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The Weekend Report

Sunday, March 11th, 2018

Black Panther led weekend moviegoing for a fourth weekend with an estimated $41.1 million. Four national releases opened for the session but only the long-taught A Wrinkle in Time proved competitive at $33.4 million. Other freshmen included a fine start for chiller The Strangers: Prey at Night of $10.3 million and early-year casualty status for Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures’ The Hurricane Heist and STX’s Gringo, with respective bows of $3 million and $2.6 million.

Also new in limited wide was teen revenge tale Thoroughbreds with an OK $1.2 million. Exclusive openers were dominated by political satire The Death of Stalin with a potent $177,000 from four mausoleums. Punjabi Laung Laachi with a solid $204,000 launch led Indian imports.

Revenues were about $138 million, for a 7% decline from last weekend. It was also 18% off from 2017.

The adaptation of Madeleine L’Engle’s 1962 fantasy, A Wrinkle in Time, previously made in 2003 as a forgotten television feature, received mixed reviews. Industry tracking suggested an opening of about $35 million with high-end outliers at $40 million. Some tagged that as disappointing but basic appeal should translate into strong holds and sustained power, even if it doesn’t become a family film behemoth. The opening weekend audience was 57% female with 57% 25 and older, which suggests the fifty-six-year-old novel might have lost beloved status to more contemporary young adult fare. A Wrinkle in Time also opened in six international territories to an estimated $6.3 million, with Russia dominating with a $4.1 million debut.

Likely few viewers of The Strangers: Prey at Night were drawn based upon its decade-old first entry. Still, tracking was good and it fulfilled high-end crystal-balling of $10 million. It had a slight 51% female tilt with 55% of viewers 25 and older.

Expectations for both The Hurricane Heist and Gringo were modest, with respective high ends of $4 million and $3 million that proved to be overly confident. Heist opened in a handful of nations a week ago, including France and grossed $1.4 million. Its audience was 55% male and 73% 25 and older.

In fading Oscar glory, only The Shape of Water and foreign-language winner A Fantastic Woman added new engagements, and neither had a second wind. The other winners generally lost about half of their playdates and a sharper decline in their box office.

Weekend (estimates) March 9 – 11, 2018
Title Distributor Gross (average) % change * Theaters Cume
Black Panther BV 41.1 (10,420) -38% 3942 562
A Wrinkle in Time BV 33.4 (8,380) NEW 3980 33.4
The Strangers: Prey at Night Aviron/Elevation 10.3 (4,190) NEW 2464 10.3
Red Sparrow Fox 8.2 (2,680) -51% 3064 31.2
Game Night WB 7.9 (2,570) -24% 3061 45
Peter Rabbit Sony 6.8 (2,190) -32% 3112 93.5
Death Wish MGM/eOne 6.6 (2,280) -49% 2882 23.9
Annihilation Par 3.2 (1,850) -44% 1709 26.1
The Hurricane Heist Entertainment/D Films 3.0 (1,260) NEW 2402 3
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 2.7 (1,260) -35% 2157 397.2
Gringo STX/VVS 2.6 (1,090) NEW 2404 2.6
The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 2.3 (1,500) 59% 1552 60.9
The Greatest Showman Fox 1.7 (1,830) -35% 952 167.4
Fifty Shades Freed Uni 1.3 (990) -60% 1357 98.3
Thoroughbreds Focus 1.2 (2,220) NEW 549 1.2
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox Searchlight .7 (1,250) -47% 552 53.3
The Post Fox .31 (1,120) -71% 278 81.1
Laung Laachi VP Films .29 (6,840) NEW 43 0.29
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics .28 (910) -64% 309 17.4
A Fantastic Woman Sony Classics .27 (1,620) 115% 166 1.15
Darkest Hour Focus .27 (1,110) -61% 245 56.1
I, Tonya Neon .26 (1,080) -52% 243 29.5
Coco BV .26 (1,350) -18% 194 208.8
The 15:17 to Paris WB .25 (590) -83% 420 35.8
Phantom Thread Focus .24 (1,310) -68% 184 20.7
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $133.00
% Change (Last Year) -18%
% Change (Last Week) -7%
Also debuting/expanding
Lady Bird A24/Elevation .18 (1,180) -68% 156 48.7
The Death of Stalin IFC .18 (44,250) 4 0.18
Operation Red Sea Well Go .17 (4,020) -49% 42 1.3
The Leisure Seeker Sony Classics .12 (4,220) 28 0.12
The Party Roadside Attractions .11 (1,180) -16% 91 0.49
Ye Mantram Vesave US Telugu 52,400 (730) 72 0.05
Loveless Sony Classics 52,700 (1,420) -14% 37 0.3
Tagaru Venus 34,200 (1,370) 25 0.03
The Princess and the Matchmaker CJ 19,800 (6,600) 3 0.02
Leaning into the Wind: Andy Goldsworthy Magnolia 18,300 (4,570) 4 0.02
Chien de garde Axia 17,300 (4,320) 4 0.02
Meditation Park Mongrel 17,400 (5.800) 3 0.02
Walk with Me Kino 14,200 (14,200) 1 0.01
Girls vs. Gangsters Well Go 13,600 (3,400) 4 0.01
Claire’s Camera Cinema Guild 10,700 (10,700) 1 0.01
Itzhak Greenwich 10,100 (5,050) 2 0.01
Bent Lionsgate 4,500 (500) 9 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 2 – March 8, 2018)
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
Buena Vista (5) 649.6 30.40%
Sony (8) 334.8 15.70%
20th Century Fox (6) 298.5 14.00%
Universal (5) 197.4 9.30%
Warner Bros. (11) 167.1 7.80%
Fox Searchlight (2) 70.1 3.30%
STX (3) 61.8 2.90%
Focus (2) 56.1 2.60%
Lionsgate (6) 54.6 2.60%
Paramount (3) 30.8 1.40%
Entertainment (1) 28.4 1.30%
Neon (1) 24.6 1.20%
CBS (1) 22.9 1.10%
MGM (2) 21.4 1.00%
A24 (3) 18.5 0.90%
Roadside Attractions (1) 15.5 0.70%
Other * (78) 81.9 3.80%
2134 100%
* none greater than 0.5%
Global Box Office Champs (January 2 – March 8, 2018)
Title Distributor Box Office (millions)
Black Panther BV 1,037,462,045
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle * Sony 598,635,531
Detective Chinatown 2 Wanda; WB 507,997,439
Operation Red Sea Bons; Well Go 494,919,655
Fifty Shades Freed Uni 361,460,668
Monster Hunt 2 Edko; Lionsgate 355,378,401
The Greatest Showman * Fox 289,533,571
Maze Runner: The Death Cure Fox 279,194,361
Star Wars: The Last Jedi * BV 277,137,928
Ex- File 3 * Huayi; China Lions 261,718,877
Coco * BV 213,379,330
Insidious: The Last Key Uni; Sony 165,743,824
Ferdinand * Fox 161,702,209
The Post * Fox 156,045,480
The Monkey King 3 Filmko; Well Go 122,625,370
Forever Young United 119,028,200
Darkest Hour * Focus 116,011,609
The Shape of Water * Fox 111,087,356
Peter Rabbit Sony 109,018,824
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox 107,520,594
The Commuter Studio Canal; Lionsgate 102,190,235
Paddington 2 * WB 95,749,546
Boonie Bears: The Big Shrink (China) Pearl River 94,358,627
Wonder * Lionsgate 94,142,532
* does not include 2017 box office

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, March 10th, 2018

A Wrinkle in Time|10.2|3980|NEW|10.2
Black Panther|9.9|3942|-39%|531
The Strangers: Prey at Night|3.9|2464|NEW|3.9
Red Sparrow|2.3|3064|-62%|25.3
Game Night|2.2|3061|-27%|39.3
Death Wish|1.7|2882|-60%|19
Peter Rabbit|1.5|3112|-29%|88.1
Gringo|1|2402|NEW|1
The Hurricane Heist|0.9|2402|NEW|0.9
Annihilation|0.85|1709|-44%|23.8
||||
Also Debuting||||
Thoroughbreds|0.44|549||
Laung Laachi|75,500|43||
The Death of Stalin|50,100|4||
Ye Mantram Vesave|31,200|72||
The Leisure Seeker|29,000|28||
Tagaru|7,100|11||
Leaning into the Wind: Andy Goldsworthy|5,600|4||
Chien de garde|5,500|4||
Meditation Park|5,000|3||
Walk with Me|4,700|1||
The Princess and the Matchmaker|4,700|3||
Girls vs. Gangsters|4,400|4||
Claire’s Camera|3,000|1||
Itzhak|1,800|2||
Bent|1,700|9||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, March 4th, 2018

Black Panther held sway at the multiplex with a third weekend estimated tally of $66.3 million. The session’s two new national releases followed with Red Sparrow opening to $16.8 million and a resurrected MGM debuting Death Wish with $12.8 million.

