Gurus o’ Gold: Our Final Votes

Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 La La Land
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 11
Arrival
0 0
Fences
0 0
Hell or High Water
0 0
Lion
0 0
3 Hidden Figures
0 0
Manchester By The Sea
0 0
Hacksaw Ridge
0 0
One Vote Wonders
2 2 Moonlight
1 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Director AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Damien Chazelle
La La Land
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 11
3 Kenneth Lonergan
Manchester by the Sea
0 0
Mel Gibson
Hacksaw Ridge
0 0
Denis Villeneuve
Arrival
0 0
One Vote Wonders
2 2 Barry Jenkins
Moonlight
1 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Actress AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Emma Stone
La La Land
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 12
Meryl Streep
Florence Foster Jenkins
0 0
2 isabelle Huppert
Elle
0 0
Ruth Negga
Loving
0 0
3 Natalie Portman
Jackie
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Actor AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Denzel Washington
Fences
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 7
2 2 Casey Affleck
Manchester By The Sea
1 1 1 1 1 5 5
Andrew Garfield
Hacksaw Ridge
0 0
Viggo Mortensen
Captain Fantastic
0 0
Ryan Gosling
La La Land
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actor AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Mahershala Ali
Moonlight
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 11
Michael Shannon
Nocturnal Animals
0 0
3 Jeff Bridges
Hell of High Water
0 0
Lucas Hedges
Manchester By The Sea
0 0
One Vote Wonders
2 2 Dev Patel
Lion
1 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actress AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Viola Davis
Fences
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 12
t3 Naomie Harris
Moonlight
0 0
Nicole Kidman
Lion
0 0
t3 Michelle Williams
Manchester by the Sea
0 0
2 Octavia Spencer
Hidden Figures
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Original Screenplay AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Manchester by the Sea
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 12
2 La La Land
0 0
20th Century Women
0 0
3 Hell or HIgh Water
0 0
The Lobster
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Adapted Screenplay AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Moonlight
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 12
Fences
0 0
t2 Lion
0 0
4 Arrival
0 0
t2 Hidden Figures
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Animated Feature AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Zootopia
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 12
2 Kubo & The 2 Strings
0 0
3 Moana
0 0
The Red Turtle
0 0
My Life As a Zucchini
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Foreign Langauge AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 The Salesman
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 9
2 2 Toni Erdmann
1 1 1 3 3
3 A Man Called Ove
0 0
Tanna
0 0
Land of Mine
0 0
Rank Last Chart Documentary Feature AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Oj: Made in America
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 12
2 13th
0 0
3 I Am Not Your Negro
0 0
Life, Animated
0 0
Fire At Sea
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Cinematography AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 La La Land
Linus Sandgren
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 12
4 Moonlight
James Laxton
0 0
3 Arrival
Bradford Young
0 0
2 Lion
Greg Fraser
0 0
Silence
Rodrigo Prieto
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Editing AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 La La Land
Tom Cross
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 12
t3 Moonlight
Nat Sanders & Joi McMillon
0 0
Hell or High Water
Jake Roberts
0 0
2 Hacksaw Ridge
John Gilbert
0 0
t3 Arrival
Joe Walker
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Costumes AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 2 Jackie
Madeline Fontaine
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 8
2 1 La La Land
Mary Zophres
1 1 1 3 3
t3 Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them
Colleen Atwood
0 0
Allied
Joanna Johnston
0 0
One Vote Wonders
3 t3 Florence Foster Jenkins
Consalata Boyle
1 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Production Design AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 La La Land
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 11
Passengers
0 0
2 Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them
0 0
4 Hail, Caesar!
0 0
One Vote Wonders
2 3 Arrival
1 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Hair/Make-Up AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Star Trek: Beyond
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 9
2 2 Suicide Squad
1 1 2 2
One Vote Wonders
3 3 A Man Called Ove
1 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Score AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 La La Land
Justin Hurwitz
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 12
2 Moonlight
Nicholas Britell
0 0
t3 Lion
Dustin O'Halloran & Hauschka
0 0
t3 Jackie
Mica Levi
0 0
Passengers
Thomas Newman
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Original Song AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 City of Stars
La La Land
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 12
3 Audition
La La Land
0 0
2 How Far I'll Go
Moana
0 0
Can't Stop The Feeling
Trolls
0 0
The Empty Chair
JIm: The James Foley Story
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Visual Effects AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 The Jungle Book
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 12
t3 Doctor Strange
0 0
2 Rogue One
0 0
t3 Kubo & The Two Strings
0 0
Deepwater Horizon
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Sound Editing AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Hacksaw Ridge
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 7
2 2 Arrival
1 1 1 1 4 4
Deepwater Horizon
0 0
Sully
0 0
One Vote Wonders
3 3 La La Land
1 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Sound Mixing AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 La La Land
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 10
2 3 Arrival
1 1 2 2
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi
0 0
2 Hacksaw Ridge
0 0
4 Rogue One
0 0
Rank Last Chart Best Live Action Short AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Ennemis Interieurs
1 1 1 1 1 1 6 6
2 2 La Femme et le TGV
1 1 1 1 4 4
4 Silent Nights
0 0
One Vote Wonders
t3 5 Time Code
1 1 3
t3 3 Sing​
1 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Animated Short AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 1 Piper
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 9
2 2 Pearl
1 1 2 2
5 Borrowed Time
0 0
4 Blind Vaysha
0 0
One Vote Wonders
3 3 Pear Cider & Cigarettes
1 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Documentary Short AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
1 2 Joe's Violin​
1 1 1 1 1 5 5
2 1 The White Helmets
1 1 1 1 4 4
3 3 Extremis
1 1 2 2
4 Watering: My Homeland
0 0
One Vote Wonders
4 5 4.1 Miles
1 1 1
Rank Last Chart Possible Upsets AdamsEllwoodHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhippYamato Votes Total
Best Actor
Washington upsets Affleck
* * * * * * * 7 7
Best Actress
Huppert Upsets Stone
* * * * * 5 5
Best Original Screenplay
La La upsets Manchester
* * * * * 5 5
Best Supporting Actor
Patel over Ali
* * * * * 5 5
Best Documentary
13th upsets OJ
* * * * 4 4
Best Animated Feature
Kubo upsets Zootopia
* * * 3 3
Best Foreign Language
Ove upsets Salesman
* * 2 2
Best Editing
Hacksaw Ridge upsets La La
* * 2 2
Best Costume Design
La La Land over Jackie
* * 2 2
Best Documentary Short
White Helmets upset Joe's Violin
* * 2 2
Best Picture
Moonlight over La La Land
* * 2 2
One Vote Wonders
Best Director
Jenkins over Chazelle
* 1 1
Best Make-up
Suicide Squad over Star Trek
* 1 1
Best Live Action Short
Sing over Enemis Interieurs
* 1 1
Best Animated Short
Pearl over Piper
* 1 1
Best Foreign Language
Ove upsets Erdmann
* 1 1
Best Production Design
Arrival over La La Land
* 1 1
Best Original Screenplay
Hell or HIgh Water over Manchester
* 1 1
Best Adapted Screenplay
Lions over Moonlight
* 1 1
Best Original Screenplay
Hell or HIgh Water over La La
* 1 1
Best Documentary
I Am Not Your Negro over OJ
* 1 1
Best Supporting Actor
Bridges upsets Ali
* 1 1
Best Animated Feature
Red Turtle over Zootopia
* 1 1
Best Song
How Far I'll Go over City of Stars
* 1 1
Best Foreign Language
Salesman over Toni Erdmann
* 1 1

