The Gurus O’ Gold Weigh The Acting Categories And Best Picture

Hello, Glenn Close!

Oscar nominations drop on Tuesday morning, and the Gurus anticipate some shifts in the Academy’s Final Five for acting nominations, plus a few flyaway titles from the Best Picture roster, which could contain as many as ten nominees.

Rank Last Chart Best Actress AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerLafflyMoralesPattersonPondNathanielRSneiderStone Votes Total
1 3 Glenn Close
The Wife
1 1 2 1 1 1 4 2 1 1 1 2 1 13 85
2 2 Olivia Colman
The Favourite
2 2 1 2 2 3 1 3 3 2 2 3 2 13 76
3 1 Lady Gaga
A Star Is Born
3 3 3 3 3 2 3 1 2 3 3 1 3 13 71
4 4 Melissa McCarthy
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
4 4 4 5 4 4 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 13 53
5 5 Emily Blunt
Mary Poppins Returns
6 5 7 6 5 5 6 7 5 7 5 5 6 13 29
Yalitza Aparicio
Roma
5 5 4 7 6 5 6 6 5 6 6 11 27
Viola Davis
Widows
6 7 5 3 6
Nicole Kidman
Destroyer
7 7 7 7 4 4
Toni Collette
Hereditary
7 6 2 3
Joanna Kulig
Cold War
6 7 2 3

0 2

0 0
One Vote Wonders
Elsie Fisher
Eighth Grade
6 1 3
Julia Roberts
Ben is Back
7 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actress AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerLafflyMoralesPattersonPondNathanielRSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Regina King
If Beale Street Could Talk
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 13 90
2 2 Amy Adams
Vice
2 4 4 2 2 2 3 5 2 1 2 2 2 13 71
3 3 Rachel Weisz
The Favourite
3 2 2 3 4 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 4 13 65
4 4 Emma Stone
The Favourite
5 3 3 4 3 4 5 2 4 4 4 4 3 13 56
5 5 Claire Foy
First Man
4 6 5 6 5 4 4 5 5 5 6 5 12 36
Margot Robbie
Mary Queen of Scots
5 5 6 5 6 7 7 6 8 17
Michelle Yeoh
Crazy Rich Asians
7 7 6 7 7 5 6 9
Nicole Kidman
Boy Erased
7 7 7 6 6 6 6 9
Emily Blunt
A Quiet Place
6 6 7 7 7 5 7
One Vote Wonders
Elizabeth Debicki
Widows
6 1 2
Thomasin McKenzie
Leave No Trace
7 1 1
Marina de Tavira
Roma
7 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actor AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerLafflyMoralesPattersonPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Mahershala Ali
Green Book
1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 13 89
2 2 Richard E. Grant
Can You Ever Forgive Me?”
2 4 2 2 2 3 1 3 2 2 1 2 2 13 76
3 3 Sam Elliot
A Star is Born
3 2 4 5 5 2 4 2 3 3 4 3 5 13 59
4 Adam Driver
BlacKKKlansman
5 3 5 3 3 5 5 5 4 5 3 5 4 13 49
5 5 Timothée Chalamet
Beautiful Boy
4 5 3 7 4 4 3 4 5 4 6 4 3 13 48
Sam Rockwell
Vice
7 6 6 7 6 7 7 6 6 5 7 11 18
Michael B. Jordan
Black Panther
6 4 6 7 6 6 7 7 7 6 10 18

0 0
One Vote Wonders
Steve Carell
Vice
6 1 2
Steven Yeun
Burning
7 1 1
Bryan Tyree Henry
If Beale Street Could Talk
7 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Actor AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerLafflyMoralesPattersonPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 2 Christian Bale
Vice
1 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 88
2 3 Rami Malek
Bohemian Rhapsody
2 2 1 1 2 2 2 4 3 2 3 2 2 13 76
3 1 Bradley Cooper
A Star Is Born
4 4 2 4 3 3 3 2 2 4 2 3 3 13 65
4 4 Viggo Mortensen
Green Book
3 3 4 3 4 4 5 3 4 3 4 4 4 13 56
5 5 Ethan Hawke
First Reformed
5 5 5 6 6 4 6 5 5 5 5 6 12 33
John David Washington
BlacKKKlansman
6 5 6 7 5 5 7 5 6 6 6 6 5 13 29
Willem Dafoe
At Eternity's Gate
7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 9 10
Ryan Gosling
First Man
7 7 2 2

0 0
One Vote Wonders
Ben Foster
Leave No Trace
7 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerLafflyMoralesPattersonPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Roma
1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 3 9 68
4 4 BlacKkKlansman
3 3 1 5 2 2 3 6 5 9 51
3 3 Green Book
7 5 3 1 4 4 2 5 1 9 49
2 2 A Star Is Born
6 4 5 3 3 3 5 2 2 9 48
5 5 The Favourite
2 2 4 4 8 8 4 4 7 9 38
6 6 Black Panther
6 8 8 7 5 5 7 3 4 9 28
7 7 Vice
4 6 6 6 7 7 6 7 6 9 26
8 8 Bohemian Rhapsody
8 7 7 8 6 6 8 8 8 9 15

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The Gurus, At Your Service

Thelma AdamsAuthor, Critic, Oscar Expert
Robyn BahrFreelance (Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian)
Gregory EllwoodThe Playlist
Peter HowellToronto Star
Mark JohnsonAwards Circuit
Dave KargerTCM, IMDb
Tomris Laffly: Freelance (RogerEbert.com, Time Out New York, Film Journal International)
Wilson MoralesBlackFilm.com
Michael PattersonMichael’s Telluride Film Blog
Steve PondThe Wrap
NathanielRThe Film Experience
Sasha StoneAwards Daily
Jeff SneiderCollider

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