Hindi Pari was off to a good start of $171,000. And best of the exclusive entries was the Israeli foreign language Oscar submission Foxtrot that grossed $35,300 from four locations.

Revenues for the frame generated about $145 million and shrank 24% from the prior weekend. It was a comparable 23% decline from 2017 when the debut of Oscar-nominated Logan led with a potent $88.4 million and Get Out’s second weekend followed with $28.2 million.

Red Sparrow, a tale of a Russian ballerina chained into espionage, was largely compared to Atomic Blonde and not in a positive fashion. It didn’t get to industry predictions that suggested an $18 million to $20 million start. Studio exit demos identified the audience as 53% female with 79% of viewers aged 25 and older.

The Jennifer Lawrence vehicle also opened in 65 foreign markets to an estimated $26 million. Its top grossing territories were Germany with $2.6 million, the UK grossing $2.5 million and Taiwan with $2.4 million.

The wisdom of getting back into the distribution arena by MGM certainly can’t be determined by a single picture… or the prospects of the next James Bond if it chooses not to auction off the rights to another studio. The original Death Wish back in 1974 was a huge commercial success as well as highly controversial for its perspective of vigilantism. Even its author Brian Garfield felt the screenplay perverted its message. Nonetheless it spawned a handful of sequels over two decades.

The author hasn’t weighed into its new incarnation but critics have largely savaged the effort. It too was slightly below tracking that pegged a $12 million to $14 million domestic launch. The film’s opening crowd was 57% male with 81% aged 25-years and older.

The Big Show will broadcast in a few hours. It’s an odd year in the sense that there’s less of a feeling that someone, anyone will finally receive a long-overdue Oscar; and a tilt toward who will be a surprise winner. With the Academy Awards unspooling three months after the first prize announcements back in December something called award malaise sets in. While far from a scientific study, talking to Academy members in the past two weeks certainly reveals that most are tired of seeing the predictable honorees get yet another shelf ornament. If this admittedly small sampling were the consensus the likes of Paul Thomas Anderson, Willem Dafoe and Laurie Metcalf would be tripping over good luck charms on the way to the podium. Good viewing… we can hope.

 

Weekend (estimates) March 2 – 4, 2018
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Black Panther BV 66.3 (16,240) -41% 4084 501.7
Red Sparrow Fox 16.8 (5,490) NEW 3056 16.8
Death Wish MGM/eOne 12.8 (4,500) NEW 2847 12.8
Game Night WB 10.5 (2,990) -38% 3502 33.3
Peter Rabbit Sony 9.9 (3,790) -23% 2607 83.9
Annihilation Par 5.6 (2,650) -50% 2112 20.6
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 4.5 (1,930) -20% 2313 393.2
Fifty Shades Freed Uni 3.3 (1,260) -54% 2614 95.6
The Greatest Showman Fox 2.7 (1,900) -22% 1407 164.6
Every Day Orion/Elevation 1.6 (940) -48% 1669 5.3
The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 1.4 (1,690) 19% 832 57.4
The 15:17 to Paris WB 1.4 (790) -60% 1803 35
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox Searchlight 1.2 (1,580) -2% 770 52
The Post Fox .91 (1,360) -26% 671 80.4
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics .65 (710) 24% 914 16.8
Phantom Thread Focus .59 (820) -41% 715 20.1
Darkest Hour Focus .57 (620) -25% 913 55.4
Lady Bird A24/Elevation .53 (750) -21% 710 48.3
I, Tonya Neon .53 (1,130) -10% 466 28.9
Winchester CBS/VVS .52 (900) -44% 576 24.6
Early Man Lionsgate .48 (530) -73% 897 7.7
Maze Runner: The Death Cure Fox .45 (830) -53% 543 57.1
2018 Oscar Shorts Magnolia .39 (1,590) -20% 244 3.3
Coco BV .33 (1,420) -29% 235 208.5
Operation Red Sea Well Go .32 (5,850) -26% 55 0.97
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $142.30
% Change (Last Year) -23%
% Change (Last Week) -24%
Also debuting/expanding
Pari Pooja .17 (3,640) 47 0.17
A Fantastic Woman Sony Classics .14 (1,590) -10% 89 0.8
The Party Roadside Attractions .14 (1,510) 39% 92 0.33
Loveless Sony Classics 59,100 (2,360) -2% 25 0.22
The Insult Cohen Media 54,200 (1,150) -29% 47 0.86
Foxtrot Sony Classics 35,300 (8,820) 4 0.04
Complices Tribe 29,800 (600) 50 0.03
Oh Lucy! Film Movement 14,900 (4,720) 4 0.01
Charlotte a du fun Seville 14,200 (1,290) 11 0.01
Changing Partners ABS 11,800 (790) 15 0.01
Let Yourself Go Menemsha 8,500 (1,210) 7 0.01
Pickings Digital Magic 5,900 (840) 7 0.01
Brown Girl Begins Urbansoul 4,700 (4,700) 1 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 2 – March 1, 2018)
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
Buena Vista (4) 561.9 29.00%
Sony (8) 316.3 16.40%
20th Century Fox (6) 270.7 14.00%
Universal (5) 192.3 9.90%
Warner Bros. (11) 149.7 7.70%
Fox Searchlight (2) 65.5 3.40%
STX (3) 61.4 3.20%
Focus (2) 54.1 2.80%
Lionsgate (6) 53.5 2.80%
Entertainment (1) 28.2 1.40%
Neon (1) 23.8 1.20%
Paramount (3) 22.9 1.20%
CBS (1) 22.3 1.20%
A24 (3) 17.8 0.90%
Roadside Attractions (1) 15.2 0.80%
Other * (73) 79.4 4.10%
1935 100%
* none greater than 0.4%

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, March 3rd, 2018

Black Panther|16.4|4084|-43%|451.8
Red Sparrow|6|3056|NEW|6
Death Wish|4.2|2847|NEW|4.2
Game Night|3|3502|-47%|25.8
Peter Rabbit|2|3607|-28%|76.1
Annihilation|1.5|2112|-61%|16.5
Fifty Shades Freed|1|2614|-56%|93.3
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle|1|2313|-24%|389.7
The Greatest Showman|0.7|1407|-22%|162.6
Every Day|0.45|1669|-59%|4.2
||||
Also Debuting||||
Pari|44,700|47||
Complices|8,400|49||
Foxtrot|7,000|4||
Charlotte a du fun|3,700|11||
Oh Lucy!|3,300|3||
Pickings|2,600|7||
Let Yourself Go|2,500|7||
Changing Partners|2,400|15||
Brown Girl Begins|2,100|1||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, February 25th, 2018

Black Panther’s 46% decline can be viewed as a moderate downturn, but its estimated $108.2 million weekend box office is formidable. The modest opposition saw three new national release, with the best of the bunch, the antic comedy Game Night, slotted second with $16.7 million while head-trip adventure Annihilation opened to $10.8 million. The resurrected Orion Pictures label provided the young adult fantasy romance Every Day with a low spark of $2.9 million.

Best of the exclusive bows was Raoul Peck’s follow-up to I Am Not Your Negro, fictional biopic The Young Karl Marx, which grossed $27,200 on three battlements.

A pair of Hindi films bowed to OK results of $244,000 for Sonu Ke Titi Ki Sweety and disappointment for Welcome to New York with $133,000. China entries featured a potent $474,000 start for Operation Red Sea and a modest $58,200 for spy spoof Agent Mr. Chan. In Québec, animated Nelly et Simon: Mission Yeti misfired with a $54,300 tally while local drama Pour vivre ici was moderately better with a $35,600 box office from 12 venues.

Revenues for the session topped $185 million and slipped 35% from the prior weekend. It was conversely a 59% boost from 2017 when the debut of Get Out opened to $33.4 million and The Lego Batman movie took the silver with $19.2 million.

Jason Bateman has backed into the role of comedy’s hard-pressed everyman and in Game Night mines the tricky balance of fun and mayhem. Tracking suggested a $15 million to $17 million debut with a result tilting to the high side. Its audience was 56% female with 86% 25 and older.

The intensity of Annihilation contributed to its 58% skew toward male viewers. It had high-end expectations of $10 million that it exceeded, but its ferocity is likely to translate into sharp declines even as March releases aren’t expected to prompt significant sales. 67% of viewers were aged 25 and older.