6 Responses to “Gurus o’ Gold: Our Final Votes”

  1. Weird says:

    How would it be an upset for Washington over Affleck if more people are predicting Washington to win than not?

  2. Bob Burns says:

    And the winner is a science fiction movie about a straight WASP Los Angeles. Even the NY Times figured that out.

    Now we get to hear all the winners tell us how they have thousands of friends. “I’m so very popular. Let me pull out this list of the many, many people who love me. Too many to name, I’m so popular.”

  3. Sergio M says:

    I think Moonlight has a legit chance at upsetting Picture. If you look at the major diversity push campaign this year (from noms to new members) I think there’s a real momentum for the good ol’ everything but Pic sweep (w Pic going to the political movie a la 12 Years/Gravity, Spotlight/Revenant, and further back w Crash and Hurt Locker).
    Strong possibility for 3/4 black actors winning after #oscarssowhite marks more than just a coincidental trend. BTW, how do you say “upset” in French? All this diversity love has me saying ouh la la. Don’t feel bad for Emma she’ll be back with a better movie. Still, see La La winning 5-6.. just wouldn’t be surprised if only Dir+DP in the majors.

  4. Jerry says:

    It is interesting how out of touch my short tastes are with the gurus. What I thought was the worst documentary short they put first and my best two live action shorts they have tied for last.

  5. Stephen Barrow says:

    I think La La Land will win best film because it’s seen as “different” in the same way that The Artist was but who remembers that one now? Natalie Portman isn’t going so maybe she knows something. It’s a pity that Elle has been so little seen (foreign and subject matter I guess) and it hasn’t even opened here in the UK so it’s hard to assess her chances. It just seems a bit unfair that Emma Stone will win and Ryan Gosling will not. And why has the tide turned against Casey Affleck? Davis and Ali seem like dead certs but I wonder if a win for Dev Patel might not tick a couple of boxes?

  6. Daniella Isaacs says:

    Jerry, the Guru’s aren’t giving us their “tastes.” They’ve made cold calculations as to what they think members of the Academy will vote for. As film business journalists they have some insight into what the precursor awards are telling them as well as what’s “playing well” at industry screenings, and so on. This spread sheet has nothing to do with the Guru’s tastes.

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