MCN Columnists
Leonard Klady

By Leonard Klady Klady@moviecitynews.com

The Weekend Report

Black Panther held sway at the multiplex with a third weekend estimated tally of $66.3 million. The session’s two new national releases followed with Red Sparrow opening to $16.8 million and a resurrected MGM debuting Death Wish with $12.8 million.

Hindi Pari was off to a good start of $171,000. And best of the exclusive entries was the Israeli foreign language Oscar submission Foxtrot that grossed $35,300 from four locations.

Revenues for the frame generated about $145 million and shrank 24% from the prior weekend. It was a comparable 23% decline from 2017 when the debut of Oscar-nominated Logan led with a potent $88.4 million and Get Out’s second weekend followed with $28.2 million.

Red Sparrow, a tale of a Russian ballerina chained into espionage, was largely compared to Atomic Blonde and not in a positive fashion. It didn’t get to industry predictions that suggested an $18 million to $20 million start. Studio exit demos identified the audience as 53% female with 79% of viewers aged 25 and older.

The Jennifer Lawrence vehicle also opened in 65 foreign markets to an estimated $26 million. Its top grossing territories were Germany with $2.6 million, the UK grossing $2.5 million and Taiwan with $2.4 million.

The wisdom of getting back into the distribution arena by MGM certainly can’t be determined by a single picture… or the prospects of the next James Bond if it chooses not to auction off the rights to another studio. The original Death Wish back in 1974 was a huge commercial success as well as highly controversial for its perspective of vigilantism. Even its author Brian Garfield felt the screenplay perverted its message. Nonetheless it spawned a handful of sequels over two decades.

The author hasn’t weighed into its new incarnation but critics have largely savaged the effort. It too was slightly below tracking that pegged a $12 million to $14 million domestic launch. The film’s opening crowd was 57% male with 81% aged 25-years and older.

The Big Show will broadcast in a few hours. It’s an odd year in the sense that there’s less of a feeling that someone, anyone will finally receive a long-overdue Oscar; and a tilt toward who will be a surprise winner. With the Academy Awards unspooling three months after the first prize announcements back in December something called award malaise sets in. While far from a scientific study, talking to Academy members in the past two weeks certainly reveals that most are tired of seeing the predictable honorees get yet another shelf ornament. If this admittedly small sampling were the consensus the likes of Paul Thomas Anderson, Willem Dafoe and Laurie Metcalf would be tripping over good luck charms on the way to the podium. Good viewing… we can hope.

 

Weekend (estimates) March 2 – 4, 2018
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Black Panther BV 66.3 (16,240) -41% 4084 501.7
Red Sparrow Fox 16.8 (5,490) NEW 3056 16.8
Death Wish MGM/eOne 12.8 (4,500) NEW 2847 12.8
Game Night WB 10.5 (2,990) -38% 3502 33.3
Peter Rabbit Sony 9.9 (3,790) -23% 2607 83.9
Annihilation Par 5.6 (2,650) -50% 2112 20.6
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 4.5 (1,930) -20% 2313 393.2
Fifty Shades Freed Uni 3.3 (1,260) -54% 2614 95.6
The Greatest Showman Fox 2.7 (1,900) -22% 1407 164.6
Every Day Orion/Elevation 1.6 (940) -48% 1669 5.3
The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight 1.4 (1,690) 19% 832 57.4
The 15:17 to Paris WB 1.4 (790) -60% 1803 35
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox Searchlight 1.2 (1,580) -2% 770 52
The Post Fox .91 (1,360) -26% 671 80.4
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics .65 (710) 24% 914 16.8
Phantom Thread Focus .59 (820) -41% 715 20.1
Darkest Hour Focus .57 (620) -25% 913 55.4
Lady Bird A24/Elevation .53 (750) -21% 710 48.3
I, Tonya Neon .53 (1,130) -10% 466 28.9
Winchester CBS/VVS .52 (900) -44% 576 24.6
Early Man Lionsgate .48 (530) -73% 897 7.7
Maze Runner: The Death Cure Fox .45 (830) -53% 543 57.1
2018 Oscar Shorts Magnolia .39 (1,590) -20% 244 3.3
Coco BV .33 (1,420) -29% 235 208.5
Operation Red Sea Well Go .32 (5,850) -26% 55 0.97
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $142.30
% Change (Last Year) -23%
% Change (Last Week) -24%
Also debuting/expanding
Pari Pooja .17 (3,640) 47 0.17
A Fantastic Woman Sony Classics .14 (1,590) -10% 89 0.8
The Party Roadside Attractions .14 (1,510) 39% 92 0.33
Loveless Sony Classics 59,100 (2,360) -2% 25 0.22
The Insult Cohen Media 54,200 (1,150) -29% 47 0.86
Foxtrot Sony Classics 35,300 (8,820) 4 0.04
Complices Tribe 29,800 (600) 50 0.03
Oh Lucy! Film Movement 14,900 (4,720) 4 0.01
Charlotte a du fun Seville 14,200 (1,290) 11 0.01
Changing Partners ABS 11,800 (790) 15 0.01
Let Yourself Go Menemsha 8,500 (1,210) 7 0.01
Pickings Digital Magic 5,900 (840) 7 0.01
Brown Girl Begins Urbansoul 4,700 (4,700) 1 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 2 – March 1, 2018)
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
Buena Vista (4) 561.9 29.00%
Sony (8) 316.3 16.40%
20th Century Fox (6) 270.7 14.00%
Universal (5) 192.3 9.90%
Warner Bros. (11) 149.7 7.70%
Fox Searchlight (2) 65.5 3.40%
STX (3) 61.4 3.20%
Focus (2) 54.1 2.80%
Lionsgate (6) 53.5 2.80%
Entertainment (1) 28.2 1.40%
Neon (1) 23.8 1.20%
Paramount (3) 22.9 1.20%
CBS (1) 22.3 1.20%
A24 (3) 17.8 0.90%
Roadside Attractions (1) 15.2 0.80%
Other * (73) 79.4 4.10%
1935 100%
* none greater than 0.4%

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Title Gross Thtr % Chgn Cume
Venom 33 4250 NEW 33
A Star is Born 15.7 3686 NEW 15.7
Smallfoot 3.5 4131 -46% 31.3
Night School 3.5 3019 -63% 37.9
The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls 1.8 3463 -43% 49.5
A Simple Favor 1 2408 -50% 46.6
The Nun 0.75 2264 -52% 111.5
Hell Fest 0.6 2297 -70% 7.4
Crazy Rich Asians 0.6 1466 -51% 167.6
The Predator 0.25 1643 -77% 49.3
Also Debuting
The Hate U Give 0.17 36
Shine 85,600 609
Exes Baggage 75,900 62
NOTA 71,300 138
96 61,600 62
Andhadhun 55,000 54
Afsar 45,400 33
Project Gutenberg 36,000 17
Love Yatri 22,300 41
Hello, Mrs. Money 22,200 37
Studio 54 5,300 1
Loving Pablo 4,200 15
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4