Barring a miracle, 2018 looks like the year Oscar nominees failed to generate significant momentum for potential honorees. No film has emerged as the inevitable best picture winner and, contrary to reason, the absence of a perceived winner has historically worked against viewership levels. Commentators are unified in best acting statuettes for Gary Oldman in Darkest Hour and Francis McDormand in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, but their films have had sustained rather than expanding commercial returns. And with one exception all contender pictures are well into their respective international campaigns. The only potential beneficiary of major overseas boosts is Lady Bird, which began its international exposure last weekend in 12 markets that included the U.K., Australia, Mexico and Brazil with a $2.4 million gross.

Weekend (estimates) February 16 – 18, 2018
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Black Panther BV 108.2 (26,920) -46% 4020 400.2
Game Night WB 16.7 (4,780) NEW 3488 16.7
Peter Rabbit Sony 12.5 (3,370) -29% 3707 71.2
Annihilation Par 10.8 (5,380) NEW 2012 10.8
Fifty Shades Freed Uni 6.9 (2,110) -60% 3265 89.5
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 5.6 (2,230) -30% 2519 387.2
The 15:17 to Paris WB 3.6 (1,300) -53% 2752 32.2
The Greatest Showman Fox 3.4 (2,110) -33% 1601 160.8
Every Day Orion 2.9 (1,760) NEW 1667 2.9
Early Man Lionsgate 1.7 (670) -48% 2494 6.8
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox Searchlight 1.2 (1,790) -18% 691 50.1
The Post Fox 1.2 (1,480) -40% 795 78.8
The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 1.1 (1,550) -32% 721 55.3
Winchester CBS/VVS 1.0 (1,150) -56% 852 23.8
Maze Runner: The Death Cure WB .96 (1,010) -63% 952 56.3
Samson Pure Flix .87 (760) -55% 1140 3.6
Darkest Hour Focus .77 (970) -16% 795 53.5
Lady Bird A24/Elevation .62 (1,040) 0% 601 47.2
Phantom Thread Focus .58 (900) -19% 651 18.7
I, Tonya Neon .57 (1,340) -37% 423 28.1
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics .53 (790) 5% 675 15.8
Coco BV .48 (1,810) -30% 266 208
Operation Red Sea Well Go .47 (10,300) NEW 46 0.47
Detective Chinatown 2 WB .40 (3,580) -44% 111 1.6
Den of Thieves STX/VVS .38 (1,060) -60% 357 44.3
2018 Oscar Shorts Magnolia .36 (1,950) -47% 186 2.5
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $181.70
% Change (Last Year) 52%
% Change (Last Week) -35%
Also debuting/expanding
Sonu Ke Tutu Ki Sweety Viva .24 (3,690) 66 0.24
A Fantastic Woman Sony Classics .16 (2,010) 66% 78 0.58
Welcome to New York Grand Showbiz .13 (1,600) 83 0.13
The Party Roadside Attractions .11 (3,630) 191% 30 0.17
Monster Hunt 2 Lionsgate .10 (1,960) -70% 52 0.61
The Insult Cohen Media 75,800 (1,510) -10% 50 0.76
Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool Sony Classics 74,700 (730) -47% 102 0.7
Loveless Sony Classics 62,300 (5,190) 63% 12 0.13
Agent Mr. Chan China Lion 58,200 (6,470) 9 0.06
Nelly et Simon: Mission Yeti Seville 54,200 (1,260) 43 0.05
Pour vivre ici Seville 35,500 (2,960) 12 0.04
Sin Island ABS 32,400 (880) 37 0.03
The Young Karl Marx Orchard 27,200 (9,070) 3 0.03
Les Gardiens MK2 19,100 (2,390) 8 0.02
Are We Not Cats Cleopatra 6,900 (1,720) 4 0.01
The Cured IFC 4,700 (1,570) 3 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 2 – February 22, 2018)
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
Buena Vista (4) 417.2 24.80%
Sony (8) 293.7 17.50%
20th Century Fox (5) 261.6 15.50%
Universal (5) 182.4 10.90%
Warner Bros. (11) 121.5 7.20%
Fox Searchlight (2) 61.9 3.70%
STX (3) 60.7 3.60%
Focus (2) 51.6 3.10%
Lionsgate (6) 50.5 3.00%
Entertainment (1) 27.7 1.60%
Neon (1) 23.1 1.40%
CBS (1) 21.1 1.30%
A24 (3) 16.7 1.00%
Roadside Attractions (1) 14.8 0.90%
Paramount (3) 8.7 0.50%
Other * (64) 67.8 4.00%
1681 100%
* none greater than 0.4%

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, February 24th, 2018

Black Panther|28.8|4020|-45%|321
Game Night|5.6|3488|NEW|5.6
Annihilation|3.8|2012|NEW|3.8
Peter Rabbit|2.8|3707|-30%|61.6
Fifty Shades Freed|2.3|3265|-59%|85
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle|1.3|2519|-29%|383
Every Day|1|1667|NEW|1
The 15:17 to Paris|1|2752|-52%|29.6
The Greatest Showman|0.9|1601|-32%|158
Early Man|0.35|2494|-58%|5.4
||||
Also Debuting||||
Operation Red Sea|0.13|46||
Sonu Ke Tutu Ki Sweety|65,100|66||
Welcome to New York|33,300|83||
Agent Mr. Chan|18,000|9||
Nelly et Simon: Mission Yeti|12,400|43||
Sin Island|10,200|36||
Pour vivre ici|8,600|12||
The Young Karl Marx|7,400|3||
Les Gardiens|4,800|8||
Are We Not Cats|3,600|4||
The Cured|2,000|3||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, February 18th, 2018

Black Panther devoured seventy percent or more of the marketplace, with a record-setting box office estimated at $192.2 million (all numbers reflect three-day portion of holiday weekend). Two films premiered nationally as counterprogrammers: animated Early Man wound up slotting seventh with $3.1 million, while faith-targeted biblical drama Samson earned $1.9 million.

Best of exclusive freshmen were black-comic The Party with $35,800 at a trio of dinner tables, and Russian foreign-language Oscar nominee Loveless, which grossed $27,600 from three investigations. Another wave of Indian imports included strong results for Telugu Awe of $478,000, as well as Punjabi Laavaan Phere with $139,000. Chinese movies capitalized on New Year celebrations. In North America, Detective Chinatown 2 led with a $670,000 tally, followed by Monster Hunt 2 that grossed $340,000, and Monkey King 3 trailing with $89,300. In China, Monster Hunt 2 opened to $190 million with Detective Chinatown 2 grossing $155 million and Monkey King 3 opening to $80 million.

Revenues topped $275 million for a 96% boost from last weekend. It was a 91% improvement from 2017 when the second weekend of The Lego Batman Movie led with $42.7 million and newcomer The Great Wall bowed with $21.5 million.

The amount of earnest media attention given to Black Panther is also superheroic, and the movie was up to the challenge with its cultural, gender and other resonances. It readily exceeded the record for a February release, previously held by Deadpool at $132 million, and ranks as the fifth-biggest opening of all time.

Black Panther exceeded industry expectations that marked it as high as $185 million and a studio conservative estimate of $175 million. Exit demos identified the audience as 55% male with 61% of viewers 25 and older. Unsurprisingly, a studio spokesman said its performance in key cities, as well as regionally, indicated a larger-than-typical African-American audience.

On the international front the picture opened in virtually all markets with China, Japan and Russia the only major territories held back. Studio estimates for its first overseas wave is $169 million with South Korea (even in the midst of the Olympics) and Great Britain in the forefront, respectively with $25.3 million and $24.8 million. The list of records by territory is staggering, especially among African nations.

Early Man’s audience was 51% male with 62% of viewers 25 and older. Statistics on families were unavailable.

