MCN Columnists
Leonard Klady

By Leonard Klady Klady@moviecitynews.com

The Weekend Report (3-Day)

Rogue One made it three in a row with an estimated $49.2 million (all numbers reflect 3-day portion of holiday with updates tomorrow) at the top of the box office charts as 2017 rang in. Sing closed the gap with $41.4 million.

There were no new releases or significant expansions. Award season favorites, including La La Land, Fences, Manchester By the Sea, Lion and Hidden Figures saw potent spikes

The year’s under-the-wire entries were exclusives 20th Century Women and Paterson, which opened well. The former grossed $110,000 from four get-togethers with the latter bowing to $68,300 also from a quartet of stops.

Revenues for the frame generated about $183 million and slipped just 1% from last weekend. It was a 17% decline from 2015 when Star Wars: The Force Awakens finished the year with $90.2 million followed by Daddy’s Home with $29.2 million.

Initial estimates will see 2016 finish with an $11.5 billion total, a 2.5% improvement from 2015. That should also translate into roughly a 2% decline in admissions.

An ongoing decline in filmgoing remains the industry’s greatest concern. A core audience that’s aging could see more rapid erosion at the multiplex within five years. Developing the moviegoing habit in the next generation of viewers is among exhibition’s priorities.

It’s also troubling for distribution but the majors haven’t approached it head on. The majors are looking at ways of maximizing and reducing the theatrical window which scares the bejesus out of chain operators that have struggled through the digital transition. For now, the revenue template is anchored by what movies gross on the big screen, and until that arena loses dominance, the tension between distribution and exhibition appears healthily divisive.

Weekend (estimates) December 30 – January 1, 2017
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Rogue One BV 49.2 (11,840) -23% 4157 424.6
Sing Uni 41.4 (10,280) 17% 4029 165.1
Passengers Sony 15.8 (4,550) -30% 3478 61.1
Moana BV 10.2 (3,680) 32% 2775 209.3
Fences Par 10.1 (4,400) 52% 2301 29.8
Why Him? Fox 10.0 (3,310) -9% 3008 34.5
La La Land Lionsgate 9.3 (12,450) 62% 750 34.1
Assassin’s Creed Fox 8.1 (2,690) -21% 2996 39.1
Manchester By the Sea Roadside/ Mongrel 4.2 (3,470) 51% 1206 28.4
Collateral Beauty WB 4.1 (1,490) -4% 2745 25.7
Fantastic Beasts WB 3.9 (2,140) 35% 1842 223.9
Office Christmas Party Par 3.2 (1,370) -37% 2347 50.8
Lion Weinstein 2.2 (4,110) 141% 525 6
Dangal UTV 1.9 (5,770) -41% 331 9
Jackie Searchlight 1.5 (4,260) 23% 359 7
Arrival Par 1.3 (2,330) 19% 545 92.1
Hidden Figures Fox .81 (32,440) 57% 25 2.3
Trolls Fox .67 (1,600) 74% 418 150.3
Doctor Strange BV .62 (1,330) -14% 466 230.1
Hacksaw Ridge Lionsgate .39 (1,110) 24% 352 64.6
Moonlight A24/Elevation .32 (2,360) 45% 137 12.6
Nocturnal Animals Focus .17 (1,070) -31% 158 10.2
The Eagle Huntress Sony Classics .16 (1,390) 50% 113 2.3
Allied Par .15 (930) -6% 163 39.6
Patriots Day CBS .14 (20,600) -10% 7 0.62
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $178.5
% Change (Last Year) -17%
% Change (Last Week) -1%
Also debuting/expanding
20th Century Women A24 .11 (27,450) 4 0.18
Silence Par 73,100 (18,270) -44% 4 0.3
Elle Sony Classics 69,300 (1,980) 27% 35 0.92
Paterson Bleecker Street 68,300 (17,080) 4 0.07
Julieta Sony Classics 55,600 (7,940) -13% 7 0.21
Master CJ 48,500 (16,170) 3 0.05
The Wasted Times China Lion 42,800 (3,570) -33% 12 0.33
Toni Erdmann Sony Classics 38,700 (12,900) 142% 3 0.1
Live By Night WB 31,800 (7,950) -4% 4 0.11
A Monster Calls Focus 19,300 (4,820) -38% 4 0.07
Domestic Market Share (January 1 – December 29, 2016)
Distributor (releases) Box Office Market Share
Buena Vista (16) 2959.9 26.10%
Warner Bros. (26) 1896.1 16.70%
20th Century Fox (25) 1463.3 12.90%
Universeal (20) 1379.3 12.20%
Sony (25) 901.2 8.00%
Paramount (18) 865.6 7.70%
Lionsgate (28) 595.5 5.30%
Focus (14) 205.4 1.80%
STX (7) 178.8 1.60%
Open Road (8) 97.2 0.85%
Roadside Attractions (11) 69.1 0.60%
Weinstein Co. (10) 63.4 0.55%
A24 (11) 61.1 0.50%
Other * (384) 584.7 5.20%
11320.6 100.00%
* none greater than 0.4%

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Beauty and the Beast 64.2 4210 New 64.2
Kong: Skull Island 7.3 3846 -64% 88.5
Logan 4.7 3687 -55% 171.2
Get Out 3.7 2979 -38% 123.6
The Shack 1.6 2825 -40% 38.1
The Belko Experiment 1.5 1341 New 1.5
The Lego Batman Movie 1.2 2735 -30% 163.9
Hidden Figures 0.4 1162 -45% 164.4
Before I Fall 0.3 2346 -67% 10.6
John Wick: Chapter 2 0.3 2031 -57% 88.9
Also Debuting
Goon: Last of the Enforcers 0.2 244
T2: Trainspotting 63,900 6
Jindua 41,100 41
Song to Song 17,400 4
After the Storm 6,700 6
Angamaly Diaries 6,500 9
Bluebeard 5,100 14
Le Jardinier 4,000 3
Frantz 3,900 2
Fittest on Earth: A Decade of Fitness 3,600 7
Weirdos 3,300 4
La Mecanique de l'ombre 2,450 3
Betting on Zero 1,850 4
Tickling Giants 1,800 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4