figures of their time. As a history buff, I find myself anticipating scenes that follow chronological events. The imagined personal asides, generally relating to family life, usually make me cringe. In the case of Mark Felt, I knew there had to be that scene in the parking garage with Bob Woodward. In the film it was kept short and thankfully omitted the famous, totally fictional line: “Follow the money.”

Nonetheless one has a degree of impatience when one believes (sometimes incorrectly) they know the story. Unquestionably one has to present sufficient fact-based material for credibility but recent biopics tend to get mired down in suffocating history and lose sight of the contemporary resonances that would truly engage a generation largely unschooled in the lore that is their heritage.