Title Distributor Gross (average) % change * Theaters Cume
Black Panther BV 192.2 (4,800) NEW 4020 192.2
Peter Rabbit Sony 17.2 (4,620) -31% 3725 48.2
Fifty Shades Freed Uni 16.9 (4,490) -56% 3768 76.1
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 7.8 (2,800) -22% 2800 376.5
The 15:17 to Paris WB 7.6 (2,510) -39% 3042 20.4
The Greatest Showman Fox 5.0 (2,600) -22% 1936 154.4
Early Man Lionsgate 3.1 (1,250) NEW 2494 3.1
Maze Runner: The Death Cure WB 2.5 (1,340) -59% 1892 54
Winchester CBS/VVS 2.2 (1,500) -57% 1479 21.8
The Post Fox 2.0 (1,890) -46% 1050 76.6
Samson Pure Flix 1.9 (1,550) NEW 1249 1.9
The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 1.6 (1,700) -49% 957 53.2
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox Searchlight 1.5 (1,900) -36% 780 48
12 Strong WB 1.0 (1,200) -64% 815 44.1
Den of Thieves STX/VVS .89 (1,220) -70% 730 43.4
Darkest Hour Focus .88 (1,460) -45% 602 53.1
Hostiles Entertainment/Elevation .83 (1,080) -71% 767 28.3
I, Tonya Neon .81 (1,720) -51% 471 26.9
Coco BV .71 (1,840) -20% 385 207.2
Phantom Thread Focus .68 (1,910) -44% 355 17.7
Detective Chinatown 2 WB .67 (5,860) NEW 115 0.67
Lady Bird A24/Elevation .59 (1,460) -34% 407 46.2
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV .58 (1,650) -59% 351 618
2018 Oscar Shorts Magnolia .51 (2,550) -26% 201 1.6
La Boda de Valentina Lionsgate .51 (1,530) -56% 331 2.1
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics .49 (1,480) -27% 332 14.9
Awe Nirvana .48 (4,190) NEW 114 0.61
Forever My Girl Roadside/Elevation .44 (1,110) -64% 401 15.7
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $270.65
% Change (Last Year) 91%
% Change (Last Week) 96%
Also debuting/expanding
Aiyaary Big Pictures .36 (2,240) 159 0.36
Monster Hunt 2 Lionsgate .34 (4,830) 70 0.34
Laavaan Phere Grand Showbiz .14 (7,330) 19 0.14
Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool Sony Classics .12 (1,120) 109% 107 0.55
Monkey King 3: Kingdom of Women Well Go 89,300 (2,630) 34 0.09
A Fantastic Woman Sony Classics 84,800 (2,920) -23% 29 0.36
The Insult Cohen Media 81,700 (1,900) -26% 43 0.6
Double Lover Cohen Media 67,400 (2,410) 48 0.07
The Party Roadside Attractions 35,800 (11,930) 3 0.04
Naachiyaar B Studios 28,700 (930) 31 0.03
Detective K: Secret of the Living Dead Well Go 28,500 (3,160) 9 0.03
Loveless Sony Classics 27,600 (9,200) 3 0.03
Nostalgia Bleecker Street 19,200 (6,200) 3 0.02
Honor Up Lionsgate 14,100 (1,80) 13 0.01
Mind Game Gkids 6,800 (970) 7 0.01
The Boy Downstairs FilmRise 5,700 (5,700) 1 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 2 – February 15, 2018)
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
Sony (8) 253.3 19.70%
20th Century Fox (5) 245.9 19.20%
Universal (5) 158.3 12.30%
Buena Vista (4) 148.1 11.60%
Warner Bros. (9) 106.1 8.30%
STX (3) 59.1 4.60%
Fox Searchlight (2) 56.8 4.40%
Focus (2) 48.9 3.80%
Lionsgate (3) 43.7 3.40%
Entertainment (1) 26.4 2.10%
Neon (1) 21.8 1.70%
CBS (1) 18.1 1.40%
A24 (3) 15.7 1.20%
Roadside Attractions (1) 14.3 1.10%
Paramount (2) 7.8 0.60%
Other * (56) 58.4 4.60%
1282.7 100%
* none greater than 0.4%

Friday Box-Office Estimates

Saturday, February 17th, 2018

Black Panther * | 76.5| 4020 |NEW |76.5
Fifty Shades Freed | 5.6 |3768 |-69% |64.8
Peter Rabbit | 4.1 |5711| -29% |35
The 15:17 to Paris | 2.1| 3042 |-45%| 19.8
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle | 1.8| 2800| -17% |371.5
The Greatest Showman | 1.3 |1936| -18%| 150.7
Early Man | 0.85| 2494| NEW| 0.85
Maze Runner: Death Cure | 0.65| 1892 |-51%| 52.1
Samson | 0.6| 1249| NEW |0.6
Winchester |0.6 |1479| -62% |20.1

* includes previews

Also Debuting
Detective Chinatown 2 | 0.19 |115
Awe | 0.15 |114
Monster Hunt 2 | 0.12 |70
Aiyaary | 0.11 |159
Laavaan Phere | 34,200| 17
Monkey King 3: Kingdom of Women | 29,100| 34
Double Lover | 17,000| 48
The Party | 12,500 |3
Naachiyaar| 8,500| 31
Detective K: Secret of the Living Dead | 7,500| 9
Honor Up | 6,550 |13
Loveless | 6,550 |3
Mind Game | 4,000| 7
The Boy Downstairs | 2,550 |1

The Weekend Report

Sunday, February 11th, 2018

Fifty Shades Freed topped weekend moviegoing with an estimated $38.8 million, followed by two other national newcomers, the free adaptation of Peter Rabbit, with $24.8 million, while clipped-from-the-headlines The 15:17 to Paris went hand-to-hand for $12.4 million.

The annual Oscar-nominated shorts program had its strongest start of $512,000. Among exclusives the downbeat Brooklyn families drama Golden Exits had the most encouraging start of $12,600 from a single walk-up, its own 35mm engagement, and just prior to video-on-demand.

Crosscultural La Boda da Valentina opened simultaneously in Mexico with domestic earnings of $1.1 million. Indian imports opened during national holidays but only Hindi Pad Man ($730,000) and Telugu TholiPrema ($611,000) broke through.

Revenues for the session generated more than $140 million and expanded an impressive 45%. It lagged behind 2017 by 27% when debuts of The Lego Batman Movie, Fifty Shades Darker and John Wick: Chapter Two led with openings of $53 million, $46.6 million and $30.4 million.

Critics have largely dismissed the sexual candor and kink of the billion-dollar-grossing Fifty Shades franchise, but audiences have embraced its sanitized sauciness. Tracking was in line with its first number. The concluding episode attracted a 75% female audience with 55% aged 25 and younger. The tale of the happy couple opened in 57 international markets as well, to an estimated $98 million. Top territories included Germany with $10.6 million, the UK $8.8 million and Franc $8.6 million.

Beatrix Potter’s beloved bunny exceeded tracking that suggested an $18-$20 million debut. The live-action animated mélange (a la Stuart Little) transported him to contemporary realms. Studio exit demos identified the audience as 58% female with 63% of the crowd 25 and younger. Family stats were unavailable but 34% classified as parents.

The run-up to The 15:17 to Paris was worrisome, including the casting of the real-life trio (non-actors) who foiled a terrorist plot cast as themselves. Real or imagined borders blurred and the result provided modest response, a $12-$14 million opening. While perceived as a “boys’ movie,” exit demos revealed a 51% female audience with 86% of ticket buyers aged 25 and younger. Internationally, the film opened day-and-date in 23 markets to a modest $5.3 million. The top-grossing territories were Italy with $1.5 million and France, where much of the country was shut down by crippling blizzards, with $1.4 million.

Weekend (estimates) February 9 – 11, 2018
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtr Cume
Fifty Shades Freed Uni 38.8 (10,290) NEW 3768 38.8
Peter Rabbit Sony 24.8 (6,650) NEW 3725 24.8
The 15:17 to Paris WB 12.4 (4,070) NEW 3042 12.4
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 9.7 (3,100) -12% 3126 365.5
The Greatest Showman Fox 6.3 (2,670) -18% 2373 146.5
Maze Runner: The Death Cure WB 5.8 (1,990) -44% 2923 48.8
Winchester CBS/VVS 4.9 (1.980) -47% 2480 17
The Post Fox 3.4 (1,820) -35% 1865 72.7
The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 3.0 (1,670) -33% 1780 49.7
Den of Thieves STX/VVS 2.9 (1,950) -37% 1468 40.9
12 Strong WB 2.6 (1,390) -44% 1901 41.9
Hostiles Ent Stud/Elev 2.5 (1,150) -50% 2214 25.7
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox Searchlight 2.1 (1,680) -29% 1273 45.3
I, Tonya Neon 1.4 (1,270) -44% 1088 25.1
Darkest Hour Focus 1.3 (1,250) -45% 1045 51.5
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV 1.3 (1,530) -46% 830 616.7
Forever My Girl Roadside/Elev 1.2 (1,080) -49% 1088 14.5
La Boda de Valentina Lionsgate 1.1 (3,440) NEW 331 1.1
Paddington 2 WB 1.1 (790) -66% 1429 38.4
Phantom Thread Focus 1.0 (1,750) -54% 558 16.2
Padmaavat Viva 1.0 (3,678) -58% 279 10.6
Lady Bird A24/Elevation .87 (1,370) -34% 634 45.2
Coco BV .81 (970) -53% 833 206.1
Pad Man Sony .73 (4,810) NEW 152 0.73
Insidious: The Last Key Uni/Sony .66 (1,210) -55% 545 66.8
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics .65 (1,360) -27% 475 13.9
TholiPrema Creative .61 (4,460) NEW 137 0.77
The Commuter Lionsgate/VVS .57 (970) -66% 590 35.5
2018 Oscar Shorts Magnolia .51 (3,390) 151 0.51
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $134.00
% Change (Last Year) -27%
% Change (Last Week) 45%
Also debuting/expanding
A Fantastic Woman Sony Classics .12 (5,900) 84% 20 0.23
The Insult Cohen Media .10 (2,070) -6% 50 0.45
Ang Dalawang Mrs. Reyes ABS .10 (2,930) -52% 34 0.85
Aadhi Maxlab 56,900 (1,390) 41 0.06
Inttelligent 1.2: 4 51,300 (620) 83 0.05
Kalakalappu 2 Cinemax 35,400 (1,360) 26 0.04
Gayatri 24 Frames 21,600 (440) 49 0.02
First We Take Brooklyn 2B Films 13,200 (4,400) 3 0.01
Golden Exits Vertical 12,600 (12,600) 1 0.01
Permission Good Deed 10,900 (840) 13 0.01
La Confession MK2 10,100 (2,020) 5 0.01
Basmati Blues Shout! Factory 7,200 (720) 10 0.01
The Female Brain IFC 6,800 (3,400) 2 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 2 – February 8, 2018
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
20th Century Fox (5) 222.5 20.90%
Sony (6) 206.9 19.50%
Buena Vista (3) 119.4 11.20%
Universal (5) 103.7 9.80%
Warner Bros. (8) 82.6 7.80%
STX (3) 54.4 5.10%
Fox Searchlight (2) 48.7 4.60%
Focus (2) 44.8 4.20%
Lionsgate (3) 41.1 3.90%
Entertainment (1) 22.2 2.10%
Neon (1) 19.6 1.80%
A24 (3) 14.5 1.40%
Roadside Attractions (1) 12.5 1.20%
CBS (1) 11.2 1.00%
Paramount (2) 7.6 0.70%
Other (51) 50.7 4.80%
1062.4 100%

