MCN Columnists
Leonard Klady

By Leonard Klady Klady@moviecitynews.com

The Weekend Report

It was close as the debut of Tomb Raider bowed with an estimated $23.5 million. Black Panther led the frame with $26.8 million. Two additional films had national openings including the musically inspirational I Can Only Imagine that opened with an unexpectedly strong $17 million and the gay teen comedy Love, Simon with $11.5 million.

In limited wide release the opening of 7 Days in Entebbe disappointed with $1.6 million. New releases from India included a good $422,000 start for the Hindi Raid and a soft bow of $183,000 for Telugu Kirrak Party. Among exclusive launches the best of the bunch were two dysfunctional family sagas, Flower , which grossed $56,200 from three screens and Keep the Change with $12,200 from a single engagement.

Revenues generated about $133 million and slipped back a modest 4% from the prior weekend. There was a 50% slump from 2017 when the launch of Beauty and the Beast grossed $174.7 million and Kong: Skull Island took second spot with $27.8 million.

The revival of the “Lara Croftvideogame comes 15 years since Angelina Jolie limbed the role in two films. Anticipation for the rebooted Tomb Raider remained modest with high end expectations of roughly $25 million. Studio exit polling identified her crowd as 56% female with 68% aged 25 and older.

Tomb Raider bowed internationally in nine Asian markets last weekend and grossed an impressive $14 million. It added 56 territories and grossed an estimated $84 million including a $41 million opening in China. Other top debuts included $4.4 million in Russia, the UK grossing $4.2 million and France with $3.2 million.

The weekend surprise was I Can Only Imagine, inspired by the contemporary Christian rock song and its band MercyMe. Tracking had it line with recent faith-targeted movies in the range of $6 million to $8 million. Its audience skewed 67% female with 80% of viewers aged 35 and older.

Teen gay coming-of-age story Love, Simon was predicted to open in the $10 million to $12 million range. Its audience was largely female at 58% but younger with 59% of its crowd aged 35-years and younger.

