Gurus o’ Gold: Early Line

Rank Last Chart best Picture AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 Dunkirk
4 1 2 1 3 1 2 3 1 1 10 111
2 The Shape of Water
3 2 3 2 4 2 1 1 2 2 10 108
3 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
1 10 7 3 1 4 4 5 3 6 10 86
4 Darkest Hour
8 5 8 6 2 3 3 2 8 5 10 80
t5 Call Me By Your Name
6 6 6 5 10 9 6 6 7 4 10 65
t5 The Post
2 9 1 6 5 5 8 3 8 65
7 Get Out
5 7 10 4 12 11 7 4 9 7 10 54
8 The BIg Sick
12 9 5 8 10 12 5 10 8 33
9 Lady Bird
12 4 11 7 8 7 9 4 8 9 27
10 The Florida Project
7 3 9 8 6 11 7 10 9 9 26
Phantom Thread
5 9 10 11 4 17
Downsizing
4 12 11 12 4 13
Mudbound
11 11 8 11 12 5 12
Blade Runner 2049
8 6 2 12
Wonder Woman
10 10 11 3 8
One Vote Wonders
Victoria & Abdul
7 1 6
Last Flag Standing
9 1 4
Battle of the Sexes
9 1 4
I, Tonya
10 1 3
Roman J. Israel, Esq.
11 1 2
Detroit
12 1 1
The Greatest Showman
12 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Actor AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 Gary Oldman
Darkest Hour
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 70
2 Daniel Day Lewis
Phantom Thread
5 4 2 7 2 2 4 2 2 9 42
3 Timothee Chalamet
Call Me By Your Name
4 3 7 2 5 3 4 2 5 9 37
4 Jake Gyllenhaal
Stronger
6 7 6 3 5 4 2 3 4 4 10 36
5 Tom Hanks
The Post
5 4 6 3 6 6 7 3 8 24
Denzel Washington
Roman J. Israel, Esq.
2 2 4 5 6 5 17
James Franco
The Disaster Artist
6 4 5 5 4 12
Andrew Garfield
Breathe
5 3 2 8
Hugh Jackman
The Greatest Showman
3 7 7 3 7
Christian Bale
Hostiles
6 7 6 3 5
Adam Sandler
The Meyerowitz Stories
5 6 2 5
One Vote Wonders
Matt Damon
Downsizing
3 1 5
Steve Carell
Last Flag Standing
3 1 5
Sam Elliott
The Hero
7 1 1
Jason Clarke
Chappaquiddick
7 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Actress AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 Frances McDormand
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
1 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 2 2 10 64
2 Sally Hawkins
The Shape of Water
2 2 1 3 3 1 1 3 1 1 10 62
4 Saoirse Ronan
Lady Bird
7 3 6 2 5 2 7 3 4 9 33
3 Meryl Streep
The Post
3 5 3 4 5 3 5 3 8 33
5 Judi Dench
Victoria & Abdul
7 4 7 2 6 6 4 6 8 22
Jessica Chastain
Molly's Game
6 4 6 4 4 5 6 19
Kate Winslet
Wonder Wheel
6 4 5 7 4 5 7 7 18
Margot Robbie
I, Tonya
5 7 2 7 4 11
Emma Stone
Battle of the Sexes
5 5 2 6
Annette Bening
Film Stars Don’t Die In Liverpool
7 6 2 3
One Vote Wonders
Michelle Williams
All The Money in the World
4 1 4
Diane Kruger
In The Fade
5 1 3
Gal Gadot
Wonder Woman
6 1 2
Jennifer Lawrence
mother!
7 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actress AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 Laurie Metcalf
Lady Bird
1 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 1 10 64
2 Allison Janey
I Tonya
7 4 2 1 1 3 1 1 4 2 10 54
3 Holly Hunter
The BIg Sick
3 6 3 4 2 2 7 2 3 9 40
4 Octavia Spencer
The Shape of Water
4 5 4 4 6 4 4 3 5 9 33
5 Melissa Leo
Novitiate
2 1 7 6 6 4 6 22
Mary J Blige
Mudbound
3 5 6 5 3 7 6 19
Kristin Scott Thomas
Darkest Hour
6 7 3 5 4 6 6 17
Hong Chau
Downsizing
3 6 5 5 4 13
Tatiana Maslany
Stronger
7 7 5 3 5
Claire Foy
Breathe
5 7 2 4
MIchelle Pfeiffer
mother!
7 6 2 3
One Vote Wonders
Nicole Kidman
Nicole Kidman, The Killing of a Sacred Deer
5 1 3
Leslie Manville
Phantom Thread
6 1 2
Julainne Moore
Wonderstruck
7 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actor AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 Willem Dafoe
The Florida Project
4 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 5 1 10 60
2 Sam Rockwell
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
2 2 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 4 10 58
3 Michael Stuhlbarg
Call Me By Your Name
3 5 2 1 6 4 2 7 33
4 Richard Jenkins
The Shape of Water
1 6 4 5 5 4 5 5 8 29
5 Armie Hammer
Call Me By Your Name
6 5 6 3 4 6 3 7 23
Ben Mendelsohn
Darkest Hour
3 3 1 7 4 18
Jason Mtchell
Mudbound
4 6 6 3 4 13
Mark Rylance
Dunkirk
3 5 7 7 6 5 12
Harrison Ford
Blade Runner 2049
5 4 7 7 4 9
Michael Shannon
The Shape of Water
7 6 4 3 7
Dustin Hoffman
The Meyerowitz Stories
7 5 2 4
One Vote Wonders
Bryan Cranston
Last Flag Flying
3 1 5
Kevin Spacey
All The Money in the World
4 1 4
Ray Romano
The BIg Sick
6 1 2
Tom Hanks
The Post
7 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Director AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 Christopher Nolan
Dunkirk
2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 10 68
2 Guillermo Del Toro
The Shape of Water
1 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 10 60
3 Joe Wright
Darkest Hour
4 3 3 3 3 4 6 7 30
4 Steven Spielberg
The Post
5 2 6 4 4 6 2 7 27
5 Greta Gerwig
Lady Bird
3 6 5 7 5 5 6 17
Martin McDonagh
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
4 4 6 4 7 5 14
Luca Guadagino
Call Me By Your Name
6 6 6 7 6 4 6 13
Denis Villeneuve
Blade Runner 2049
3 7 7 6 3 5 12
Jordan Peele
Get Out
5 3 5 3 11
Sean Baker
The Florida Project
4 7 7 5 7 5 10
Patty Jenkins
Wonder Woman
7 5 7 3 5
One Vote Wonders
Paul Thomas Anderson
Phantom Threas
4 1 4
Alexander Payne
Downsizing
5 1 3
Dee Rees
Mudbound
5 1 3