Friday Estimates

Saturday, February 10th, 2018

Fifty Shades Freed | 18.5|3768 |NEW |18.5
Peter Rabbit | 5.7| 5711 |NEW |5.7
The 15:17 to Paris | 3.7| 3042 |NEW |3.7
Jumanji: Welcome | 2.2 |3116 |-23% |358
The Greatest Showman | 1.6 |2373 |-30% |141.7
Maze Runner: Cure | 1.5 |2923| -51%| 44.5
Winchester | 1.4| 2480 |-62% |13.5
The Post | 0.85| 1865 |-46% |70.2
The Shape of Water | 0.75 |1780 |-43% |47.5
Den of Thieves | 0.75| 1468 |-48%| 38.8

Also Debuting
La Boda da Valentina | 0.35 |331
Pad Man | 0.2 |152
TholiPrema | 0.16 |137
2018 Oscar Shorts | 0.13| 140
Inttelligent | 23,800| 83
Kalakalappu 2 | 9,300| 23
Gayatri | 6,800 |49
Golden Exits | 5,600| 1
Aadhi | 5,600 |12
First We Take Brooklyn | 5,400 |3
Basmati Blues | 3,600 |10
Permission | 3,300| 13
La Confession | 2,600 |5
The Female Brain | 2,050 |2

The Weekend Report

Sunday, February 4th, 2018

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle returned to the top of the weekend viewing charts with an estimated $11 million. As the Patriots and Eagles await kick off of Super Bowl LII in frigid Minneapolis, moviegoing takes a back seat. And with that chill in mind the sole national newcomer – haunted house Winchester – opened in third with $9.1 million.

Exclusive debuts were led by Chilean Oscar nominee A Fantastic Woman with a $69,500 box office from five screens. Another foreign-language nominee, Lebanon’s The Insult, has had an effective slow rollout, generating $121,000. A third nominee, Hungary’s Of Body and Soul, also opened this weekend; results were not available.

There was a strong start of $513,000 for Telugu import Chalo at the expense of Touch Chesi Chudu with a $149,000 kickoff. Also of note was the impressive 298 theater count for Emirate epic Bilal: A New Breed of Hero that grossed $308,000.

Revenues for the frame came up slightly short of $100 million and ebbed back 34% from last weekend. It was a slim 2% decline from 2017 when the third weekend of Split topped the charts with $14.4 million and newcomer Rings took second spot with $13 million.

Winchester, inspired by a real-life San Jose mansion, had tepid critical response. However it proved to be an ample guilty pleasure and football diversion to exceed high-end expectations of $8 million. Studio exit polling identified the audience as 58% female with 64% of viewers 25 and older.

Last night’s Directors Guild award to Guillermo del Toro for The Shape of Water (also cited by the Producers Guild) gives the imaginative fable an edge in the continuing Oscar race. Still there’s not a strong sense of inevitability or even a feeling of rising momentum for it or really any of the other contenders including Lady Bird and Three Billboards. One can only imagine the buildup of mounting dread at Academy central as officials brace for what could be one of the lowest rated broadcasts of the past decade.

Weekend (estimates) February 2 – 4, 2018
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 11.0 (3,290) -32% 3352 352.7
Maze Runner: The Death Cure WB 10.3 (2,720) -57% 3793 39.9
Winchester CBS 9.1 (3,670) NEW 2480 9.1
The Greatest Showman Fox 7.8 (3,030) -18% 2588 137.5
Hostiles Entertainment/Elevation 5.3 (1,810) -47% 2934 21
The Post Fox 5.2 (2,100) -43% 2462 67.2
12 Strong WB 4.6 (1,590) -47% 2918 37.2
Den of Thieves STX/VVS 4.6 (2,170) -47% 2112 36.2
The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 4.3 (1,850) -27% 2341 44.6
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox Searchlight 3.1 (1,780) -20% 1726 41.8
Paddington 2 WB 3.1 (1,290) -45% 2388 36.2
I, Tonya Neon 2.5 (1,700) -18% 1450 22.5
Darkest Hour Focus 2.4 (1,620) -16% 1486 48.8
Forever My Girl Roadside/Elevation 2.4 (1,660) -34% 1427 12.6
Padmaavat Viva 2.3 (6,610) -47% 354 8.8
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV 2.2 (1,530) -47% 1467 614.4
Phantom Thread Focus 2.1 (1,790) -29% 1186 14.1
The Commuter Lionsgate/VVS 1.6 (1,090) -52% 1494 34.2
Coco BV 1.6 (970) 11% 1636 204.7
Insidious: The Last Key Uni/Sony 1.4 (1,50) -55% 1253 65.7
Lady Bird A24/Elevation 1.3 (1,200) -30% 1109 43.7
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics .93 (1,600) -28% 581 12.9
Molly’s Game STX/eOne .81 (960) -10% 843 27.1
Pitch Perfect 3 Uni .77 (810) -44% 951 103.9
Ferdinand Fox .63 (1,100) -38% 575 81.4
Proud Mary Sony .55 (1,070) -59% 513 20.2
Chalo Sarigama .51 (4,460) NEW 115 0.61
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $92.40
% Change (Last Year) -2%
% Change (Last Week) -34%
Also debuting/expanding
Bilal: A New Breed of Hero Vertical .31 (1,030) 298 0.31
Ang Dalawang Mrs. Reyes ABS .21 (5,190) -17% 41 0.64
Touch Chesi Chudu Blue Sky .15 (1,380) 108 0.16
The Insult Cohen Media .12 (3,360) 99% 36 0.29
Hochelaga, Terre des ames Seville 72,300 (2,190) -23% 33 0.45
A Fantastic Woman Sony Classics 69,500 (13,900) 5 0.07
Till the End of the World China Lion 59,100 (2,190) 27 0.06
Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool Sony Classics 53,700 (1,580) 56% 34 0.31
The Disaster Artist A24/Elevation 51,800 (780) -48% 65 21
Oru Nalla Naal Paathu Soiren AP Intl 41,900 (790) 53 0.04
24 Frames Janus 8,200 (8,200) 1 0.01
Before We Vanish Super LTD 8,100 (4,050) 2 0.01
Braven Saban 7,800 (780) 10 0.01

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, February 3rd, 2018

Winchester|3.6|2480|NEW|3.6
Maze Runner: The Death Cure|3|3793|-64%|32.5
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle|2.9|3352|-24%|344.5
The Greatest Showman|2.3|2588|-9%|132
Hostiles|1.6|2934|-52%|17.3
The Post|1.6|2462|-35%|62.5
12 Strong|1.5|2918|-36%|34.1
Den of Thieves|1.4|2112|-39%|33
The Shape of Water|1.3|2341|-19%|41.6
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing. Missouri|0.9|1726|-11%|39.6
||||
||||
Also Debuting||||
Chalo|0.14|115||
Bilal: A New Breed of Hero|82,100|298||
Touch Chesi Chudu|52,800|108||
A Fantastic Woman|19,500|5||
Till the End of the World|18,550|26||
Oru Nalla Naal Paathu Soiren|6,600|49||
24 Frames|3,500|1||
Braven|2,500|10||
Before We Vanish|2,150|2||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, January 28th, 2018

The final installment of Maze Runner, The Death Cure, navigated to the top of the weekend charts with an estimated $23.6 million. Also debuting nationally was Hostiles following five weeks in limited release. Padmaavat cracked the top 10 with a near-record $4.4 million. Following several delays it was released worldwide Thursday and sparked violent demonstrations in India by fundamentalists.