Weekend (estimates) March 16 – 18, 2018
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Black Panther BV 26.8 (6,990) -34% 3834 605.2
Tomb Raider WB 23.5 (6,090) NEW 3854 23.5
I Can Only Imagine Roadside/Lionsgate 17.0 (10,450) NEW 1629 17
A Wrinkle in Time BV 16.7 (4,190) -50% 3980 61.2
Love, Simon Fox 11.5 (4,780) NEW 2402 11.5
Game Night WB 5.6 (2,080) -29% 2686 54.2
Peter Rabbit Sony 5.2 (1,920) -23% 2725 102.5
The Strangers: Prey at Night Aviron/Elevation 4.7 (1,920) -55% 2464 18.5
Red Sparrow Fox 4.4 (1,710) -48% 2583 39.5
Death Wish MGM/eOne 3.4 (1,260) -49% 2676 30
Annihilation Par 1.7 (1,550) -49% 1087 29.6
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony 1.6 (1,050) -40% 1556 400.2
7 Days in Entebbe Focus 1.6 (1,930) NEW 838 1.6
The Greatest Showman Fox 1.2 (1,600) -38% 737 169.8
The Hurricane Heist Entertainment/D Films 1.0 (440) -67% 2283 5.3
The Shape of Water Fox Searchlight .78 (1,030) -67% 758 62.7
Gringo STX/VVS .63 (270) -77% 2314 4.5
Fifty Shades Freed Uni .61 (700) -55% 873 99.6
The Death of Stalin IFC/Elevation .58 (17,120) 215% 34 0.85
Thoroughbreds Focus .47 (830) -62% 564 2.3
Raid Eros .42 (5,410) NEW 78 0.42
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Fox Searchlight .26 (910) -63% 282 53.9
Coco BV .19 (1.090) -25% 177 209.2
A Fantastic Woman Sony Classics .19 (1,020) 68% 190 1.5
Kirrak Party Trendy .18 (1,370) NEW 134 0.3
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $128.50
% Change (Last Year) -50%
% Change (Last Week) -4%
Also debuting/expanding
The Leisure Seeker Sony Classics .14 (2,920) 25% 49 0.32
I, Tonya Neon .13 (830) -50% 160 29.8
Call Me By Your Name Sony Classics .12 (1,030) -59% 118 17.7
Phantom Thread Focus 94,300 (1,030) -60% 92 20.9
Operation Red Sea Well Go 78,400 (2,800) -52% 28 1.4
The Party Roadside Attractions 71,700 (900) -29% 80 0.61
Flower Orchard 56,200 (18,730) 3 0.06
Foxtrot Sony Classics 51,500 (4,290) 88% 12 0.17
Loveless Sony Classics 45,300 (1,050) -16% 43 0.37
Demon House Entertainment 26,800 (2,440) 11 0.03
Journey’s End Good Deed 12,500 (6,250) 2 0.01
Keep the Change Kino 12,200 (12,200) 1 0.01
Ramen Heads FilmBuff 6,800 (3,200) 2 0.01
Gone Are the Days Lionsgate 5,600 (2,800) 2 0.01
Eight Hours Don’t Make a Day Janus 4,200 (4,200) 1 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 2 – March 13, 2918)
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
Buena Vista (5) 751.1 32.20%
Sony (8) 349.5 15.00%
20th Century Fox (7) 315.6 13.50%
Universal (5) 199.6 8.60%
Warner Bros. (12) 181.4 7.80%
Fox Searchlight (2) 74.3 3.20%
STX (4) 65.6 2.80%
Focus (3) 58.5 2.50%
Lionsgate (6) 55.1 2.30%
Paramount (3) 35.8 1.50%
Entertainment (1) 32.8 1.40%
MGM (2) 30.3 1.30%
Neon (1) 24.9 1.10%
CBS (1) 23.2 1.00%
A24 (3) 18.8 0.80%
Roadside Attractions (3) 16.9 0.70%
Other * (85) 100 4.30%
2333.4 100%
* none greater than 0.5%
Domestic Box Office Leaders (January 2 – March 15, 2018)
Title Distributor Box Office (millions)
Black Panther BV 578,376,528
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle * Sony 213,398,652
The Greatest Showman * Fox 114,147,085
Fifty Shades Freed Uni 99,016,300
Peter Rabbit Sony 97,240,268
Star Wars: The Last Jedi * BV 88,104,788
The Post * Fox 79,346,670
Insidious: The Last Key Uni/Sony 67,514,963
Maze Runner: The Death Cure Fox 57,535,995
Game Night WB 48,604,184
12 Strong WB 45,330,975
The Shape of Water * Fox Searchlight 45,025,177
Den of Thieves STX/VVS 44,900,095
A Wrinkle in Time BV 44,494,654
Paddington 2 * WB 40,442,052
Pitch Perfect 3 * Uni 36,794,756
Coco * BV 36,613,920
Darkest Hour * Focus 36,548,393
The Commuter Lionsgate/VVS 36,343,858
The 15:17 to Paris WB 35,882,890
* does not include 2017 box office

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
The Meg 16.5 4118 NEW 16.5
Mission: Impossible - Fallout 5.3 3888 -46% 147.3
Slender Man 4.8 2358 NEW 4.8
Christopher Robin 3.6 3602 -62% 41.2
BlacKKKlansman 3.6 1512 NEW 3.6
The Spy Who Dumped Me 1.8 3111 -63% 19.8
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again 1.7 2812 -40% 99.7
The Equalizer 1.4 2373 -42% 85.4
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation 1.4 2589 -43% 143.2
Ant-Man and the Wasp 1.1 1863 -40% 200.6
Also Debuting
Dog Days 0.75 2442
Vishwaroopam 2 0.11 179
The Island 78,500 39
Srinivasa Kalyanam 46,300 127
Dakuaan da Munda 37,600 21
BuyBust 20,400 25
The Spy Gone North 9,600 2
Dans la brume 5,900 12
Madeline's Madeline 5,700 1
Skate Kitchen 5,100 1
A Prayer Before Dawn 4,500 13
Cielo 3,800 3
Larguees 2,400 11
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4