9 Responses to “Gurus o’ Gold: Early Line”

  1. lockedcut says:

    Why can’t they just call it “The Pentagon Papers”?

  2. lockedcut says:

    It is such a slight and light year for awards pictures, reminiscent of 1990, 91, and 92 the pre Weinstein era when genre films were ascendant with the academy with westerns and horror films winning all three years and a gangster film just barely losing.

    Makes an interesting case for if the academy rejects the two decades of dominance of Weinstein era “awards exist only for meller-dramas with acht-ing” and goes back to a series of more genre and populist choices in line with Hollywood.

    If so then that speaks strongly to get out, Wonder Woman, and beauty and the beast over performing with awards season.

  3. hepwa says:

    sorry but having Darkest Hour ahead of CMBYN is borderline foolish.

  4. YancySkancy says:

    Allison “Janey”?

  5. Sergio says:

    You guys really see The Big Sick and Get Out in at Picture over Baby Driver?? I know those two made a shit ton of money and had great word of mouth, but this is the Oscars here. I think Baby has a lot more cred and love in the industry than either of those but you guys know best.

    Also, Florida Project will be much higher on that list come New Years.

  6. Dr Wally Rises says:

    There are rumors going around that The Post has gotten into problems in (pun not intended) post-production, with another editor being brought in to help Michael Kahn. Yes, Spielberg has worked around a very short post-production many times before, but what’s the over/under on it getting pushed to 2018 at this point?

  7. Ron Rogers says:

    It makes me laugh to see all this Oscar hype and prognosticating for movies that most of us won’t see until January. Kinda makes it a bit of a joke.

  8. Daniella Isaacs says:

    Well, Ron, the fact that you clicked on the link is all the encouragement MCN needs to keep posting stuff like this. So… #partoftheproblem.

  9. Stephen Holt says:

    Er, David, um…It’s “Last Flag Flying” not Standing that Steve Carell is in.

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