Another Indian import – Telugu Bhaagamathe – also had a strong start of $763,000 and the Filipino comedy Ang Dalawang Mrs. Reyes had a potent $237,000 opening.

Capitalizing on last week’s Oscar nominations the likes of The Shape of Water, Lady Bird, I, Tonya and Three Billboards added a significant number of playdates. The result can be best characterized as an Oscar flutter that should continue through the remainder of the awards season. This year’s absence of a clear frontrunner is a mixed blessing with a greater number of films benefitting from exposure but no film getting a dramatic boost.

Revenues for the frame inched close to $145 million and experienced a modest 4% gain from last weekend. It was an infinitesimal 0.6% improvement from 2017 when the second weekend of Split led with $25.6 million and newcomer A Dog’s Purpose took the bridesmaid spot with $18.2 million.

The dystopian YA series Maze Runner trotted to the finish line with The Death Cure. Never quite The Hunger Games commercially the trilogy has been a decent performer especially in the international arena where this installment opened last weekend in four territories to an impressive $15 million. Studio exit polls identified the domestic crowd as 51% female with 57% of viewers 25 and younger.

The Death Cure opened in an additional 68 territories this weekend and added about $62 million to its larder with a handful of major markets including France, Germany and Mexico yet to open.

 

Weekend (estimates) January 26 – 28, 2018
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Maze Runner: The Death Cure WB 23.6 (6,220) NEW 3787 23.6
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 16.3 (4,590) -16% 3553 338
Hostiles Ent Studios/Elev 10.1 (3,580) 2979% 2815 11.9
The Greatest Showman Fox 9.6 (3,600) -10% 2663 126.6
The Post Fox 8.9 (3,380) -24% 2640 58.6
12 Strong WB 8.6 (2,840) -46% 3018 29.7
Den of Thieves STX/VVS 8.4 (3,460) -45% 2432 28.5
The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 5.7 (3,090) 162% 1854 37.7
Paddington 2 WB 5.6 (2,010) -30% 2792 32.1
Padmaavat Viva 4.4 (13,520) NEW 324 4.9
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV 4.1 (2,370) -37% 1745 610.7
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Mo Fox Searchlight 3.6 (2,480) 89% 1457 37
Forever My Girl Roadside/Elevation 3.5 (2,450) -18% 1422 9
The Commuter Lionsgate/VVS 3.4 (1,890) -48% 1811 31.4
Insidious: The Last Key Uni 3.2 (1,680) -46% 1901 63.5
I, Tonya Neon 3.0 (3,090) 4% 960 18.8
Phantom Thread Focus 2.9 (2,820) -11% 1021 10.6
Darkest Hour Focus 2.9 (2,150) 6% 1333 45.2
Lady Bird A24/Elevation 1.9 (1,600) 57% 1177 41.6
Coco BV 1.5 (2,350) -24% 621 202.7
Proud Mary Sony 1.4 (1,370) -62% 1003 19.3
Pitch Perfect 3 Uni 1.3 (1,260) -57% 1039 102.7
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics 1.3 (1,570) -11% 815 11.3
Ferdinand Fox .96 (1,420) -43% 675 80.5
Molly’s Game STX/eOne .88 (1,590) -46% 556 25.9
Bhaagamathie Great India .76 (6,520) NEW 117 0.76
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $137.80
% Change (Last Year) 1%
% Change (Last Week) 4%
Also debuting/expanding
Dunkirk (Oscar reissue) WB .18 (570) 311 0.18
Get Out (Oscar reissue) Uni .17 (350) 471 0.17
Ang Dalawang Mrs. Reyes ABS .24 (5,640) 42 0.24
Mary and the Witch’s Flower Gkids .13 (1,710) -60% 77 1.8
Hochelaga, Terre des ames Seville .11 (3,080) -17% 36 0.34
The Disaster Artist A24/Elevation .10 (1,180) -43% 84 20.9
Along with the Gods: The Two Worlds Well Go 61,300 (3,830) -41% 16 1.8
The Insult Cohen Media 59,200 (5,920) 155% 10 0.14
Cuando los Hijos Regresan Tribe 25,500 (1,210) 21 0.03
Les Scenes fortuites Entract 17,300 (8,650) 2 0.02
Keys to the Heart CJ 13,800 (6,900) 2 0.01
Have a Nice Day Strand 10,900 (10,900) 1 0.01
American Folk Good Deed 7,600 (690) 11 0.01
The Competition Gravitas 7,100 (790) 8 0.01
Like Me Kino 5,500 (1,830) 3 0.01
Hollow in the Land Elevation 3,800 (3,800) 1 0.01

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, January 27th, 2018

Maze Runner: The Death Cure|8.3|3787|NEW|8.3
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle|3.8|3553|-22%|325.5
Hostiles|3.3|2815|3055%|5.2
The Greatest Showman|2.5|2663|-15%|119.5
The Post|2.4|2640|-32%|52.1
Den of Thieves|2.3|2432|-59%|22.5
12 Strong|2.3|3002|-59%|23.4
The Shape of Water|1.6|1854|155%|33.6
Paddington 2|1.1|2792|-35%|27.6
Padmaavat|1.1|324|NEW|1.6
||||
||||
Also Debuting||||
Bhaagamathie|0.3|117||
Ang Dalawang Mrs. Reyes|61,400|42||
Cuando los Hijos Regresan|6,750|20||
Les Scenes fortuites|5,100|2||
Key to the Heart|3,700|2||
Have a Nice Day|3,600|1||
American Folk|3,100|11||
The Competition|2,300|8||
Hollow in the Land|1,850|1||
Like Me|1,500|3||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, January 21st, 2018

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle continued at the top of the weekend charts with an estimated $19.7 million. Two newcomers followed with OK launches. 12 Strong — a fire-and-fury saga of the Afghan conflict — grossed $16.3 while the bank heist caper Den of Thieves had a $15.2 million opening. In limited wide, the musical romance Forever My Love bowed with a sentimental $4.5 million.

Revenues for the frame generated about $140 million and slid 13% from last weekend. It was a slight 6% decline from 2017 when debuts of Split and xXx: The Return of Xander Cage led with respective starts of $40 million and $20.1 million.

In the tradition of recent flag wavers 12 Strong gave the big salute to men in service and played well. Definitely tilted toward heroism rather than politics, studio exit polls identified the crowd as 55% male with 79% of viewers aged 25-years and older. Den of Thieves targeted a similar demographic.

In the awards race, Phantom Thread and Call Me by Your Name had major expansions, with both films holding ground against a field with no clear-cut frontrunner. The SAG awards will have observers closely eyeing the prize for ensemble. It’s likely that Lady Bird, The Shape of Water, Darkest Hour and Three Billboards will experience modest commercial flutters rather than sharp turns, and the Oscar bump will be only a blip after nominations morning.

Japan anime hit Mary and the Witch’s Flower had a potent weekend of $410,000 following a special Thursday preview, which brewed up $1.1 million. In Québec. Canada’s foreign-language Oscar submission Hochelaga: terre des âmes bowed with a solid $148,000. Puerto Rican romantic comedy Colao had a strong debut of $127,000 from seven screens. It’s played in the Caribbean for two months and amassed more than $1 million.

Decidedly the marketplace counter-programmer, Forever My Girl delivered an audience that was 78% female with 64% of the audience aged 25 and older.

