The Gurus o’ Gold Highlight Best Picture, Best Foreign Language, Best Documentary

Checking in a week before Oscar nomination voting ends: predictions for documentary feature, foreign language film, and of course, best picture, with some intriguing wiggling in the rankings after major guilds have announced their nominees. 

In foreign language, there’s an apparent consensus, and Germany’s Never Look Away benefits from additional screenings or screeners in the mix.

Rank Last Chart Best Documentary AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerLafflyMoralesPattersonPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Won't You Be My Neighbor?
2 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 61
2 2 RBG
1 5 5 4 2 4 2 2 5 2 3 3 12 34
3 3 Free Solo
4 3 1 4 3 4 2 3 2 3 5 5 12 33
4 5 Minding the Gap
2 2 5 5 3 3 4 3 2 2 10 29
5 4 Three Identical Strangers
3 3 2 3 5 5 4 4 8 19
Hale County
5 3 2 4 4 4 6 14
Dark Money
5 5 2 2
One Vote Wonders
Crime + Punishment
4 1 2
Shirkers
5 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Foreign Language AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerLafflyMoralesPattersonPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 1 Roma
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 91
2 2 Cold War
2 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 13 75
3 3 Shoplifters
3 3 4 5 3 4 4 3 3 4 2 3 5 13 58
4 4 Capernaum
4 4 3 3 5 3 4 4 5 3 5 4 3 13 54
5 5 Burning
5 5 2 4 5 4 5 4 8 30
Never Look Away
5 5 5 4 5 5 16
Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsBahrEllwoodHowellJohnsonKargerLafflyMoralesPattersonPondRogersSneiderStone Votes Total
1 2 Roma
1 4 2 1 4 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 13 120
2 1 A Star Is Born
2 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 13 119
3 4 Green Book
4 1 7 3 1 3 5 5 5 4 4 5 4 13 92
4 6 BlacKkKlansman
7 6 4 6 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 6 1 13 90
5 5 The Favourite
7 3 5 8 6 4 6 6 6 5 4 5 12 67
6 3 Black Panther
8 8 6 8 7 7 6 3 4 5 6 3 7 13 65
7 7 Vice
5 5 5 7 6 5 7 8 7 7 7 8 12 55
8 9 Bohemian Rhapsody
9 3 8 4 5 8 7 9 8 8 6 11 46
9 8 If Beale Street Could Talk
6 9 9 9 9 8 7 10 8 9 9 11 28
10 10 First Man
10 10 10 9 9 10 10 7 9
A Quiet Place
10 9 10 10 10 5 6
Crazy Rich Asians
9 8 2 5
Eighth Grade
10 9 2 3
One Vote Wonders
Cold War
10 1 1
Mary Poppins Returns
10 1 1

The Gurus, At Your Service

Thelma AdamsAuthor, Critic, Oscar Expert
Robyn BahrFreelance (Hollywood Reporter, Vanity Fair, Guardian)
Gregory EllwoodThe Playlist
Peter HowellToronto Star
Mark JohnsonAwards Circuit
Dave KargerTCM, IMDb
Tomris Laffly: Freelance (RogerEbert.com, Time Out New York, Film Journal International)
Wilson MoralesBlackFilm.com
Michael PattersonMichael’s Telluride Film Blog
Steve PondThe Wrap
NathanielRThe Film Experience
Sasha StoneAwards Daily
Jeff SneiderCollider

 

 

4 Responses to “The Gurus o’ Gold Highlight Best Picture, Best Foreign Language, Best Documentary”

  1. movieman says:

    I can’t imagine “Roma” winning both Best Picture AND Best Foreign Language Film.
    The latter is a lock; the former? A Netflix masturbatory fantasy.

  2. Daniella Isaacs says:

    They’re just saying Roma’s a lock to be nominated for Best Picture, Movieman. They aren’t predicting the eventual winner yet.

  3. Bradley Laing says:

    ‘Of Fathers and Sons’ was nominated for “best Documentary.” When was the last time anyone of “The Gurus” thought it was still in the running?

  4. Bradley Laing says:

    “of fathers and sons” was last listed by the Gurus as important on December 2, 2018.