Weekend (estimates) January 19 – 21, 2018
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 19.7 (5,320) -30% 3704 316.7
12 Strong WB 16.3 (5,440) NEW 3002 16.3
Den of Thieves STX/VVS 15.2 (5,070) NEW 3002 15.2
The Post Fox 12.1 (4,250) -38% 2851 45.1
The Greatest Showman Fox 10.8 (3,840) -13% 2823 113.3
Paddington 2 WB 8.2 (2,210) -26% 3702 25
The Commuter Lionsgate 6.7 (2,320) -51% 2892 25.7
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV 6.5 (2,660) -45% 2456 604.3
Insidious: The Last Key Uni 5.9 (2,330) -59% 2546 58.7
Forever My Girl Roadside 4.5 (4,020) NEW 1115 4.5
Proud Mary Sony 3.7 (1,730) -63% 2125 17
Phantom Thread Focus 3.4 (3,750) 196% 896 6.2
Pitch Perfect 3 Uni 3.1 ((1,750) -41% 1772 100.6
Darkest Hour Focus 3.0 (2,260) -32% 1341 41.1
I, Tonya Neon 2.9 (3,670) -13% 799 14.6
The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 2.2 (2,590) -22% 853 30.2
Coco BV 1.9 (2,150) -43% 878 200.7
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox Searchlight 2.0 (2,120) -44% 954 32.1
Molly’s Game STX/eOne 1.7 (1,580) -56% 1091 24.4
Ferdinand Fox 1.6 (1,350) -53% 1212 79.1
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics 1.4 (1,770) 102% 815 9.1
Lady Bird A24/Elevation 1.3 (1,900) -28% 675 39.1
Wonder Lionsgate .55 (1,110) -54% 496 129.9
Mary and the Witch’s Flower Gkids .41 (2,760) NEW 149 1.161
All the Money in the World Sony .38 (1,020) -69% 374 24.1
Hostiles Entertainment .36 (7,370) 32% 49 1.3
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $134.65
% Change (Last Year) -6%
% Change (Last Week) -13%
Also debuting/expanding
The Disaster Artist A24/Elevation .19 (1,290) -59% 147 20.7
Hochelaga, Terre des ames Seville .15 (4,630) 32 0.15
Colao Caribbean .13 (18,170) 7 0.13
Le Trip a trois Seville .11 (1,890) 15% 57 1.7
Along with the Gods: The Two Worlds Well Go .10 (4,210) -48% 24 1.7
The Final Year Magnolia 65,200 (2,330) 28 0.07
A Better Tomorrow 2018 Media Asia 61,500 (1,920) 32 0.06
Ex-File 3 China Lion 38,700 (1,840) -66% 21 0.81
Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool Sony Classics 36,700 (2,290) -13% 16 0.19
Mom and Dad Momentum 19,100 (350) 54 0.02
The Road Movie Oscilloscope 16,700 (1,120) 15 0.02
Beuys Kino 9,500 (4,750) 2 0.01
Small Town Crime Saban 7,900 (790) 10 0.01
A Ciambra IFC 7,100 (7,100) 1 0.01

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, January 20th, 2018

12 Strong|WB|5.6|3002|NEW|5.6
Den of Thieves|STX/VVS|5.6|2432|NEW|5.6
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle|Sony|4.8|3704|-21%|301.8
The Post|Fox|3.5|2851|-41%|36.5
The Greatest Showman|Fox|3|2823|-2%|105.5
The Commuter|Lionsgate|2|2892|-57%|21
Insidious: The Last Key|Uni|1.8|2546|-48%|54.6
Paddington 2|WB|1.8|3702|-27%|18.6
Star Wars: The Last Jedi|BV|1.6|2456|-41%|599.3
Forever My Girl|Roadside Attractions|1.5|1115|NEW|1.5
|||||
|||||
Also Debuting|||||
Mary and the Witch’s Flower|Gkids|0.31|149||
Hochelaga, Terre des ames|Seville|40,900|32||
Colao|Caribbean|36,100|7||
A Better Tomorrow 2018|Media Asia|19,900|31||
The Final Year|Magnolia|18,900|28||
The Road Movie|Oscilloscope|5,800|14||
Mom and Dad|Momentum|5,500|50||
Beuys|Kino|3,400|1||
Small Town Crime|Saban|2,100|9||
A Ciambra|IFC|1,700|1||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, January 14th, 2018

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle took top spot for the holiday frame with an estimated $27.1 million. Not far behind with $18.6 million was The Post that went wide after three weeks in exclusives. (All figures reflect 3-day figures; chart will be updated tomorrow).

Three national debuts opened respectably. Ticking-clock The Commuter landed third with $13.2 million while family-targeted Paddington 2 cuddled up to $10.5 million. Proud Mary, advertised as kin of John Cassavetes’ 1980 thriller Gloria, bowed to $9.8 million.

Two Telugu films led the charge with Thaanaa Serndha Kootem grossing $303,000 and Agnyaathavaasi – Prince in Exile posting $278,000. The latter film had a potent pre-weekend box office of $2.2 million that rapidly evaporated. The elaborate Filipino fantasy adventure Ang Panday had an OK start of $111,000 while animated Mexican import Condorito was more cel than buy with $230,000 from 153 screens.

Most promising among exclusive newcomers was Lebanon’s Academy short-listed The Insult, which arrived with $24,100 from three engagements.

Revenues  hovered around $155 million and slipped 7% from last weekend. It was a slight 2% improvement from 2017 when Hidden Figures led with $27.5 million and the top new entry. The Bye Bye Man, ranked fifth with $15.2 million.

Observers were nervous about whether The Post would have wide appeal, and unusual fluctuation in tracking put a cloud over expectation of a $20 million four-day result. But Spielberg hit the mark with an audience that was 55% female and 66% 35 and older. It remains in the Oscar chase and could bring in a younger audience as its run continues. Liam Neeson continued his reign as successor to Charles Bronson with The Commuter, which exceeded tracking expectations of $9 million to $10 million. Its crowd was 54% male with 70% of the audience over 30.

Originally set for release by the Weinstein Co., Paddington 2 was acquired by Warner Bros. as the indie began its a tailspin. The beloved Peruvian bear adrift in the UK opened two months ago overseas and has grossed $150 million. Expectations were more modest Stateside but it still came up short of expectations of a $15 million debut despite the appeal of the initial movie. Studio exit demos reflected a 57% female audience with 55% over 25.

Proud Mary got the wrong kind of publicity when the media harrumphed that its studio wasn’t screening for press. Tracking suggested nonetheless a decent debut of roughly $15 million that movie-goers failed to support and its ad campaign really failed to give a clear sense of its story. Those who showed were 58% female and 77% over 25.

Weekend (estimates) January 12 – 14, 2018
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 27.1 (7,040) -28% 3849 283.2
The Post Fox 18.6 (6,610) 998% 2819 23.1
The Commuter Lionsgate 13.2 (4,570) NEW 2892 13.2
Insidious: The Last Key Uni 12.1 (3,850) -59% 3150 48.4
The Greatest Showman Fox 11.9 (4,040) -14% 2938 94.6
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV 11.4 (3,680) -52% 3090 591.6
Paddington 2 WB 10.5 (2,950) NEW 3702 10.5
Proud Mary Sony 9.8 (4,600) NEW 2125 9.8
Pitch Perfect 3 Uni 5.6 (2,250) -45% 2505 94.6
Darkest Hour Focus 4.5 (2,650) -26% 1693 35.7
Molly’s Game STX/eOne 3.6 (2,120) -47% 1708 20.5
Ferdinand Fox 3.4 (1,560) -56% 2154 75.4
I, Tonya Neon 3.1 (5,960) 26% 517 9.8
Coco BV 3.0 (2,220) -44% 1362 196.6
The Shape of Water  Searchlight 2.7 (3,680) -15% 723 26.4
Three Billboards Searchlight 2.3 (2,240) 225% 1022 28.5
Lady Bird A24/Elevation 1.6 (2,480) 3% 652 36.6
Wonder Lionsgate 1.2 (1,190) -51% 970 128.6
All the Money in the World Sony 1.1 (800) -68% 1408 23
Phantom Thread Focus 1.1 (18,060) 367% 62 2.2
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics .68 (3,920) -9% 174 7.2
Marshall Open Road .40 (1,050) 6533% 378 9.9
The Disaster Artist A24/Elevation .44 (1,190) -41% 371 20.3
Thor: Ragnarok BV .37 (1,520) -29% 242 313
Thaanaa Serndha Kootam Prime Media .30 (3,400) NEW 89 0.35
Downsizing Par .29 (710) -87% 412 24.1
Agnyaathavaasi – Prince in Exile Blue Sky .28 (730) NEW 382 2.5
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $148.50
% Change (Last Year) 2%
% Change (Last Week) -7%
Also debuting/expanding
Hostiles Entertainment .26 (6,260) -2% 42 0.8
Condorito Lionsgate .23 (1,500) 153 0.23
Along with the Gods: The Two Worlds Well Go .16 (5,090) -41% 32 1.4
Le Trip a trois Seville .13 (2,230) -48% 57 1.6
Ex-File 3 China Lion .12 (4,880) -34% 24 0.73
Ang Panday ABS .11 (2,570) 43 0.11
Jai Simha Sarigama 96,800 (1,240) 78 0.1
Rangula Ratnam Blue Sky 57,100 (1,120) 51 0.06
Ang Larawan ABS 34,300 (2,430) 14 0.03
Mukabaaz Eros 32,300 (1,900) 17 0.03
Parchi Another Hit 31,300 (800) 39 0.03
Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool Sony Classics 30,500 (3,490) 33% 9 0.13
Sketch V Creations 29,200 (530) 55 0.03
The Insult Cohen Media 24,100 (8,030) 3 0.02
Acts of Violence Lionsgate 9,400 (780) 12 0.01
Lover for a Day MUBI 7,200 (7,200) 1 0.01
Saturday Church Goldwyn 6,600 (3,300) 2 0.01

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, January 13th, 2018

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle|6.1|3849|-43%|262.2
The Post|5.9|2819|1083%|10.4
The Commuter|4.5|2892|NEW|4.5
Insidious: The Last Key|3.4|3150|-73%|39.6
Proud Mary|3.1|2125|NEW|3.1
The Greatest Showman|3.1|2938|-26%|85.8
Star Wars: The Last Jedi|2.7|3090|-59%|582.9
Paddington 2|2.4|3702|NEW|2.4
Pitch Perfect 3|1.4|2505|-57%|90.4
Darkest Hour|1.2|1693|-32%|32.4
||||
||||
Also Debuting||||
Thaanaa Serndha Kootam|91,650|89||
Agnyaathavaasi – Prince in Exile|89,100|353||
Condorito|52,600|153||
Jai Simha|34,900|78||
Ang Panday|27,600|43||
Mukabaaz|13,300|17||
Sketch|9,900|55||
Ang Larawan|8,700|14||
Parchi|6,350|35||
The Insult|5,700|3||
Acts of Violence|3,400|12||
Lover for a Day|2,900|1||
Saturday Church|2,300|2||

The Weekend Report

Sunday, January 7th, 2018

Unlike Blade Runner 2049 movie goers were undeterred that they hadn’t seen 1995’s Jumanji (both were box office disappointments at the time of their respective releases) and put its sequel Welcome to the Jungle on top of the weekend chart with an estimated $36.1 million. The session’s sole new wide release – from a more vigorous franchise – Insidious: The Last Key was close behind with a $29.2 million debut.

With the Golden Globes hours away a number of titles did strategic expansions including such contenders as Darkest Hour, I, Tonya and Molly’s Game. The trio maintained commercial momentum.

Imports from China included Goldbuster with a $78,600 opening and Hanson and the Beast grossing $43,300. While both were modest debuts continuing titles such as Ex-File 3 indicate that the Chinese market is evolving much in the way the Indian has evolved in the past two decades. In 2017 more than 150 Indian movies played in the U.S. and grossed in excess of $100 million for the first time.

Revenues for the frame exceeded $165 million and dipped 16% from last weekend. It was 19% improved from 2017 when the third weekend of Hidden Figures pushed ahead of Rogue One by $800,000 with a $22.8 million tally.

Final crunching for 2017 rendered a domestic box office of $11.135 billion (see charts) that translated into a 3.5% decline from 2016. It was a 5% downturn in terms of admissions. International revenues are still being sorted but initial figures indicate a slight improvement of 7%.

On the domestic front it was a good year for the majors (apart from Paramount) but the news of Fox’s acquisition by Disney has put the industry in a quandary. Obviously consolidation will change the landscape and that’s going to put a squeeze on independents. There’s a big question mark hanging over Weinstein Co. (obviously) as well as STX, Open Road and Bleecker Street that are all in desperate need of a very big picture with franchise potential. The latter aspect is exactly the kind of thing that elevated Lionsgate into the status of a major player.

Weekend (estimates) January 5 – 7, 2018
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 36.1 (9,490) -28% 3801 244.5
Insidious: The Last Key Uni 29.2 (9,380) NEW 3116 29.2
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV 23.7 (5,600) -55% 4232 572.7
The Greatest Showman Fox 13.7 (4,100) -12% 3342 76.8
Pitch Perfect 3 Uni 10.2 (2,950) -39% 3458 86
Ferdinand Fox 7.7 (2,430) -33% 3156 70.5
Molly’s Game STX/eOne 7.0 (4,340) 197% 1608 14.2
Darkest Hour Focus 6.3 (3,650) 15% 1733 28.4
Coco BV 5.4 (2,840) -28% 1894 191.9
All the Money in the World Sony 3.6 (1,680) -36% 2123 20.2
The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 3.1 (3,880) -11% 804 21.7
Wonder Lionsgate 2.4 (1,900) -26% 1258 126.6
I, Tonya Neon 2.4 (9,290) 288% 255 5.2
Downsizing Par 2.1 (1,060) -54% 2020 22.9
The Post Fox 1.7 (48,050) 208% 36 3.9
Lady Bird A24/Elevation 1.6 (2,780) 7% 562 34.1
Father Figures WB 1.3 (750) -66% 1717 16.8
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics .74 (6,350) -1% 117 6.1
The Disaster Artist A24/Elevation .73 (1,530) -21% 478 19.4
Three Billboards Fox Searchlight .71 (2,280) 5% 310 25.4
Justice League WB .55 (1,060) -54% 518 227
Thor: Ragnarok BV .52 (1,610) -39% 325 312.5
Daddy’s Home 2 Par .50 (1,140) -74% 429 102.9
Murder on the Orient Express Fox .44 (1,400) -29% 314 101.6
Tiger Zinda Hai Yash Raj .37 (2,240) -60% 164 5.6
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $161.25
% Change (Last Year) 19%
% Change (Last Week) -16%
Also debuting/expanding
Hostiles Entertainment .28 (6,130) 743% 46 0.41
Along with the Gods: The Two Worlds Well Go .27 (7,630) 38% 35 1.1
Phantom Thread Focus .24 (40,330) 12% 6 0.95
Le Trip a trois Seville .23 (4,290) -23% 54 1.4
Ex-File 3 China Lion .17 (9,280) 34% 18 0.51
Goldbuster Well Go 78,600 (3,270) 24 0.08
Youth China Lion 76,200 (2,540) -62% 30 1.8
Loving Vincent Good Deed/Mongrel 61,700 (1,060) -10% 58 6.4
Hanson and the Beast Media Asia 43,300 (2,160) 20 0.04
Namiya China Lion 41,300 (1.970) 21 0.04
Chamak Kannada 38,400 (1,420) 27 0.04
Chupan Chupai Hum 8,900 (730) 12 0.01
Giac Mo My – The American Dream Galaxy 5,300 (5,300) 1 0.01
Blame Goldwyn 4,500 (450) 9 0.01
The Strange Ones Vertical 4,200 (380) 11 0.01
Day of the Dead: Bloodline Lionsgate 4,100 (410) 10 0.01
Top Domestic Grossers (January 2,2017 – January 1, 2018)
Title Distributor Box Office
Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV 531,511,829
Beauty and the Beast BV 504,014,165
Wonder Woman WB 412,563,408
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 BV 389,813,101
Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony 334,201,140
It WB 327,621,899
Thor: Ragnarok BV 311,500,126
Despicable Me 3 Uni 264,759,902
Logan Fox 226,277,068
The Fate of the Furious Uni 225,966,192
Justice League WB 225,913,169
Dunkirk WB 188,373,161
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 185,224,946
Coco BV 172,372,459
The Lego Batman Movie WB 175,969,510
Get Out Uni 175,589,248
The Boss Baby Fox 175,001,663
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV 172,610,484
Kong: Skull Island WB 168,583,087
Hidden Figures * Fox 167,061,097
* does not include 2016 box office

Friday Box Office Estimates

Saturday, January 6th, 2018

Insidious: The Last Key|Uni|12.7|3116|NEW
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle|Sony|10.8|3801|-39%
Star Wars: The Last Jedi|BV|6.7|4232|-65%
The Greatest Showman|Fox|4.2|3342|-22%
Pitch Perfect 3|Uni|3.3|3458|-50%
Molly’s Game|STX/eOne|2.3|1608|207%
Ferdinand|Fox|2.2|3156|-50%
Darkest Hour|Focus|1.8|1733|3%
Coco|BV|1.5|1894|-46%
All the Money in the World|Sony|1|2123|-41%
||||
||||
Also Debuting||||
Goldbuster|Well Go|27,000|24|
Hanson and the Beast|Media Asia|14,550|20|
Namiya|China Lion|12,700|21|
Chamak|Kanada|5,600|9|
Giac Mo My – The American Dream|Galaxy|3,800|1|
Chupan Chupai|Hum|3,100|12|
Blame|Goldwyn|2,150|9|
The Strange Ones|Vertical|1,600|11|
Day of the Dead: Bloodline|Lionsgate|1,350|10|